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央行重磅发声!事关降准降息
Wind万得· 2026-03-06 07:51
十四届全国人大四次会议3月6日下午3时举行经济主题记者会。央行行长潘功胜在记者会上表示, 今年 将灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具。 潘功胜表示,将根据经济金融形势的变化和宏观经济的运行情况,引导和调控好利率水平,促进社会综 合融资成本低位运行,强化利率政策执行和监督,对于一些不合理的、容易消减货币政策传导效果的市 场行为加强规范,要求银行向企业明确展示贷款的年化综合融资成本,规范融资中间费。 潘功胜指出,目前我国货币政策采用数量型和价格型调控并行的方式,未来将逐步淡化数量型中介目 标,把金融总量更多作为观测性、参考性、预期性指标,为更好发挥利率调控的作用创造条件。 点" 阅读原文 ",申请Wind金融终端 ACHA T(Ali ce chat) 千亿级参数智能模型, 能理解复杂金融概念 20年金融数据沉淀,分析能力媲美行业专家 手机和电脑实时联动,确保随时随地高效响应 为用户提供智能化的工作新体验 潘功胜还表示,今年以来人民币对美元汇率有所升值,与我国经济持续向好、美元指数走弱、企业季节 性结汇等都有关。目前人民币对美元双边的汇率水平处于这些年来的中值区间, 中国没有必要也无意 通过汇率贬值获取贸易竞 ...
一页纸精读行业比较数据:2月:策略月报
Guoxin Securities· 2026-02-27 03:15
Investment Chain - Non-ferrous metal prices have risen since February 2026, with fixed asset investment growth in December 2025 declining to -3.80%[1] - Real estate development investment in December 2025 saw a year-on-year decline of 17.20%[1] - Manufacturing fixed asset investment growth in December 2025 decreased to 0.60%[1] - Infrastructure investment growth in December 2025 fell to -1.48%[1] Consumption Chain - In December 2025, the nominal year-on-year growth rate of social consumption fell to 0.90%, with a cumulative decline of 3.70%[2] - The consumer confidence index in December 2025 dropped to 89.50[2] - In January 2026, automobile sales saw a year-on-year growth rate increase to -3.18%[2] - Home appliance retail sales in December 2025 experienced a year-on-year decline of 14.25%[2] Export Chain - In December 2025, exports to Japan and ASEAN saw a year-on-year growth increase, while exports to the US and EU declined[3] - The export growth rate for electronic products in December 2025 rose to 37.25%[3] - Textile export value in December 2025 decreased by 4.23% year-on-year[3] - Mechanical export value in December 2025 increased by 6.60% year-on-year[3] Price Chain - As of February 2026, the price of pork decreased to 12.75 yuan/kg[4] - WTI crude oil price increased to $65.63 per barrel on February 24, 2026[4] - PVC spot price rose to 4770 yuan/ton on February 24, 2026[4] - The average price of coal in Qinhuangdao increased in February 2026[4]
人民币对美元汇率创34个月来新高 后市怎么走?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 11:51
央广网北京2月26日消息(记者 冯方)节后首周,人民币对美元汇率延续节前偏强走势。2月26日,在 岸人民币对美元汇率盘中升破6.84关口,离岸人民币对美元盘中升破6.83关口,均刷新2023年4月以来高 点。今年以来,人民币对欧元、英镑、日元等国际主要货币呈双向波动走势,对美元则快速升值,主要 原因有哪些?今年人民币汇率走势将受哪些因素影响? 多重因素支撑人民币对美元汇率走强 Wind数据显示,春节假期后的三个交易日,在岸人民币对美元汇率连续快速上涨,创2023年4月以来新 高。2月26日,在岸人民币对美元盘中一度升破6.84关口,16时30分收盘报6.8397,较上一交易日上涨 275个基点。离岸人民币对美元在春节期间短暂调整后,也在本周迎来连续上涨,2月26日盘中升破6.83 关口,最高触及6.82665。 "总体上,人民币对美元汇率延续了2025年4月中旬以来的补涨行情。"中银证券全球首席经济学家管涛 对央广财经记者分析称,近期人民币对美元升值加速主要有以下支撑因素:第一,1月中旬以来美元指 数冲高回落,延续了2025年开启的弱势调整;第二,当地时间2月20日,美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府 大规模关税政策 ...
