每经AI快讯，中国银河（601881）证券指出，短期来看，临近年底，市场震荡结构的特征或将延续， 行情轮动速度较快，重点关注明年政策红利与景气方向的布局机会。配置机会：(1)主线一：全球百年 未遇之大变局加速演进，国内经济底层逻辑转向新质生产力，人工智能、具身智能、新能源、可控核聚 变、量子科技、航空航天等"十五五"重点领域值得关注。(2)主线二：反内卷政策温和推进，供需结构 优化叠加价格回升预期带动下，制造业、资源板块盈利修复路径清晰。(3)辅助线一：扩大内需政策导 向下消费板块迎来布局窗口。(4)辅助线二：出海趋势将带动企业盈利空间进一步打开。 ...

Core Insights - The company is experiencing unprecedented growth opportunities in the mining service industry due to a significant increase in global demand for copper and other strategic mineral resources driven by technological innovation in emerging industries like renewable energy and artificial intelligence [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Copper Crown Mining, established in 1962, is a subsidiary of the Fortune Global 500 company Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group and plans to list on the Beijing Stock Exchange in October 2024 [1] - The company has built a strong reputation and high customer loyalty through its "large owner + large project" market strategy, establishing stable partnerships with major firms such as China Nonferrous, China Railway, and Northern Industries [1] Group 2: Service Expansion - The company has expanded its services to include mine closure and ecological restoration, implementing projects like the comprehensive management of the Aohshan tailings pond in Anhui and the closure of the Laohutou tailings pond in Tongling [2] - The company aims to develop a comprehensive service capability covering the entire lifecycle of mining, from development to operation and restoration [2] Group 3: Technological Innovation - The company is increasing its investment in technological innovation, developing core technologies such as underground intelligent monitoring and autonomous mining systems, which have been applied in various complex underground mining projects [2][3] - Future R&D directions include enhancing safety and efficiency in mining operations, ecological restoration, and developing high-end intelligent mining equipment [3] Group 4: International Strategy - The company is one of the earliest providers of mining development services to implement an international strategy, successfully operating in countries like Zambia, Congo (DRC), and Turkey [3] - The company follows a "technology output + localized operation" model to deepen integration into local industrial chains and communities [4] Group 5: Future Development Goals - The company plans to focus on intelligent, green, and integrated development, aiming for high-quality growth while enhancing core capabilities and profitability [4] - The company intends to leverage the Beijing Stock Exchange to accelerate its development, improve governance, and enhance brand credibility [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that the recent increase in consumer prices indicates a synchronized improvement in supply and demand, reflecting economic resilience and potential [1][2] - In November, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year, the highest since March 2024, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) increasing by 1.2% for three consecutive months [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking two consecutive months of growth, indicating a positive trend in industrial pricing [1] Group 2 - The increase in consumer prices is attributed to effective policy measures and the growth of new economic drivers, with specific sectors like arts and crafts, sports equipment, and nutritional foods seeing price increases of 20.6%, 4.3%, and 1.1% respectively [1] - The prices of household appliances and clothing rose by 4.9% and 2.0% year-on-year in November, while prices for services such as airline tickets and home services also increased, reflecting a shift in consumer spending patterns [2] - The sustained rise in core CPI suggests a steady increase in consumer confidence, supported by macroeconomic policies and efforts to optimize market competition and production capacity [2]

