Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China is to implement more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, and promote the construction of a unified national market [4]. - The global financial market shows complex fluctuations, affected by factors such as geopolitical tensions, supply - demand changes, and policy adjustments [2][24][50]. - The U.S. government's tariff policies have a significant impact on the international trade and financial markets [7][15][32]. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Trends - Domestic futures: Most domestic futures main contracts declined. Glass and coking coal dropped over 4%, soda ash fell over 3%, and asphalt rose nearly 1% [2]. - International precious metals: COMEX gold futures dropped 1.58% to $3327.9 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 2.90% to $37.175 per ounce [2]. - Oil prices: Geopolitical tensions and supply tightening pushed up oil prices. U.S. crude oil main contract rose 1.57% to $70.30 per barrel, and Brent crude oil main contract rose 1.49% to $72.75 per barrel [2]. - London base metals: Most London base metals declined, including LME nickel, lead, and tin [2]. Important Information Macroeconomic Information - China's policy: The Politburo meeting emphasized risk prevention, policy implementation, and market reform. The Central Committee also held a symposium with non - Communist Party personages to promote economic development [4]. - Sino - U.S. economic and trade relations: The two sides held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, and China hopes for the U.S. to work together to maintain stable economic and trade relations [4]. - Market regulations: The Shanghai International Energy Exchange imposed regulatory measures on over - trading clients, and the Fed maintained interest rates with internal differences [5]. - Tariff policies: The U.S. imposed tariffs on Brazil, and the total tariff rate reached 50% [7]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Company operations: Hualu Hengsheng will conduct equipment maintenance, and the impact of Typhoon "Bamboo Grass" affected the shipping and wood processing industries in Jiangsu [10]. - Inventory changes: The refined oil inventory in the UAE's Fujairah Port decreased, while China's methanol port inventory increased. The U.S. commercial crude oil and strategic petroleum reserve inventories also changed [10][11]. Metal Futures - Production changes: A large recycled lead smelter in North China resumed production, and a primary lead smelter in Northeast China planned equipment maintenance [14]. - Market data: New energy vehicle retail sales in July showed certain changes, and the Guangzhou Futures Exchange adjusted trading limits for some metal futures contracts [14]. - Tariff policies: The U.S. imposed a 50% tariff on imported semi - finished copper products [15]. Black - Series Futures - Policy emphasis: The Politburo meeting emphasized safety production and energy supply [18]. - Price adjustments: The coking industry planned to raise coke prices, and relevant associations called for anti - "involution" competition [18]. - Company operations: Gansu Energy's coal mine resumed production, and relevant industrial alliances called for balancing industry interests [19]. Agricultural Product Futures - Policy guidance: The Politburo meeting emphasized stabilizing agricultural product prices [22]. - Production forecasts: Brazil's grain production is expected to increase, while India's sugar production decreased [22]. Financial Market Finance - Stock market performance: A - shares closed with mixed results, and the Hong Kong stock market declined. Some private equity products were restricted, and A - share margin trading balance reached a new high [24][26]. - Corporate news: Hon Hai and Dongyuan Electric established a strategic alliance, and New Oriental's financial report showed revenue growth but profit decline [26][27]. Industry - Interest rate data: The weighted average interest rate of new commercial personal housing loans in Q2 2025 was 3.09% [28]. - Trade policies: Lithium - ion battery raw materials and recycled steel raw materials can be freely imported [29]. - Industry meetings: The coking industry planned to raise prices, and relevant associations discussed capacity control and market regulation [29][31]. - Real estate market: The land market in July had a seasonal decline, but the average premium rate reached a new high [31]. Overseas - Tariff policies: The U.S. imposed tariffs on multiple countries' products, and reached a trade agreement with South Korea [32][33]. - Economic data: The U.S., eurozone, Australia, and other economies released relevant economic data, and the Canadian central bank maintained interest rates [35][37][39]. International Stock Markets - U.S. stock market: The three major U.S. stock indexes closed with mixed results, and the market's expectation of a September interest rate cut decreased [41]. - European stock market: European main stock indexes rose slightly [41]. - Corporate news: Some well - known companies such as META, Microsoft, and Qualcomm released financial reports, and some companies had major events such as acquisitions [43][45]. Commodities - Futures trading: The Guangzhou Futures Exchange adjusted trading limits for some metal futures contracts [48]. - Commodity prices: Precious metals, base metals, and oil prices showed different trends [50]. Bonds - Domestic bonds: Yields of domestic inter - bank major interest - rate bonds generally declined, and relevant departments regulated the bond market [51]. - U.S. bonds: The U.S. Treasury announced a refinancing plan, and U.S. bond yields rose [51][53]. Foreign Exchange - Exchange rates: The on - shore and offshore RMB against the U.S. dollar declined, and the U.S. dollar index rose [54]. Upcoming Events and Data Releases - Economic data: Multiple countries will release economic data such as PMI and retail sales [56]. - Meetings and events: There will be central bank meetings, press conferences, and important industry conferences [58]. - Earnings reports: Apple and Amazon will release earnings reports [58].

