Core Viewpoint - The CEO of the Royal Bank of Canada anticipates that the Bank of Canada will maintain a more dovish stance to boost consumer confidence and economic growth [1] Group 1 - The expectation of a dovish monetary policy is aimed at enhancing consumer confidence [1] - The approach is also intended to stimulate economic growth in Canada [1]

Macroeconomic Overview - The U.S. International Trade Court ruled that the Trump administration's "Day of Liberation" tariff policy exceeded its authority, leading to a suspension of its implementation, emphasizing that presidential trade management powers cannot surpass those granted to Congress by the Constitution [1] - This lawsuit, initiated by five small import businesses, marks the first significant legal challenge against the tariff policy, with seven similar lawsuits ongoing [1] - The ruling has alleviated market concerns regarding the trade war, resulting in a rise in U.S. stock index futures, with the Nasdaq futures increasing by 1.8% [1] - The dollar index surpassed the 100 mark, reflecting a positive market sentiment following Trump's postponement of tariffs on the EU and an agreement with China to reduce tariffs [1] - The Federal Reserve's May meeting minutes indicate officials are grappling with the dual challenges of rising inflation and unemployment, with a 60% probability of a rate cut in September [1] - Despite gold prices rising by 26% this year, the cautious stance of the Federal Reserve has suppressed gold prices [1] - Consumer confidence data exceeded expectations, reinforcing a robust economic outlook, while investors are focused on upcoming GDP, PCE data, and fiscal policy developments [1] Dollar Index - On Wednesday, the dollar index showed an upward trend, reaching a high of 99.933 and a low of 99.414, closing at 99.865 [2] - The market exhibited a bullish sentiment after a brief period of fluctuation, with a significant rise in the U.S. trading session [2] - Key resistance levels to watch include 100.20, with a focus on whether the index can maintain this level [2] - The weekly analysis indicates resistance at 101.70, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the medium term [2] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Wednesday, with a high of 3325 and a low of 3276.48, closing at 3288.35 [4] - The market showed a bearish trend after testing key resistance levels, leading to a significant downward movement [4] - Current support levels are identified at 3270, with a focus on potential further declines if this level is breached [5] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1283 and a high of 1.1344, closing at 1.1289 [6] - The market remains under pressure due to resistance levels, indicating a bearish outlook [6] - Long-term support is noted at 1.0800, while short-term focus is on the 1.1130 area [6] Key Financial Data and Events - Upcoming key financial events include the Bank of England Governor Bailey's speech, Canadian current account data, U.S. initial jobless claims, and revisions to U.S. GDP [11]

在第一财季，梅西百货同名品牌依然表现最差。梅西百货自有品牌、授权品牌以及线上市场的同店销售额同比下降 2.1%。尽管如此，Bloomingdale's百货公司和Bluemercury公司(这两家是该公司的高端连锁店)的销售额均有所增长(分 别增长3.8%、1.5%)。 为了扭转梅西百货同名门店的颓势，梅西百货投资了50家门店——被称为"首批50家"——增加了员工数量，提升了陈 列风格，并调整了商品组合。目前，梅西百货已将这一举措扩展到另外75家门店，使受关注门店总数达到125家。这略 高于梅西百货计划保留的350家同名门店的三分之一。这125家门店的业绩表现优于梅西百货品牌的整体表现。梅西百 货旗下自有及授权门店的翻新后可比销售额较去年同期下降了0.8%。 零售商对本年度的预期差异很大，因为美国贸易政策的迅速变化使得企业难以做出准确预测。家得宝公司(HD.US)和沃 尔玛公司(WMT.US)都维持了其年度预期不变，而塔吉特公司(TGT.US)则下调了预期。美鹰服饰公司(AEO.US)则取消 公布指引，理由是打折活动以及库存减值。那些销售日用品的连锁店的经营状况普遍要好于那些销售非必需商品的连 锁店。因为消费者 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recovery of the US dollar may remain limited due to ongoing concerns about slowing economic growth and budget deficits in the US [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The rebound in the US consumer confidence survey conducted by the Conference Board in May has contributed to a stronger dollar [1] - More positive data is needed to rebuild market confidence in US economic growth [1] Group 2: Risks and Outlook - Concerns regarding the budget deficit are expected to persist in the short term [1] - The dollar continues to face "downside risks" in the near term [1] - The unexpected rise in consumer confidence has somewhat mitigated these risks, but caution remains regarding the pursuit of a dollar index breakthrough above the 100 mark [1]