人民币对美元中间价报6.9228,升值93个基点
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-26 01:57
北京商报讯(记者 刘四红)2月26日,人民币对美元中间价报6.9228,调升93个基点。前一交易日中间价报6.9321。 | AMHAA | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 可售期房统计 | | 2026 年1月预售许可 | | 2026/2/25J | | 可售房屋套数: | 93130 | 7 批准预售许可证: | | 网上认购: | | 可售房屋面积(M²): 7679533.0200 | | 批准预售面积(M2):104566.1800 | | 网上认购面积( | | 其中 | 38829 | 其中 住宅套数: | 685 | 其中 住宅: | | 面积(M2): 5423098.6600 | | 面积(M²): | 99954.5700 | 面积( | | 商业单元: | 227 | 商业单元: | 0 | 图川 | | 面积(M²): 167506.8100 | | 面积(M²): | 0.0000 | 面积( | | 办公单元: | 551 | 办公单元: | 0 | 办公! | | 面积(M²): 529967.3500 | | 面积(M2) ...
在岸、离岸人民币对美元汇率分别升破6.89、6.88关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 09:04
春节假期后的首个交易日,人民币对美元汇率在在岸和离岸市场分别升破6.89和6.88关口,创下2023年4月下旬以来的34个月新高。 离岸市场上,更多反映国际投资者预期的离岸人民币对美元汇率2月24日盘中升破6.88关口,同样创下2023年4月下旬以来的新高。 2月24日,人民币对美元即期汇率盘中升破6.89关口,16时30分收于6.8849,较上一交易日上涨265点,日间收盘价创下2023年4月下旬以来的新 高。进入夜盘交易时间,人民币对美元即期汇率进一步走强,截至发稿,盘中最高升至6.8805。 中间价方面,2月24日,人民币对美元中间价报6.9414,较上一交易日调贬16个基点。 ...
人民币对美元中间价调贬16个基点报6.9414
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-24 01:58
截至当日9时40分,在岸人民币对美元汇率报6.8970,日内升值0.04%;离岸人民币对美元汇率报 6.8938,日内贬值0.06%。 北京商报讯(记者 董晗萱)2月24日,人民币对美元中间价调贬16个基点,报6.9414。前一交易日中间 价报6.9398。 ...
人民币对美元近期走强与未来前景|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2026-02-17 13:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the projected trends of the RMB against the USD, indicating a weak start in 2025 followed by a strengthening phase, with expectations of surpassing the 7.0 mark by year-end and continuing strong into early 2026. Key drivers include a weakening USD, strong economic fundamentals in China, policy guidance, and corporate behaviors [1][3]. Summary by Sections RMB to USD Exchange Rate Trends for 2025 and Early 2026 - The RMB is expected to experience three phases in 2025: a pressure period from January to April, a rebound from April to July, and a strengthening phase from July to December. The onshore RMB fell to 7.35 and the offshore RMB dropped below 7.4 during the pressure period. The rebound saw the RMB rise to 7.16 due to easing trade tensions and a 9% drop in the USD index. By year-end, the RMB surpassed the 7.0 mark, with early 2026 seeing both onshore and offshore RMB break 6.9, marking a new high since April 2023. The RMB appreciated approximately 4% against the USD over the year, while it depreciated 3.5% against a basket of currencies [2][3][5]. Key Factors Driving RMB Strength Against USD - The weakening of the USD is a primary factor, with the Federal Reserve cutting rates three times in late 2025, totaling 75 basis points, leading to a 9.7% decline in the USD index. China's economic fundamentals remain robust, with a record trade surplus of $1.19 trillion in 2025, driving corporate demand for currency exchange. Additionally, foreign capital inflow into A-shares exceeded 150 billion yuan. Policy measures from the central bank, including adjustments to the midpoint rate, have also supported the RMB's appreciation. Corporate behaviors, such as increased willingness to exchange currency due to RMB appreciation, have created a positive feedback loop [4][5]. Future Outlook for RMB to USD Exchange Rate - In the short term, a moderate appreciation of the RMB is anticipated, with many institutions predicting it could reach 6.8 in 2026. Supporting factors include the continuation of the Fed's rate cuts and strong performance in China's economy, particularly in technology and exports. However, potential risks include a rebound in US inflation, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and pressures on Chinese exports. Despite these challenges, the actual effective exchange rate remains low, which may mitigate some impacts. In the long term, a dual-directional fluctuation is expected, with the central bank aiming to maintain a stable exchange rate at a reasonable level. Companies are advised to focus on their core businesses and utilize hedging tools to manage risks [6][7][8].