今日关注 1、中共中央政治局30日召开会议，决定今年10月在北京召开中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全 体会议。会议分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作。 2、今日凌晨，美联储连续第五次按兵不动，将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.5%之间不变， 符合预期。美联储主席鲍威尔表示现在就断言美联储是否会像金融市场预期的那样在9月下调联邦基金 利率还为时过早。 3、国务院新闻办公室定于2025年7月31日（星期四）上午10时举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题 新闻发布会，退役军人事务部部长裴金佳介绍"十四五"时期退役军人工作高质量发展成就，并答记者 问。 宏观经济 8、30日，国家防减救灾委办公室、应急管理部会同国家粮食和物资储备局向天津、河北增加调拨帐 篷、折叠床等4.4万件中央救灾物资。 投资要闻 1、根据中证协最新披露信息，国内知名百亿级主观多头私募上海宁泉资产管理有限公司旗下产品，日 前被列入"配售对象不得参与业务名单"，期限为6月20日至12月19日。 1、30日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍育儿补贴制度及生育支持措施有关情况：今年初步 安排预算900亿元左右"育儿补贴补助资金 ...

Core Viewpoint - LG Energy Solution (LGES) has signed a $4.3 billion contract for lithium iron phosphate batteries, potentially supplying around 50 GWh, with Tesla as the likely customer, indicating a strategic shift in Tesla's supply chain away from reliance on Chinese suppliers [1][2][3]. Group 1: Contract Details - LGES signed a contract worth 5.9442 trillion KRW (approximately $4.3 billion) with a term from August 2027 to July 2030, with the possibility of a four-year extension [2]. - The contract value is estimated to be about one-fourth of LGES's projected sales for 2024 [2]. - The lithium iron phosphate batteries will be supplied from LGES's factory in Michigan, which is the only production base for this type of battery in North America [2][6]. Group 2: Tesla's Supply Chain Strategy - Tesla's energy business has been heavily reliant on Chinese suppliers, including CATL and BYD, for battery products [3]. - Due to U.S. tariffs on Chinese batteries, Tesla is accelerating the construction of a lithium iron phosphate battery cell manufacturing plant in Nevada, which will initially produce on a small scale [6]. - The potential production capacity gap at Tesla's plant, combined with tariff impacts, may have prompted the shift to LGES for battery supply [6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - LGES has a first-mover advantage in the U.S. lithium iron phosphate battery market, as competitors like Samsung SDI and SK On have not yet entered this space [8]. - LGES plans to increase its lithium iron phosphate production capacity in Michigan to 17 GWh by the end of 2025 and over 30 GWh by the end of next year, with large project developers already reserving this capacity [10]. - The recent HR1 legislation in the U.S. strengthens barriers against foreign entities entering the battery market, favoring companies with established domestic production capabilities like LGES [10].

7月30日，安森美(onsemi)宣布与英伟达合作，共同推动下一代AI数据中心加速向800V直流供电方案转 型。 ...

7月29日午后，A股三大指数震荡攀升，截至收盘时，创业板指大涨1.86%，站上2400点整数关口。医药、半导体、钢铁等板块纷纷走强。 值得关注的是，算力硬件方向持续爆发，尾盘时涨幅进一步扩大。全天，光模块（CPO）板块整体涨幅超过3%，Wind光模块指数更是大涨超 5%，中际旭创、仕佳光子等多股再创历史新高。 有分析人士指出，外围传出的一则消息，对算力板块的提振较大。当天有外媒报道称，因中国市场需求比预想中强劲，英伟达上周不得不改变 仅依赖现有库存的策略，向台积电紧急订购了30万片H20芯片。 此前7月15日，英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋宣布，美国已批准H20芯片销往中国。国信证券指出，从美国芯片禁令缓解以及台积电业绩 持续验证AI基建景气度的背景下，海内外AI有望共振，中国高端芯片的短缺问题有望短期缓解。银河证券表示，无论是中美科技竞争下的算 力国产化进程，还是全球科技巨头推动的AI基建加码，本质上都体现出对高性能数据中心的持续依赖，而数据中心内部通信带宽需求的迅猛增 长，将持续拉动光模块等高速光互连器件的需求放量，有望持续成为光模块行业中长期增长的重要驱动。 上海将发放6亿元算力券的消息，也对算力板块构 ...

