炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 在金融行业里，各大券商首席的朋友圈从来不是私人空间。 浙商证券（601878.SH）大固收组长、固收首席分析师覃汉，显然是低估了这一点。 2025年11月20日，在浙商证券举办的活动上，覃汉进行2026年债市策略展望主题发言。 来源：财通社 一条朋友圈引起巨大风波 时间回到2025年12月17日，第23届新财富最佳分析师评选结果揭晓。 在固定收益研究领域，浙商证券覃汉团队排名第五。 | | | 固定收益研究 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名次 机构 | | FIRY | 后关 | | 1 | 华泰证券 | 研究小组(张继强、仇文竹、股超、吴 宇航、陶冶、文晨昕、吴靖、朱沁宜、 | 40340.296 | | | | 方翔宇、王晓宇) | | | 2 | 华西证券 | 研究小组(刘郁、姜丹、田乐蒙、肖金 川、黄晓曦、郑日诚、黄佳苗、董远、 | 31481.596 | | | | 曾禹童、钱青静) | | | 3 | | 研究小组(黄伟平、栾强、杨雪芳、徐 | 29564.247 | | | 申万宏源证券 ...

Group 1 - The report titled "Overview of Capital Market Services for Guizhou's Economic and Social Development by 2025" highlights the continuous improvement of the system and mechanism for capital market services in Guizhou, emphasizing the new achievements in supporting high-quality development and modernization processes [1] - Various stakeholders in Guizhou are actively promoting the integration of capital market tools into the province's industrial system, providing a solid guarantee for the full utilization of capital market functions [2] - The direct financing amount in Guizhou is steadily increasing, with various market entities achieving direct financing of 77.546 billion yuan, supporting industrial upgrades, project construction, and improving people's livelihoods [3] Group 2 - Guizhou's capital market is focused on serving the real economy, providing high-quality financial products and services for major strategies, key areas, and weak links in local economic and social development [3] - The average coupon rate for corporate credit bonds has decreased to 3.31%, down 49 basis points from 2024, supporting enterprises in reducing costs and increasing efficiency [3] - The implementation of the "five major articles" in finance, including technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, is being actively promoted by the Guizhou Securities Regulatory Bureau and other departments [4]

Market Performance - The A-share market has shown strong performance at the beginning of the year, with market sentiment improving and a resonance between funding and policy [3] - On January 9, the Shanghai Composite Index rose over 0.6%, surpassing 4100 points, reaching its highest level since July 2015 [3] Index and Sector Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4106.68, with a gain of 23.70 points or 0.58% [5] - The ChiNext Index and the Science and Technology Innovation Board also saw positive movements, with increases of 0.84% and 0.98% respectively [5] - Notable sectors on that day included commercial aerospace and AI applications, which performed exceptionally well [6] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that consumer demand increased due to effective policies promoting consumption, with the CPI rising 0.2% month-on-month and 0.8% year-on-year [9] - The PPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month but decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, influenced by international commodity prices and domestic capacity management policies [9] Future Outlook - Several overseas institutions, including Goldman Sachs and UBS, are optimistic about Chinese assets, predicting a rebound in 2026 driven by profit growth and innovation [10] - The A-share market is expected to enter a new upward trend, with a focus on sectors like technology and biotechnology [10] - Domestic institutions believe the market may transition from a "structural bull" to an "index bull," with AI applications and mergers and acquisitions being key areas of interest [10] - The computer sector is anticipated to improve, with low institutional holdings providing potential future growth opportunities [10] AI Industry Insights - Huachuang Securities emphasizes the importance of domestic AI computing power chips, especially in light of overseas restrictions, highlighting the need for self-sufficiency in this area [11]

