Workflow
价值投资
icon
Search documents
时报观察|中期分红常态化 “质量+回报”重塑市场价值坐标
证券时报· 2025-06-19 23:23
在年报分红落袋之际,一批企业发布2025年中期分红规划。相当比例是在此前基础上,适当增加中期现金分 红。同时,不少企业通过投资者交流、利润分配公告等提到,将保持稳定的现金分红政策,进一步充分展现公 司的成长性价值、回报性价值和确定性价值。A股"一年多次分红"的常态化图景加速展开。 近期,2024年年度分红派息步入实施高峰季。从去年年报来看,上市公司现金分红踊跃,多家公司合计派发 现金分红总额占2024年归母净利润的半数及以上,近期这些分红计划密集实施。截至目前,合计派现金额已 接近8000亿元,真金白银流向投资者账户。 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度报道丨 股事会专栏 丨 投资小红书 丨 e公司调查 丨 时报会客厅 丨 十大明星私募访谈 丨 上交所,最新发布! 丨 两大央行,同日降息! 丨 A股突变!超4600股飘绿!石油股逆市大涨 丨 稀土出口,大消息! 丨 突然爆发!盘中涨超170%! 丨 美联储重大宣布! 丨 李强在江苏调研 丨 哈 梅内伊:伊朗不投降,不接受强加的战或和 丨 中央金融委,印发重要意见 丨 事关科创成长层,上 交所最新发布! 丨 刚刚!证监会最新发声! 版权声明 证券时报各平台所有原创内 ...
Millicom's Quiet Comeback
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-19 11:05
Core Insights - The article discusses the author's extensive experience in value investing and highlights the importance of analyzing and valuing listed companies in the ASEAN and US regions [1]. Group 1 - The author has two decades of investing experience and has served as a Board member of a Malaysia listed company for several decades [1]. - The blog focuses on value investing through case studies, providing insights into the investment landscape [1]. - The author has published a value investing book titled "Do you really want to master value investing?" available on Amazon [1]. Group 2 - The article emphasizes that past performance is not indicative of future results, highlighting the inherent uncertainties in investment [2]. - It clarifies that no specific investment recommendations are provided, and opinions expressed may not reflect the views of the platform as a whole [2]. - The authors of the analyses include both professional and individual investors, some of whom may not be licensed or certified [2].
基金经理请回答 | 对话姜诚:价值投资的超额收益,究竟源自什么?
中泰证券资管· 2025-06-19 10:13
Core Viewpoint - The discussion emphasizes the balance between idealism and realism in investment management, highlighting that achieving ideal outcomes requires addressing real-world challenges [4][5][6]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy is rooted in value investing, aiming to help more people achieve financial success through this approach [7]. - The gap between ideal and reality is acknowledged, with the understanding that while ideals may be distant, practical solutions must be found to bridge this gap [5][6]. - The focus is on making ideals a reality rather than allowing them to remain unattainable [6]. Group 2: Performance Evaluation - Performance evaluation is not solely based on quantitative metrics like net asset value growth but also includes client experience and satisfaction [7][10]. - The goal is to increase the proportion of clients who earn money, with ongoing exploration of what constitutes "doing well" in investment management [7][10]. - The anxiety regarding future performance and client trust is acknowledged, emphasizing the need for consistent results to build and maintain trust [9][10]. Group 3: Market Perspective - The discussion includes insights on the banking sector, particularly regarding interest margins, which have been narrowing but may experience short-term recovery due to recent changes in deposit interest rates [31][32]. - The investment strategy for banking stocks is based on a long-term perspective rather than short-term trends, with a focus on acceptable pricing despite ongoing challenges [32][33]. Group 4: Decision-Making Process - The decision-making process for investments is described as an intersection of price and understanding, where both elements must align for a purchase to be justified [26][28]. - The importance of thorough research and understanding of market conditions is emphasized, particularly in relation to emerging sectors like new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals [26][28]. Group 5: Strategy and Individuality - Investment strategies are not ranked as better or worse; rather, their effectiveness depends on the individual investor's characteristics and goals [17][18]. - The alignment between a fund manager's strategy and their personal attributes is crucial for achieving successful outcomes [19][20].
