每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：刘畅 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 从客户数量来看，根据2025年中报，国泰中证A500ETF总户数位列同类首位，是第二名的三倍多， 更多人选择中证A500ETF（159338），感兴趣的投资者或可关注中证A500ETF（159338）。 注：数据来源：基金2025年中报，持有人户数位居同类38只产品首位。提及个股仅用于行业事件分 析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金 业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征 各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与 自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 沪指14连阳逼近4100点，资金面看，中证A500ETF（159338）近20日净流入超136亿元。 南京证券表示，市 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market continues its "opening red" trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high. All three major indices closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index gaining 1.5%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.75% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.81 trillion yuan, an increase of 260.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. The market saw over a hundred stocks hitting the daily limit for two consecutive days, with high interest in sectors such as intelligent driving, commercial aerospace, and brain-computer interfaces [1] Intelligent Driving Sector - The intelligent driving concept was active today, with the Intelligent Automobile ETF rising by 4.16%. The industry is expected to see breakthroughs due to technological advancements and the implementation of policies and regulations. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has conditionally approved L3 product applications from two car manufacturers, marking a new phase of commercialization for intelligent driving in China [2] - At the CES 2026 conference, NVIDIA's CEO announced new AI inference technology for intelligent driving and a partnership with Mercedes to produce autonomous vehicles. Companies like Qianli Zhijia and Geely also launched new assisted driving brands at CES, indicating significant advancements in the sector [2] Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is expected to see improvements in supply-demand dynamics as supply-side reforms deepen and carbon peak initiatives progress. The Shaanxi Development and Reform Commission has proposed increasing electricity prices for high-energy-consuming products, which could raise costs for industries like chlor-alkali and calcium carbide, potentially leading to the exit of high-cost facilities [3] - The current "14th Five-Year Plan" is crucial for advancing carbon peak goals, with measures being implemented to control energy consumption, including the elimination of preferential electricity prices for high-energy-consuming products and the phasing out of chemical facilities over 20 years old. Investors are advised to pay attention to opportunities in leading chemical ETFs [3] Gold Market - The rising tensions in South America are increasing global uncertainty, which may enhance the safe-haven appeal of gold in the short term. In the medium to long term, loose liquidity and de-dollarization are expected to support gold prices. The long-term investment value of gold is viewed positively, with recommendations for investors to consider gold fund ETFs during market pullbacks to lower costs [3] - Central banks remain significant buyers of gold, and despite substantial increases in holdings over the past three years, the amount held is still relatively low compared to historical geopolitical turning points. Surveys indicate a continued moderate increase in gold purchases by central banks [3]

1月6日，沪指迎13连阳，突破10年新高，中证A500ETF（159338）收涨1.8%，资金抢筹，近20日净流 入近140亿元。 相关机构表示，当前正值"十五五"规划开局的关键蓄势期，2026年我国将延续宽松的货币政策与积极的 财政政策，总需求有望进一步回暖。全球层面，美欧日财政扩张同步推进，需求逐步改善。在经济回暖 阶段，中证A500指数凭借对先进制造、信息技术、通信、医药、原材料等的超配，更容易释放相对收 益。 相较沪深300而言，中证A500强调行业均衡与细分龙头，其风格更分散、成长性暴露更高，能在产业结 构升级周期提供更优的Beta底盘。所以，其指数历史走势更优。截至2025年12月31日，中证A500指数 基日以来涨幅高达464.28%，而同期沪深300指数为361.15%，超额为103.13%。 从客户数量来看，根据2025年中报，国泰中证A500ETF总户数位列同类首位，是第二名的三倍多，更多 人选择中证A500ETF（159338），感兴趣的投资者或可关注中证A500ETF（159338）。 注：数据来源：基金2025年中报，持有人户数位居同类38只产品首位。提及个股仅用于行业事件分析， 不 ...

注：数据来源：基金2025年中报，持有人户数位居同类38只产品首位。提及个股仅用于行业事件分 析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金 业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征 各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与 自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 相较沪深300而言，中证A500强调行业均衡与细分龙头，其风格更分散、成长性暴露更高，能在产 业结构升级周期提供更优的Beta底盘。所以，其指数历史走势更优。截至2025年12月31日，中证A500 指数基日以来涨幅高达464.28%，而同期沪深300指数为361.15%，超额为103.13%。 从客户数量来看，根据2025年中报，国泰中证A500ETF总户数位列同类首位，是第二名的三倍多， 更多人选择中证A500ETF（159338），感兴趣的投资者或可关注中证A500ETF（159338）。 1月6日，沪指突破10年新高，中证A500ETF（159338）涨超1%，资金面看，近20日净流入近140亿 元 ...

招商证券指出，展望1月，A股有望延续上行趋势，继续演绎春季攻势，受政府投资回暖及人民币 升值影响，基本面和资金面均呈积极态势。业绩超预期或业绩披露后的情况将是市场关注焦点，建议重 点关注顺周期涨价方向、服务业消费以及国产算力等领域。 相较沪深300而言，中证A500强调行业均衡与细分龙头，其风格更分散、成长性暴露更高，能在产 业结构升级周期提供更优的Beta底盘。所以，其指数历史走势更优。截至2025年12月31日，中证A500 指数基日以来涨幅高达464.28%，而同期沪深300指数为361.15%，超额为103.13%。 从客户数量来看，根据2025年中报，国泰中证A500ETF总户数位列同类首位，是第二名的三倍多， 更多人选择中证A500ETF（159338），感兴趣的投资者或可关注中证A500ETF（159338）。 1月5日，沪指迎12连阳重回4000点，中证A500ETF（159338）收涨超2%，资金面看，近20日净流 入超146亿元 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the expectation of a spring market rally in 2026, driven by policy dividends and structural opportunities in line with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The China Securities A500 ETF (159338) has seen a net inflow of nearly 15 billion yuan over the past 20 days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The A500 index, which the ETF tracks, selects samples from leading companies across various industries, reflecting a balanced representation of market capitalization and industry distribution [1] Group 2 - Compared to the CSI 300, the A500 index emphasizes industry balance and leading companies, providing a better beta base during industrial upgrades [2] - As of December 30, 2025, the A500 index has increased by 465.87% since its base date, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 363.28%, resulting in an excess return of 102.59% [2] - The number of accounts for the Guotai CSI A500 ETF is three times that of its closest competitor, indicating a strong preference among investors for this ETF [2]

