上证指数(000001) 02-27 15:09:34 沪 4162.88 +16.25 +0.39% 6.82亿手 之 4128.90 高 4166.23 成交量 开 最 昨 n R 4146.63 俱 4128.36 成交额 1.07万亿 ▲ 最 分时 日K 分钟 五日 間K 月K O MA5:4018.61 MA10:3819.89 MA20:3523.03 不复权 4346.45 4190.87 3879.71 2946.25 2635.09 2479.51 2023-01-31 2024-08-30 2026-02-27 2021-07-30 163.52 沪指本月累计涨1.09%，呈现"冲高后窄幅震荡"的走势，月线斩获3连阳。深成指累计涨2.04%，创业板指累计跌1.08%。 成交额方面，"日成交超万亿"已成常态，春节后市场交投持续活跃，沪深两市成交额连续4个交易日突破2万亿。 从板块来看，热点聚焦度显著提升，受涨价催化影响，化工、有色金属等涨价题材股表现突出。化工板块内部轮动较快，分散染料概念股醋化股份涨超 32%，磷化工概念股金正大涨超58%，百川股份涨近50%。玻纤概念本月反复活跃，国际复材 ...

中原期货研究咨询部 晨会纪要 2026 第（30）期 发布日期：2026-02-13 | 中原期货研究咨询部 | | | --- | --- | | 0371-58620081 | 0371-58620083 | | 公司官方微信 | | 公司官方微信 1 中原期货研究咨询部 | 化工 | 主力合约 | 2026/2/13 | 2026/2/12 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅/% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 8:00 | 15:00 | | | | | 焦煤 | 1,121.00 | 1,120.00 | 1.0 | 0.089 | | | 焦炭 | 1,665.00 | 1,664.00 | 1.0 | 0.060 | | | 天然橡胶 | 16,485.00 | 16,450.00 | 35.0 | 0.213 | | | 20号胶 | 13,385.00 | 13,370.00 | 15.0 | 0.112 | | | 塑料 | 6,720.00 | 6,734.00 | -14.0 | -0.208 | | | 聚丙烯PP | 6,633.00 ...

资料显示，浙江闰土股份有限公司位于浙江省绍兴市上虞区市民大道1009号财富广场1号楼闰土大厦， 成立日期1998年5月14日，上市日期2010年7月6日，公司主营业务涉及从事纺织染料、印染助剂和化工 原料的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：染料66.31%，其他化工原料22.77%，其他7.48%，助 剂3.44%。 闰土股份所属申万行业为：基础化工-化学制品-纺织化学制品。所属概念板块包括：分散染料、染料涂 料、中盘价值、中盘、预盈预增等。 截至1月30日，闰土股份股东户数6.74万，较上期增加102.82%；人均流通股14047股，较上期减少 50.70%。2025年1月-9月，闰土股份实现营业收入41.63亿元，同比增长2.25%；归母净利润2.25亿元，同 比增长49.10%。 2月12日，闰土股份盘中下跌2.00%，截至09:40，报14.67元/股，成交2.84亿元，换手率2.03%，总市值 164.89亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入131.66万元，特大单买入4876.63万元，占比17.17%，卖出4881.09万 元，占比17.18%；大单买入5683.56万元，占比20.01%， ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the overnight night - trading market trends, important macro and industry - specific news, and financial market conditions across various sectors including commodities, stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange. It offers insights into price movements, policy announcements, and corporate developments that could potentially impact investment decisions. 3. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - trading Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 0.62% at $5047.90 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 2.01% at $80.58 per ounce [4][48] - U.S. oil and Brent oil futures declined slightly, with U.S. oil down 0.25% at $64.2 per barrel and Brent oil down 0.04% at $69.01 per barrel [5][48] - Most London base metals rose, except for copper and aluminum; LME nickel rose 1.16% to $17,550.0 per ton, zinc rose 0.67% to $3398.0 per ton, etc. [5][48] - Domestic futures contracts showed mixed results, with propylene up over 2%, while glass and palm oil were among the decliners [6] Important News Macro News - The People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy and use various tools to ensure economic stability and reasonable price increases [9] - India is in talks with multiple countries for cooperation in the key minerals field, focusing on lithium and rare earths [9] - Iran's Air Force is on the highest - level combat readiness [9] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange imposed trading restrictions on some accounts for exceeding trading limits [10] - The U.S. Trade Representative expects to finalize an agreement with Indonesia in the coming weeks [11] - U.S. retail sales in December 2025 were unexpectedly flat, indicating cautious consumer spending [13] Energy and Chemical Futures - Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted the price limit and trading margin for styrene, liquefied petroleum gas, and pure benzene futures contracts [15] - Malaysia is the world's largest natural rubber producer, and the export value of natural rubber gloves accounts for 46% of its rubber product exports [15] - The EIA revised its oil price forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [15][49] Metal Futures - PLS signed a two - year lithium concentrate supply agreement with Tianyi Lithium Industry, with a guaranteed floor price [17] - A small recycled lead smelter in South China suspended production and will resume after the Lantern Festival [18] - As of February 9, 2026, zinc ingot inventories in major domestic markets increased [20] - Angola's first major copper mine shipped its first batch of copper concentrate [20] Black Futures - Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted the price limit and trading margin for iron ore, coke, and coking coal futures contracts [22] - Iron ore inventories at seven major ports in Australia and Brazil decreased from February 2 - 8, 2026 [22] Agricultural Futures - The price of crude palm oil in Malaysia is expected to be between 3,900 and 4,000 ringgit per ton in 2026 [24] - As of February 6, 2026, domestic commercial inventories of three major oils slightly increased [24] - As of February 4, 2026, the hog - corn ratio decreased compared to January 28, 2026 [26] - Malaysian palm oil exports from February 1 - 10, 2026 decreased compared to the same period last month [26] - In January 2026, Malaysian palm oil exports increased, while production and inventory decreased [26] - France slightly increased the sowing area forecast for winter soft wheat and rapeseed in 2026 [27] - The supply and demand situation of Chinese soybeans remains stable, with a clear picture of a bumper harvest in South America [27] - As of February 10, 2026, national soybean oil port inventories increased [28] - The EU plans to gradually phase out biofuels made from palm oil and soybean oil [28] - The U.S. Department of Agriculture maintained or adjusted its production and inventory forecasts for soybeans in the U.S., Argentina, and Brazil [30] Financial Markets Financial - A - share markets showed a narrow - range movement, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.13% [32] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.58%, and related technology and enterprise indices also increased [32] - Foreign institutions are optimistic about Chinese assets [32] - Ge Weidong and Zhang Jianping each invested 1 billion yuan in Jianghuai Automobile [34] - *ST Lifang will resume trading on February 11, 2026, and there is a risk of forced delisting [34] Industry - Five departments jointly issued an opinion to support the development of low - altitude infrastructure [35] - The National Health Commission warned about the chaos in the "light medical beauty" industry [35] - Relevant departments promoted the application of artificial intelligence in the bidding field [35] - In 2025, the national social logistics volume increased by 5.1% year - on - year [35] - The National Healthcare Security Administration announced the preliminary results of the new round of drug procurement [36] - As of February 10, 2026, the pre - sale box office of the 2026 Spring Festival movies exceeded 100 million yuan [38] Overseas - U.S. President Trump may send an aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East if the negotiation with Iran fails [39] - Ukrainian President Zelensky modified military service regulations [39] - Some Federal Reserve officials believe that the current policy stance is appropriate and may remain unchanged [39] - The U.S. plans to exempt some tech giants from chip tariffs [40] - U.S. retail sales in December 2025 were weaker than expected [40] - Japan will hold a special parliamentary session, and Koichi Hagiuda is likely to win the prime ministerial election [42] - The European Parliament passed an amendment to the European Climate Law [42] International Stock Markets - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones rising 0.1% and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq falling [43] - European stock indices also showed mixed results, affected by multiple factors [43] - The Japanese stock market reached a new high, and the Nikkei 225 rose 2.28% [44] - CME will launch single - stock futures this summer [44] - Paramount improved its acquisition offer for Warner Bros. Discovery [46] - Coca - Cola's Q4 2025 revenue increased by 2%, and its 2026 forecast was lower