在连续数月窄幅震荡之后，国际金价再度破纪录。 9月2日，现货黄金价格突破3500美元/盎司，创下历史新高，年初至今，金价累计涨幅超30%。现货白 银价格亦大涨，自2011年以来首次突破40美元/盎司大关，今年以来现货白银价格已攀升逾40%。 过去三年，黄金和白银价格均上涨了一倍多。摩根士丹利将2025年第四季度黄金目标价设定为3800美 元/盎司，白银的目标价定为40.9美元/盎司，而且存在超预期上行的可能性。 沉寂已久的市场为何再度爆发？ 金价缘何再创新高 金价再破纪录背后，一系列因素都在起作用。 广发期货贵金属研究员叶倩宁对21世纪经济报道记者分析称，8月，随着各国在所谓的"对等关税"正式 生效前与美国达成贸易协议，贸易冲突对市场的影响逐步减弱，美国非农数据严重恶化使美联储降息迫 切性上升，到8月下旬，美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上释放鸽派信号，更多官员支持9月降 息。此外，近期美联储独立性受到挑战，美债收益率回落的同时美元指数再度走弱，叠加近期黄金ETF 持仓不断上升，全球最大黄金ETF持仓量升至3年多高位，反映欧美资金进一步流入，多重利好驱动黄 金走强并突破关键阻力位，创历史新高。 美联储降息 ...

新华财经北京9月2日电两大基本面利多驱动下，周二（9月2日）亚洲交易时段，国际现货金价强势冲高 并突破3500美元／盎司关口，短短一周涨超100美元，再创历史新高。 另从美元信用方面来看，近期美联储理事库克被美国总统特朗普免职，引发了市场对美联储独立性的质 疑，进一步削弱了市场对美元资产的信心。 对于黄金市场而言，在全球贸易摩擦未见根本缓和，从而带来再通胀预期，以及各主要经济体宽松的货 币政策，将令黄金继续受益。与此同时，全球地缘政治风险将继续助推市场的避险需求，尤其是中东局 势继续恶化、俄乌冲突持续。此外，全球央行继续增持黄金，不仅仅是为了外汇储备的多元化，更是对 冲美元信用下降的风险。黄金作为传统的避险资产，其长期需求仍将持续得到市场的追捧，牛市行情仍 有望延续。 展望本周，市场关注焦点除地缘政治局势进展外，周五美国即将公布的8月非农就业数据，也将对本周 黄金走势产生一定影响。从技术面来看，黄金一举突破前期重要压力3450~3455美元／盎司区域并再度 冲击3500美元／盎司整数关口，表明短期上行动能较为强劲，上方关注3550~3570美元／盎司区域压力 强度；下行关注3450~3455美元／盎司区间支撑 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongjin Gold's stock price surged due to its strong half-year performance and market expectations for asset injections, reflecting robust growth in the gold industry amid rising gold prices [4][10]. Company Overview - Zhongjin Gold, established in June 2000, is the first publicly listed company in China's gold industry, with its main business covering geological exploration, mining, and processing of gold and non-ferrous metals [4][5]. - The company has undergone three distinct development phases: rapid growth (2008-2012), stable development (2013-2019), and a new journey (2020-present), with significant increases in gold production and resource reserves [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhongjin Gold achieved revenue of 65.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.01%, and a net profit of 3.386 billion yuan, up 13.71% [5]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 35.067 billion yuan, a 22.90% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.695 billion yuan, reflecting a 54.64% growth [7][10]. - Key financial indicators showed improvement, with a total profit of 4.081 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 57.32% increase, and a net asset return rate of 9.36%, up 2.84 percentage points [7]. Market Dynamics - The surge in gold prices, with international prices rising by 24.31% year-to-date, has significantly enhanced the company's profit margins [10]. - The company is planning to acquire stakes in four gold mining enterprises, which is expected to boost its resource reserves and production capacity [10]. Technological Advancements - Zhongjin Gold has invested in technological innovation, with 1.68 billion yuan allocated for research and development in the first half of 2025, resulting in numerous patent applications and authorizations [11]. - The company's advancements in new materials and rare metals are expected to contribute to its valuation reconstruction [11].

