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增配权益!超30万亿元险资配置思路曝光
股票投资资产同比增长约30.60%、股权投资基金同比增长约36.20%……保险资金持续加码权益类资产。 险资增配权益类资产 在近年市场利率持续下行的背景下,增加权益类资产配置成为险资机构应对低利率环境的重要举措之一,2024年险资持续增加对权益类资产的投资力度。 从资产投向来看,截至2024年末,保险公司投资债券15.21万亿元,股票、公募基金(不含货基)和组合类产品5.60万亿元,银行存款和现金及流动性资产 3.11万亿元,债权投资计划和信托计划2.44万亿元,股权投资资产1.92万亿元,投资性房地产0.60万亿元,境外资产0.48万亿元。 从投资资产增速来看,截至2024年末,保险公司权益类资产的投资资产增速较快,例如股票投资资产同比增长约30.60%;公募基金(股票及混合型)投 资资产同比增长约10.42%;组合类产品(股票及混合类)投资资产同比增长43.25%;股权投资资产同比增长约9.66%。 2022-2024年保险资金主要资产配置规模及增长情况 保险资产管理公司股票投资增长超3成 2024年,34家保险资产管理公司投资资产总规模32.68万亿元,同比增长25%。 从资产配置结构看,截至2024年 ...
【兴证策略】25Q3险资持仓权益比例接近历史新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 11:57
Core Insights - Insurance capital continues to increase its allocation to equity assets, with the proportion of equity assets reaching near historical highs in Q3 2025 [1] - The allocation structure shows a significant increase in technology and a reduction in high-end manufacturing sectors [5][6] - Insurance capital has accelerated its stake acquisitions in listed companies, particularly in Hong Kong stocks, with a notable increase in the number of acquisitions compared to previous years [9] Allocation Trends - In Q3 2025, the allocation of insurance capital to various asset classes is as follows: bank deposits (7.9%), bonds (50.3%), stocks (10.0%), funds (5.5%), long-term equity investments (7.9%), and other assets (18.4%) [1] - The investment proportions in bank deposits and bonds decreased by 0.7 percentage points and 0.8 percentage points, respectively, while the investment in stocks and funds surged to 15.5%, approaching the historical peak of 16.1% in H1 2015 [1] Sector and Stock Preferences - Insurance capital has significantly increased its allocation to banks, steel, and textile sectors, while reducing holdings in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy and military [5] - Key stocks that saw increased investment include Agricultural Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Hikvision, while reductions were noted in stocks like Goldwind Technology and Aviation Industry Corporation of China [6][8] Shareholding Activities - In 2025, insurance capital has made 30 stake acquisitions in listed companies, surpassing the total for the entire years of 2020 and 2024, with 25 of these acquisitions in Hong Kong stocks [9] - The trend indicates a shift towards acquiring dividend-yielding assets in Hong Kong due to declining bond yields and rising traditional dividend assets [9]
37.46万亿险资投向哪里?
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-11-18 09:09
Core Insights - The total balance of insurance funds reached 37.46 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, marking a 12.6% increase from the beginning of the year and a 3.4% increase from mid-year [1] - The growth in insurance fund utilization is primarily driven by a sustained increase in premium income, with expectations of double-digit growth for the entire year [2] Asset Allocation - Bonds remain the cornerstone of insurance asset allocation, with a total investment of 18.18 trillion yuan in bonds by the end of Q3 2025, up 14.1% from 15.92 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year [3] - The proportion of bonds in the total asset allocation slightly decreased from 49.3% at the end of Q2 to 48.5% by the end of Q3 [3] - Investments in bank deposits also saw a slight decline, with balances of 2.49 trillion yuan for life insurance and 374.2 billion yuan for property insurance, representing 7.4% and 15.7% of their respective total assets [3] - Investments in stocks and securities increased significantly, reaching a total of 5.59 trillion yuan, a 36.2% increase from 4.11 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year, raising its share from 12.3% to 14.9% [3] Factors Driving Equity Investment - The substantial increase in equity investments is attributed to multiple factors, including ongoing policy guidance, the need for insurance companies to enhance returns through stable equity assets, and a gradually improving capital market [4] - In January 2025, a joint initiative by six departments aimed to encourage long-term funds, including insurance capital, to enter the market, emphasizing the need to increase A-share investment ratios [4] - Regulatory adjustments in April raised the upper limit for equity asset allocation, further expanding investment opportunities [4] - The Ministry of Finance's July notice aimed to strengthen long-term investment by state-owned insurance companies, adjusting performance evaluation metrics to include multi-year indicators [4] Future Outlook - There is a general consensus that with increased policy support and a favorable market environment, the proportion of insurance capital invested in stocks is expected to rise further [5]
哑铃、哑铃,缺一不行
