（原标题：和讯投顾任凌康:保险资金选股的鲜明特点） 各位朋友们，咱们接着深入聊聊上周市场的这两大看点，把背后的逻辑和未来的可能性掰扯清楚。? 先说说上周三天权重股拉升的事儿，这背后的核心推力其实就是保险资金的 "进场预期"。大家都知道，保险资金规模庞大，之前受限于考核制 度，在 A 股的投资比例一直没拉满，只用了 11% 左右，距离 25% 的上限还有很大空间。而最近保险新规对考核的放松，相当于给这笔 "巨量资 金" 松了绑。? 保险资金选股有个鲜明特点：盯着高净资产收益率、高股息率的大盘蓝筹股。像银行、保险、石油、有色这些板块，股息率能达到 5% 左右，刚 好契合它们对稳健收益的需求。从数据来看，保险资产总规模约 35 万亿，哪怕投资比例只提高 1 个点，就能带来 3500 亿增量资金；要是提高 10 个点，就是 3.5 万亿，这对权重股来说无疑是重磅利好。上周权重股的连续大涨，正是市场提前消化了这个预期，资金抢筹这些符合保险资金偏 好的标的，也就不难理解了。? 再看稀土板块，连续涨停的背后是供需两端的 "共振发力"。供给端，咱们国家贡献了全球 65% 的稀土产出，而美国、澳洲因为环保和放射性问 题，开工率 ...

范雨露 制图 截至一季度末，保险公司资金运用余额已达到34.93 万亿元，产寿险公司股票和证券投资基金余额4.47 万亿元。业内人士表示，以保险资金权益资产配置上限来看，还有很大入市空间 ◎记者 韩宋辉 财政部近日印发《关于引导保险资金长期稳健投资 进一步加强国有商业保险公司长周期考核的通知》 （下称《通知》），将国有商业保险公司经营效益类绩效评价指标"国有资本保值增值率"和"净资产收 益率"调整为"当年度指标+3年周期指标+5年周期指标"相结合的考核方式，并要求保险公司提高资产负 债管理水平，实现所有者权益稳定增长和国有金融资本保值增值，更好发挥保险资金长期资本、耐心资 本的"压舱石"作用。 受访人士认为，两类评价指标关系着财政部等主管单位对国有商业保险公司的考核，是国有商业保险公 司经营发展的重要"指挥棒"。《通知》将3年周期指标、5年周期指标纳入考核，标志着对国有商业保险 公司考核理念的根本性转变。这将推动国有商业保险公司内部建立与长周期考核相适应的管理机制，对 短期业绩表现给予更多包容度，促进保险资金当好耐心资本。 考核"指挥棒"改革 调整两类关键评价指标 国有商业保险公司评价体系改革已持续近两年。2 ...

又一利好市场的重磅政策出台。今日财政部印发《关于引导保险资金长期稳健投资 进一步加 强国有商业保险公司长周期考核的通知》（下称《通知》），引发资管机构热议。 制度之利 利在长远 怎样才能推动中长期资金入市，让资本市场更好地为利各方？ 在机构人士看来，制度的牵引和指导是关键。 在银华基金总经理王立新看来，此次财政部落实《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方 案》，印发《通知》，推动保险资金全面建立三年以上长周期考核机制，是一项很重要的制度 性突破。 "保险资金来源稳定，偿付周期长，长周期考核机制建立后，有助于降低保险资金对市场短期 波动的敏感性，敢于加大A股投资比例，并保持相对稳定，有望通过长期投资获取可观回报。 同时，保险资金投资行为的稳定，也将有效提高资本市场内在稳定性，有助于降低市场波动， 大幅优化资本市场投资生态，提升对各类资金的吸引力，强化资金与市场的良性互动。"王立 新表示。 广发证券认为，本次《通知》的出台，是对前期一系列推动保险资金入市政策的延续和落实， 为充分发挥保险资金长期投资的优势、实现"长钱长投"提供了制度保障。今年来，金融监管总 局等部门积极支持保险资金入市，上调部分保险公司权益类资产投 ...

