Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold remains a favorable investment, with a long-term optimistic outlook but a tactical approach of buying on dips to avoid chasing high prices [1] - Gold prices have shown significant growth since 2022, outperforming domestic stock markets and fixed-income products, with an annualized compound return of 9% since the Bretton Woods system collapse in 1971 [1] - The recommendation for gold allocation in traditional portfolios is at least 7.5% to optimize risk-return ratios, as suggested by Ray Dalio [2] Group 2 - Physical gold remains popular among Chinese consumers, with over 300 tons used last year, and is available through banks, brand gold stores, and online platforms [2] - Gold ETFs have developed significantly since 2013, with a scale exceeding 100 billion, offering high liquidity and transparency, suitable for risk-averse investors [2] - Gold futures are a favored trading tool among individual investors, with nearly 100 billion RMB in margin deposits, representing 20% of the entire commodity futures market [3] Group 3 - Accumulated gold products, introduced around 2010, offer low transaction costs and high convenience, making them a more accessible investment tool compared to futures and ETFs [4] - Gold stocks do not necessarily correlate with gold prices, and their performance may diverge, indicating that investors should be cautious about relying solely on gold stocks for returns [4] - Rising gold prices may negatively impact gold retail businesses, as high prices can suppress consumer demand for high-margin gold jewelry [4] Group 4 - The current risk for gold investment is the overly optimistic consensus on price increases, which may lead to market corrections [5]

再看看黄金股那边，简直是"一片绿油油"。股民们本来盼着黄金股跟着金价涨涨，结果金价这一跳水，黄金股直接表现疲软。买了黄金股的朋友，打开炒股 软件，估计得揉揉眼睛："这咋跌得这么狠？" 有人调侃说，这黄金股的走势，就像坐过山车，上一秒还想着"暴富就在眼前"，下一秒就"心哇凉哇凉"。不过 炒股嘛，本来就是有涨有跌，这也给大家提了个醒，投资有风险，入手需谨慎，尤其是跟风买的时候，得多琢磨琢磨。 那为啥金价会突然跳水呢？这里面门道可不少。国际黄金市场受好多因素影响，像美元走势、地缘政治、市场供需啥的。说不定是美元指数波动，或者市场 对经济预期有变化，导致资金从黄金市场流出，金价就扛不住了。就好比一堆人本来在黄金池子里"游泳"，突然有人喊"那边有更好玩的"，大家就哗啦一下 跑了，金价可不就往下掉嘛。当然，具体原因还得看金融专家们分析，但对于咱普通人来说，知道金价波动受这些因素影响，以后再关注金价，也能多猜几 分"套路"。 这事儿也反映出国际金融市场的"风云变幻"。黄金一直被当成避险资产，可市场一有风吹草动，它的价格就跟着"跳舞"。对于普通投资者和消费者来说，得 学会"见招拆招"。想投资黄金的，别光看价格涨跌，得了解市场 ...

特朗普还表示黄金股"将给（美国方面）带来完全控制"。 围绕日铁收购美国钢铁公司的计划，特朗普提及"黄金股"（reuters） 特朗普表示："我们将持有（美国钢铁公司的）黄金股。由总统控制"，还称"美国人将拥有51%的所有 权"。虽然没有详细说明，但强调称这将成为美方管理美国钢铁公司经营的框架。特朗普此前被认为将 在6月5日之前公布有关收购的最终判断，但目前仍未公布…… 美国总统特朗普6月12日就日本制铁收购美国钢铁公司的计划表示，"我们将持有（美国钢铁 公司的）黄金股。由总统控制"。虽然没有详细说明，但强调称这将成为美方管理美国钢铁公 司经营的框架。 6月12日，特朗普在白宫对记者做出了上述表态。他在就关税政策和汽车管制等其他事项进行 说明的同时，简短提及了日铁的收购计划。 为了最终批准日铁的收购计划，特朗普必须先废除前总统拜登1月发布的收购禁令。日铁为了 实现收购，与美国政府签订"国家安全保障协定"或成为条件。其中可能纳入避免将总部转移 到美国以外等的内容。 日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）八十岛绫平 华盛顿 版权声明：日本经济新闻社版权所有，未经授权不得转载或部分复制，违者必究。 日经中文网 https ...