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-13 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong dividend assets have shown strong performance, rivaling the technology sector, with significant increases in key dividend indices over the past year [1][4]. Performance of Dividend Indices - The Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend (CNY) and the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility indices have reached historical highs, with annual increases of 31.65% and 33.57% respectively, outperforming the Hang Seng Technology Total Return Index, which rose by 28.02% during the same period [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The divergence between the technology and dividend sectors began in October 2025, influenced by external factors such as the escalating US-China tariff disputes and government shutdown risks, leading to a shift in investor sentiment towards more defensive dividend assets [4][5]. - The technology sector's high valuations and lack of new catalysts during a policy and earnings vacuum have prompted funds to move towards more reasonably valued dividend stocks [4]. Southbound Capital Inflows - Despite market volatility, southbound capital has consistently flowed into Hong Kong stocks, with net inflows exceeding 1.3 trillion HKD in 2025, marking a record high since the launch of the Stock Connect [6][7]. - The financial, energy, consumer discretionary, and telecommunications sectors have attracted the most southbound capital, indicating a growing interest in dividend assets [7]. Institutional Investment Trends - Insurance capital has increasingly targeted dividend assets, with 36 instances of stake acquisitions in 2025, surpassing previous highs and focusing on stable, high-dividend sectors such as banking and utilities [8][9]. - The dividend yields of the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend (CNY) and the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility indices stand at 5.53% and 5.69%, significantly higher than comparable A-share indices [9]. Investment Strategy - In the current low-interest-rate environment, the dividend yields from Hong Kong stocks present a compelling alternative to domestic bonds, which yield only 1.81% [9]. - The Hong Kong dividend ETFs have shown strong performance, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend ETF achieving a 69.51% return since its inception, outperforming its benchmark [15][16].
决定险资投向的关键---FVOCI是什么?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-12 07:37
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new accounting standards in the insurance industry, particularly the FVOCI category, is significantly impacting the asset allocation strategies of insurance companies [1][2][4]. Group 1: Accounting Standards and Implementation - The FVOCI (Fair Value Through Other Comprehensive Income) category will be fully implemented by January 1, 2026, replacing the previous four-category model with a three-category system [2][4]. - The new classification system includes FVOCI, FVTPL (Fair Value Through Profit or Loss), and AC (Amortized Cost) [2][4]. - Non-listed insurance companies must implement the new standards by the specified date, while some companies like China Ping An have already adopted them since 2018 [4]. Group 2: Impact on Profitability - Investment income is crucial for insurance companies, with total investment income contributing significantly to net profit for major players like China Life and China Ping An, with ratios reaching 192% and 194% respectively in the first half of 2025 [8]. - The choice between FVOCI and FVTPL for equity assets can greatly influence profit volatility, with FVOCI potentially offering a more stable profit profile for companies with long-term liabilities [11]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Trends - As of mid-2025, the proportion of equity assets classified under FVOCI has increased for major insurance companies, with China Life's FVOCI equity assets rising by 10.6 percentage points to 22.6% [12]. - The increase in FVOCI equity allocation is attributed to a low-interest-rate environment and a shortage of alternative investments, making FVOCI stocks a short-term substitute for bonds [15]. - In the bond category, the FVOCI proportion has also seen increases, with China Life's bond assets under FVOCI rising by 1.8 percentage points to 87.3% [16]. Group 4: Strategic Considerations - Different insurance companies have varying requirements regarding profit volatility, leading some to prefer a higher allocation to FVOCI assets while others may favor FVTPL for potential higher returns [17]. - The classification of assets is not standardized across the industry, allowing companies to tailor their strategies based on their specific operational needs and investment capabilities [17].
