股 票 研 具身模型 Pi 06 鲁棒性大幅提升，国内人 形初创百亿估值俱乐部增加至 6 家 机器人行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 李启文(分析师) | 021-38038435 | liqiwen@gtht.com | S0880524060001 | 本报告导读： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 究 行 业 Pi 最新的具身智能基础模型 Pi 06 在洗衣与打包场景中取得优异成绩， 英伟达 DreamDojo 破除机器人实操训练数据不足瓶颈，千寻智能、智平 方、因时机器人等多家具身智能企业完成大额融资。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 机器人《阿里、小米相继发布开源具身智能大模 型，人形机器人"大脑"有望突破》2026.02.22 机器人《春晚上的机器人：技术跃迁与产业拐 点》2026.02.21 机器人《马斯克将 Optimus 上升至星级 ...

消息面上，IDC数据显示，2025年全球人形机器人出货量达17700台。智元机器人估值约150亿元，宇树 科技估值约120亿元，银河通用估值约200亿元。越疆机器人在全球部署的机器人数量已超过10万台。智 平方在一年内累计完成12轮融资，千寻智能则强调其从单纯销售硬件转向输出全栈技术能力的商业模 式。 截至9：35，国证机器人产业指数（980022）跌0.85%，成分股中，中大力德涨0.89%、昊志机电跌 2.72%、克来机电跌2.4%，绿的谐波跌2.3%。截至2月26日，机器人产业指数近三月上涨12.24%。 相关产品： 资金方面，机器人ETF易方达（159530）跟踪国证机器人产业指数，近5日"吸金"超2.4亿，近20日"吸 金"超10亿；最新基金规模攀升至176.04亿，为跟踪国证机器人指数的ETF中，唯一规模破百亿元的产 品。 招商证券指出，人形机器人集中亮相，成春晚新主角。相关技术极速进化，将进入政策密集支持阶段。 春晚内容通常能反映当下产业政策的导向，今年突显科技春晚主题，安排机器人参演的数量明显增加 (去年只有宇树一家)，体现国家对人形机器人产业做大做强的决心，当前类似新能源汽车产业链的初始 阶 ...

2026年央视春晚舞台上，宇树科技股份有限公司(以下简称"宇树科技")人形机器人以一连串突破极限的 高难度动作惊艳全球，成为当晚科技环节中当之无愧的主角之一。 而在这场精彩的机器人表演背后，是浙江机器人产业链多年深耕的厚积薄发，也是浙江"杭甬引领、全 省配套、整零协同"机器人产业生态逐步成熟的生动体现。 如今，浙江已构建起"杭甬整机引领+各地零部件协同"的产业格局，以杭州、宁波为核心，辐射温州、 绍兴、台州等城市，形成覆盖整机研发、核心部件制造、算法支撑、场景应用的全链条生态。 商业化进程提速 春晚不仅是企业技术实力的展示窗口，更是产业发展的"催化剂"，助推浙江机器人产业加速商业化落 地。 产业链协同发力 作为浙江机器人产业的标杆企业，宇树科技的春晚进阶之路，堪称行业技术迭代的生动缩影。2021年， 其四足机器人登台表演，让大众首次直观感受到机器人的舞台魅力；2025年，宇树科技机器人身着东北 花袄扭秧歌、转手绢，还完成了高难度空翻动作；今年，宇树科技"以武会春"，其人形机器人实现了全 球首次单脚连续空翻、两步蹬墙后空翻、Airflare大回旋七周半等高难度动作，将人形机器人的运动极 限推向新高度。 中国民营 ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - In 2023, the market discussed a peak of 16 trillion yuan in "excess savings," with approximately 76-77 trillion yuan of residential time deposits maturing in 2026, indicating a historical peak[5] - The maturing deposits in the first quarter of 2026 are expected to reach 32-34 trillion yuan, highlighting a significant seasonal pattern[6] - The actual pressure from maturing deposits is limited, with a year-on-year increase of 9.6-10.8 trillion yuan in 2026, corresponding to a growth rate of 14.4%-16.3%, which is lower than the 17.7% growth rate in 2025[6] Group 2: Interest Rate and Asset Allocation - Approximately 25 trillion yuan of high-interest deposits are set to mature, with 32% of the total maturing deposits being two years or older, indicating a core pressure for renewal[6] - The renewal rate for deposits in 2025 remained close to 90%, suggesting that low interest rates do not automatically trigger a shift in risk appetite among residents[7] - The anticipated migration of deposits to other assets is expected to occur slowly and in a dispersed manner, with a potential 10% outflow rate from the 77 trillion yuan in time deposits being a marginal pricing variable for equity and bond markets[7] Group 3: Trade and Tariff Impacts - As of November 2025, the effective tariff rate in the U.S. reached 9.8%, the highest since 1946, with China facing the highest actual tariff rate of 30.9%[9] - The actual tariff increases have significantly impacted trade dynamics, with China and India experiencing the largest increases in effective tariffs compared to 2024, at 20.2 and 17.3 percentage points respectively[10] - Despite tariff pressures, China's export position remains robust, maintaining the largest share of global exports, while the U.S. has shifted its import structure towards North America and Europe[11] Group 4: Economic Recovery and Consumer Behavior - The Chinese economy is shifting focus towards domestic demand as a long-term strategy, with consumer spending projected to account for 56.6% of GDP by 2024, still below developed economies[39] - Consumer confidence is stabilizing, with improvements in disposable income growth and a reduction in the crowding-out effect of precautionary savings on consumption[40] - The recovery in domestic demand is supported by a reasonable rise in prices, which is expected to stimulate consumption and improve corporate profitability[40]