5月30日，中国平安子公司平安资管宣布获批同意设立恒毅持盈(深圳)私募基金管理有限公司作为基金 管理人向平安人寿定向发行契约型私募证券投资基金，首期基金规模300亿元。该基金将聚焦"长期投 资、价值投资"的理念，重点布局符合政策导向和险资配置需要的优质上市公司，积极发挥保险资金耐 心资本的优势，助力我国资本市场高质量发展。 接受《金融时报》记者采访的业内保险业人士纷纷表示，4月份以来，参与保险资金长期投资试点的机 构正在加快推进项目的落地工作，综合看，在政策持续发力、市场回暖迹象增强的背景下，保险资金正 在以前所未有的速度进入资本市场。 允许保险公司设立私募证券投资基金是加大保险资金入市力度、进行长期投资的重要举措之一，自2023 年开启试点以来，保险资金长期投资改革试点规模持续扩大，待第三批600亿元批复完毕，总规模将增 加至2220亿元。这意味着除了已经投资落地的500亿元资金，还有1720亿元险资"长钱"正在进行入市前 的各项准备。 险企积极参与试点工作 记者从业内获悉，5月28日，由中国人寿和新华保险联合发起成立的鸿鹄基金二期已完成备案，这意味 着该基金有望于近期入市投资。 此前的5月16日，中国人寿 ...

Group 1 - Public funds have launched over 400 billion yuan in new funds this year, with 515 new funds established and a total issuance scale of 406.08 billion yuan as of May 29 [1] - Nearly 70% of A-share companies plan to distribute cash dividends, with 2,546 companies reporting a year-on-year increase in net profit [1] - Over 170 billion yuan of long-term insurance capital is accelerating into the market, indicating a growing demand for equity asset allocation [1] Group 2 - Jim Rogers has sold all his U.S. stocks and holds significant cash, expressing concerns about a potential crisis in the market [2] - Michael Burry has nearly liquidated his U.S. stock portfolio, retaining only Estée Lauder [2] - The emergence of AI agents is accelerating across various sectors, with expectations for a significant breakthrough by 2025, despite current challenges in development [2] Group 3 - In April, the net profit of 150 futures companies in China declined both year-on-year and month-on-month, with total revenue of 3.073 billion yuan and net profit of 785 million yuan [3] - The global smartphone shipment growth forecast for 2025 has been significantly reduced to 0.6% due to economic uncertainties and declining consumer spending [4] - China's shipbuilding industry continues to lead globally, with new orders accounting for a significant market share [4] Group 4 - Alibaba has open-sourced its innovative autonomous search AI agent, WebAgent, which can autonomously search and analyze information [5] - Nvidia's CEO plans to sell up to 6 million shares of the company, indicating potential changes in executive holdings [5] - Yushun Technology has changed its name to Hangzhou Yushun Technology Co., Ltd., sparking speculation about a potential IPO [5] Group 5 - Yongkun Gold has faced significant redemption issues, leading to investor complaints and legal actions, undermining its investment promises [6] - Rongda Hezhong plans to raise up to 220.8 million HKD through an IPO in Hong Kong [6] Group 6 - *ST Jinguang is facing mandatory delisting due to continuous false reporting in its annual reports, with trading suspended [8] - *ST Longyu's chairman has resigned due to personal reasons, with interim leadership established [8] Group 7 - Neta Auto's debt-to-equity swap plan has failed, leading to demands from investors for the removal of its CEO [9] - U.S. stock indices experienced slight gains, with mixed performance among major companies [9]

报告类型 股指日评 日期 2025 年 5 月 27 日 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(宏观国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 资料来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 1.2 后市展望： 外围市场方面，特朗普 23 日表示将从 6 月 1 日开始对来自欧盟的商品征收 50%的关税，而后 25 日表态称经欧盟请求将关税谈判期限延长至 7 月 9 日，美股 开盘跳水后有所回升。国内方面，一季度宏观数据展现一定韧性，且随着中美关 系缓和，二季度预期也有所修复，后续仍需观察内需的改善节奏与房地产修复情 请阅读正文后的声明 - 2 - 每日报告 一、行情回顾与后市展望 1.1 行情回顾： ...