Core Viewpoint - LG Energy Solution (LGES) reported a decline in revenue for Q2 2025, primarily due to fluctuations in raw material prices and policy impacts on North American energy storage batteries, despite stable EV battery sales [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 was 288.4 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.2%, with stable EV battery sales but a decline in North American energy storage revenue [1] - Gross margin improved to 18.8%, up 1.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter; operating profit margin reached 8.8%, up 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 benefiting from a US IRA subsidy of 25.4 billion (approximately 7.9 to 10.1 GWh of domestic production) [1] - Capital expenditure for Q2 was 140.8 billion, primarily for North American capacity expansion [1] 2025 Outlook - The company projects a revenue growth of 5% to 10% year-on-year for 2025, although the first half of 2025 saw a nearly 4% decline, indicating challenges ahead [2] - Demand for electric vehicles may slow in the short term, but advancements in autonomous driving technology and renewable energy projects are expected to drive long-term growth [3] - The PFE policy is increasing barriers to entry in the US market, enhancing the competitive advantage of companies with established local production and supply chains [3] Operational Developments - LGES is expanding energy storage battery capacity, with a new facility in Michigan officially starting production in Q2 2025, aiming to increase annual ESS battery capacity to 17 GWh by the end of the year and over 30 GWh by the end of 2026 in North America [4] - The company plans to begin mass production of mid-range battery products at its Poland factory in the second half of the year, including high-nickel and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries [5] - LGES is enhancing its technological competitiveness by launching LFP batteries suitable for electric vehicles and energy storage, with plans to introduce batteries that can be charged in under 10 minutes by 2028 [6]

Group 1 - The overall Server market is stabilizing, with ODMs focusing on AI Server development, particularly with NVIDIA's new Blackwell platform products [1] - TrendForce estimates that Blackwell GPUs will account for over 80% of NVIDIA's high-end GPU shipments this year [1] Group 2 - North American CSP giant Oracle is expanding its AI data centers, benefiting companies like Foxconn, Supermicro, and Quanta [2] - Supermicro's growth this year is primarily driven by AI Servers, having secured some GB200 Rack projects [2] - Quanta has successfully expanded its GB200/GB300 Rack business due to collaborations with major clients like Meta, AWS, and Google, along with Oracle orders [2] - Wiwynn is deepening its partnerships with Meta and Microsoft, expecting performance growth in the second half of the year, focusing on ASIC AI Servers [2] Group 3 - The expansion of AI data centers will be crucial for the scaling of the liquid cooling industry [2] - Liquid cooling solutions are increasingly being adopted for high-end AI chips, with new data centers incorporating "Liquid Cooling Ready" designs to enhance thermal management efficiency [2] Group 4 - Liquid cooling is becoming a standard configuration for high-performance AI data centers, driving demand for cooling components [4] - Fositek has begun shipping components for the GB300 platform, competing with Danfoss in the supply of quick connectors for AWS ASIC liquid cooling [4] - Auras is actively entering the data center liquid cooling market, with its business becoming a core growth driver, serving major clients like Oracle, Supermicro, and HPE [4] - Auras has started supplying liquid cooling products to Meta, establishing a foundation for future participation in the GB200 platform's liquid cooling supply chain [4]