接近浙商证券的人士向记者透露，"监管对此事高度重视，甚至动用了经侦手段，要求浙商董办、研究 所等部门配合提供材料。前段时间，浙商证券上上下下都在为这件事忙碌，调查结果估计还要等一段时 间才能出来。" 此言迅速引爆市场，因其承认为争取投票扭曲研究立场，严重违背卖方分析师独立性原则。 "翻空"指将债市观点由看多转为看空。2025年三季度，债市已现调整迹象，但覃汉维持乐观判断。事后 其言论被广泛解读为牺牲专业客观性换取评选排名，引发买方机构强烈不满，多家公募、保险客户投诉 称或因此蒙受投资损失。 来源：资管洞察 2025年12月新财富最佳分析师榜单公布后，浙商证券固收首席覃汉在朋友圈公开抱怨团队仅获第五名， 并直言："早知道这结果，三季度就该翻空——当初是为了拉票才故意没这么做。" 21世纪经济报道记者最新获悉，浙江证监局目前正就此事开展调查，浙江省金融监管部门亦对该事件高 度关注。浙商证券研究所也已启动内部核查程序，并已暂停覃汉对外展业1个月，责令其进行深刻内部 检查，并依据内部规章制度对其处以相应经济处罚。 来源：资管洞察 2025年12月新财富最佳分析师榜单公布后，浙商证券固收首席覃汉在朋友圈公开抱怨团队仅获 ...

（记者 曾健辉） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——独家对话特斯拉FSD跨美第一人：4400公里"零接管"，手没碰过方向盘！作 为激光雷达销售员，他为何站队马斯克的"纯视觉"？ 每经AI快讯，利欧股份发布公告称，2026年1月8日，利欧股份接受华创证券等投资者调研，公司董 事、副总经理、董事会秘书张旭波，副总经理郑晓东参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 ...

21世纪经济报道 记者 崔文静 实习生 张长荣 北京报道 1月7日，21世纪经济报道记者从中信建投处了解到，其研究所所长武超则升任机构业务委员会主任。与 此同时，中信建投证券首席经济学家黄文涛代行研究发展部行政负责人职责。黄文涛或成为中信建投研 究业务新任负责人。 实际上，首席经济学家担任行政管理职务，正在成为新趋势。在中证协最新调整的首席经济学家（发展 战略）专业委员会中，已有约三分之一的首席经济学家同时担任研究所所长、副所长等管理职务，更有 部分人士晋升至副总裁等核心管理层。这一现象表明，首席经济学家的专业影响力正更多地向内部战略 与管理领域渗透。 与此同时，另一个趋势也日渐清晰：承担更多"股市叙事"功能，正在成为监管层对首席经济学家的新期 待。证监会主席吴清明确要求，首席经济学家"讲好中国股市叙事"。这意味着首席经济学家需更多发挥 智库功能，客观反映经济现实、传递正能量。 然而，将"讲好股市叙事"的智库功能落到实处，仍面临现实挑战。目前，券商对首席经济学家的考核普 遍仍与研究所的佣金收入紧密挂钩，这使得其服务于市场投资决策的"业务功能"在实践中往往占据主 导。如何平衡创造直接经济收益与履行公共智库角色， ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance on January 8, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index rising by 1.77% and a half-day trading volume of 1.77 trillion, down by 701 billion from the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.2% and 0.52%, respectively [1] - Huachuang Securities believes the market is not extremely overheated, with trading volume and turnover rates indicating room for growth [1] Key Sectors Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The controlled nuclear fusion sector continued to show strength, with companies like China Nuclear Engineering and others achieving consecutive gains [3] - CITIC Securities noted that breakthroughs in high-temperature superconductors and AI technology are driving investment in large scientific facilities, creating significant opportunities in the upstream segment of the industry [3] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector experienced repeated strength, with companies such as Galaxy Electronics and others hitting their daily price limits [4] - Zhongtai Securities indicated that the commercial aerospace industry is entering a new phase of rapid development, with upcoming catalysts expected to enhance investment opportunities [4] Computing Power Chips - The computing power chip sector saw gains, with companies like Haiguang Information rising over 10% [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other departments, issued guidelines to strengthen AI computing power supply, promoting the development of intelligent chips and related technologies [5] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities predicts a higher probability of upward market fluctuations in 2026, emphasizing the need for a balance between external and internal demand [7] - Zhongtai Securities maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the technology sector, suggesting that investors focus on specific sub-sectors with strong fundamentals [8] - Everbright Securities warns of increased market volatility due to profit-taking pressures, advising caution in investment strategies [9]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the Taikang Dividend Low Volatility ETF (560150) reflects a growing interest in dividend-paying assets, particularly among long-term institutional investors such as insurance funds, indicating a potential for stable capital inflows into these assets [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of January 8, 2026, the Taikang Dividend Low Volatility ETF (560150) recorded a transaction volume of 3.3052 million yuan, with the underlying index, the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index (H30269), declining by 0.49% [1]. - Over the past two weeks, the Taikang Dividend Low Volatility ETF (560150) saw a significant increase of 4 million shares, indicating strong growth [1]. - In the last 21 trading days, there were 11 days of net inflows into the ETF, totaling 14.8906 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Institutional Investment Trends - Huachuang Securities noted a rising enthusiasm among insurance funds for equity stakes, with the number of stake acquisitions in 2025 significantly higher than in previous years, second only to the level seen in 2015 (62 times) [1]. - The acquisitions are concentrated in sectors such as banking, public utilities, environmental protection, and non-bank financials, primarily focusing on H-shares, reflecting a preference for dividend assets [1]. - Dongwu Securities emphasized the defensive value of dividend assets, suggesting that the demand for long-term capital from insurance funds will continue to support these investments [2]. Group 3: ETF Composition - The Taikang Dividend Low Volatility ETF (560150) closely tracks the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index, which selects 50 securities characterized by good liquidity, consistent dividends, moderate payout ratios, positive growth in earnings per share, and high dividend yields with low volatility [2]. - The index employs a dividend yield weighting to reflect the overall performance of high dividend and low volatility securities [2].