从29.2%年化神话看散户逆袭:彼得·林奇的投资铁律
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 12:50
Core Insights - Peter Lynch is recognized as a prominent figure in financial investment, having led the Fidelity Magellan Fund for 13 years with an annualized compound growth rate of 29.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 index by two times [2] - Lynch's investment philosophy emphasizes deep understanding of a company's fundamentals, including its business model, competitive advantages, and financial health, which aligns with classic value investing theories [2] - The strategy of investing in "boring companies" allows investors to exploit market inefficiencies, as these companies are often undervalued due to low analyst coverage and market attention [3] - Lynch warns against the "diversification trap," where companies fail to achieve synergies during strategic transformations, potentially leading to resource depletion and reduced operational efficiency [4] - The principle of "viewing market downturns as opportunities" reflects a deep understanding of market cycles, suggesting that price declines can provide chances to acquire quality assets at lower prices [5] Investment Strategies - Lynch advocates for a concentrated portfolio of no more than 10-12 stocks, which aligns with the marginal returns theory, allowing investors to focus on quality rather than quantity [4] - The recommendation to delay investment decisions helps mitigate emotional biases, such as fear of missing out and greed, thereby improving decision-making quality [4] - The "bottom-up" investment approach focuses on microeconomic fundamentals rather than macroeconomic trends, which helps reduce uncertainty in investment decisions [5] - Lynch encourages investors to leverage their unique knowledge and experiences to identify investment opportunities, aligning with the theory of comparative advantage [4] Behavioral Insights - The analysis of professional investors' tendency to follow market trends reveals the agency problem in finance, where performance pressures lead to herd behavior [3] - Lynch's principles highlight the importance of independent research and avoiding reliance on insider information, which can lead to poor investment outcomes [3]
近三年含权组合业绩第一,国泰基金年金业绩优异
经济观察报· 2025-06-18 11:25
人力资源和社会保障部正式公布了本年度一季度全国企业年金 数据,首次引入"近三年累计收益率"这一全新关键指标,取代 了传统的"当年"口径。 封图:图片资料室 秉持"长钱长投"理念,交出优异答卷 在人社部 "长钱长投"的政策指引下,国泰基金作为22家年金投管人之一,凭借专业的投资管理能 力, 交出了一份优异的答卷 。 具体来看,在单一计划中,国泰基金含权类组合近三年收益率为 11.86%,在22家投管人组合中 位列 第一 ;固定收益类组合近三年收益率为 12.02%,在全市场位列第五。在集合计划产品中, 国泰基金含权类组合近三年收益率为11.13%,位列全市场 第一 ;固定收益类组合近三年收益率 为 11.48%, 位居市场第三 。 尤为值得瞩目的是,国泰基金是 22家年金投管人中 唯一 一家在单一计划固收、单一计划含权、 集合计划固收、集合计划含权四类组合产品近三年累计收益率均突破 10%大关的管理机构。"全 能型" 的 卓越表现,充分印证了国泰基金在多元化投资策略与全资产类别管理上的深厚积淀。 2025年6月13日,人力资源和社会保障部正式公布了本年度一季度全国企业年金数据。此次数据 披露方式较以往有所不同, ...
“三投资”方法论④ | 公募基金篇三 做好风险管理,破解“短钱困局”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 09:26
导语 资产管理不在朝夕之盈,而在长远之兴。 近年来,A股市场结构化行情愈演愈烈,赚钱难度有所增加,投资者与机构均面临着挑战。一方面,投资者在海量投资产品与复杂市场环境中,陷入"既 怕踏空又恐踩雷"的焦虑,追涨杀跌成为常态;另一方面,机构在投入大量资源"摇人"拓客后,如何将短期资金沉淀为长期投资,实现从"拉新"到"留 客"的跨越,成为行业高质量发展的关键。 在近期上海证券交易所、上海资产管理协会和第一财经联手推出的"资管行业践行'三投资'理念优秀实践"系列访谈中,公募基金业内人士就如何做好投资 的风险管理、破解"短钱困局",给出了自己的答案。 风险管理筑牢基石 兴证全球基金风险管理部总监助理郑超胜认为,在践行"理性投资、价值投资、长期投资"理念过程中,风险控制应当置于首要位置。在他看来,任何投资 都是有风险的,风险管理不是追求零风险,而是追求风险和收益的平衡,以实现长期价值投资的理念。 "风险可能对持有人利益造成损害。进行风险管理,也是对持有人利益的一种保护。"郑超胜进一步分析,风险跟投资是一体的,通过严密思考、系统性地 管理风险,然后在这过程中创造价值,也是实现资产稳步增值的关键所在。 "在任何投资之前都必须 ...
