证券代码：601111 股票简称：中国国航 公告编号：2025-059 中国国际航空股份有限公司 2025年11月主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 2025 年 11 月，中国国际航空股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）及所属 子公司（以下简称"本集团"）合并旅客周转量（按收入客公里计）同比上升。 客运运力投入（按可用座位公里计）同比上升 4.9%，旅客周转量同比上升 10.1%。 其中，国内客运运力投入同比上升 3.9%，旅客周转量同比上升 7.5%；国际客运 运力投入同比上升 8.1%，旅客周转量同比上升 17.4%；地区客运运力投入同比 下降 3.5%，旅客周转量同比上升 3.0%。平均客座率 83.3%，同比上升 4.0 个百 分点。其中，国内航线同比上升 2.9 个百分点，国际航线同比上升 6.4 个百分点， 地区航线同比上升 4.9 个百分点。 货运方面，货运运力投入（按可用货运吨公里计）同比上升 1.4%，货邮周 转量（按收入货运吨公里计）同比上升 4.4%。货运载运率为 39.5% ...

格隆汇12月15日丨中国国航(601111.SH)公布，2025年11月，本公司及所属子公司合并旅客周转量（按 收入客公里计）同比上升。客运运力投入（按可用座位公里计）同比上升4.9%，旅客周转量同比上升 10.1%。其中，国内客运运力投入同比上升3.9%，旅客周转量同比上升7.5%；国际客运运力投入同比上 升8.1%，旅客周转量同比上升17.4%；地区客运运力投入同比下降3.5%，旅客周转量同比上升3.0%。平 均客座率83.3%，同比上升4.0个百分点。其中，国内航线同比上升2.9个百分点，国际航线同比上升6.4 个百分点，地区航线同比上升4.9个百分点。 货运方面，货运运力投入（按可用货运吨公里计）同比上升1.4%，货邮周转量（按收入货运吨公里 计）同比上升4.4%。货运载运率为39.5%，同比上升1.1个百分点。 2025年11月，本集团共引进5架A320系列飞机和2架C919飞机。截至2025年11月底，本集团合计运营956 架飞机，其中自有飞机419架，融资租赁243架，经营租赁294架。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines (601111.SH) reported an increase in passenger turnover and capacity for November 2025, indicating a positive trend in both domestic and international travel demand [1] Passenger Operations - The group's consolidated passenger turnover (measured in revenue passenger kilometers) increased by 10.1% year-on-year [1] - Passenger capacity (measured in available seat kilometers) rose by 4.9% year-on-year [1] - Domestic passenger capacity increased by 3.9%, with a corresponding turnover increase of 7.5% [1] - International passenger capacity saw an 8.1% increase, with turnover rising by 17.4% [1] - Regional passenger capacity decreased by 3.5%, while turnover increased by 3.0% [1] - The average passenger load factor reached 83.3%, up by 4.0 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Domestic routes saw a load factor increase of 2.9 percentage points, international routes increased by 6.4 percentage points, and regional routes increased by 4.9 percentage points [1] Cargo Operations - Cargo capacity (measured in available cargo ton kilometers) increased by 1.4% year-on-year [1] - Cargo and mail turnover (measured in revenue cargo ton kilometers) rose by 4.4% year-on-year [1] - The cargo load factor was 39.5%, up by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from China National Airlines indicates a significant increase in passenger turnover and capacity for the year 2025, reflecting a positive trend in both domestic and international travel demand [1] Group 1: Passenger Operations - The group's consolidated passenger turnover increased by 10.1% year-on-year [1] - Passenger capacity input rose by 4.9% year-on-year [1] - Domestic passenger capacity input increased by 3.9%, with a corresponding turnover increase of 7.5% [1] - International passenger capacity input saw an 8.1% rise, leading to a 17.4% increase in turnover [1] - Regional passenger capacity input decreased by 3.5%, while turnover still rose by 3.0% [1] - The average passenger load factor reached 83.3%, up by 4.0 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2: Cargo Operations - Cargo capacity input increased by 1.4% year-on-year [1] - Cargo and mail turnover rose by 4.4% year-on-year [1] - The cargo load factor was reported at 39.5%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]

人民财讯12月15日电，中国国航（601111）12月15日公告，2025年11月集团合并旅客周转量(按收入客 公里计)同比上升。客运运力投入(按可用座位公里计)同比上升4.9%，旅客周转量同比上升10.1%。平均 客座率83.3%，同比上升4.0个百分点。 ...