对于后市，我们比市场共识更乐观：部分投资者以政策表述从"超常规"到"跨周期"解读政策不积极，但 这存在谬误，2025年超常规是相较于2024年尾部风险暴露而言。面向2026年，中央经济工作会议明 确"巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头"，并要求财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主导"，首次提出"推动投资止跌 回稳"，并时隔十年重提房地产"去库存"；中财办副主任韩文秀表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政 策，继续实施"国补"与靠前实施"十五五"重点项目，隐含了实现"十五五"良好开局的开门红重要性。考 虑近期经济活动转淡与房地产销售面积下滑加快，政策预期有望上修。在人民币稳定的前提下，2026年 初中国央行降息预期有望提高。在交易层面，保收益降仓位已经步入尾声，岁末年初的再配置与机构资 金回流有望改善市场流动性和活跃成交，跨年攻势已经开始。 考虑到前期股指的大幅调整、总量政策加码与增量入市环境，当下是布局春季行情的重要窗口。春节前 具备产业趋势的大盘成长有望占优，受益险资"开门红"配置的大盘价值也有望反弹。看好科技/券商保 险/消费。 中信建投：跨年有望迎来新一波行情 从9月初至12月初，AH两地市场经历了较长时间的调整，投资者情绪 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights various companies' initiatives and collaborations aimed at expanding their international presence and leveraging technology, particularly AI, to enhance their operations and market reach [5][6][8][10][12]. Group 1: Company Initiatives - The video blogger team "影视飓风" has entered the B2B overseas platform Alibaba International Station, utilizing AI Agents to expand into international markets, receiving cooperation intentions from over 30 countries [5]. - The company "智动力" has successfully entered and is servicing key markets in Vietnam and India, establishing strong partnerships and making overseas business a significant part of its operations [5]. - "出门问问" launched the world's first 4G AI recording headset, TicNote Pods, which operates independently of a smartphone and is designed for various dialogue scenarios [5]. Group 2: Collaborations and Partnerships - Temu signed a memorandum of understanding with Belgian postal operator bpost group to enhance cross-border e-commerce supply chain capabilities and logistics systems in Europe and North America [6]. - Riyadh Airlines and Huawei signed a cooperation memorandum to create a new generation of digital aviation ecosystem, focusing on enhancing digital capabilities for seamless travel experiences [8]. - "北斗智联" completed a strategic financing round to accelerate its overseas expansion and product development in AI and low-altitude economy sectors, with a focus on Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [12]. Group 3: Market Expansion and Investments - "新凤鸣" plans to invest approximately $280 million in a 360,000-ton/year functional fiber project in Egypt, aiming to enhance local textile industry capabilities [10]. - "Airwallex" completed a $330 million Series G financing round, raising its valuation to $8 billion, which will support its expansion in the U.S. and other key markets [10]. - "快造科技" achieved a record-breaking crowdfunding amount for its 3D printer, indicating strong market interest and potential for significant revenue growth [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is a leader in the new energy transformer sector and is accelerating its overseas expansion while developing AIDC to create a second growth curve [1] - The company has achieved significant revenue and net profit growth, with a projected CAGR of 35% and 54% from 2020 to 2024, respectively [1] - The company is expected to return to a rapid growth trajectory by 2026, driven by overseas sales and data center business expansion [1] Summary by Sections 1. Focus on Energy and Information Industry, Actively Expanding Global Market - The company has successfully expanded its overseas customer base and is positioning itself in the data center product market [12] - The strategic focus is on energy and information sectors, with new energy products contributing significantly to revenue [15] - The company has a relatively dispersed shareholding structure, with a strong management team [18] 2. New Energy and Distribution Market Opportunities - The overseas market for new energy and distribution transformers is vast, with significant growth potential [37] - The company has made important breakthroughs in overseas markets, particularly in the U.S. distribution market [58] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the high demand for transformers driven by AIDC and grid upgrades [51] 3. Diversified AIDC Product Layout, Creating a Second Growth Engine - The global AIDC installed capacity is rapidly increasing, driving high demand for medium-voltage transformers [3] - The company has diversified its product offerings in the AIDC sector, achieving significant progress in both domestic and international markets [3] 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.8 billion, 4.9 billion, and 7.4 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 49, 29, and 19 times [1] - The target price for 2026 is set at 45.8 yuan, based on a 40 times P/E ratio [1]

Group 1 - The financial system is urged to effectively implement key financial work for 2026, focusing on risk prevention, strong regulation, and promoting high-quality development [1] - In 2025, China's economic indicators are expected to perform better than anticipated, with the total economic output projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan [2] - The central government plans to introduce incremental policies in 2026 based on changing circumstances to stabilize and improve the economy [2] Group 2 - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply, with a focus on building a strong domestic market [3] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 600 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on December 15 to maintain liquidity in the banking system [3] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with other departments, will optimize the import and export supervision measures for lithium thionyl chloride batteries starting January 1, 2026 [5] - The National Medical Insurance Administration aims to achieve "no out-of-pocket" expenses for childbirth within the policy scope nationwide by 2026 [6] Group 4 - Moller Thread stated that the management of idle fundraising will not affect the implementation of fundraising projects, emphasizing a clear plan for the use of raised funds [7] - Kweichow Moutai plans to focus on three core products in 2026, with a strategy to stabilize the market by halting the issuance of unplanned quotas for the current year [8] Group 5 - Chip Origin Technology announced the termination of the acquisition of a 97% stake in Chip Lai Zhiyuan due to discrepancies in key demands and market conditions [9] - Renfu Pharmaceutical will face risk warnings due to false financial disclosures, leading to a change in its stock name to ST Renfu [10][11] Group 6 - Enjie Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 100% of Zhongke Hualian's shares and will resume trading on December 15 [12] - The U.S. has unified AI regulatory rules at the federal level to facilitate innovation without excessive state-level regulations [13]

