Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown a significant improvement in life insurance quality and efficiency, with a high growth in New Business Value (NBV) under adjusted assumptions, achieving 13.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.7% [4][5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected to be 44.96 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 64.9% [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain a steady increase in Embedded Value (EV) and NBV growth rates for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 7.2%, 9.0%, and 9.4% for EV [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - The total market capitalization of the company is 309.775 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 220.410 billion yuan [1] - The company's insurance service revenue for 2024 is projected to be 279.473 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 48.523 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.9% [7] - The company’s cash dividend for the year is expected to be 10.39 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 30.2% [4][5] Business Segment Insights - The individual insurance channel has undergone a transformation, leading to improved margins and a significant increase in the bank insurance channel, which has grown by 134.8% year-on-year [5] - The company’s new single premium income for the year is projected to be 78.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.8% [5] - The company’s core workforce has stabilized, with an increase in average income and a rise in monthly performance rates [4][5] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-embedded value (P/EV) ratios for 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3 times, respectively [4][7] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 5.04 yuan, with subsequent increases to 5.63 yuan in 2026 and 6.30 yuan in 2027 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [1]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant year-on-year profit growth, with a net profit of 26.23 billion yuan, representing a 201.1% increase [4][8]. - The company maintained a stable dividend payout ratio of 30.1%, with an annual dividend of 2.53 yuan per share, up 197.6% year-on-year [4][8]. - The new business value (NBV) reached 6.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 106.8% [4][7]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating revenue was 132.56 billion yuan, up 85.3% year-on-year, while insurance service revenue slightly decreased by 0.5% to 47.81 billion yuan [4][10]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 25.9%, an increase of 17.9 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The net investment yield was 3.2%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the total investment yield increased by 4.0 percentage points to 5.8% [4][8]. Business Development - The company continues to strengthen its individual insurance channel, with a focus on high-performing agents, achieving a monthly average productivity of 0.81 million yuan per agent, up 41% year-on-year [5]. - The individual insurance channel's first-year premium for long-term insurance reached 13.72 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% [5]. - The company is actively transforming its silver insurance business, with a total new business decline of 4.6% to 42.59 billion yuan, but the decline is narrowing compared to previous quarters [6]. Valuation and Forecast - The report adjusts the company's net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 22 billion yuan and 27.5 billion yuan, respectively, and introduces a new forecast for 2027 at 30.6 billion yuan [9]. - The A/H share prices correspond to a price-to-earnings value (PEV) of 0.59 for A-shares and 0.31 for H-shares in 2025 [9][10].

2025 年 3 月 27 日 H 股：买入（维持） 当前价：15.50 港币 作者 分析师：王一峰 NBV 增长稳健，盈利突破千亿 ——中国人寿（601628.SH、2628.HK）2024 年年报点评 A 股：买入（维持） 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：黄怡婷 当前价：38.03 元人民币 公司研究 投资驱动盈利同比大幅增长 174%——中 国人寿（601628.SH、2628.HK）2024 年三季报点评（2024-11-01） 执业证书编号：S0930524070003 010-57378023 huangyiting@ebscn.com | 市场数据（A 股） | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 282.65 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 10749.07 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 26.5/50.88 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 6.5% | 股价相对走势 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | % | 1M | 3M | 1Y | ...