than market expectations [46] - Amundi will reduce its exposure to U.S. dollar assets [47] Commodities - International precious metal futures declined due to factors such as the Fed's stance and speculative capital outflows [48] - Oil prices fell due to an increase in U.S. crude oil inventories [48] - Most London base metals rose, except for copper and aluminum [48] - The EIA revised its oil price forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [49] Bonds - The inter - bank bond market showed narrow - range fluctuations, and the central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations [51] - Japan's national debt reached a record high at the end of 2025 [51] - U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board [51] Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the U.S. dollar rose, reaching a new high since May 2023 [52] - The U.S. dollar index rose slightly, and most non - U.S. currencies declined [52] Upcoming Events - There will be multiple important events on February 11, 2026, including central bank operations, official press conferences, and corporate earnings announcements [55] - The Japanese market will be closed on February 11, 2026, due to the "National Foundation Day" [57]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, and the overall liquidity will remain abundant [7]. - Global asset allocation is expected to gradually shift from a high - concentration allocation of US dollar assets to a more diversified layout in the next 3 - 5 years, and Chinese assets are favored by foreign institutions [8]. - Most commodities in the market are in a state of supply - demand game, with prices mainly in an interval - oscillating pattern, and it is recommended to operate lightly or wait and see before the Spring Festival [12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro News - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, use various policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, and carry out regular treasury bond trading operations [7]. - Ray Dalio warns that the US is on the verge of a "fifth stage" of the imperial cycle, and suggests that gold should account for 5% - 15% of the investment portfolio [7]. - China encourages the cultivation and development of future industries to seize the high - ground of science and technology and industry [7]. - On Tuesday, the A - share market showed a narrow - range consolidation, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.13% and achieving six consecutive positive days. The Hong Kong stock market also rose, and Chinese assets are favored by foreign institutions [8]. - Five departments jointly issued an opinion to strengthen the construction of information and communication capabilities to support the development of low - altitude infrastructure [9]. - Alphabet issued 100 - year bonds for the first time, with over 7 times over - subscription, and its global debt issuance exceeded $30 billion [9]. 3.2 Morning Meeting Views on Main Varieties 3.2.1 Agricultural Products - **Sugar**: The domestic sugar price is expected to maintain an interval - oscillating pattern, with potential for a pre - holiday corrective rebound. The upper pressure is around 5300 yuan, and the lower support is around 5250 yuan [12]. - **Corn**: The corn price has broken through the original prediction range. One can pay attention to the opportunity of lightly testing long positions after the price retraces to the new support level of 2270 yuan [12]. - **Peanuts**: The peanut price is expected to maintain a high - level oscillating pattern in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see or adopt an interval - trading strategy [12]. - **Pigs**: The supply of live pigs is sufficient, and the demand increase is less than expected. The futures market shows a pattern of near - term weakness and long - term strength [12]. - **Eggs**: The spot price of eggs continues to decline, and the futures market maintains an oscillation, with near - term strength and long - term weakness [13]. - **Red dates**: The price of red dates is expected to remain stable in the short term, and the futures market is looking for lower support [13]. - **Cotton**: The cotton price is expected to maintain a wide - range oscillating pattern before the Spring Festival. One can consider laying out long positions at low prices [13]. 