1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints - The expectation of the Fed's loose monetary policy significantly rebounded after the key voting members of the Fed spoke last Friday, and the overseas interest - rate cut cycle will continue, but the further driving force will be concentrated in December. The Fed will hold its last interest - rate meeting of the year and release an economic outlook report on December 10 (local time), and Trump will probably complete the selection of the new Fed chair in late December. Currently, it is recommended to keep the bottom position in precious - metal strategies and mainly wait and see. The reference operating range for the main contract of Shanghai Gold is 896 - 940 yuan/gram, and that for the main contract of Shanghai Silver is 11367 - 12639 yuan/kilogram [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Quotes - Shanghai Gold rose 0.06% to 935.80 yuan/gram, Shanghai Silver fell 0.43% to 11893.00 yuan/kilogram; COMEX Gold was reported at 4062.80 dollars/ounce, COMEX Silver was reported at 49.66 dollars/ounce; the US 10 - year Treasury yield was reported at 4.06%, and the US Dollar Index was reported at 100.21. In the context of the weak performance of the US stock market, several Fed voting members "rescued the market dovishly" last Friday, which gave relatively strong short - term support to precious - metal prices [2] 3.2 Inventory Changes - As of November 21, the Shanghai Futures Exchange silver inventory decreased by 50.08 tons to 519.3 tons compared with the 17th, and the COMEX silver inventory decreased by 274.73 tons to 14329.5 tons during the same period. The current Shanghai Silver 2512 contract has a premium over the 2602 contract, indicating that the silver demand side in the domestic fourth quarter still has resilience. The COMEX silver inventory continues to decline, but the current overseas spot has not become the main driving force, and the one - month spot implied lease rate of silver has now dropped to 3.93% [3] 3.3 Data Comparison - The report provides a detailed comparison of key gold and silver data on November 21, 2025, and November 20, 2025, including closing prices, trading volumes, open interests, and inventories in different markets such as COMEX, LBMA, SHFE, and AuT + D/AgT + D, and shows the daily changes, daily percentage changes, and historical quantiles of these data [5]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have been influenced by trade tensions and geopolitical risks, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [2]. Group 1: Fundamental Analysis - Trade and geopolitical risks are rising, with President Trump reigniting trade disputes, prompting investors to seek gold as a safe haven [2]. - The market perceives the easing of tensions as temporary, with high tariffs still looming on October 29 [2]. - The Middle East remains unstable, with recent peace agreements lacking concrete steps, further increasing gold's appeal as a safe asset [2]. - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates, with a 97% probability of a 25 basis point cut in October and a 100% probability in December, benefiting gold prices [2]. - The interplay between interest rates and inflation could influence the Fed's decisions, potentially strengthening gold's safe-haven demand [2]. - Key speeches from Federal Reserve officials this week may impact market expectations regarding interest rate cuts [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold demonstrated a strong upward trend on Monday, breaking through last week's high and closing with a bullish candlestick [3]. - The moving average system indicates a clear bullish trend, with the price remaining above the 10-day moving average [3]. - Support is focused around the 5-day moving average near the 4050 level, which is crucial for maintaining the upward trend [3]. - In the four-hour timeframe, the price successfully broke above last week's high, confirming the upward trend [6]. - Key support is at the 4060 level, which has been validated as a significant "top-bottom conversion support" [6]. - Resistance levels to watch include the 4140-4145 range, with potential for further upward movement if these levels are surpassed [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report predicts that the price of silver will continue its strong performance. The weakening US labor market and relatively moderate inflation data, along with the influence of "Trump faction" officials on the Fed's personnel appointments and the resulting increase in interest - rate cut expectations, are significant positive factors for silver prices [1]. 3. Summary of Each Section Section 1: Labor Market Weakening and Inflation Data - The US labor market has significantly weakened. In August, the number of new non - farm employment was only 22,000, far lower than the expected 75,000 and the previous value of 79,000. From April 2024 to March 2025, the overall non - farm employment was revised down by 911,000, much higher than the market expectation. The initial jobless claims in the week of September 6, 2025, were also higher than expected [3]. - In terms of inflation data, the US PPI in August was significantly lower than expected, while the CPI was slightly higher than expected due to factors such as food, energy, and housing rent. The August PPI同比 was 2.6%, lower than the expected 3.3%, and the CPI同比 was 2.9%, in line with expectations [4]. Section 2: Fed Personnel Appointments and Interest - Rate Cut Expectations - The nomination of Stephen Milan as a Fed governor by Trump has advanced. He is likely to have the official governing qualification before the September interest - rate meeting and will participate in the vote. Trump's influence on the Fed's monetary policy is increasing, and the market expects more aggressive interest - rate cuts after the new Fed chairman takes office [8][12]. - The market expects a 93.38% probability of a 25 - basis - point interest - rate cut in the September Fed meeting and also anticipates interest - rate cuts in October and December. Historically, silver price increases are driven by expectations of the Fed's loose monetary policy, and the current situation is favorable for the rise of silver prices [12].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the international gold price is under pressure due to reduced market risk aversion following a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, with gold prices falling approximately 1.5% this week [1] - The easing of geopolitical risks has boosted market risk appetite, which continued into the trading session on Friday, supported by positive news regarding U.S.-China trade framework discussions [1] - Despite the recent decline, gold prices have increased over 25% this year, remaining close to historical highs, with geopolitical and trade uncertainties providing significant support [1] Group 2 - Global central banks are continuously increasing their gold reserves, and expectations of the Federal Reserve potentially restarting loose monetary policy are important factors supporting gold prices [2] - As a non-yielding asset, gold holds greater allocation value in a low-interest-rate environment, with current spot gold prices around $3,330 per ounce, down approximately 0.5% on the day [2] - Palladium has shown strong performance this week with a cumulative increase of about 10%, while platinum prices have continued to rise after reaching a multi-year high [2]