近期金价延续强势上行态势，在过去一周内累计上涨超过80美元/盎司，创下近四个月以来新高，日线实现四连阳，重新成为全 球市场关注的热点。 金价为何连日上涨？ 本轮金价走势与美联储货币政策预期密切相关。 首先，美联储理事沃勒近期就利率政策发表讲话，预计联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）可能在9月议息会议上降息25个基点，并 暗示未来三至六个月仍存在进一步降息空间。该表态显著强化了市场对货币政策转向的预期。 9月1日，国际现货黄金开盘显著走高，盘中一度触及3450美元/盎司。 专家：金价涨势将继续 业内分析显示，尽管金价近年来已有显著涨幅，但黄金牛市通常周期较长。考虑到美国经济存在出现滞胀的可能性，投资者仍 有意愿维持或增加黄金配置。 摩根大通预计，2025年全球央行购金规模可能达到850吨，金价有望更快达到4000美元/盎司。该机构指出，随着国际格局逐渐 朝多极化发展，美元储备多元化进程正在提速，央行在政治与贸易不确定性背景下对黄金的配置需求将持续支撑金价。 美国银行分析师同样维持看涨观点，预计到2026年上半年金价可能升至4000美元/盎司。他们指出，"在通胀仍具韧性的背景下， 降息预期升温可能对美元汇率带来压力。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint suggests that the market is on the verge of a significant bullish trend, with a strong recommendation for investors to take action before missing out [1] - The expectation of a 90% probability for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September has led to a surge of capital into the gold market, driving up gold prices [1] - The article indicates that the prolonged consolidation phase over the past three months is a strategy to shake off skeptics of the bull market, implying that a major price increase is imminent [1] Group 2 - The narrative emphasizes that those who hesitate to invest in the current market conditions will be left behind as the bullish momentum accelerates [1] - The mention of "four consecutive months of upper shadows on the monthly chart" suggests that the market is setting up for a breakout rather than a prolonged high-level consolidation [1] - The article warns that the current market conditions are designed to lure in short-sellers, indicating a potential for a sharp upward movement in prices [1]

八月的国际金融市场，上演了一场惊心动魄的黄金突围战。 当纽约商品交易所的金价定格在每盎司3516.1美元时，整个华尔街为之震动。单日暴涨1.2%，周涨幅达2.86%，月度累计飙升5%——这是自今年4月以来黄 金最辉煌的战绩。而在大洋彼岸的中国市场，黄金零售价应声突破700元/克大关，各大金柜前再度排起长队。 这波突如其来的黄金牛市，背后隐藏着怎样不为人知的逻辑？ 第二条则牵扯白宫与美联储的微妙关系。特朗普突然免去美联储理事库克的职务，这场人事地震引发连锁反应。投资者突然意识到，美联储的独立性可能受 到政治干预，美元资产的可靠性被打上问号。当信心出现裂缝，黄金就成为最好的避风港。 美国银行首席分析师迈克尔·哈特内特在最新报告中指出："这两大事件共同造就了黄金的完美风暴。一方面降息预期降低持有黄金的机会成本，另一方面政 治风险提振避险需求，形成罕见的双重利好。" 更值得关注的是，市场对美联储的降息预期正在自我实现。期货市场数据显示，交易员预计9月降息概率已升至75%，年内可能迎来两次降息。这种预期正 在重塑全球资产配置格局——美债收益率曲线趋平，美元指数承压，大量资金正从美元资产转向黄金市场。 金融机构的动向印证 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continuous rise in gold prices, driven by factors such as market concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and increasing investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold [6][7]. - As of August 30, spot gold rose by 0.9% to $3446.8 per ounce, with an accumulated increase of 4.8% for the month [2]. - COMEX gold futures increased by 1.2% to $3516.1 per ounce, with a weekly gain of 2.86% and a monthly rise of 5.2% [4]. Group 2 - The rise in gold prices is attributed to market fears regarding the Federal Reserve's independence, particularly after the dismissal of a Fed governor, which has led to heightened investor anxiety and a shift towards gold [7]. - Analysts predict that the bullish trend in gold prices will continue, with forecasts suggesting prices could reach $3570 per ounce by year-end and $4000 per ounce by 2026 [7][9]. - Factors such as declining interest rates, persistent inflation, and low economic growth are expected to support gold prices, as they create a favorable environment for gold as a safe-haven asset [9].

