从技术分析的角度，今日的走势说明整数关口的突破并不有效，3900点以上仍然存在较大压力，反而市 场的先扬后抑一定程度挫伤了多头的做多热情。从15分钟级别来看，昨日的上涨呈现涨幅逐渐衰减的特 征，体现了多头接力力度的衰竭；而今日的下挫则较为流畅，直至昨日早盘低点支撑区间才略有企稳， 恐高情绪的扩散不言而喻。 上证综指收盘下跌36.94点，跌幅：0.94%，报3897.03点；深证成指收盘下跌370.14点，跌幅：2.7%，报 13355.42点；创业板指收盘下跌148.56点，跌幅：4.55%，报3113.26点。假期结束，节前避险的资金重 新活跃，成交量恢复至节前较高水平。沪深两市成交额约2.5万亿，较昨日缩量超1000亿。 板块方面，今日热点轮动加速。前期表现稍弱的反内卷板块涨幅居前，建材、煤炭等有所表现。红利板 块出现反弹，多支银行个股出现止跌迹象。受券商调整中芯国际折算率等消息影响，市场对科技成长股 过高估值水平的担忧逐渐发酵，前期表现亮眼的科技成长板块集体杀跌。 节后开盘首日沪指气势如虹，受长假期间贵金属及港美科技股大涨刺激，"有色+科技"携手并进， 一举 攻下3900点压力位。今日则风云突变，受券商 ...

今日早盘，红利板块逆势走强，截至午间收盘，中证红利指数上涨0.9%，中证红利价值指数上涨0.9%，中证红利低波动指数上涨0.6%，恒生港股通高股息 低波动指数上涨0.2%。Wind数据显示，截至昨日，红利ETF易方达（515180）和红利低波动ETF（563020）均连续5个交易日获资金净流入。 红利价值ETF 跟踪中证红利价值指数 该指数由50只股息率高且价值特征 突出的股票组成,反映分红水平高 且价值特征突出股票的整体表现, 银行、煤炭、交通运输行业合计占 比约80% 截至午间收盘 该指数涨跌 该指数自201 以来估值分 上以AJ手以限NJ以示垃圾,以吹川 红水平高且波动率低的港股通范围 内上市公司整体表现,金融、工业、 能源行业占比近70% 7.0倍 0. 2% 该指数 滚动市盈率 7. 3倍 0. 9% 67.7' 注1："该指数"指各上述基金产品具体提踪的指数。数据来自川ind，指数涨跌幅截至2025年10月10日午间收盘，滚动市盈率及其所处分位、股息率截至2025年10月9日 公司股东的净利润，该估值指标和企业盈利紧密相关，适用于盈利相对稳定且受周期影响较小的行业。指数滚动市盈率所处分位指该指数历 ...

7月10日至9月19日，中证银行下跌了12.85%，在这一日，中证银行下破年线。在随后的几天时间里， 中证银行指数连续震荡。节前2天连跌，国庆后首个交易日继续下跌，那么银行板块后市会如何呢？还 会不会再次起跳？ 首先要清楚，银行板块前期为何要调整？主要是7月以来，市场风险偏好明显提升导致的。作为上半年 申万31个行业中涨幅第3的银行，浮盈较大，又是典型红利板块，因此面临资金跷跷板，不足为奇。 但是从中证银行的成分股内部来看，还是有分化的，在7月10日-9月19日这个区间里，17只城商行股票 下跌均值是11.67%，10只农商行股票下跌均值是11.62%，9只股份制行股票下跌均值是15.68%，6只国 有大型银行股票下跌均值是4.25%。可以看出主要是股份制银行拖累导致指数整体12.85%的跌幅。这或 许跟三季度债市出现回调有关系。因为国有大行因为OCI储备充足，抗波动能力还是较强的，所以其的 区间跌幅也是相对小的。 从银行板块自身的基本面来说，盈利预期依旧稳健。浙商证券（601878）认为，2025年下半年上市的银 行利润维持小幅正增，主要原因是得益于息差拖累改善和减值贡献加大。上半年42家上市银行光净利润 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the market is in an upward trend, with the key observation variable being whether the market's profit effect can be sustained. As long as the profit effect remains positive, incremental funds are expected to continue entering the market [2][10][14] - The current WIND All A trend line is around 6184 points, with a profit effect of approximately 0.66%, still positive. It is advised to hold positions until the profit effect turns negative [2][10][14] - The industry allocation model suggests that the precious metals sector is still in an upward trend and should be monitored. Additionally, sectors benefiting from policy-driven initiatives, such as new energy and chemicals, are expected to perform well [2][10][14] Market Overview - The market is currently showing a profit effect of about 0.66%, indicating a positive environment for investment. The report suggests maintaining positions until the profit effect turns negative [2][10][14] - The valuation indicators for the WIND All A index show a PE at the 85th percentile and a PB at the 50th percentile, indicating a moderate valuation level [2][10][14] - The report recommends an 80% allocation to absolute return products based on the current market conditions and trends [2][10][14] Industry Focus - The report highlights the precious metals sector as a continuing upward trend, which should be closely monitored [2][10][14] - The technology sector, particularly chips and robotics, is recommended for continued focus based on the TWO BETA model [2][10][14] - Given the uncertainties surrounding the upcoming National Day holiday, there is a specific emphasis on focusing on dividend-paying sectors as a defensive strategy [2][10][14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the increasing interest in high-dividend ETFs, particularly the Hongli State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720), which has attracted over 280 million yuan in the past 10 days, indicating a strong preference for stable income investments in a volatile market [1] - The Hongli State-Owned Enterprise ETF tracks the Shangguo Dividend Index (000151), which selects stocks with high dividend characteristics and stable dividend performance, primarily covering traditional sectors such as finance, energy, and industry [1] - The ETF has consistently paid dividends for 17 consecutive months since its listing, making it one of the few ETFs that practice monthly dividends, appealing to investors looking for steady income [1] Group 2 - The high-dividend sector is becoming a primary safe haven for short-term funds, reflecting a robust preference for stable investment strategies among domestic institutional investors [1] - Northbound capital remains active in the market, with daily trading volumes at relatively high levels, indicating strong participation intentions despite market fluctuations [1] - The dividend-paying characteristics of the Hongli State-Owned Enterprise ETF align with the "anti-involution" policy direction, enhancing its attractiveness to foreign and long-term investors during market adjustments [1]

