Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a significant influx of insurance funds, with over 640 billion yuan entering the market in the first half of 2025, marking a historical high and contributing to the recent surge in stock prices and trading volumes [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - On August 21, the total trading volume of A-shares exceeded 2 trillion yuan for the seventh consecutive trading day, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a 10-year high of 3787.98 points [1] - The total market capitalization of A-shares surpassed 100 trillion yuan, indicating a robust market recovery [1] Group 2: Insurance Fund Inflows - Insurance funds added over 640 billion yuan to the stock market in the first half of 2025, significantly higher than the total for the entire previous year [2][3] - The stock investment balance of insurance funds reached 3.07 trillion yuan, accounting for 8.47% of the total insurance fund assets, the highest since 2022 [1][2] Group 3: Investment Trends - There has been a notable increase in the number of stock acquisitions by insurance funds, with 30 instances of "shareholding" reported in 2025, second only to the 62 instances in 2015 [1][7] - The focus of insurance funds has shifted towards high-quality assets, particularly in the banking sector, with significant investments in H-shares of banks such as China Ping An and Postal Savings Bank [8][9] Group 4: Regulatory Environment - Recent regulatory changes have facilitated insurance funds' entry into the stock market, including adjustments to risk factors for equity investments and policies encouraging long-term capital market participation [14][15] - The insurance industry is adapting to a low-interest-rate environment, prompting a shift towards equity investments to meet return requirements and manage asset-liability mismatches [11][12][15]

2025 年二季度末，保险行业资金运用余额达 36.23 万亿元，同比增长 8.9%。债券配置比例升至 51.1%，股票占比 8.8%，股票、基金和长 股投合计占比达 21.4%，较上年末提升 1 个百分点，权益规模增加约 9,000 亿元。 寿险公司增配长期政府债需求强烈，利率债占比达 70%；财险公司倾向 于金融债、企业债。二级权益配置比例普遍提升，另类资产配置比例下 降。主要保险公司债券投资占比普遍超 50%，股票加基金占比在 10%- 18%之间。 截至 2025 年二季度，59 家人身险公司投资收益率均为正，32 家未年 化数据达 2%以上。高股息风格在保险板块增配趋势明显，银行、公用 事业、通信及交通运输行业占比较高。 2025 年以来，共有 30 次举牌行为，涉及 14 家保险公司与 45 家公司， 被举牌企业多集中于银行、公用事业、交运等高股息行业，多为质地优 良、业绩良好的 H 股上市公司。 保险行业：低利率下保险资金入市必要性提升，高股息仍 是重要配置方向 20250821 摘要 Q&A 保险资金入市的必要性和未来空间如何？ 保险资金入市的必要性在当前低利率环境下显得尤为重要。现代利率整体 ...

8月21日，A股总成交额再度突破2万亿元，这已经是连续7个交易日超2万亿元关口。 当日，上证指数摸高至3787.98点，创10年新高。同时，A股总市值迈上一个新台阶，突破100万亿元大关。 指数的上涨以及交易大放量背后，是各路资金的跑步入市。其中，作为长期资金的代表，保险资金高歌猛进， 仅在 今年上 半年新增入市资金超6400 亿元，远超去年全年的新增体量，创历史新高。 同时，从36万亿元保险资金的配置比例上看，股票投资余额达3.07万亿元，占比8.47%，创下2022年以来的新高。 更为吸引市场关注的，是今年以来保险资金进行的举牌潮。据统计，年内保险资金举牌已达30次，仅次于2015年的62次。 那么， 是什么吸引了保险资金入市？保险资金又在买什么？ 仅在上半年，就有超6400亿元新增保险资金进入股市。其 中，一季度净流入3900亿元，二季度又净流入2500亿元。今 年4月7日，受关税战影响，上证指数暴跌7.34%，此后行情 一路震荡上行，也就是说，保险资金的加仓正好赶上了这一波 上涨行情。而拉长时间看，这一波增量远超保险资金在过去几 年的加仓规模。 作者：姜鑫 封图：图虫创意 | 时间 | | 股票投资余 ...