在岸、离岸人民币对美元汇率升破6.9,影响几何?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-02-12 17:17
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Yuan (RMB) has been appreciating against the US Dollar, breaking significant thresholds and reaching its highest level since May 4, 2023, driven by improved Sino-US trade relations and external economic conditions [1][2]. Exchange Rate Dynamics - On February 12, 2023, the onshore RMB opened at 6.9083 against the USD, peaking at 6.8998, while the offshore RMB reached 6.8964, both marking new highs since May 4, 2023 [1]. - The People's Bank of China set the mid-point exchange rate at 6.9457 RMB per USD, a slight depreciation of 19 basis points from the previous day [1]. Influencing Factors - The RMB's strength is attributed to the stabilization of Sino-US economic relations since November 2025 and a recent criminal investigation into the Federal Reserve Chairman, which has pressured the USD [1][2]. - Increased corporate demand for currency exchange towards the year-end is also contributing to the seasonal strengthening of the RMB, particularly following high export growth [2]. Short-term Outlook - The RMB is expected to remain strong in the short term, supported by continued export growth and high market sentiment, with limited potential for a significant rebound in the USD index [2]. Long-term Considerations - Over the year, the RMB's exchange rate will be influenced by the USD's performance, changes in external trade environments, and domestic growth policies [2][3]. - Potential depreciation pressures on the RMB may arise due to the anticipated stabilization of the USD index in 2026 and the impact of the Federal Reserve's new policies [2][3]. Impact on Trade and Residents - The current appreciation of the RMB is not expected to significantly impact export businesses, although it may affect their exchange rate gains [3]. - For residents, a stronger RMB reduces the cost of currency exchange, benefiting expenses related to travel and education abroad [3]. Policy Implications - The RMB's appreciation provides more flexibility for domestic monetary policy adjustments, potentially easing constraints on interest rate cuts [4]. - The attractiveness of RMB assets may increase due to the currency's appreciation, although the impact on cross-border capital flows remains limited [5].
在岸、离岸人民币对美元汇率升破6.9,再创33个月新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 03:05
人民币对美元汇率升破6.90关口。 2月12日,人民币对美元即期汇率以6.9083开盘后走高,盘中升破6.90关口,截至发稿,盘中最高升至6.8998,创下2023年5月4日以来新高。 | < W | 美元兑人民币(CFETS) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | USDCNY.IB | | | | | | 6.9035 | | 前收 | 6.9115 | 开盘 | 6.9083 | | -0.0080 -0.12% | | 卖出 | 6.9034 | 买入 | 6.9033 | | 最高 | 6.9088 | 今年来。 | -1.22% | 20日 | -0.95% | | 最低 | 6.8998 | 10日 | -0.61% | 60日 | -2.94% | | 分时 | 五日 目K | | 周K | 目K | ■名 ○ | | 暨加 | | | | | | | 6.9228 | | | | | 0.16% | | 6.9115 | | | | | 0.00% | | 6.9002 9:30 | | | | | -0.16% | | | ...
人民币对美元中间价调升20个基点,报6.9438
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-11 02:10
截至当日9时40分,在岸人民币对美元汇率报6.9147,日内贬值0.02%;离岸人民币对美元汇率报 6.9143,日内贬值0.01%。 北京商报讯(记者 董晗萱)2月11日,人民币对美元中间价调升20个基点,报6.9438。前一交易日中间 价报6.9458。 ...