Market Overview - On June 5, 2025, A-shares saw collective gains across the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.23%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.58%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.17%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.29 trillion yuan, an increase of 137.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1]. ETF Performance - The AI industry ETFs led the market gains, with several ETFs such as the Information Technology ETF (512330) and various AI-focused ETFs showing significant increases. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasized the importance of integrating technology and industry innovation during a keynote speech at the Tianjin Financial Forum [2]. AI Industry Insights - Western Securities highlighted the upward trend in the AI industry, driven by enhanced reasoning capabilities. The release of the Claude4 series has significantly improved programming capabilities, with the ClaudeOpus4 model excelling in coding benchmarks. The DeepSeekR1 model's accuracy increased from 70% to 87.5% in the AIME2025 test. Google I/O 2025 showcased comprehensive upgrades in AI models and products, indicating a strong investment direction in AI agents and computing power [3]. Credit Bond ETF Market - The credit bond ETFs have been included in the repurchase pledge library, marking a significant institutional innovation in China's bond market. This move is expected to enhance market liquidity and allow investors to use credit bond ETFs as collateral for repurchase financing, thereby improving capital efficiency and reducing financing costs for enterprises [6]. Innovation in Pharmaceutical Sector - The innovative pharmaceutical sector remains a core focus, with a sustainable trend towards "innovation + internationalization." The sector is expected to benefit from policy support and improved global competitiveness. The demand for medical services and related sectors is anticipated to recover in 2025, driven by a favorable economic outlook [4].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing unprecedented volatility and uncertainty, with recent price fluctuations driven by geopolitical tensions and economic factors [1][2]. Price Trends - On June 2, international gold prices surged past the key resistance level of $3,300 per ounce, closing at $3,406 per ounce, marking a nearly 3% increase and the largest single-day gain in three weeks [1]. - Earlier in April, gold prices reached a historical high of $3,509 per ounce before dropping to $3,245 due to easing geopolitical tensions, followed by a recovery supported by central bank gold purchases and rising inflation expectations in the U.S. [1]. Market Influences - The sensitivity of gold prices is attributed to its status as a recognized safe-haven asset, closely linked to global economic conditions, including U.S. Federal Reserve policy shifts, geopolitical conflicts, and global inflation trends [2]. - Major Wall Street firms have raised their gold price forecasts, with Goldman Sachs projecting a target price of $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, and JPMorgan predicting that gold could reach $4,000 sooner than expected [2]. Investment Trends - There is a growing trend of retail investors participating in gold investments, driven by social media discussions and investment analysis videos, leading to a surge in interest [3]. - Some investors are resorting to high-risk financing methods, such as consumer loans and credit cards, to invest in gold, which poses significant financial risks if prices decline [3]. Investment Strategies - Various investment methods for gold include physical gold (bars, coins) and gold ETFs, with the latter offering lower costs and higher liquidity [3]. - The 华夏 Gold ETF (518850) has gained attention for its strong performance, and investors can also consider ETF-linked funds for similar investment benefits [4].

Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in international gold prices is driven by heightened risk aversion and economic concerns, with potential long-term benefits for gold and gold-related stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - International gold prices have resumed an upward trend, with COMEX gold surpassing $3,400 per ounce and London spot gold rising by 2.5% to exceed $3,370 per ounce [1]. - The rise in gold prices is attributed to renewed risk aversion due to increased tariffs on steel and aluminum by the U.S. and retaliatory measures from the EU, alongside escalating geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent economic data, including the U.S. May ISM Manufacturing PMI and the final value of the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, fell below expectations, indicating negative impacts from tariff conflicts on the economy [1]. - The weakening of the U.S. dollar is noted as a contributing factor to the rise in gold prices [1]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Gold stocks are highlighted as having a higher investment value compared to gold assets, with strong first-quarter earnings reports from gold mining companies exceeding market expectations [2]. - The ongoing upward movement in gold prices and the expansion of gold mining companies are expected to sustain high growth in corporate earnings [2]. - Current valuations of major gold stocks are below historical averages, suggesting potential for systemic valuation increases as gold prices rise [2]. - Investors are encouraged to focus on gold stocks and assets, seizing the historical opportunity as the gold industry transitions from "cyclical beta" to "growth alpha" [2].

黄金股（附否决权的股票）拥有比普通表决权更大的权限，即使只有一股，也可以否决董事的选 任、解聘或股东大会决议等。日铁为实现收购，正在与美国政府进行最后阶段的磋商，最终也有 可能不转让黄金股…… 美国钢铁公司总部所在的美国宾夕法尼亚州选出的参议员戴维·麦考密克（共和党）27日在接受 美国消费者新闻与商业频道（CNBC）采访时表示，"美国钢铁公司的首席执行官（CEO）必须是 美国人，董事会的一半以上为美国人。可能会发行'黄金股'吧"。 日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）5月27日获悉，围绕收购美国钢铁公司，日本制铁正在讨 论将即使持有少数股份也可以对重要事项行使否决权的"黄金股"让渡给美国政府。黄金股是众多 方案之一，似乎尚未向美国政府提出。日铁为实现收购，正在与美国政府进行最后阶段的磋商， 最终也有可能不转让黄金股。 版权声明：日本经济新闻社版权所有，未经授权不得转载或部分复制，违者必究。 黄金股（附否决权的股票）拥有比普通表决权更大的权限，即使只有一股，也可以否决董事的选 任、解聘或股东大会决议等。如果拥有美国钢铁公司的黄金股，美国政府在日铁收购后也能保持 对美钢的影响力。 对于提出将美钢全资子公司化的日铁， ...