Group 1 - COMEX silver inventory recorded at 15,448.95 tons on May 27, an increase of 18.91 tons from the previous day [1] - COMEX silver price on May 27 closed at $33.38 per ounce, down 0.77%, with a daily high of $33.74 and a low of $32.88 [1] - Recent data shows fluctuations in COMEX silver inventory, with a decrease of 56.28 tons on May 22 [2] Group 2 - Market sentiment improved as participants digested news of trade negotiations between the US and EU, following President Trump's threat of a 50% tariff [2] - Positive US consumer confidence data for May contributed to a rise in the dollar index, which increased by over 0.62% to 99.54 [2] - US durable goods orders fell sharply in April, reaching the lowest level since October 2020 [2] Group 3 - In Europe, inflation data indicates an improvement in the deflationary process, potentially opening the door for further easing by the European Central Bank (ECB) [3] - ECB's Gediminas Simkus noted the possibility of a rate cut in June, while some ECB members have adopted a slightly hawkish stance [3] - EU economic sentiment indicators improved for the first time in three months in May, aligning with Germany's GfK consumer confidence index for June [3]

行情回顾： 国际黄金周二（5月27日）扩大回落震荡收跌，开盘价3337.92美元/盎司，最高价3350.00美元/盎司，最低价 3284.91美元/盎司，收盘价3293.50美元/盎司。 消息面： 周二公布的美国5月咨商会消费者信心指数录得98，高于市场预期87，前值为86. 评论称，美国5月谘商会消费者现况指数升至135.9。基于消费者对收入、商业和劳动力市场状况短期展望的预 期指数飙升17.4点，至72.8，但仍低于80的门槛——这一门槛通常预示着经济衰退即将到来。世界大型企业研 究会全球指标高级经济学家Stephanie Guichard表示："消费者信心在连续五个月下降后于五月有所改善。这种 反弹在5月12日中美贸易协议达成前已显现迹象，此后势头增强。月度改善主要由消费者预期推动，因为预期 指数的三个组成部分——商业状况、就业前景和未来收入——均从4月的低点回升。消费者对未来六个月的商 业状况和就业机会的悲观情绪有所减轻，并重新对未来收入前景持乐观态度。消费者对现状的评估也有所改 善。"Guichard补充道："随着股市在5月持续回升，消费者对股价的展望有所改善，44%的消费者预计未来12个 月股价将 ...

Group 1: Consumer Confidence and Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Confidence Index improved in May, with the current conditions index rising to 135.9 and the expectations index soaring to 72.8, marking a rebound after five consecutive months of decline [2] - The decline in core capital goods orders by 1.3% in April represents the largest drop since October, driven by a decrease in durable goods orders, particularly commercial aircraft [2][3] - The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index showed a year-over-year increase of 3.4% in March, down from 4% in February, indicating a slowdown in home price growth due to increased housing inventory and limited buyer demand [2] Group 2: Japanese Economic Outlook - The Bank of Japan's Governor, Kazuo Ueda, warned of potential inflation risks from rising food prices, suggesting a possible signal for further interest rate hikes [4][5] - Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio stands at 260%, raising concerns about fiscal stability as the government considers adjusting its bond issuance strategy [4] - Despite recent challenges in the bond market, Japan's economic fundamentals remain strong, with rising inflation indicating economic overheating and increased tourist activity [5] Group 3: Precious Metals Market - Platinum prices surged to a new high of $1,104.8 per ounce, reflecting a more than 10% increase over the week, driven by geopolitical factors and strong demand from the automotive industry [6][7] - The World Platinum Investment Council forecasts a supply shortage of 1 million ounces by 2025, highlighting the industrial demand for platinum, particularly in emissions control [6][7] Group 4: Microsoft and AI Developments - Microsoft unveiled its comprehensive strategy for AI at the Build 2025 developer conference, launching over 10 AI tools and 50 product updates, aiming to establish a leading position in the AI ecosystem [8] - Deutsche Bank maintained a "Buy" rating on Microsoft, projecting a target price of $475, citing the company's extensive product coverage and user base as key advantages in monetizing AI [8][9] Group 5: Institutional Investment Trends - The California Public Employees' Retirement System reduced its stake in Apple by 5.1 million shares, signaling a potential decline in institutional confidence in the company amid tariff-related challenges [10] - The fund increased its holdings in Meta, AMD, and McDonald's, which are less affected by tariffs and have a higher degree of localized manufacturing and service provision [10][11]