负债端表现亮眼，公允价值变动影响下利润分化——保险 行业一季报业绩综述暨观点更新 20250513 摘要 • 2025 年一季度 A 股上市保险公司总投资收益同比下降 11%，主要受长端 利率上行和股票市场承压影响，公允价值变动损益同比减少 1,092 亿元， 但各公司择机兑现收益对冲了部分负面影响，投资收益科目同比提升 861.54 亿元。 • 2025 年一季度，A 股上市险企整体的保险服务业绩同比增长 27.5%，主 要由中国人寿带动，得益于之前亏损的保险合同转回和保障性产品赔付改 善。新会计准则下，应关注保险服务业绩而非仅关注投资业绩。 • 新会计准则落地后，各上市险企持续提升 FVOCI 股票和债券的占比，以实 现资产负债匹配和再平衡。截至去年末，中国人寿在 FVOCI 股票占比最高， 为 88%。 • 2025 年一季度寿险 NBV 增长表现分化明显，新华保险同比增长 67.9%，而中国人寿增速较低，为 4.8%。这种分化主要由新单增速分化 以及开门红期间压力较大导致。 Q&A 2025 年第一季度上市保险公司的整体业绩表现如何？有哪些值得关注的细分 板块？ 2025 年第一季度，上市保险公司的整 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy measures introduced by the National Financial Regulatory Administration are expected to significantly enhance the investment enthusiasm of insurance companies, potentially attracting more insurance funds into the market and stabilizing the capital market [1][3]. Group 1: Expansion of Long-term Investment Pilot - The scope of the long-term investment pilot for insurance funds will be further expanded, with an additional 60 billion yuan planned for approval to inject more capital into the market [2]. - As of now, the total approved and proposed scale of the long-term investment pilot has reached 222 billion yuan, with participation expanding from initial companies to include several major insurers [2][7]. - The first batch of 50 billion yuan from the pilot has been fully invested, and the second batch is currently being expedited [2]. Group 2: Adjustment of Investment Risk Factors - The regulatory authority will reduce the risk factor for stock investments by 10%, encouraging insurance companies to increase their market participation [4]. - Lowering the risk factor improves capital efficiency for insurance companies, allowing for a higher proportion of stock investments [4]. - Previous adjustments to risk factors have already been made, with significant reductions for investments in major indices and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [4]. Group 3: Increase in Equity Investment Proportion - The proportion of equity investments by insurance funds is expected to rise, as recent policies have optimized the investment environment [5][6]. - As of the end of 2024, the total balance of insurance company funds is projected to reach 33.26 trillion yuan, with an increase in stock allocation compared to the previous year [6]. - There remains considerable room for growth in the equity investment ratio of insurance funds, supported by favorable policies [6].

中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 ｜ 领 先 ｜ 深 度 ｜ 诚 信 ｜ 证 券 研 究 报 告 ｜ 1Q25保险资金重仓流通股深度跟踪 ——加仓交运、食饮，新进银行、通信 2 0 2 5 . 5 . 8 • 1Q25 主要鼓励政策为中央金融办《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》、金监总局先后发布第二批长期 股票试点以及《关于调整保险资金权益类资产监管比例有关事项的通知 ◼ "中泰非银保险重仓流通股"体系介绍（欢迎关注Wind组合管理，PMS代码为W1428999213874） • 我们根据Wind平台收录的险资重仓流通股数据——即所有已披露定期报告的A股上市公司前十大流通股东名单 中含保险机构的持仓记录，经过调整后，形成分析样本集开展研究。2025年年初至今（2025年5月6日），组合 绝对回报为0.37%，相对回报为3.59%。 葛玉翔 证券分析师执业证书编号：S0740525040002 邮 箱：geyx01@zts.com.cn 蒋峤 证券分析师执业证书编号：S0740517090005 邮 箱：jiangqiao@zts.com.cn 1 摘要 ◼ 持续低利率环境下，险资再配置收益率面临考验， ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing measures to enhance the role of insurance funds as patient and long-term capital in the capital market, aiming to stabilize and invigorate the market through increased investment [2] Group 1: Measures to Support Capital Market - The first measure includes expanding the pilot scope for long-term investment by insurance funds, with an additional 600 billion yuan planned for approval to inject more capital into the market [2][4] - The second measure involves adjusting solvency regulation rules, reducing the risk factor for stock investments by 10% to encourage insurance companies to increase their market participation [5] - The third measure promotes a long-cycle assessment mechanism to foster a "long money, long investment" approach [2][6] Group 2: Expansion of Long-term Investment Pilot - The long-term investment pilot for insurance funds began in October 2023, with initial participants including China Life and New China Life, each contributing 250 million yuan to establish a 500 million yuan private equity fund [3] - By early 2025, the scale of the long-term investment pilot had expanded to 1.62 billion yuan, with plans to reach 2.34 billion yuan including the new 600 billion yuan approval [4][5] Group 3: Impact of Risk Factor Adjustment - The adjustment of the risk factor for stock investments is expected to release a minimum capital of 364 million yuan, potentially leading to an influx of 2 billion yuan into the A-share market [5] - The reduction in risk factors is anticipated to improve the investment conditions for insurance companies, allowing them to better align with long-term value investment principles [4][5] Group 4: Long-cycle Assessment Mechanism - The current short assessment cycles for insurance companies have been a barrier to increasing A-share investments, with most companies using annual assessments [6] - The introduction of long-cycle assessments aims to encourage insurance funds to focus on long-term value investments, thereby supporting the healthy development of the capital market [6][7]