Group 1 - The current period is crucial for the "14th Five-Year Plan," with expectations for continued loose monetary and active fiscal policies in China by 2026, leading to a potential recovery in total demand [1] - Global fiscal expansion is being synchronized across the US, Europe, and Japan, contributing to gradual demand improvement, with the Federal Reserve likely to maintain a loose policy in 2026, benefiting the A-share market [1] - The CSI A500 Index, which focuses on advanced manufacturing, information technology, communication, pharmaceuticals, and raw materials, is expected to outperform during the economic recovery phase due to its sector allocation [1] Group 2 - The CSI A500 ETF (159338) tracks the CSI A500 Index (000510), which selects samples from leading companies in various industries, ensuring both market capitalization representation and balanced industry distribution [1] - The CSI A500 Index has shown a significant historical performance, with a total increase of 464.08% since its base date, compared to a 362.09% increase for the CSI 300 Index, resulting in an excess return of 101.99% [1] - As of December 29, 2025, the CSI A500 has risen by 22.39% year-to-date, while the CSI 300 Index has increased by 17.90%, yielding an excess return of 4.49% [1] Group 3 - The number of clients for the Guotai CSI A500 ETF is the highest among its peers, with total accounts being more than three times that of the second-ranked product, indicating strong investor interest [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the national financial work conference emphasizes the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Chinese assets to global capital [1] - The offshore RMB has recently strengthened against the US dollar, surpassing the 7.0 mark, reaching a 15-month high, indicating a potential for moderate appreciation in 2026 [1] - The CSI A500 Index, which covers leading companies across various sectors, is highlighted as a balanced investment option that offers both defensive and growth potential in a fluctuating market [1] Group 2 - Compared to the CSI 300, the CSI A500 emphasizes industry balance and sector leaders, providing a more diversified and higher growth exposure, particularly during industrial upgrades [2] - As of December 26, 2025, the CSI A500 Index has increased by 466.78% since its base date, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which rose by 363.87%, resulting in an excess return of 102.91% [2] - The number of accounts for the Guotai CSI A500 ETF ranks first among its peers, being more than three times that of the second-ranked product, indicating a strong preference among investors for this ETF [2]

今年以来，A股迎来了创立以来的第三次站上4000点。我们展望2026年，这一行情并未结束。 首先，A股整体仍偏制造业属性。2025年制造业整体的资本开支和在建工程仍处于负增长区间，仅同比有小幅回升。展望2026年，制造业同比反弹力度或进 一步拖累的程度可能不会像今年这么显著，明年制造业对整体GDP增速的贡献大概率会高于今年，基本面改善的趋势性概率也在提升。 资料来源：Wind，申万宏源研究 海外市场方面，今年关税冲突后，全球经济韧性好于我们的整体预期。《美丽大法案》的公布与顺利推进，本质上是美国财政扩张的体现；近期美国政府的 停摆更多是一次性影响。另外，12月份降息落地后的相关表述，让大家担心2026年的货币政策会相对偏鹰，但更值得关注的是，美联储在12月降息后开启了 技术性扩表——这次扩表发生在12月1日宣布结束扩表后的两周，属于技术性扩表。这样的政策表述略显出尔反尔，也能说明美国的财政压力依然较大。 在已实施扩表的背景下，2026年至少有一点确定性较高，那就是人民币对美元将进一步升值，这一点近期市场已有所体现。人民币对美元的进一步升值，对 A股有非常强劲的托举作用——自去年12月份以来，人民币已开启对美元 ...

在2026年权益市场大概率明显向好的大背景下，我们在宽基投资选择上重点推荐中证A500ETF（159338），核心原因如下： 之所以要保持这种一致性，核心是为了契合中国产业结构大转型的时代背景，经过长期发展，近期多项政策文件也持续强调，我国需推进经济结构转型，提 高新兴产业在国民生产总值中的占比。这一趋势近期在A股市场也有所体现，今年A股行情呈现明显的结构性特征，具体表现为新产业显著跑赢传统老产 业，因此，对于能够代表A股整体行情的宽基指数而言，提高新产业占比至关重要。 接下来我们分析中证A500指数与其他宽基的生态位差异：中证A500指数是大盘宽基指数，对标沪深300并在其基础上做了一定增强；大盘宽基包括上证综 指、沪深300、中证A500，中小盘则有中证500、中证1000，此外还有科创板等代表独特板块的指数。 中证A500指数在指数编制上相较于传统宽基有一定创新，核心体现在"行业均衡"与"龙头荟萃"两大方面，这一创新也使得中证A500指数长期表现占优；短 期来看，自2024年9月发布以来截至近期，其整体超额收益已呈现出较好表现。 此外，这款产品具备优良的结构特征：规模在同类产品中处于领先地位，客户数量同 ...