Core Insights - UK retail sales surged in April, continuing a strong trend from earlier in the year, indicating consumer resilience amid rising bills and global trade tensions [1] - Retail sales increased by 1.2% month-on-month in April, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth, surpassing economists' expectations of 0.3% [1] - The warm and sunny weather in April contributed to the retail sales growth, with strong performance across most sectors [1] Retail Performance - Categories such as food and alcohol saw sales growth, reflecting consumer spending despite economic challenges [1] - The report coincided with the period following the announcement of tariffs by Trump, during which UK households faced significant increases in utility bills, train fares, and local government taxes [1] Consumer Confidence - A separate report indicated a slight rebound in UK consumer confidence in May after being impacted by Trump's tariffs in April, with consumers feeling more optimistic about their financial and economic situations [1] - Consumers expressed a greater willingness to purchase big-ticket items such as cars and furniture [1] Economic Outlook - According to Alex Kerr from Capital Economics, this marks the first time since 2015 (excluding the pandemic period) that retail sales have increased for four consecutive months, although he cautioned that this growth may not be sustainable [2] - Following the release of stronger-than-expected data, the British pound maintained its upward trend against the US dollar, rising by 0.3% to 1.3461, nearing its highest level since 2022 [2]

Core Insights - The survey indicates a slight improvement in consumer confidence in the UK for May, likely influenced by interest rate cuts and easing global trade tensions [1] - The GfK consumer confidence index rose from -23 in April to -20 in May, reflecting a more optimistic sentiment regarding financial conditions and overall economic outlook [1] - Despite the improvement, the index remains significantly below the long-term average of -11, indicating ongoing concerns among consumers [1] Economic Factors - The Bank of England's interest rate cut on May 8 is seen as a contributing factor to the improved consumer sentiment [1] - The partial easing of the trade war tensions, particularly involving the US, has also played a role in alleviating consumer concerns [1] - Neil Beleramy, GfK's consumer insight director, notes that while some risks, especially inflation, persist, there is a noticeable improvement in consumer emotions [1]

智通财经APP获悉，美国零售巨头塔吉特公司(TGT.US.)在经历一个业绩表现疲弱的季度后下调销售额 预测——这家大卖场零售商试图重拾增长的计划再度受挫。该零售巨头现预计今年净销售额将出现低个 位数降幅，低于此前"大约增长 1%"的业绩展望指引，主要因消费者支出大幅减少以及关税、多元化相 关的抵制消费和消费者信心受到打击。 塔吉特下调业绩指引，甚至引发了投资者们对首席执行官布莱恩·康奈尔 (Brian Cornell)是否有能力在两 年业绩波动之后执行业绩恢复增长的计划的质疑情绪——尤其是在经济动荡日益加剧的情况下。 在截至5月3日的季度中，塔吉特可比销售额下降 3.8%，跌幅超出分析师普遍预期，该公司表示主要原 因在于门店客流放缓，在持续性的通胀压力以及通胀预期扩张之下，消费者每次到店的支出也大幅减 少。 "我想明确表示，我们对这些业绩数据并不满意。"塔吉特首席执行官布莱恩·康奈尔在与分析师们的业 绩电话会议中表示。他补充称，塔吉特正急切采取促增长的行动。"我们必须把客流重新带回门店和网 站，确保重建业绩增长动能。" CEO康奈尔将业绩下滑归因于消费者可自由支出愈发疲软、消费者信心下降、关税政策带来的不确定 ...