智通财经记者 | 龙力 在股票策略"独占鳌头"的同时，今年以来多资产策略私募产品也越来越受追捧。 据私募排排网统计数据，1-10月多资产策略产品的备案数量共有1400只，仅次于股票策略产品。 多资产策略主要通过投资于多种不同类型的资产及策略，实现风险分散以及收益优化，二级策略方面， 又可以细分为宏观策略、复合策略和套利策略等。 优美利投资首席研究员李宁对智通财经表示，多资产策略受到欢迎的原因主要有以下三个方面：一是 2024-2025年全球资产价格波动显著，A股宽幅震荡、商品市场（如黄金）异动频发，单一资产策略风 险暴露，多资产策略通过跨股票、债券、商品等低相关性资产配置，有效对冲了局部市场下跌风险。二 是投资者需求升级，高净值客户转向"风险收益匹配"，资金量越大越关注安全性，多资产策略接受度提 升，同时银行理财净值化转型，预期收益型产品消失，低波动、稳收益需求激增。三是养老金、保险等 长期资金在无风险利率下行背景下，寻求"CPI+3%-5%"的绝对收益目标，多资产策略成为重要载体。 业绩表现方面，多资产策略私募产品表现"亮眼"。私募排排网数据显示，截至11月14日，在该网站有记 录显示的多资产策略产品年内的 ...

Core Insights - Multi-asset strategy products have gained popularity in recent years, with 1,400 products registered from January to October 2025, second only to stock strategy products [2] - The average annual return for multi-asset strategies is 20.37%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.65, indicating stable performance compared to other strategies [3][4] Performance Overview - The average returns and performance metrics for various private equity strategies are as follows: - Stock Strategy: 29.54% return, 93.14% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.56, volatility of 35.96%, and drawdown of 11.20% [3] - Multi-Asset Strategy: 20.37% return, 91.73% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.65, volatility of 25.84%, and drawdown of 7.41% [3] - Composite Fund: 18.98% return, 96.34% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.89, volatility of 15.61%, and drawdown of 6.62% [3] - Futures and Derivatives Strategy: 13.79% return, 82.49% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.11, volatility of 48.73%, and drawdown of 8.06% [3] - Bond Strategy: 8.46% return, 92.10% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.93, volatility of 11.76%, and drawdown of 3.21% [3] Reasons for Increased Attention - Single asset strategies face limitations in risk resistance, prompting managers to seek new alpha across asset classes [4] - In a low-interest-rate environment and under new asset management regulations, high-net-worth clients and managers need to balance net value fluctuations with absolute returns, which multi-asset strategies can provide [4] - The proliferation of tools such as risk parity, machine learning factors, and cross-asset real-time risk control platforms has enabled managers to effectively expand and reconstruct their research and investment systems [4] Sub-Strategy Performance - Among sub-strategies, macro strategies exhibit the highest average returns, positive return ratios, and Sharpe ratios [5][6] - Arbitrage strategies show lower volatility and drawdown compared to macro and composite strategies, indicating more stable performance [5]

股债定价各有独立逻辑，定价的结果或均偏向止盈。 投资要点： 市 场 策 略 周 报 股弱债不强，意味着什么 [Table_Authors] 唐元懋(分析师) 本报告导读： 证 券 研 究 报 告 | | 0755-23976753 | | --- | --- | | | tangyuanmao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | | 杜润琛(研究助理) | | | 021-38031034 | | | durunchen@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880123090079 | | | 孙越(分析师) | | | 021-38031033 | | | sunyue6@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525080004 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 区间震荡行情延续 2025.11.22 美元流动性收紧何时缓解 2025.11.18 大行短端买入力度减弱 2025.11.18 本轮移仓有何特征和机会 20251117 2025.11.17 大行融出回落，存单发行提升，6M 期限最多 2025.11.17 请务必阅读正文之后 ...

Core Insights - In October 2023, A-shares experienced a high-level fluctuation, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly rising by 1.85%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 1.1% and 1.56% respectively [2] - A total of 2,448 private equity products reached historical highs in net value, accounting for approximately 48.60% of private equity products established for over one year [2][3] - Among these products, 1,367 were non-quantitative, while 1,081 were quantitative [2] - The majority of products employed stock strategies, with 1,344 products (approximately 54.9%), followed by multi-asset strategies (397), futures and derivatives strategies (383), bond strategies (224), and combination fund products (100) [2] Product Types - Non-quantitative products accounted for 1,367, while quantitative products made up 1,081 [2] - Stock strategy products were the most prevalent, with 1,344 products, followed by multi-asset strategies (397), futures and derivatives strategies (383), bond strategies (224), and combination fund products (100) [2] Company Size - The largest number of products came from private equity firms with assets under 500 million, totaling 864 products (35% of the total) [3] - There were 430 products from firms with over 10 billion in assets [3] High-Performing Private Equity Firms - A total of 42 private equity firms had all their products reach historical highs in October, with 20 being subjective private equity firms, 14 quantitative, and 8 combining both strategies [4][5] - Among these, five firms with over 10 billion in assets included Ningbo Huanfang Quantitative, Century Frontier, Jiukun Investment, Qilin Investment, and Honghu Private Equity [5] Notable Products - The "Double Ten Fund" category, which includes products established for over 10 years with annualized returns exceeding 10%, had 18 products, with 13 being subjective long products [9] - Notable high-performing products included those from Beijing Xiyue Private Equity, which topped the subjective long product category, and Jiukun Investment, which had 18 products with significant returns [19][27] Strategy Performance - In the futures and derivatives strategy category, 197 products reached historical highs, with the top five products coming from Yizu Investment and Chiying Private Equity [20] - The multi-asset strategy category had 245 products, with the top performers being from Lu Yuan Private Equity and Hai Sheng Fund [24][27]