3.2.2 Energy and Chemicals - **Caustic soda**: The caustic soda market is in an oversupply situation. One should pay attention to the impact of supply - side disturbances on prices and operate with a light position during the holiday [13]. - **Coking coal and coke**: Before the Spring Festival, the supply and demand of coking coal and coke are both weak, and the price is expected to oscillate weakly in the short term [13]. - **Logs**: The log price is expected to maintain an interval - oscillating pattern, with the upper pressure around 780 yuan and the lower support around 765 yuan [15]. - **Pulp**: The pulp market has a pattern of strong supply and weak demand. It is recommended to adopt a high - selling and low - buying strategy in the 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton interval [15]. - **Offset paper**: The offset paper market is in a weak supply - demand balance. It is recommended to wait and see or try short positions lightly when the price is high [16]. - **Urea**: The domestic urea market price is running strongly. One should pay attention to the changes in the start - up of downstream urea enterprises around the Spring Festival [16]. 3.2.3 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper and aluminum**: The copper price is affected by the weakening US dollar, but the weak domestic demand restricts its upward space. The aluminum market has increasing supply pressure and weakening demand, and it is recommended to operate with a light position during the holiday [17]. - **Alumina**: The alumina market is in an oversupply situation, waiting for new market drivers, and it is recommended to operate with a light position during the holiday [17]. - **Rebar and hot - rolled coil**: Before the Spring Festival, the steel price is expected to be under pressure and run weakly [17]. - **Ferroalloys**: The ferroalloy market is affected by the decline of the black series, but the cost has certain support. It is recommended to operate with a light position during the holiday [17][19]. 3.2.4 Lithium Carbonate The lithium carbonate price shows signs of stabilizing. One can pay attention to the opportunity of laying out long positions after the price confirms stability after the Spring Festival [19]. 3.2.5 Options and Finance - **Stock index futures and options**: The stock index is mainly in an oscillating pattern. One can consider buying a straddle strategy during the holiday. The A - share market is expected to maintain an interval - oscillating pattern before the Spring Festival, and the probability of resuming an upward trend after the holiday is high [19][20].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.41% to 4,123.09 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 2.17% to 14,208.44 points, and the ChiNext Index climbing by 2.98% to 3,332.77 points. The total market turnover reached 2.27 trillion yuan, up from 2.16 trillion yuan the previous day [10][5]. - In the Asia-Pacific market, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.76%, the Nikkei 225 surged by 3.89% to 56,363.94 points, and the Korean Composite Index increased by 4.1% to 5,298.04 points [10][5]. - European markets saw all major indices close higher, with the DAX Index up by 1.19% to 25,014.87 points and the CAC40 Index rising by 0.6% to 8,323.28 points [10][5]. - In the US market, all three major indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.04% to 50,135.87 points, marking a new closing high [10][5]. International News - The US plans to reduce the most-favored-nation tariff on Bangladesh to 19%, down from 20%, and provide exemptions for certain textiles, which will support Bangladesh's garment industry [9]. - In the UK, a political "black swan" event occurred as the