| 国泰海通证券 | | --- | | GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES | 目 录 | | 每日报告精选（2026-02-13 09:00——2026-02-24 15:00） 3 | | | --- | --- | --- | |  | 宏观专题：《有多少存款：可供"搬家"》2026-02-22 3 | | |  | 宏观专题：《关税一周年：全球贸易重塑的"真相"》2026-02-22 3 | | |  | 宏观周报：《春节期间：海外有何变化》2026-02-22 4 | | |  | 宏观周报：《新春经济温和修复》2026-02-22 5 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《特朗普关税被否：后续如何演绎》2026-02-21 5 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《"K 型分化"的边际收敛》2026-02-21 6 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《超级核心通胀压力仍存》2026-02-14 7 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《M2 增速：创新高的背后》2026-02-14 8 | | |  | 策略专题报告：《中国股市上升的关键动力三：中国内需提振的"有力转折"》2 ...

Core Insights - The micro gear industry in China is characterized by precision components with a module size of 0.01–1.0mm and an outer diameter typically less than 10mm, widely used in MEMS, wearable devices, and medical instruments [1][6] - The market price for micro gears stabilized at 2.8 yuan per unit in Q2 2025, influenced by product specifications and application scenarios, with demand recovery in consumer electronics supporting mid-to-low-end product prices [6][8] - The industry exhibits a "head concentration and polarization" pattern, with leading companies capturing 68% of the high-end market through advanced manufacturing and technology [8][10] Industry Overview - Micro gears are essential for power transmission, speed regulation, and torque conversion in compact spaces, directly impacting the stability and lifespan of end devices [1] - The industry is experiencing a shift towards green manufacturing and compliance as new requirements emerge [6] Market Dynamics - The demand for high-precision gears is driven by sectors such as medical robotics and high-end servo systems, while mid-to-low-end products benefit from a recovery in consumer electronics [6][8] - Major players like Zhaowei Electromechanical and Fengli Intelligent leverage their technological advantages to dominate high-value markets, while smaller manufacturers face intensified competition in the low-end sector [8][10] Competitive Landscape - Leading companies in the micro gear industry include: - Bewei Electromechanical, focusing on micro transmission systems and precision reducers for automotive electronics and medical devices, with an annual production capacity exceeding 800,000 units [10] - Main Intelligent, specializing in small module gears and precision reducers, with a planned capacity of 140,000 sets per year across production bases in Malaysia and Vietnam [10] - Zhongdali De, emphasizing high-precision micro gear manufacturing with over 90% transmission efficiency, targeting industrial robots and new energy applications [10] - Shuanghuan Transmission, which has developed a hard tooth surface grinding process to break foreign monopolies [10] Future Outlook - The industry is expected to continue evolving with a focus on technological advancements and market demand shifts, as indicated by ongoing research and analysis from industry experts [10][25]

国泰海通晨报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【宏观研究】：春节期间，特朗普关税被判定违法，以及美伊军事冲突风险升温对全球资产价 格带来扰动，原油与黄金均有所上涨。美国经济韧性仍存，通胀回落进展或将较为颠簸，部分联 储官员提及加息可能。未来仍需关注特朗普关税政策的不确定性扰动。 2、【策略研究】：中国经济工作的重心正转向内需主导，并作为首要任务，内需复苏、物价回升 与地产企稳会推动经济预期上修。目前内需板块预期与交易出清，相信价值也会有春天。 3、【固定收益研究】：经济复苏节奏延续温和，呵护债市偏多环境，但需关注海外风险偏好回升 带来的扰动。 4、【纺织服装研究】纺织服装业：我们认为①截至 2.12 日的美棉周度出口放量、②2.19 日发布的 美国农业展望论坛明确新棉季全球供需收紧基调、③近期美国与东南亚国家关税互惠政策等多重 积极边际变化夯实美棉筑底并逐步打开中长期向上空间的趋势，持续重点推荐百隆东方、关注相 关标的天虹国际集团。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweix ...

