Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that spot gold prices are experiencing slight declines due to negative pressure from the EMA50 moving average, particularly after breaking below a short-term bullish trendline, which has intensified selling pressure [1] - The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has reached a significantly oversold level, suggesting a potential for positive momentum that could pave the way for a short-term rebound in gold prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Mobile (00941) has reported a significant increase in the number of 5G base stations under construction, exceeding market expectations, which has led to heightened anticipation for future data service growth. However, concerns regarding increased capital expenditure potentially impacting short-term profits are influencing stock price movements [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of the last trading day, China Mobile's stock closed at HKD 86.9, reflecting a daily increase of 1.11% with a trading volume of HKD 2.167 billion [1]. - The stock is currently in a rebound phase, with a first support level at HKD 83.7 and a second support level at HKD 80.4. The first resistance level is at HKD 90.1, with a higher resistance at HKD 93.4 [3]. - Technical indicators show a neutral summary signal, with a strength of 10, while multiple moving averages indicate a "buy" signal. However, various oscillators suggest a neutral stance, with the RSI at 54, indicating market indecision regarding short-term trends [1]. Group 2: Product Performance - Historical product performance indicates that on August 6, 2025, China Mobile's stock rose by 1.58%, with associated warrants and certificates showing significant leverage effects, such as a 24% increase in a specific call warrant [5]. - For those optimistic about continued rebounds, HSBC call warrants (26612) have a leverage of 20.3 times with an exercise price of HKD 90.05, while Bank of China call warrants (14068) have a leverage of 18.7 times with the same exercise price [8][9]. - Conversely, for those concerned about potential resistance to the rebound, HSBC put warrants (19060) and UBS put warrants (18846) offer leverage of 13.1 and 13.5 times, respectively, with exercise prices around HKD 71.83 and HKD 71.88 [8][10]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The market is currently evaluating whether China Mobile can break through the upper resistance levels or if it will face downward pressure [10].

Group 1 - Understanding the basic concept of foreign exchange trading is essential, which involves the exchange of one country's currency for another, influenced by various economic and political factors [1] - Market analysis is crucial, utilizing both fundamental analysis, which assesses long-term currency value based on macroeconomic factors, and technical analysis, which predicts future price movements using historical price charts and indicators [1] Group 2 - Trading strategies are vital, including trend trading, swing trading, and carry trading strategies, each with distinct approaches to capitalize on market movements [2] - Risk management is key in foreign exchange trading, emphasizing the importance of setting stop-loss and take-profit levels to control potential losses and secure profits [2]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices testing the $3400 level multiple times, ultimately reaching a high of $3409, the highest since July 24 [2] - Analysts and retail investors remain bullish on gold prices for the upcoming week, focusing on geopolitical events and economic indicators [2] - The support level at $3380 is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum, while resistance is noted at $3410 [5][6] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices have shown a notable downward trend, with Brent crude oil futures dropping to $66.40 per barrel and WTI crude oil futures at $63.82 per barrel, marking a weekly decline of over 4% and 5% respectively [6] - The decline in oil prices is attributed to trade concerns and shifts in OPEC+ policies, with expectations of limited short-term rebounds due to global economic slowdown [6] - Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend for oil, with MACD indicators showing increasing bearish momentum [7]

回顧在昨日的【中銀做客】專欄中，我們的嘉賓中銀國際董事Niki也有分析到：中芯國際即將公佈業績，近期指數窄幅波幅，而個股方面，來到業績公佈期，下周也 有科技股公佈，比如騰訊，大家可以關注一下。中芯國際方面，近期股價在50元樓上，處於高位整固的格局。今日有資金流入中芯好倉。其實在我們網站，每日都會 更新當日市場裏面的焦點板塊或個股。在我們的網站首頁都有篩選焦點給個股給大家參考。比如中芯國際的認購證16557，行使價58.05元，明年3月份到期，槓桿4 倍。如果認沽證，則參考13689，行使價42.5元。明年8月到期，槓桿3倍。 今日最新股價顯示，中芯國際(00981)持續走強，升1.81%，報53.6元。技術指標顯示多頭格局強勁，MACD維持買入信號且柱狀圖持續擴大，RSI攀升至71 進入超買區間，股價已突破所有關鍵均線，MA10(51.99元)、MA30(47.86元)和MA60(44.53元)呈多頭排列，保力加通道顯示股價沿上軌運行。不過隨機指標 和威廉指標均顯示超買狀態，動量指標出現頂背離，短線技術性調整風險正在累積。 | 14:00 | | 1201 | 14:00 | | --- | --- | -- ...