Prime Minister's chief of staff and communications director resigned amid a scandal involving a former ambassador [9]. - Japan's Prime Minister announced plans to promote nationwide discussions on food tax reductions without issuing new debt, emphasizing fiscal sustainability [9]. Domestic News - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges announced a package of measures to optimize refinancing, aiming to support the innovative development of quality listed companies [12]. - The Chinese government is focusing on technological self-reliance and innovation, as highlighted by President Xi Jinping during his recent inspection of a technology innovation center [11]. - A meeting involving multiple departments addressed labor rights for new employment forms, guiding 16 companies, including major delivery services, to improve labor management [13]. Important Announcements - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. plans to launch an employee stock ownership plan for 2026 [15]. - Jinhui Mining intends to acquire Fusheng Mining for 210 million yuan, with an annual gold production capacity of 50,000 tons [15]. - Efort will purchase 100% of Shengpu shares, with stock resuming trading [15].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations in the morning, with the three major indices slightly declining. The North Securities 50 Index fell over 1% during the session [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.39 trillion yuan, a decrease of 97.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][6] - Over 2800 stocks in the market saw declines, indicating a broad market weakness [1] Sector Performance - The media sector continued to rise, with multiple stocks such as Reading Culture, Jiecheng Co., and Shanghai Film hitting the daily limit [1] - The disperse dye concept showed repeated activity, with Haixiang Pharmaceutical achieving three consecutive limit-ups and Huatai reaching the daily limit [1] - The PCB concept experienced fluctuations, with Nanya New Materials and Honghe Technology both reaching historical highs [1] Declining Sectors - The commercial aerospace sector showed weakness, with stocks like Feiwo Technology, Shunhao Co., and Western Materials experiencing significant declines [1] Index Performance - At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.02%, the Shenzhen Component Index also decreased by 0.02%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.14% [2][3]

本周一A股强势拉升，截至收盘，上证综指涨1.41%（重回4100点上方），深证成指涨2.17%，创业板指涨2.98%，科创50指数涨2.51%。沪深北三市合计 成交约2.27万亿元，较此前一日增加逾1000亿元。 A股市场超4600股飘红。其中，半导体板块拉升，芯原股份涨近15%，国芯科技涨近13%，复旦微电涨近10%；AI应用概念活跃，中文在线、海看股份 20%涨停，海天瑞声等涨超10%；CPO概念表现强势，市值超2000亿元的天孚通信盘中涨停，新易盛、中际旭创均走高；分散染料概念表现亮眼，闰土股 份、亚邦股份等涨停；太空光伏概念热度不减，杰普特20%涨停，协鑫集成斩获4连板。 （文章来源：期货日报） 东证期货宏观策略高级分析师王培丞同样对后市较为乐观。他认为，"春季躁动"行情还未走完。前期市场躁动更多是由拥挤交易导致，与政策预期造成的 波动明显不同。2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，随着春节假期后全国两会召开，新政策、新理念大概率驱动"春季躁动"行情延续。此外，A股上市公司 估值的主导因素依然是国内经济基本面。目前国内流动性充裕，政策保持积极态势，A股"长牛、慢牛"的格局依然稳固，海外因素扰动持续性不强 ...

本周一A股强势拉升，截至收盘，上证综指涨1.41%（重回4100点上方），深证成指涨2.17%，创业板指涨2.98%，科创50指数涨2.51%。沪深北三市合计 成交约2.27万亿元，较此前一日增加逾1000亿元。 同日，亚太主要股指也集体走高。其中，日经225指数收盘上涨3.89%，韩国综合指数涨超4%，澳洲标普200指数涨1.85%。 在海外流动性预期复杂、市场波动较大的情况下，A股三大指数反弹的持续性以及"持币还是持股过节"的选择，成为投资者关注的焦点。 永安期货（600927）股指高级分析师华翔告诉期货日报记者，近期股市大幅波动的主要原因有三个：一是融资保证金比例上调抑制了部分概念炒作，当前 市场杠杆风险已明显降低；二是市场对美联储潜在政策转向的担忧引发大宗商品及周期股显著回调，目前相关风险资产的估值更加合理；三是美国科技巨 头的巨额资本开支计划引发盈利忧虑，打击了AI相关板块。华翔认为，在经历了这三重考验后，市场表现出较强的韧性，2月初A股三大指数回调反而 为"春季躁动"行情创造了更有利的条件。 A股市场超4600股飘红。其中，半导体板块拉升，芯原股份涨近15%，国芯科技涨近13%，复旦微电涨近10% ...

写在文章前的声明：在本文之前的说明：本文中所列的投资信息，只是一个对基金资产净值进行排行的客观描述，并无主观倾向性，也不是投资建议，纯属 娱乐性质。 一顿操作猛如虎，基金净值已更新，谁是基金中的王者，谁又垫底，请看数据： | 基金简称 PK | | | 最新净体制号学风雨圆人 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 华富成长趋 ... C | 1.9890 | 9.15% | | | | 020383 | 2026-2-9 | | | | 2 | 华富成长趋 ... A | 2.0245 | 9.15% | 8 | | | 410003 | 2026-2-9 | | | | 3 | 浦银安盛数 ... A | 1.5042 | 8.73% | | | | 025421 | 2026-2-9 | | | | 4 | 浦银安盛数 ... C | 1.5024 | 8.73% | 8 | | | 025422 | 2026-2-9 | | | | 5 | 长城久祥混合A | 1.8651 | 8.58% | 8 | | | 001613 | 2026-2-9 | | | ...