Core Viewpoint - Spot gold has reached a new high of $3,408 per ounce, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and a weakening dollar [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - Multiple Wall Street institutions remain optimistic about the future performance of gold, with Fidelity International stating that the bull market for gold can last for years [3][4] - Bank of America analysts predict that gold prices will continue to rise, forecasting a price of $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 [1] Group 2: Economic Factors - Ian Samson from Fidelity highlights the likelihood of stagflation in the U.S., suggesting that investors have no reason to reduce their gold holdings [4] - The combination of declining interest rates, persistent inflation, and low growth is expected to support gold prices [5] - Concerns over the large U.S. budget deficit are reinforcing the long-term rationale for gold as a hedge against currency devaluation [5] Group 3: Structural Demand - Structural factors supporting gold prices remain strong, with foreign reserve managers globally increasing their gold holdings [6] - Countries like China, India, and Turkey are structurally increasing their gold reserves to diversify away from the dollar [6] - Limited gold supply means that even a small increase in investment demand can significantly impact the market [6] Group 4: Interest Rate and Inflation Dynamics - Bank of America notes that declining interest rates and a weakening dollar will support gold prices [7] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting rates as early as September, with a 25 basis point cut expected [7] - Analysts warn that while higher inflation may temporarily boost the dollar, any rebound is likely to be short-lived [9]

Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in spot gold prices, reaching $3408 per ounce, is driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and a weakening dollar, with projections suggesting gold could reach $4000 per ounce by mid-2026 [1][6]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Spot gold prices have recently hit a one-month high, supported by declining interest rate expectations and a weaker dollar [1]. - Multiple Wall Street institutions, including Fidelity International and Bank of America, maintain a bullish outlook on gold, citing a favorable environment for sustained price increases [1][6]. Group 2: Fidelity International Insights - Ian Samson from Fidelity International emphasizes the likelihood of stagflation in the U.S., suggesting investors should maintain their gold positions [4]. - Gold has performed well in Fidelity's portfolio, with a 27% increase last year and nearly 30% this year [4]. - The combination of declining interest rates, persistent inflation, and low growth is expected to support gold prices [4][5]. Group 3: Bank of America Insights - Bank of America forecasts that declining interest rates and a weaker dollar will bolster gold prices, particularly in an inflationary environment [6]. - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting rates as early as September, with a 25 basis point cut expected [6]. - Political pressures and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve may further weaken the dollar, impacting gold positively [6][7].

Group 1 - Gold prices have shown a significant increase, reaching a five-week high, with a closing price of $3417.07 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand [2] - Analysts predict that the U.S. may experience stagflation, which could provide substantial upward potential for gold prices [1][2] - The upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is anticipated to show a month-over-month increase of 0.3% and a year-over-year acceleration from 2.8% to 2.9% [2] Group 2 - Fidelity's multi-asset portfolio manager Ian Samson expresses optimism about gold prices, citing a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy and the likelihood of stagflation [2] - Factors such as declining interest rates, persistent inflation, and weak economic growth are expected to support gold prices, while the uncertainty surrounding tariffs adds to gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2] - Concerns over the large U.S. budget deficit and potential currency devaluation further enhance the long-term outlook for gold [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have established a clear upward trend since mid-August, with current trading above the 20-day moving average [3] - The MACD indicator shows increasing momentum, while the RSI remains below the overbought threshold, suggesting continued upward potential for gold [3] - Key resistance levels are identified at $3450, with a potential target of $3500, while support levels are noted at $3380 and $3350 [3]