酷望基金刘刚认为，银行保险短期强势属于技术性反弹，尚不具备趋势上涨条件。 国融证券高级投资顾问刘云龙认为，红利板块短线走强值得关注。 深圳闪金资管基金经理谢爱民认为，红利板块连续回调迎来技术反弹。 ...

根据wind数据，现金流ETF（159399）连续5日净流入近2亿元，资金积极布局。 每日经济新闻 华泰证券表示，在利率下行压力加大的背景下，上市保险公司1H25加快配置高息股，以弥补现金 收益缺口。华泰证券估计，主要上市保险公司FVOCI股票（主要为红利股）的平均配置比例较年初提升 1.3ppts至4.2%，FVOCI股票余额增加近3200亿元。保险公司配置比例分化加大，部分公司或仍处于欠配 状态。此外，由于股市向好、政策大力推进险资入市等因素，上市保险公司的FVTPL股票（主要为交 易型股票）配置比例亦有所提升，较年初上升0.3ppts至5.5%。 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 投资者可关注现金流ETF（159399）。市场表现来看，标的指数富时现金流指数2016年至2024年连 续9年跑赢中证红利指数和沪深300指数。现金流 ETF（159399）的标的指数聚焦大中市值，标的指数 央国企占比高于同类现金流指数，月月可评估分红，自上市以来已经连续分红7个月，感兴趣的投资者 或可持续关注。 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰富时中国A股自由现金流聚焦ETF发起联接A（023919），国泰 富时中国A股自由现金流聚焦E ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of the Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index and its constituent stocks, with significant gains observed in companies like Tebian Electric Apparatus and Pudong Construction [2] - As of September 17, 2025, the Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF has seen a price increase of 0.28%, reaching 1.07 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 3.52% over the past three months [2] - The liquidity of the Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF is noted, with a turnover of 1.04% and a trading volume of 13.73 million yuan on September 16, 2025 [2] Group 2 - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) reported that central enterprises have invested 8.6 trillion yuan in strategic emerging industries since the 14th Five-Year Plan, significantly increasing from the previous period [2] - The investment focus includes sectors such as integrated circuits, biotechnology, and new energy vehicles, with notable advancements in humanoid robots and superconducting quantum computing [2] - According to Everbright Securities, the investment logic in the dividend sector is shifting from style-driven to stock-driven, with traditional high-dividend industries like construction materials and coal showing strong performance [3] Group 3 - The latest scale of the Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF reached 1.317 billion yuan, marking a one-year high, with the number of shares also reaching 1.238 billion, another one-year high [3] - The ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past five days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 26.6582 million yuan, totaling 59.1668 million yuan in net inflows [3] - The Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index tracks 100 stocks characterized by good liquidity, continuous dividends, high dividend yields, and low volatility, reflecting the overall performance of such securities [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index and the related ETF, highlighting the shift in investment logic from style-driven to stock-driven, with a focus on high-quality stocks in traditional high-dividend sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 16, 2025, the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) decreased by 0.26% [1]. - The leading stocks included Huamao Logistics (603128) up by 2.76%, Jianfa Co. (600153) up by 2.08%, and Jinkong Coal Industry (601001) up by 1.83% [1]. - The National Enterprise Dividend ETF (159515) was adjusted to a latest price of 1.14 yuan, with an intraday turnover of 0.89% and a total transaction of 428,400 yuan [1]. Group 2: Investment Trends - The investment logic in the dividend sector is transitioning from style-driven to stock-driven, with traditional high-dividend industries like construction materials, coal, and steel seeing significant gains [2]. - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index comprises 100 listed companies selected for their high cash dividend yields and stable dividends, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend securities among state-owned enterprises [2]. - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 16.84% of the total index weight, with notable companies including COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937) [2][4].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index (HSHYLV.HI) decreased by 0.40%, with notable gainers including Cheung Kong (+0.3%), Hang Seng Bank (+0.7%), and Henderson Land (+1.3%) [1] - The Hang Seng Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159545) has seen a net inflow of over 1.9 billion in the last 60 days, with a current fund size of 4.114 billion, making it the largest in its category [1] - The U.S. Labor Department reported an August CPI of 2.9% year-on-year, matching expectations and slightly up from the previous 2.7%, leading traders to increase bets on Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159545) has a mechanism for evaluating excess returns and distributable profits quarterly, enhancing cash yield stability for investors [2] - The E Fund Dividend Index series aims for monthly dividends through a combination of ETFs, including the Hang Seng Dividend Low Volatility ETF, to meet monthly cash flow needs [2] Group 3 - Related products include various E Fund Dividend ETFs, such as E Fund Dividend ETF (515180) and E Fund CSI Dividend ETF Link A (009051) [3]