Group 1: Aviation Industry - The aviation sector is expected to enter a super cycle, driven by high passenger load factors and low ticket prices, with demand growth anticipated to boost profitability by 2026 [1] - Recent public and business demand has shown recovery, with ticket prices increasing year-on-year due to the release of suppressed demand from the summer season [1] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the need for state-owned enterprises to resist "involution" competition, which may enhance revenue management and profitability in the aviation sector [1] Group 2: Oil Transportation - Oil transportation rates remain high, with the VLCC TCE maintaining around $120,000, driven by increased global oil production and limited effective supply due to aging tankers [2] - The outlook for oil transportation is positive, with expectations of demand growth exceeding forecasts, despite potential short-term impacts from seasonal fluctuations [2] - The U.S. has intensified sanctions on shadow fleets, which may further support the upward trend in oil transportation rates [2] Group 3: Airport Duty-Free - Shanghai Airport has announced a new duty-free contract model, shifting to a fixed fee plus actual sales commission, which may stabilize or enhance duty-free revenue [3] - The introduction of competition between domestic and international duty-free operators is expected to drive sales growth and improve pricing competitiveness [3] - The new contract structure and competitive environment are likely to incentivize duty-free operators, potentially leading to increased operational enthusiasm [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Market Outlook**: The Chinese market is expected to enter a transformation bull market, with a forecasted peak before the Spring Festival, driven by improved market liquidity due to reallocation and institutional fund inflows [1][3] - **Fiscal Policy**: Anticipated fiscal deficit rate for next year is around 4%, with a total scale of approximately 5.9 trillion RMB, including local government special bonds estimated at 4.6-4.8 trillion RMB [1][6] - **Monetary Policy**: The People's Bank of China is likely to cut interest rates early next year to stabilize the economy and support price recovery [1][7] Key Sectors and Investment Recommendations - **Technology and Growth Sectors**: Strong recommendations for emerging technology sectors, including internet, media, computing, and AI-related fields, as well as financial sectors like brokerage and insurance [1][10] - **Cyclical Industries**: Positive outlook on cyclical products such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, steel, and building materials [1][11] - **Aviation Industry**: Recovery in demand for the aviation sector with rising ticket prices; expected continued growth in demand next year, with low fleet growth on the supply side [1][13] - **Shipping Industry**: The oil shipping sector is projected to reach a ten-year high in Q4, driven by unexpected demand growth from increased crude oil production [2][14] Specific Company Insights - **Aviation Companies**: Positive outlook on companies like Air China, Juneyao Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines due to expected demand growth and improved profitability [1][13] - **Shipping Companies**: Recommendations for COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and China Ship Leasing based on favorable market conditions [2][14] - **Chemical Sector**: Companies with cost advantages and improving bottom-line performance, such as Hualu Hengsheng and Huafon Chemical, are recommended [2][19] Additional Insights - **Consumer Behavior**: The expansion of the "old-for-new" policy is expected to stimulate durable goods consumption, with an increase in the budget from 300 billion to 350 billion RMB [1][6] - **Market Dynamics**: Historical data suggests that early adjustments in December can lead to an earlier start for the spring market rally [1][8] - **Investment Strategy**: Focus on sectors with strong fundamentals and potential for valuation shifts, particularly in export, global manufacturing expansion, and AI [1][9] Conclusion - The overall sentiment is optimistic for the Chinese market in 2026, with a focus on technology and cyclical sectors as key investment opportunities. The anticipated policy changes and market dynamics are expected to support growth across various industries, particularly aviation and shipping.