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu Hongming Electronics Co., Ltd. successfully passed the IPO review, highlighting the investment opportunities for Fusenmei in the capital market [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Fusenmei has been actively participating in the establishment of equity investment funds and direct investments, focusing on emerging industries such as new energy and artificial intelligence [2] - The investment in Hongming Electronics dates back to the end of 2019, when Fusenmei contributed 200 million yuan to the Chengdu Chuanjing Longchu No. 1 Equity Investment Fund, which has a total target subscription of 1.2 billion yuan [2] - Fusenmei has established multiple equity investment funds with various professional investment institutions, indirectly investing in high-quality companies in sectors like photovoltaic equipment and AI chips [2] Group 2: Company Performance - Hongming Electronics is a well-established manufacturer of electronic components, primarily engaged in the R&D, production, and sales of new electronic components, with applications in consumer electronics and new energy sectors [2] - Fusenmei's investment in Hongming Electronics represents a significant milestone, allowing the company to diversify from its traditional home furnishing business and tap into the high-value electronic manufacturing sector [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - From 2020 to 2024, Fusenmei's investment income totaled 43.9 million yuan, with annual returns showing a positive trend [6] - In the first three quarters of the current year, Fusenmei achieved an operating income of 924 million yuan and a net profit of 477 million yuan, indicating stable overall performance despite economic pressures [7] - Compared to competitors like Meikailong and Juran Home, which reported significant losses, Fusenmei stands out as a bright spot in the home furnishing industry [8]

2025年12月14日 | 镍：过剩结构性转向，关注印尼政策风险 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：供需双弱运行，钢价低位震荡 | 2 | | 工业硅：新疆环保消息发酵，关注实际减产 | 11 | | 多晶硅：预计盘面高位震荡态势 | 11 | | 碳酸锂：基本面新增驱动有限，高位宽幅震荡 | 20 | 国泰君安期货研究周报-绿色金融与新能源 观点与策略 镍：过剩结构性转向，关注印尼政策风险 不锈钢：供需双弱运行，钢价低位震荡 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 12 月 14 日 报告导读： 沪镍基本面：预计镍价低位震荡运行。精炼镍边际转向供需双弱格局，耐蚀合金需求承压，前期重心 下移挤压精炼镍利润，不少企业转向硫酸镍生产，精炼镍累库斜率稍有趋缓，这也将精炼镍过剩的压力进 行结构性转向，硫酸镍与盘面溢价回归收敛。不过，总量过剩矛盾与湿法投产预期或仍然拖累镍价。远端 低成本湿法路径供应增加的预期未改，即中间 ...

2025 年 12 月 14 日 行业研究 中国石化集团： 深化改革积极转型，谱写中国式现代化石化新篇章 ——石油化工行业周报第 432 期（20251208—20251214） 要点 世界级石化龙头砥砺奋进，股份公司上市 25 周年再启航。中国石油化工集团 有限公司是中国最大的成品油和石化产品供应商，世界第一大炼油公司、第二 大化工公司，加油站总数位居世界第二。公司主要包括四大业务板块，分别为 油气和新能源板块、炼油和销售板块、化工和新材料板块以及资本和金融板块。 旗下直接拥有上市公司包括中国石化股份有限公司、中石化炼化工程、石化油 服和石化机械，其中中国石化股份有限公司现有全资子公司、控股和参股子公 司、分公司等共 100 余家，包括油气勘探开发、炼油、化工、产品销售以及 科研、外贸等企业和单位。2024 年以来，全球经济复苏承压，地缘政治风险 上升，国际油价震荡下行，市场供需矛盾突出，公司克服生产经营不利局面， 实现了各业务的高质量发展。2024 年，中国石化集团实现营业总收入 31388 亿元，同比-3.3%，实现归母净利润 578 亿元，同比-13.0%。2025 年是中国 石油化工股份有限公司 H ...