（文章来源：新华财经） 技术分析网站Economies.com最新观点认为，现货金价在4小时图上再度震荡走高，并突破3375美元的关键阻力位，这表明金价在EMA50均线支持下短期涨 势仍有望延续。另一方面，随着RSI指标脱离超买状态并显示出积极迹象，也为金价进一步走高提供了助力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, with intense competition between bulls and bears around the 115.7 HKD mark, reflecting a potential turning point in market sentiment [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is showing mixed signals, with the RSI at 52 indicating a neutral zone, while MACD and Bollinger Bands suggest a buy signal. However, the Williams indicator indicates a sell signal, highlighting a potential major shift in market direction [3]. - The 10-day moving average (MA10) is at 118.43 HKD and the 30-day moving average (MA30) is at 112.71 HKD, indicating a golden cross and a positive medium-term trend, but a short-term breakout above 118 HKD is needed to confirm an upward trend [3]. Support and Resistance Levels - Strong support is identified at 111.2 HKD, with a potential drop to 107.3 HKD if this level is breached. Resistance is noted at 120.1 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge of 124.2 HKD [4]. - The stock price is approaching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase. Notably, trading volume has increased by 12% compared to the average of the previous five days, indicating a potential warning sign for investors [4]. Derivative Products - For bullish investors, Société Générale's call option (16079) offers a leverage of 6.5 times with a strike price of 132.1 HKD, while HSBC's call option (16089) provides 6.8 times leverage with the same strike price [7]. - For bearish investors, Bank of China’s put option (17704) offers 4.1 times leverage with a strike price of 96.95 HKD, and Morgan Stanley's put option (14371) provides 5.3 times leverage with a strike price of 117.18 HKD [10].

第一，黄金周线级别：上周收报一根长下影反阳K，这是明显的企稳信号，且依然坚守中轨，那么本周会延续上涨，或反复去试探前期上行通道的下轨衍生 压力点，本周将上移3460-70范围； 对于中长期趋势继续保持看涨，且是看涨中的强势阶段； 第二，白银方面：早间出现探底拉升企稳K，则36.65直接跟随看涨，最终抵达37-37.2目标阻力减持； 第三，原油方面：上周五研报指出，短期存在回落下跌，因为多次压制69.5，且失守小时线66日均线支撑，一旦破位68.4则指向67，最终符合预判，刚好最 低抵达67； 今日行情分析解读： 第二，黄金日线级别：日线短趋势也是维持看涨不变，近期三个多月的盘整属于修正期，低点逐步上移，高点三次压制3450-30范围，那么第四次再上去， 会加大上破的概率；最终结果基本迟早都会上破，就是等待时间的长短罢了，而横盘越久，后期一旦上破，延续大牛市的力度也好，时间也好，都是相对不 错的，也值得期待，等待； 上周五底部饱满大阳K，站稳5均线，且重回前期收敛三角通道之内，那么今日就基本是延续去看涨，回踩确认收敛三角下轨支 撑大概是3345-48，也是10均线位置，今日白盘试探之后，的确有支撑表现，上轨关注 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses common challenges faced by retail investors in technical analysis, emphasizing the importance of understanding key indicators and market behavior [1][3] - It highlights that using only two indicators, moving averages and trading volume, can provide a clearer picture of market trends compared to relying on multiple complex indicators [3] - The article stresses the significance of identifying support and resistance levels based on historical trading volume rather than arbitrary price points [3][4] Group 2 - It addresses the common frustration of buying high and selling low, suggesting that true market movements can be confirmed by analyzing trading volume during breakouts or breakdowns [3][4] - The article advises against a one-size-fits-all approach to setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, recommending adjustments based on the investor's holding period and market volatility [4] - It concludes that technical analysis should adapt to market conditions, emphasizing the need for investors to understand the underlying market dynamics rather than relying solely on indicators [4]