Summary of Shenghong Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Shenghong Co., Ltd. benefits from the construction of AI data centers, with its APF and SVG products improving power quality, aligning with the demand for high reliability in data centers [2][6][11] - The company has diversified its business to mitigate risks from different industry cycles, with rapid growth in energy storage microgrids and charging piles offsetting slower growth in its main business [2][7][8] - Shenghong's main business segments include industrial power supply, new energy power quality, electric vehicle charging piles, and battery formation testing, with respective revenue contributions of 20%, 28%, 40%, and 10% [15] Key Points and Arguments - **AI Data Center Market**: The AI data center market is driven by the resumption of H20 chip supplies from Nvidia, leading to increased procurement by Chinese manufacturers and potential capital expenditure increases from major internet companies like ByteDance and Tencent [2][10][19] - **Product Leadership**: Shenghong's APF products hold a significant market share in the data center sector, with a leading technology position and expected growth in the HVDC 800V product line starting in 2026 [2][11][14] - **Financial Performance**: The company anticipates a revenue of approximately 1 billion yuan in energy storage by 2025, with a year-on-year growth expected to turn positive [3][12][16] - **Valuation**: Shenghong's current valuation is considered low, with a projected profit of 500 to 550 million yuan for 2025, suggesting a good buying opportunity for investors [9][14] Industry Dynamics - **Capital Expenditure Trends**: Major domestic internet companies are expected to increase their capital expenditures significantly, with a combined forecast of approximately 363 billion yuan for 2025, a 56% year-on-year increase [19][20] - **Data Center Market Growth**: The data center market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% from 2024 to 2028, with significant increases in new market space [21][22] - **Energy Storage Market**: The energy storage business is focusing on domestic and international markets, with expected revenue growth driven by policy changes in the U.S. and Europe [12][36][39] Additional Insights - **Technological Advancements**: The adoption of silicon carbide technology is expected to enhance the efficiency and reliability of next-generation power quality management products, with a projected market share increase from 2% to 15% by 2027 [25][27] - **Charging Infrastructure**: The charging pile market is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on high-voltage direct current (HVDC) technology and liquid cooling systems, which are becoming industry trends [41][42][45] - **Regulatory Environment**: Recent U.S. policies, such as the Inflation Reduction Act, are expected to stimulate growth in the energy storage sector by extending subsidy timelines and easing restrictions on foreign companies [36][37] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting Shenghong's strategic positioning, market dynamics, and financial outlook.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Viewpoints - The company plans to acquire 82.4% of Fokexima's equity through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, which will enhance its control in the MT connector field and strengthen vertical integration and cost control advantages in its MPO core components [5][11] - Fokexima, a leading third-party MT connector supplier in China, has shown significant growth, with revenue increasing by 225% year-on-year to 270 million yuan in 2024, and net profit growing by 339% to 79.94 million yuan [11] - The global MPO fiber optic connector market is expected to grow from 741 million USD in 2024 to 1.592 billion USD by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.6% [11] Summary by Sections Event Description - On July 10, 2025, the company announced its intention to acquire 82.3810% of Fokexima's equity from five parties, which will make Fokexima a subsidiary of the company [5] Financial Performance - Fokexima achieved a monthly production capacity of over 10 million MT connectors in 2023 and has become one of the few manufacturers capable of complete domestic substitution [11] - The company's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 372 million yuan, 518 million yuan, and 709 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 472%, 39%, and 37% [11]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The AI Data Center (AIDC) sector is experiencing a surge in demand, leading to rapid growth in energy consumption and power supply, significantly outpacing traditional IDC growth [1][6] - China's investment in AIDC is increasing, with a clear trend towards domestic engine replacement, resulting in a more than doubling of diesel engine sales for power generation [1][6] Company Insights KOTAI Power - KOTAI Power benefits from the price increase of generator sets, showing significant profit elasticity [1] - The company is actively pursuing UIL certification to enter the U.S. market, which could lead to substantial performance growth [5] - Future growth factors include the ability to maintain price increases and successful entry into the U.S. market [5] Weichai Heavy Machinery - Weichai Heavy Machinery's diesel generator set business is experiencing significant growth, with new orders expected to increase by 40% to 60% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [1][8] - The company anticipates stable growth in the diesel power generation business over the next few years, with increasing market share and output [1][11] - The company has set ambitious targets for diesel generator output, projecting an increase from 400 units to over 2,000 units by 2027 [11] Longyuan Donggu - Longyuan Donggu, a leader in commercial vehicle diesel generator components, is expanding production to meet market demand, with significant growth expected in the coming years [17] - The company anticipates a steady increase in output for data center-related diesel generator components, contributing to revenue growth despite a relatively low overall revenue share [17] Ice Wheel Environment - Ice Wheel Environment is a leading manufacturer of screw compressor units, with stable growth in various sectors, including data centers [15][16] - The company expects significant revenue growth in the AIDC sector, driven by increased demand for cooling equipment [16] Market Dynamics - The domestic market is seeing a shift towards domestic engines, with companies like Weichai and Yuchai benefiting from this trend [4][7] - The government’s equipment update subsidy policy is expected to stimulate demand for inland and nearshore vessel engines, with potential subsidies reaching 20% to 40% [1][9] - The expected total subsidy amount could range from 22 billion to 48 billion, potentially driving shipbuilding orders between 170 billion to 300 billion [1][9] Future Projections - The AIDC sector is projected to see a significant increase in energy consumption and power supply, with domestic AI data center capacity expected to rise from 5.4GW to 13.4GW [16] - Weichai Heavy Machinery's revenue from marine engines is expected to grow significantly, with a shift towards dual-fuel engines anticipated to enhance profit margins [13] - The company aims to increase its market share in the diesel power generation sector from 13% to 35% over the next few years [11] Conclusion - The AIDC sector and related industries are poised for substantial growth, driven by increased domestic investment, government policies, and a shift towards local manufacturing. Companies like KOTAI Power and Weichai Heavy Machinery are well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, with strong growth projections and strategic initiatives in place.