低利率时代下险资配置“攻守道”:加码权益增弹性,扩容ABS稳收益
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-11-12 05:35
Core Viewpoint - The insurance capital (险资) has become a focal point in the market this year, driven by policies promoting medium to long-term capital inflows, effectively optimizing the capital market structure and encouraging a shift towards value investing [1][3]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Market Activity - As of the end of Q3 2025, insurance capital appeared among the top ten shareholders of 633 A-share listed companies, with 270 new stock positions taken [3]. - The total market value of insurance capital holdings in A-shares exceeded 650 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of over 6% compared to mid-2025 [3]. - The insurance sector's investment strategy is characterized by a focus on long-term stability and value, aligning with the overall market recovery trend [5]. Group 2: Investment Performance and Preferences - In Q3 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 12.73%, with insurance companies' investment results significantly contributing to their net profit growth [4]. - Insurance capital's holdings in the top five industries by market value include banking, public utilities, transportation, communications, and electrical equipment [5]. - The top five industries by the number of individual stocks held by insurance capital are electronics, pharmaceuticals, electrical equipment, machinery, and automobiles [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Tools - Insurance capital's investment strategy is primarily driven by liability-driven investment (LDI), focusing on matching assets with liabilities [6]. - The strategy includes a foundation of high-rated bonds (60%-70% of the portfolio) for stable returns, with equity investments typically comprising 10%-15% [6]. - The insurance version of asset-backed securities (ABS) has emerged as a key tool for insurance capital to navigate low interest rates and market volatility, providing a stable return and extending asset duration [7][9]. Group 4: Growth of Insurance Version ABS - In the first three quarters of 2025, the number of registered insurance asset-backed plans reached 66, with a total scale of 274.58 billion yuan, marking a 25.1% increase year-on-year [8]. - The insurance version of ABS serves as a "stabilizer" for returns and an "extender" for assets, typically offering a higher issuance rate of 5%-6% compared to similar credit bonds [8][9]. - The unique structured design of insurance version ABS allows for risk and return layering, catering to the needs of insurance capital for stable and secure investments [9][10].
银行股强势冲高,招商银行涨超2%,银行ETF龙头(512820)大涨超2%!险资加大银行股配置,机构看好银行板块稳健性、持续性
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 02:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the banking sector, with significant increases in stock prices and positive market sentiment towards bank ETFs [1][3][4] - As of November 4, 2025, the China Securities Bank Index rose by 2.09%, with notable increases in individual bank stocks such as Xiamen Bank (up 4.79%) and Industrial Bank (up 3.26%) [1] - The banking ETF leader (512820) also saw a rise of 2.08%, with a recent price of 1.47 yuan, and a one-month cumulative increase of 5.72%, ranking second among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The total assets of the banking and insurance sectors in mainland China have exceeded 500 trillion yuan, with an average annual growth of 9% over the past five years, solidifying China's position as the largest credit market and the second-largest insurance market [3] - Insurance capital is increasingly allocating to bank stocks, reflecting a long-term preference for high dividend and low valuation targets, with bank stocks being recognized for their stable dividends and anti-cyclical properties [3] - According to Morgan Stanley, the third-quarter revenue and net profit growth for domestic banks is expected to be faster than the first half of the year, with Agricultural Bank of China leading the profit growth among state-owned banks [4] Group 3 - The report indicates that the banking sector is viewed positively due to expected inflows of long-term capital, public fund reforms, and passive index expansions, which could accelerate the revaluation of bank stocks [4] - The insurance funds' heavy investment in bank stocks, particularly in state-owned banks, demonstrates confidence in their stability and consistent performance in a low-interest-rate environment [3][4]
深度研究:保险框架:险资中长期配置逻辑与趋势
2025-09-01 02:01