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that during the "Black Friday" shopping season, Jitu Express achieved a record high in daily collection volume in Brazil, and the first domestically produced heavy-duty eVTOL successfully completed its maiden flight [2][3] - In shipping, crude oil freight rates have declined from high levels, while freight rates on long-distance routes have shown mixed trends [3][15] - The report notes that the domestic logistics market is experiencing significant growth, particularly in emerging markets [3][25] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates have decreased, with the China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) reported at 2324.92 points, a slight increase of 0.1% from December 4 [3][15] - The first domestically produced heavy-duty eVTOL, AR-E800, successfully completed its maiden flight, marking a significant milestone in China's aviation industry [3][17] - Jitu Express reported a record high in daily collection volume in Brazil during the "Black Friday" shopping season, reflecting strong growth in logistics operations [3][25] High-Frequency Dynamic Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year [29] - In October 2025, the express delivery business volume increased by 7.90% year-on-year, with revenue rising by 4.70% [56] - The shipping market has shown mixed trends, with the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) reported at 1506.46 points, a week-on-week increase of 7.79% but a year-on-year decrease of 36.82% [43] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies such as COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - It also highlights investment opportunities in low-altitude economy sectors, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - The report emphasizes the potential in the express delivery sector, recommending companies like SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [5]

Macro Research - The overall policy tone is moderate, with a lowered evaluation of external risks, emphasizing short-term domestic demand expansion and long-term internal capability building [3][4] - The macro policy for 2026 is expected to maintain a positive tone without excessive stimulus, focusing on "counter-cyclical" and "cross-cyclical" adjustments [3][4] Strategy Research - The market is anticipated to become more active, with a "transformation bull" market expected to rise after a prolonged period of sideways movement, particularly in technology, brokerage, insurance, and consumer sectors [2][8] - The cross-year offensive has begun, with a more optimistic outlook compared to market consensus, as the central economic work conference emphasizes consolidating and expanding economic stability [8][34] Food and Beverage Research - The dairy sector is expected to see a stabilization in raw milk prices, with a strong upward trend anticipated in 2026 due to reduced supply-side expansion and increased demand from processing capacity [11][12] - The beef cycle is expected to continue, with profitability elasticity for livestock companies anticipated due to the resonance of meat and milk cycles [11][12]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the transportation industry [7]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is experiencing a rebound in public and business demand, with expectations for ticket price profitability to rise by 2026, suggesting a strategic investment during this super cycle [3][7]. - In the oil shipping sector, freight rates remain high, and the potential impact of Russia-Ukraine negotiations is expected to be limited, indicating a positive outlook for future market conditions [3][7]. - The airport duty-free segment anticipates increased competition among leading domestic and foreign companies, which is expected to drive growth in sales [3][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Aviation - Recent recovery in public and business demand is noted, with a focus on state-owned enterprises reducing "involution" competition. The aviation sector entered a traditional off-peak season from September, with public and business demand being a key factor influencing ticket prices. Ticket prices have shown a year-on-year increase due to the release of suppressed demand from the summer travel season [7]. - The report forecasts that by December, public and business passenger flow will increase, with ticket prices expected to continue rising year-on-year, although the growth rate may narrow. The report anticipates a significant reduction in losses by Q4 2025, with a full-year turnaround expected [7]. - Recommendations include major airlines such as Air China, Juneyao Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [7]. Oil Shipping - Freight rates are expected to maintain a high level, with the impact of U.S. sanctions on shadow fleets being a significant factor. The report highlights that recent increases in oil production from the Middle East and South America have driven VLCC TCE rates to rise, with Q4 2025 profits projected to reach a ten-year high [7]. - The report suggests that while seasonal factors may affect short-term freight rates, the overall upward trend for the year remains intact. The global increase in oil production is expected to drive demand for oil shipping beyond expectations [7]. - Recommended companies in this sector include COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, China Merchants Jinling, and China Ship Leasing [7]. Airport Duty-Free - The report discusses a new round of duty-free contract adjustments at Shanghai Airport, anticipating that competition among leading domestic and foreign companies will drive sales growth. The new bidding results indicate a shift in the contract model, which may stabilize or enhance airport duty-free revenues [7]. - The introduction of foreign competitors and a revised commission structure are expected to improve the operational enthusiasm of duty-free operators, potentially leading to increased sales [7]. - Recommendations include Shanghai Airport and Beijing Capital International Airport [7].