Core Viewpoint - Since 2025, global gold assets have maintained a strong market driven by three main factors: a phase of declining real interest rates, persistent geopolitical risks and uncertainty in U.S. domestic policies, and continued buying by global central banks, particularly from emerging economies [2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The decline in global real interest rates is influenced by the U.S. fiscal deficit and long-term debt structure, making it difficult for real rates to rise further, while persistent inflation enhances long-term demand for gold [2]. - Geopolitical risks, including conflicts in the Middle East and deteriorating security in Europe, along with uncertainties following the Trump administration's policies, have structurally increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [2]. - Central banks remain the largest buyers of gold, with emerging market central banks continuing to purchase gold, providing long-term support for gold prices [3]. Group 2: Policy Impact - Recent tax policy adjustments in China regarding gold transactions mark a significant structural change in the gold market, effective from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, affecting standard gold transactions [5][6]. - The new tax policies aim to clarify the tax burden and usage of gold, impacting costs for off-exchange gold, price differentials, retail premiums, and the structure of futures and ETFs, rather than directly altering domestic gold prices [6]. - Gold ETFs are expected to be the most affected by the new policies, as the attractiveness of physical gold for secondary sales diminishes, while virtual gold instruments like paper gold and ETFs remain unaffected by the VAT adjustments [10]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The high beta sensitivity of gold assets to macroeconomic trends makes them a preferred choice for quantitative CTA, multi-asset strategies, and discretionary long strategies [5]. - The stricter regulations on gold withdrawal and usage declarations may lead to a decrease in arbitrage scale in futures, potentially increasing price volatility and enhancing the correlation of futures with international gold prices during trending markets [10].

Core Insights - The A-share market has shown a slow upward trend this year, supported by policy measures in the bond market, which has seen a recovery in the latter half of the year. The commodity futures market has displayed significant differentiation, with stock index futures and precious metals performing particularly well [1] Summary by Category Private Fund Performance - As of the end of October, 91.33% of the 10,969 private funds achieved positive returns, with an average return rate of 24.32%. The top 5% of funds recorded an impressive return rate of 72.03% [1] Strategy Types - Equity strategies led the five major strategies with an average return rate of 29.52%, and 92.73% of these products generated positive returns. Among 6,931 products, 6,427 were profitable, with the top 5% achieving a return of 82.48%, significantly higher than other strategies [1] - Multi-asset strategies ranked second with an average return rate of 19.71% and a positive return product ratio of 91.61%. This strategy effectively captured the equity market's upward momentum while diversifying risks through bonds and commodities [1] - Combination funds demonstrated strong profitability stability, with 96.85% of products yielding positive returns. Out of 476 products, only 15 reported losses, although the average return rate of 17.86% was slightly lower than that of multi-asset strategies [1]

Core Insights - The private equity fund distribution scale has significantly increased this year, with a total distribution amount exceeding 15.158 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 263.76% compared to 4.167 billion yuan last year [1][2] Distribution Overview - As of October 31, 2025, out of 5,558 private equity products with performance displays, 1,135 products have implemented distributions, accounting for 20.42% of the total [1] - The total number of distributions reached 1,443 times, with the distribution amount surpassing 15.158 billion yuan [1][2] Strategy Analysis - Stock strategy products are the main contributors to distributions, with 848 distributions totaling 11.586 billion yuan, representing 76.43% of the total distribution amount [2][3] - Multi-asset strategies had 209 distributions amounting to 1.376 billion yuan, accounting for 9.08% [2][3] - Futures and derivatives strategies and bond strategies had similar distribution amounts of approximately 936 million yuan and 937 million yuan, each accounting for 6.18% [2][3] - Combination funds had a smaller distribution scale, with 65 distributions totaling 323 million yuan, representing 2.13% [2][3] Performance Drivers - The significant increase in distribution scale is attributed to three main factors: strong overall performance of private equity funds, with an average return of 24% this year, and over 90% of products achieving positive returns [2][4] - Stock strategies performed particularly well, with average returns close to 30%, providing a solid foundation for distributions [2][4] - Distributions help investors convert paper profits into actual gains, enhancing confidence in holding and trust in fund managers [2][4] Management Approach - Subjective private equity funds have shown a higher distribution frequency, with 943 distributions totaling 10.042 billion yuan, accounting for 66.25% of the total [3][4] - Quantitative private equity funds, despite strong performance, had a distribution amount of only 5.116 billion yuan, representing 33.75% [3][4] - The distribution strategy differs, with subjective funds focusing on long-term value investment and quantitative funds being more conservative in distribution frequency and amount [4] Scale Impact - Private equity funds with over 10 billion yuan in assets have a dominant position in distributions, with 152 distributions totaling 5.479 billion yuan, accounting for 36.14% of the total distribution amount [4]