8月21日，A股总成交额再度突破2万亿元，这已经是连续7个交易日超2万亿元关口。 当日，上证指数摸高至3787.98点，创10年新高。同时，A股总市值迈上一个新台阶，突破100万亿元大关。 指数的上涨以及交易大放量背后，是各路资金的跑步入市。其中，作为长期资金的代表，保险资金高歌猛进，仅在今年上半年新增入市资金超6400亿元，远 超去年全年的新增体量，创历史新高。 同时，从36万亿元保险资金的配置比例上看，股票投资余额达3.07万亿元，占比8.47%，创下2022年以来的新高。 这组数据意味着仅在上半年，就有超6400亿元新增保险资金进入股市。其中，一季度净流入3900亿元，二季度又净流入2500亿元。 今年4月7日，受关税战影响，上证指数暴跌7.34%，此后行情一路震荡上行，也就是说，保险资金的加仓正好赶上了这一波上涨行情。 而拉长时间看，这一波增量远超保险资金在过去几年的加仓规模。 2019年3月，上证指数在下探至2440.91点后开启一轮反弹，并在2021年2月站上3700点，此后处于震荡盘整，其间保险资金加大了股票投资规模，其中2020 年新增加3842亿元，2021年新增加6226亿元。 更为吸引市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing significant growth in fund utilization, driven by policy guidance and investment environment changes, with a notable increase in equity investments and a stable bond allocation structure [1][2][3]. Fund Utilization Overview - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total fund utilization of insurance companies reached 36.23 trillion, marking an 8.9% increase from the beginning of the year and a 3.7% increase from Q1 [2]. - The balance of life insurance companies' fund utilization was 32.60 trillion, also up 8.9% year-to-date, while property insurance companies held 2.35 trillion, a 5.7% increase [2]. - In H1 2025, the net increase in fund utilization was 2.98 trillion, with Q2 alone contributing 1.30 trillion, influenced by premium growth and asset value appreciation [2]. Investment Allocation - The bond balance reached 17.87 trillion, with a net increase of 1.94 trillion in H1, and Q2 saw a net increase of 896.1 billion, pushing the bond allocation to 51.1%, the highest in recent years [3]. - Bank deposits totaled 3.02 trillion, with a net increase of 111.3 billion in H1, while other investments (mainly non-standard) decreased by 1.87 trillion [3]. - The allocation to bank deposits and non-standard investments has reached new lows, attributed to declining asset yields and new accounting standards [3]. Equity Investment Trends - Regulatory measures are accelerating the long-term entry of insurance funds into the stock market, with equity allocation reaching a new high [4]. - In April, the regulatory authority adjusted the equity asset allocation ratio for insurance funds, increasing it by 5% for certain solvency levels [4]. - By mid-2025, the total approved amount for long-term investment trials by insurance funds reached 222 billion, indicating a strong push for stable long-term investments [4]. Recent Market Activity - Insurance companies have been actively increasing their stakes in other firms, with 27 instances of stake increases reported in 2025, surpassing the total for the previous year [10]. - The focus of these investments has been on high-dividend sectors such as banks and public utilities, reflecting a strategic shift towards stable returns [10]. - The recent stake increases by China Ping An in China Pacific Insurance and China Life demonstrate confidence in the recovery and long-term value of the insurance sector [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance relative to market benchmarks [2][6][7]. Core Insights - The insurance industry's fund utilization scale surpassed 36 trillion yuan in Q2 2025, with a net increase of over 1.3 trillion yuan in the quarter, reflecting strong growth driven by premium income and asset value appreciation [5][7]. - The allocation structure of insurance funds has become more pronounced, with bond and stock proportions reaching new highs, indicating a shift towards a "barbell" investment strategy [5][7]. - Regulatory measures have accelerated the entry of insurance funds into the stock market, with the stock allocation reaching a record high of 8.8% by the end of Q2 2025, supported by policy adjustments aimed at promoting long-term investments [5][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Scale - As of Q2 2025, the total market capitalization of stocks held by insurance companies is approximately 670.62 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 641.38 billion yuan [2]. Fund Utilization - The total fund utilization balance for insurance companies reached 36.23 trillion yuan by the end of Q2 2025, marking an 8.9% increase year-to-date and a 3.7% increase from Q1 2025 [5][7]. - The bond allocation exceeded 51%, the highest level in recent years, while bank deposits and non-standard investments were reduced [5][7]. Equity Investment - The stock balance for life and property insurance companies reached 3.07 trillion yuan, with a net increase of 640.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong commitment to equity investments [5][7]. - The report highlights a resurgence in insurance companies' stake acquisitions in peer firms, with 27 instances recorded in 2025, reflecting confidence in the sector's recovery and long-term value [5][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests individual stock recommendations including China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, and Ping An Insurance, while also advising attention to China Life Insurance, China Taiping Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance for their long-term investment value [7].