Group 1 - Industry investment rating: Buy [2] - Core viewpoint: The humanoid robot industry has made significant advancements, as showcased during the 2026 Spring Festival Gala, highlighting the capabilities of domestic manufacturers in various applications [6][6][6] - Investment suggestion: The humanoid robot sector is well-prepared for mass production, with expected exponential growth in product delivery in 2026 compared to 2025 [6] Group 2 - Key company performance: The Spring Festival Gala led to a 150% increase in robot orders, with a surge in search volume and customer inquiries [6] - Notable company showcases: Multiple companies demonstrated their robots' capabilities, including 松延动力's elderly care applications, 宇树科技's high-dynamic control, and 魔法原子’s group control of 100 robots [6] - Recommended companies for investment: Focus on 恒立液压, 浙江荣泰, and others for specific components like planetary roller screws and dexterous motors [6]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival Gala showcased a high density of robotics and AI technologies, marking a significant transformation in the integration of these technologies into mainstream entertainment and their potential commercial applications [2][4][25]. Robotics Showcase - The Spring Festival Gala featured a record number of robotics performances, with companies like Yushutech, Songyan Power, Magic Atom, and Galaxy General demonstrating significant advancements in humanoid robotics through various forms of entertainment [3][12]. - Yushutech's performance included high-difficulty martial arts routines with their humanoid robots G1 and H2, showcasing unprecedented dynamic coordination and cluster control technology [5][7]. - Songyan Power's humanoid robots performed in a skit, achieving a high level of realism in facial expressions and movements, which was a result of intensive development over 30 days [12][14]. - Magic Atom and Galaxy General also contributed to the gala with innovative performances, including a unique stunt by Magic Atom's robot and practical tasks by Galaxy General's robot [15]. AI Integration - The AI presence at the gala reached an all-time high, with ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 model being a key technological component, enabling real-time generation of visuals during performances [18][21]. - The Ant Group's AI health application, Aifu, gained significant attention, reflecting a growing trend of integrating health management technology into everyday life [21]. Broader Technological Landscape - The gala highlighted advancements in various technological sectors, including embodied intelligence, renewable energy, and low-altitude economy, presenting a comprehensive view of China's technological progress [24]. - Companies like Chasing Technology and Huawei showcased their innovations, with Huawei's Mate 80 Pro Max being the first mobile device to integrate with a broadcast-level transmission system for the gala [24]. Market Implications - The visibility of robotics companies like Yushutech and Songyan Power at the gala has sparked interest in their respective stocks and the broader market, focusing on their IPO progress and production capabilities [25]. - Analysts noted that the gala served as a "super roadshow" for Chinese tech companies, emphasizing the importance of translating stage technology into practical products for sustained competitive advantage [25].

Group 1 - Zhongda Lide's stock increased by 5.26% to 86.87 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 569 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.43%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 17.072 billion CNY [1] - Zhongda Lide, established on August 28, 2006, and listed on August 29, 2017, specializes in the research, production, sales, and service of key components in the mechanical transmission and control application fields [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes: intelligent execution units (38.49%), reduction motors (37.00%), precision reducers (22.41%), other (1.30%), and accessories (0.80%) [1] Group 2 - Huaxia Fund's Huaxia Zhongzheng Robot ETF (562500) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Zhongda Lide, having increased its holdings by 606,000 shares to a total of 3.2417 million shares, representing 1.65% of circulating shares [2] - The Huaxia Zhongzheng Robot ETF was established on December 17, 2021, with a latest scale of 26.465 billion CNY, yielding 6.15% this year, ranking 2460 out of 5569 in its category, and 18.11% over the past year, ranking 3206 out of 4295 [2] - The fund manager of Huaxia Zhongzheng Robot ETF is Hualong, who has been in position for 3 years and 177 days, with a total fund asset scale of 39.451 billion CNY, achieving a best return of 177.18% and a worst return of -15.08% during the tenure [3]