Core Viewpoint - The newly released "Regulations on the Management of Sales Fees for Publicly Raised Securities Investment Funds" introduces exemption clauses for redemption fees on bond funds, allowing fund managers to set their own standards for certain investors, which may impact the market dynamics for bond funds [1][2]. Group 1: Redemption Fee Changes - The new regulations provide exemptions for personal investors holding index and bond fund shares for more than 7 days, and for institutional investors holding bond fund shares for more than 30 days, allowing fund managers to set different redemption fee standards [2][4]. - The adjustment period for fund managers to comply with the new fee structures has been extended from 6 months to 12 months, giving the market ample time to adapt to these changes [2][4]. Group 2: Market Impact and Investor Behavior - The flexibility and cost-effectiveness of bond funds are perceived to be weakening, leading to a decline in the willingness of banks to allocate to bond funds, with a potential shift towards money market funds, interbank certificates of deposit index funds, and bond ETFs for liquidity management [1][4][5]. - Despite the reduced convenience of redeeming bond funds, industry insiders believe that bond funds will remain a primary investment target for institutional investors due to their role in addressing research shortcomings and expanding investment scope [1][8]. Group 3: Institutional Investor Preferences - Banks' proprietary trading desks prefer holding medium to long-term pure bond funds, while liquidity-sensitive bank wealth management products are likely to increase their interest in "fixed income plus" products, potentially absorbing some redemption funds [3][4]. - The importance and functionality of bond funds in institutional investment portfolios are perceived to be declining, with some institutions considering direct investments in bonds for more stable returns [5][6]. Group 4: Future Trends and Strategies - The exemption of redemption fees for ETFs under the new regulations is expected to drive institutional funds towards bond ETFs, which offer greater liquidity and flexibility compared to traditional bond funds [7][8]. - Public fund institutions are expected to focus on enhancing their research capabilities and product diversity in bond funds, emphasizing active management and value addition to attract investors in a low-interest-rate environment [8].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the appointment of Wu Chaoze as the head of the Institutional Business Committee and Chairman of CITIC Securities International, expanding her responsibilities to include both institutional and international business [1] - Wu Chaoze has been with CITIC Securities since July 2011, focusing on research in technology sectors such as AI, 5G, cloud computing, and semiconductors, and has rapidly advanced to become one of the youngest executives in the company [1] - The restructuring aims to enhance the internationalization of research operations and strengthen cross-border service collaboration, reflecting a strategic shift in response to changes in the global macroeconomic environment and capital markets [2] Group 2 - Huang Wentao will take over the administrative responsibilities of the CITIC Securities Research Institute, having joined the company in 2010 and specializing in macroeconomic research [2] - Huang Wentao's vision includes building a global research team by 2025 and enhancing research capabilities and service quality, emphasizing the importance of returning to the core of research [2] - The personnel changes at CITIC Securities are part of a broader trend in the industry, with many securities firms undergoing management adjustments to prioritize research functions [3]