Summary of Insurance Asset Allocation Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the insurance industry, specifically the asset allocation strategies of insurance funds in response to changing market conditions and regulatory frameworks [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Asset-Liability Matching**: The core of insurance asset allocation is to match assets with liabilities, considering duration, cash flow, and cost-benefit analysis to mitigate interest rate risks and unexpected claims [1][3][4]. - **Current Challenges**: Insurance funds face a mismatch between the increasing duration of liabilities and the slower growth of asset duration, exacerbated by a rise in whole life insurance products [1][4]. - **Improved Liability Costs**: The reduction in liability costs, including lower pricing rates and improved costs for new policies, has decreased the expected return requirements on assets, favoring equity allocations [1][4]. - **Regulatory Constraints**: External constraints such as solvency ratios and asset allocation limits significantly influence investment behavior. The solvency ratio can range from a minimum of 10% to a maximum of 50%, affecting the allocation to equities [5]. - **Policy Adjustments**: Recent macroeconomic and market policy adjustments are expected to enhance the stability of A-shares, encouraging insurance funds to increase their equity allocations [5][6]. Future Trends - **Increased Equity Allocation**: There is an anticipated increase in the proportion of equity assets in insurance fund allocations, driven by a growing demand for long-term stable assets and favorable policy changes [6][8]. - **Focus on High-Quality Stocks**: Insurance funds are expected to prioritize long-term stable assets, particularly value stocks with stable Return on Equity (ROE) and cyclical stocks that fit their investment criteria [7][8]. - **High Cost-Performance Sectors**: Sectors with high cost-performance ratios (high ROE/PB) are projected to attract more attention from insurance funds, with a focus on stocks that demonstrate stable ROE over a three-year average [2][7][8]. Additional Important Points - **Limitations of Traditional Strategies**: Traditional strategies such as extending duration, credit downgrading, or investing in non-standard assets face challenges, including insufficient long-duration bond supply and shrinking market sizes for non-standard assets [6][7]. - **Investment Logic**: The investment logic of insurance funds is centered around achieving asset-liability matching, with a gradual shift towards increasing equity proportions in response to both policy encouragement and internal investment needs [3][8].
保险龙头大涨,中报亮眼!港股通非银ETF(513750)盘中涨超2%,权重股新华保险股价创历史新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 02:53
Group 1 - The financial sector is experiencing strong performance, with significant gains in insurance stocks such as Xinhua Insurance reaching a historical high and China Life and China Ping An also seeing increases [1] - The non-bank financial ETF has shown a year-to-date increase of over 50%, with a recent inflow of 22.56 billion yuan over the past five trading days [1][2] - The insurance industry is undergoing structural improvements driven by policy optimization and business transformation, with China Pacific Insurance reporting a 7.1% year-on-year increase in operating profit for the first half of 2025 [2] Group 2 - Xinhua Insurance reported a 22.7% year-on-year increase in original insurance premiums, reaching 121.3 billion yuan, and a 33.5% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [2] - As of June 2025, the balance of insurance funds reached 36.23 trillion yuan, an 8.9% increase from the beginning of the year, with a shift towards equities and bonds [2] - Market analysis suggests that stable long-term interest rates and improved asset yields are expected to enhance the return on equity (ROE) for insurance companies, indicating a potential recovery in price-to-book (PB) valuations [3]
经济日报:保险业上半年保障水平提升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 00:39
Core Insights - The insurance industry in China has shown resilience and progress in the first half of 2025, with total assets exceeding 39.2 trillion yuan and premium income growing by 5.1% year-on-year [3][10] - The industry is navigating challenges posed by low interest rates, stringent regulations, and new accounting standards, which present both risks and strategic opportunities for structural adjustments [2][10] Asset Management - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total investment balance of insurance companies surpassed 36 trillion yuan, marking a 17.4% increase year-on-year [3] - Bonds remain the primary investment choice for insurance funds, with a bond investment balance of 17.87 trillion yuan, while stock investments have also gained traction, reaching over 3 trillion yuan [4] Premium Income and Claims - The insurance sector's original premium income for the first half of 2025 reached 3.7 trillion yuan, with significant contributions from life insurance products such as dividend, annuity, and health insurance [3][6] - Claims and benefits paid by insurance companies amounted to 1.3 trillion yuan, reflecting a 9% increase, indicating a deepening of the insurance protection function [6][10] Solvency and Regulatory Environment - The overall solvency adequacy ratio for the insurance industry stood at 204.5% as of Q2 2025, well above regulatory requirements [8] - The regulatory environment remains challenging, with some smaller insurers facing capital and investment management weaknesses, necessitating innovation in capital supplementation and diversified asset allocation [10] Strategic Moves by Companies - Companies like China Ping An have actively increased their stakes in banks and other financial institutions, reflecting a strategic focus on long-term value recognition [5] - The industry is increasingly exploring diversified investment strategies, including the establishment of private equity funds to enhance asset allocation [5][9]