新华财经东京5月28日电（记者钱铮）据多家日本媒体27日报道，日本制铁公司正在考虑给与美国政府 能对重要事项行使否决权的"黄金股"，以降低美方安全保障方面的担忧，促进该公司收购美国钢铁公司 的交易。 "黄金股"是一种特殊的股份，持有者即使只有少额的出资，也能对董事选任解聘、合并及业务转让等经 营重要事项行使否决权。作为反收购防御策略之一，该机制可在股东大会上否决敌意收购方提出的议 案。虽然具有保护企业经营自主性等优势，但也存在弊端，即持有这种＂黄金股＂的股东可能获得过度 集中的权力，进而对企业经营的透明度产生负面影响。 据共同社、《日本经济新闻》等当地媒体27日报道，日铁原本计划收购美钢100%的股份，使美钢成为 全资子公司，但并不清楚美国总统特朗普会批准日铁多少的出资比例。特朗普虽然23日在社交媒体上称 美钢和日铁将达成"计划中的合作伙伴关系"，表明了给这桩收购交易放行的想法，但他25日又表示，美 国将掌控美钢，又强调日铁只是投资，只拥有部分所有权。 若今后与美国政府的协商陷入僵局，日铁方面可能向美国政府提出"黄金股"的方案。"黄金股"重点是否 决权，持有者一般出资很少，这样日铁的出资比例有望接近100%， ...

长按即可参与 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： David_Pan 来源：雪球 雪球三分法是雪球基于"长期投资+资产配置"推出的基金配置理念，通过资产分散、市场分散、时机分散 这三大分散进行基金长期投资，从而实现投资收益来源多元化和风险分散化。 | 1本投资好书，0元包邮到家 | | --- | | 7天系统课程,搭建投资框架 | | 市场深度解析,投资机会早知道 | | 高手社群交流,扫平投资认知差 | 要知道 ， 市场公认各国央行增持是本轮黄金上涨的重要推手 ， 而其中最大的中国央行暂停增持 ， 无疑会对黄金的上涨逻辑形成重大打击 。 由于历史上中国央行每轮增持黄金 ， 无一例外均 出现了黄金的大涨 ， 因此市场中有一部分很聪明的资金是紧盯着中国央行做黄金 ， 央行买他就 买 ， 央行不买他就卖 ， 这部分资金可谓从无败绩 ， 我们为什么敢于去接盘呢 ？ 先回顾上一轮央行停止增持黄金的影响 。 央行上一轮自2022年11月开始增持黄金 ， 起初黄金 价格只是温和上涨 ， 但进入2024年后黄金突然加速上涨 ， 至6月初年内涨幅就高达到15% 。 ...

随着全球资本市场的恐慌情绪持续升温，避险需求推动黄金价格再创历史新高。 4月11日， COMEX黄金站上3200美元/盎司，盘中一度触及3241.5美元/盎司，再度刷新历史新高；同 时，沪金大涨超2%，盘中一度突破760元/克；黄金股随之大涨，四川黄金涨停，益民集团、赤峰黄金分 别大涨7.91%、7.67%。 国内各金饰品牌挂牌价格也随之攀升至历史新高，最高突破1000元/克。据了解，11日，周六福足金 999.9挂牌价格已经达到1010元/克；周生生足金饰品挂牌价已达991元/克；周大福、周大生、六福珠 宝、潮宏基、谢瑞麟等足金饰品挂牌价均为990元/克。 多位基金经理认为，在本轮资本市场恐慌抛售中，虽然国际金价一度回调，但由于美债在流动性冲击下避 险功能逐渐丧失，黄金作为避险资产的地位进一步强化，或将开启新一轮上涨趋势。 黄金价格V形反转 回顾近期行情，黄金价格走出了一段明显的V形反转行情。 4月3日至4月7日， COMEX黄金连续下跌，两个交易日回调近4%，盘中一度跌破3000美元/盎司。华安 基金认为，这主要是因为受美国关税政策影响，全球主要股指都蒙受了较大的跌幅，这意味着与之挂钩的 衍生品直面平仓的 ...