昨晚发了招行的年报解读，有小伙伴问，马上要入职小招了，现在进银行，算不算是49年入国军。 我说这怎么可能呢，现在能找到份工作就不错了，这都是有依据的，看到银行招聘网上，贴出来的 四大行的春招计划 ： 农行，25年春招4500人，比去年同期少1万人； 工行，25年春招4500人，比去年少4300人； 中行，25年春招4700人，比去年少1000人； 建行，25年春招2300人，比去年少1400人。 四大行今年合计春招1.6万人，比去年同期少招近1.7万人，直接砍半了，其中农行砍的比较多，因为网点多，2.3万个网点，是工行和建行的1.5 倍，是中行的2倍多，过往一线网点的招聘基数比较大，现在业务难做，师傅都吃不饱饭了，更不可能招新员工进来当徒弟了。 所以，你想进国军，国军不一定有编制呢。 何况，我们分析了半天，最核心的逻辑还是，在基本面的下行期， 从比烂的角度来看，银行是不差的 ，毕竟24年全年，全国规上工业企业，净 利润同比下降了3.3%，而银行不管是靠拨备，还是靠业绩，都至少保持了净利润的正增长； 而且，除了招行这种pb在1以上的银行外，大部分银行的上涨，核心逻辑依然是估值的修复，尤其是本来两块系统性风险，地 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company, with a target price of 51.7 CNY [1]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 106.935 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 108.92%. The new business value reached 33.709 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 24.3% under original assumptions. The intrinsic value increased by 11.2% to 1,401.146 billion CNY by the end of 2024 [1][3]. - The company reported an annualized net investment return of 3.47% and a total investment return of 5.50%, with a year-on-year change of -0.24 percentage points and +2.93 percentage points, respectively [1]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.45 CNY per share (before tax) at the end of 2024 [1]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company expects to generate operating revenue of 528.567 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 30.5% [3]. - **Net Profit**: The projected net profit for 2024 is 106.935 billion CNY, with a significant year-on-year increase of 108.9% [3]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS for 2024 is estimated at 3.78 CNY, with a projected P/E ratio of 10.0 times [3]. - **Intrinsic Value**: The intrinsic value is projected to be 1,401.146 billion CNY by the end of 2024, reflecting an 11.2% increase from the previous year [1][3]. Business Growth Drivers - The company experienced a 4.7% year-on-year increase in total premiums, reaching 671.457 billion CNY, with new business premiums growing by 1.59% [7]. - The new business value (NBV) margin improved to 25.7%, up 3.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a combination of volume and price growth [7]. - The individual insurance channel contributed significantly to new business growth, with health insurance premiums increasing by 8.4% to 71.198 billion CNY [7]. Investment Strategy - The company has increased its investment assets by 22.14% to 6.6 trillion CNY by the end of 2024, with a notable shift towards fixed-income assets [7]. - The report indicates a cautious adjustment in investment return assumptions to 4%, aligning with industry standards, which negatively impacted the intrinsic value by 146.5 billion CNY [7].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险Ⅱ 中国人寿（601628） 2024 年年报点评：投资收益带动净利润高增 长，每股股息提升 51% 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 344272 | 528567 | 543546 | 581133 | 621067 | | 同比（%） | - | 53.53% | 2.83% | 6.92% | 6.87% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 46181 | 106935 | 107463 | 111978 | 120522 | | 同比（%） | - | 131.56% | 0.49% | 4.20% | 7.63% | | 每股 EV（元/股） | 44.60 | 49.57 | 53.27 | 57.33 | 61.68 | | PEV | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.61 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in profit and new business value (NBV), with a net profit of 5.449 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 45.8% [9] - The company has effectively controlled costs in its property and casualty insurance segment, with a combined expense ratio of 99.7%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year [9] - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on enhancing its life insurance business and improving the quality of its agent workforce, which is expected to drive future growth in NBV [9] Financial Performance Summary - **Insurance Service Revenue**: Projected to grow from 59.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 64.0 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.85% [1] - **Net Profit**: Expected to increase from 3.738 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.449 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 45.77% [1] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Forecasted to rise from 0.33 yuan in 2023 to 0.47 yuan in 2024 [1] - **Embedded Value (EV)**: Projected to reach 1,158 billion yuan by the end of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% [9] - **New Business Value (NBV)**: Expected to be 51.5 billion yuan in 2024, up 43.3% year-on-year [9] Life Insurance Segment Summary - **New Premiums**: The company reported new premiums of 306 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 7.9% year-on-year, with a notable increase in individual channel premiums [9] - **Agent Productivity**: The average productivity per active agent increased by 21.9% year-on-year, indicating improved efficiency in the sales force [9] Property and Casualty Insurance Segment Summary - **Premium Income**: The property and casualty insurance segment generated 47.8 billion yuan in gross premium income, reflecting an 8.1% year-on-year increase [9] - **Cost Control**: The combined loss ratio was 68.4%, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved by 2.4 percentage points [9] Investment Strategy Summary - The company has shifted its investment strategy to increase allocations in bonds and equities while reducing cash holdings, with total investment assets reaching 548.6 billion yuan, a 14.3% increase from the beginning of the year [9]

Core Viewpoint - China Pacific Insurance (China Taiping) reported a net profit of HKD 8.432 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 36.2%, with insurance service revenue reaching HKD 111.3 billion, up 3.5% from the previous year [2][5]. Financial Performance - The company achieved an insurance service performance of HKD 22.024 billion, reflecting an 18.8% year-on-year growth [5]. - The net investment income for 2024 was HKD 50.336 billion, a 12.0% increase compared to 2023, attributed to higher bond interest income [8]. - Total investment income surged by 98.2% to HKD 66.543 billion, recovering from previous losses [8]. Dividend and Payout - The board proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.35 per share, representing a 16.7% increase year-on-year, with a payout ratio of 17%, slightly down from the previous year [6][8]. Business Adjustments - The company adjusted its risk discount rate to 8.5% for 2024, down from 9% in 2023, and lowered its investment return assumption to 4.0% from 4.5% [5][6]. - New business value (NBV) for life insurance showed a significant increase of 94.2% to RMB 13.216 billion before adjustments, while adjusted NBV grew by 23.8% to RMB 8.43 billion [6]. Investment Strategy - As of the end of 2024, total investment assets reached HKD 1,562.1 billion, a 15.8% increase from the previous year [8]. - The investment portfolio showed a fixed income asset allocation of 82.8%, with equity investments at 13.9% [9].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险Ⅱ 执业证书：S0600524120004 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 913789 | 1028925 | 1066394 | 1137642 | 1215854 | | 同比（%） | 3.8% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 85665 | 126607 | 135166 | 154369 | 176971 | | 同比（%） | -22.8% | 47.8% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | | 每股 EV（元/股） | 76.34 | 78.12 | 82.73 | 87.51 | 92.30 | | PEV | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.65 | 0.62 | 0.59 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 03 月 20 日 证券分析师 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for AIA Group Ltd. with a target price adjusted to HKD 89.00 from the previous HKD 94.00, indicating a potential upside of 43.1% from the current price of HKD 62.20 [3][8][11]. Core Insights - The new business value (NBV) growth remains resilient across various markets, with year-on-year increases of +23% in Hong Kong, +20% in Mainland China, +15% in Thailand, +15% in Singapore, +10% in Malaysia, and +18% in other markets, contributing to an overall expected NBV growth of 14% for 2025 [2][8]. - AIA has announced a new share buyback plan of USD 1.6 billion, which is expected to enhance shareholder returns to approximately 6% [7][8]. - The company's operating profit after tax (OPAT) is projected to grow by 7% year-on-year to USD 6.605 billion in 2024, with a slight increase in earnings per share (EPS) to USD 0.60 [8][9]. Financial Performance - The total market capitalization of AIA Group is approximately HKD 673.75 billion, with an average trading volume of HKD 2.09 billion in March [3]. - The company reported a total NBV of USD 4.712 billion, reflecting an 18% increase year-on-year, although the growth rate in the second half of 2024 is expected to slow down [7][8]. - The operating return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 14.8%, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous year, indicating strong financial health [8][9]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at 1.12x FY25E P/EV, which is at the lower end of its historical valuation range, suggesting significant upside potential [8][11]. - The report highlights that the dividend per share is expected to increase by 10% to USD 1.31, with an annual dividend yield of 3.1% [7][8]. - The adjusted target price reflects a valuation based on relative and appraisal methods, with the potential for further upward adjustments as shareholder returns and value growth progress [11][12].