Market Overview - Since July, the A-share market has shown strong performance, recovering from a dip and reaching new highs for the year, approaching the previous peak of 3674 points from October 8, 2022 [3] - There are mixed sentiments among investors, with some optimistic about breaking through 3674 points and potentially reaching 4000 points, while others are concerned about high valuations and overly optimistic economic growth expectations [3] Fund Flows and Market Dynamics - The direction of the market is ultimately determined by the flow of funds, with net inflows driving market uptrends [4] - In 2017, the A-share market experienced a significant rally led by blue-chip stocks, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index rising nearly 30% [4] - In 2020-2021, the A-share market saw extreme volatility, with the CSI 300 Index reaching a historical high of 5930 on February 18, 2021, with a PE ratio of 17.5, significantly above the 10-year average of 12.3 [5] Institutional Investment Trends - The expansion of actively managed public funds has been a key driver of the recent market rally, with public funds' share of A-share free float market value increasing from 11.6% in 2020 to 13.6% in 2021 [7] - As of 2024, the banking sector has shown strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index and other indices posting gains of 22.2%, 19.6%, 16.5%, and 16.2% respectively [7] - The A-share ETF market has grown significantly, with a total market size of 3.7 trillion yuan, reflecting an 83% increase since the beginning of the year [8] Future Fund Inflows - Insurance funds are expected to become a major source of incremental capital in the market, with their holdings in stocks increasing from over 2 trillion yuan to nearly 3 trillion yuan [9] - The potential for insurance funds to drive market trends is supported by recent policy changes encouraging long-term investments in A-shares [18] - The shift in focus towards high-dividend stocks is anticipated, particularly in the banking sector, as insurance funds seek stable returns [9][10] Sector Performance and Outlook - The market may see a shift back to conservative styles, focusing on dividend-related sectors, particularly banks, utilities, and cyclical stocks [20][21] - The cyclical dividend stocks are viewed as a better investment choice due to their potential for recovery and growth, especially in light of ongoing economic reforms [22] - Recent performance has shown significant gains in cyclical sectors, with steel up 20.8% and construction materials up 17.9%, while utilities and banks have lagged behind [22]

Core Viewpoint - The expected reduction in the predetermined interest rate for ordinary life insurance products is becoming a consensus in the industry due to the continuous decline in market interest rates [1][2]. Group 1: Predetermined Interest Rate Adjustment - The upcoming second quarter meeting of the expert advisory committee may lead to a further reduction in the predetermined interest rate research value for ordinary life insurance products, which is currently at 2.13%, down from 2.34% at the beginning of the year [1][2]. - If the research value is announced to be below 2.25%, it will trigger the adjustment mechanism for the maximum predetermined interest rates of life insurance products [2]. - The anticipated research value for the second quarter of 2025 is estimated to be around 2.01%, a decrease of 12 basis points from the previous value [2]. Group 2: Key Interest Rates Impact - The expected reduction in the predetermined interest rate is primarily driven by the decline in three key interest rates: the 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.5%, the 5-year fixed deposit rate at 1.3%, and the 10-year government bond yield at approximately 1.72% [3]. - The maximum predetermined interest rates for ordinary life insurance products are expected to decrease by 0.5 percentage points, with new limits projected at 2.0% for ordinary products, 1.5% for participating products, and 1.0% for universal products [3][4]. Group 3: Impact on Insurance Companies - The reduction in predetermined interest rates is expected to optimize the liability costs for insurance companies, allowing for increased market entry of insurance funds due to lower liability costs and a rising preference for equity investments [5][6]. - The shift towards floating yield products is encouraged to enhance asset-liability management and achieve high-quality development in the industry [6]. - The long-term outlook suggests that traditional insurance predetermined rates may reach their lowest levels since the 1990s, providing more growth opportunities for floating yield products [6]. Group 4: Market Reactions - The anticipated reduction in predetermined interest rates may boost product sales, although the "炒停售" phenomenon (speculative buying and selling) is expected to be less pronounced compared to previous years [7].

Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, adjusting performance evaluation indicators for state-owned commercial insurance companies to include a combination of annual, 3-year, and 5-year indicators with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [1] - The adjustment means that long-term investment returns will account for 70% of the evaluation, allowing insurance funds to act as a stabilizing force in the market and facilitating their entry into the stock market [1] - The notice addresses the issue of short-term investment by insurance funds, enabling them to focus on long-term investment strategies for maximizing returns [1] Group 2 - Following the notice, insurance funds are expected to become true long-term capital, but the ultimate direction of these investments remains a concern [2] - To attract more insurance funds into the A-share market, a profitable market environment must be established, as the current stagnation around 3000 points hinders long-term investment [2] - Improving the quality of listed companies is crucial for investment returns, necessitating strict controls on IPOs to prevent low-quality companies from entering the market [2] - Addressing shareholder reduction issues is essential, including limiting major shareholders' holdings and reducing the impact of compliant reductions on the market [2] - Systematic barriers must be cleared, such as the contradiction between encouraging long-term investments and allowing short-selling, which undermines market stability [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent notification from the Ministry of Finance aims to guide state-owned commercial insurance companies towards long-term stable investments, adjusting performance evaluation metrics to include longer-term indicators, thereby promoting a more sustainable investment approach [2][3][4]. Group 1: Changes in Evaluation Metrics - The Ministry of Finance has adjusted the performance evaluation metrics for state-owned commercial insurance companies, combining annual indicators with 3-year and 5-year cycle indicators for "net asset return rate" and "capital preservation and appreciation rate" [3][4]. - The new evaluation weights are set at 30% for the annual indicator, 50% for the 3-year cycle indicator, and 20% for the 5-year cycle indicator, significantly increasing the emphasis on long-term performance [3][4]. Group 2: Impact on Investment Strategy - The adjustments are expected to alleviate short-term performance pressures on insurance companies, allowing them to increase their long-term stock investment capabilities [5][6]. - Insurance companies are encouraged to shift their investment strategies from short-term gains to long-term value creation, focusing on high-quality stocks with stable cash flows and reasonable valuations [6][8]. Group 3: Asset-Liability Management - The notification emphasizes the need for improved asset-liability management, requiring insurance companies to align their investment strategies with long-term goals and enhance their internal management mechanisms [7][8]. - Companies are urged to consider various factors such as customer needs, cash flow matching, and liability cost constraints in their operational strategies to optimize capital allocation [8]. Group 4: Support for Innovation - The notification is expected to enhance the ability of insurance funds to support technology innovation by identifying stable, low-risk investment opportunities, particularly in promising small and medium-sized tech enterprises [8]. - This approach aims to ensure that insurance funds play a significant role in providing long-term capital to support national strategic initiatives and the development of the real economy [8].