Core Insights - The A-share market has shown a slow upward trend this year, with 91.33% of private equity funds achieving positive returns and an average return rate of 24.32% as of the end of October [1] - Stock strategies lead the performance among five major strategies with an average return of 29.52%, and 92.73% of products reporting positive returns [1] - Multi-asset strategies have an average return of 19.71% and a positive return rate of 91.61%, effectively capturing market gains while diversifying risks [1] Group 1: Private Equity Fund Performance - As of October, 10,969 private equity funds were tracked, with 91.33% achieving positive returns and an average return rate of 24.32% [1] - The top 5% of funds achieved a remarkable return of 72.03%, indicating a strong performance in high-yield products [1] - Stock strategies outperformed with an average return of 29.52%, and 92.73% of products in this category reported positive returns [1] Group 2: Strategy Analysis - Multi-asset strategies ranked second with an average return of 19.71% and a positive return rate of 91.61%, benefiting from timely stock asset allocation [1] - Bond strategies showed a conservative approach with an average return of 8.77%, but 90.09% of products achieved positive returns, highlighting their risk defense capability [2] - Quantitative long strategies excelled with an average return of 36.76% and a positive return rate of 96.52%, outperforming subjective long strategies by 7.04 percentage points [2]

2025年以来，A股呈现震荡上行的慢牛格局，债券市场在政策呵护下于中后阶段迎来修复行情，商品期 货市场则整体分化显著，其中股指期货与贵金属表现尤为突出。 在此背景下，私募基金今年整体业绩亮眼。私募排排网数据显示，截至2025年10月31日，全市场10969 只私募基金中，91.33%的产品实现正收益，平均收益率达到24.32%。 多资产策略凭借跨类别配置优势，以19.71%的平均收益率位列第二，正收益产品占比为91.61%。该策 略在年内适时提升股票资产配置，有效捕捉权益市场上涨红利，同时借助债券、商品等多资产布局分散 了单一市场风险。 组合基金展现出较强的盈利稳定性，正收益产品占比高达96.85%，在476只产品中仅15只出现亏损，但 17.86%的平均收益率略低于多资产策略。 股票策略中，量化多头策略以36.76%的平均收益率和96.52%的正收益占比成为赢家，其收益率不仅显 著高于股票策略整体水平。主观多头策略虽以29.72%的收益率不及量化多头策略，不过部分深耕科技 成长赛道的主观产品凭借对产业趋势的精准判断，实现不菲收益。股票多空和市场中性策略则因对冲机 制压制了上行空间，平均收益率分别为18.29 ...

Core Viewpoint - The private equity fund distribution scale has significantly increased in 2025, with a total distribution amount exceeding 15.158 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 263.76% compared to 4.167 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][3]. Group 1: Distribution Performance - A total of 1,135 private equity products have distributed dividends this year, accounting for 20.42% of the 5,558 products with performance displays [2]. - The average return of private equity funds this year has reached 24%, with over 90% of products achieving positive returns, particularly stock strategies with an average return close to 30% [3]. - Stock strategy products have become the main force in dividend distribution, with 848 distributions totaling 11.586 billion yuan, representing 76.43% of the total distribution amount [4][10]. Group 2: Distribution by Strategy - Multi-asset strategies have distributed dividends 209 times, amounting to 1.376 billion yuan, accounting for 9.08% of the total [6]. - Futures and derivatives strategies and bond strategies have similar distribution amounts, approximately 936 million yuan and 937 million yuan respectively, each accounting for about 6.18% [6]. - Combination funds have a relatively small distribution scale, with 65 distributions totaling 323 million yuan, representing 2.13% [6][10]. Group 3: Management Mode - Subjective private equity funds have shown more active distribution, with 943 distributions totaling 10.042 billion yuan, accounting for 66.25% of the total, while quantitative private equity funds have distributed only 5.116 billion yuan, representing 33.75% [7][8]. - Subjective private equity focuses on long-term value investment and tends to distribute dividends after achieving expected profits, while quantitative private equity is more conservative in distribution decisions [7][8]. Group 4: Distribution by Fund Size - Private equity funds with a scale of over 10 billion yuan have dominated the distribution amount, with 152 distributions totaling 5.479 billion yuan, accounting for 36.14% [9]. - Smaller private equity funds (0-5 billion yuan) have the highest number of distributions at 713 times, but their total distribution amount is only 2.86 billion yuan, accounting for 18.87% [9]. - The 50-100 billion yuan scale private equity funds have shown fewer distributions with a total of 49 times and 1.122 billion yuan, representing 7.40% [9].