帮主郑重:泡泡玛特14倍神话暗藏杀机!做空暴增157%,这波镰刀要挥向谁?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 07:31
Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Pop Mart has experienced extreme volatility, with a significant increase from 16.8 HKD at the beginning of 2024 to 283.4 HKD by June 12, 2024, representing a rise of over 200% year-to-date, despite a recent 6% pullback [3] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock price surged dramatically, reminiscent of Bitcoin's rise, driven by the popularity of the Labubu IP and successful collaborations, such as a limited edition with "One Piece" that sold 600,000 units in a single day [3] - The short interest in the stock increased from 1.438 million shares in early April to 3.692 million shares by June 17, a rise of 157%, but a strong earnings report in March led to a short squeeze, causing the stock to jump 23% in two days [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of 13 billion HKD and a net profit of 3.4 billion HKD, with overseas business revenue surpassing domestic revenue [3] - The overseas market revenue grew by 375% year-over-year, accounting for nearly 40% of total revenue, indicating strong international demand [3] Group 3: Valuation Concerns - The static price-to-earnings ratio stands at 103 times, and the price-to-book ratio exceeds 30 times, which is higher than Disney's valuation [4] - Recent actions by company directors and major shareholders to sell off 6 billion HKD worth of shares raise concerns about potential overvaluation and market sentiment [4] Group 4: Future Considerations - Questions remain about the sustainability of Labubu's popularity, the feasibility of maintaining high growth in overseas markets, and the risks associated with high valuations [5] - The North American market aims for 25 billion HKD in sales by 2025, which poses significant challenges for the company [5]
一图揭秘持赢私募:严控风险,复利可期
私募排排网· 2025-06-18 03:59
持赢私募简介 南京持赢私募基金管理有限公司 (私募登记编号P1000775)成立于2007年,位于江苏南京。公司专注期货市场,倡导理性投资,强调风险控 制,擅长把握趋势性的交易机会,旨在管理好本金安全的前提下,追求财富的长期复利增长。 南京持赢是国内第一批与公募基金合作的期货策略团队之一。2012年期货私募阳光化后,已完结产品均为正收益。公司理念:诚信、持续、专 业、共赢。持赢只用数据说话: (点此查看 南京持赢私募旗下产品收益、核心团队及最新路演 ) 本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 (点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ) 20年连续业绩——收益曲线呈现登高的阶梯式增长; 全面风控体系——宁可错失机会,绝不放大风险; 客户利益至上——超额收益与本金安全,持赢全都要努力做到! ZUU / 年 成立南京持赢投资管理有限公 (1) 司,专注期货市场投资 2012年 国内首批与公募基金合作发行 (D CTA策略公募基金专户 2013年 与多家公募基金发行多只CTA 策略资产管理计划 2014年 在中国证券投资基金业协会登 记备案 2015年 自主发行多只CTA策略契约型 私募基金,峰值管理规模近20 亿 2021年 连续收益 ...
培育长线牛股 需下硬功夫
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-06-17 18:17
"对普通投资者而言,要把握长线牛股的机会,关键在于培养敏锐的商业眼光。"陈嘉禾指出,投资者需 要深入研究企业的商业模式、行业前景、竞争优势等,识别出具有长期增长潜力的优质公司。他强 调,"不能仅凭一时的市场热点或主观臆断进行投资,否则可能会因对企业的理解不够深入而遭受损 失。" 深圳市君子乾乾投资董事长兼投资总监程成接受证券时报·数据宝记者采访时表示,市值变动本质上是 企业盈利能力的动态映射。高成长高估值的背后也有风险,如果企业的成长性承压,将会迎来每股收益 (EPS)和估值的双重损失。最好的风控就是选择最优秀的企业:要保证企业管理层的诚实与尽职,具 备打造成功组织和产品,并不断学习成长的能力;当前的产品竞争力要强且潜在的市场空间够大;在产 业链的话语权强;业绩增长的过程中有充分的现金流验证,不陷入赚了钱全部用来投产的庞氏成长困 局。 (文章来源:证券时报) "若想成为长线牛股,不能仅依赖短期的估值抬升,而应注重提升自身的业务能力,确保业务的可持续 性,实现长期稳定的净资产回报率。这意味着企业需要在技术创新、产品质量、市场拓展、管理效率等 方面不断努力,打造核心竞争力,以支撑其长期的优秀表现。"北京九圜青泉科 ...
跨境电商去年出口超2万亿,高息高返购车贷被叫停 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-17 17:02
点击按钮▲立即预约 英美达成贸易协议条款 6月17日消息,美国总统特朗普和英国首相斯塔默共同宣布,已经敲定了上个月达成的贸易协议的一般条款。从白宫最新公布的声明中来看,英 美最新达成的协议涵盖钢铁、汽车、乙醇、牛肉和航空航天等多方面。自特朗普再次入主白宫并对全球贸易伙伴征收一系列关税以来,英国是首 个同美国达成贸易协议的国家。但此前由于细节未能敲定,该贸易协议的实施一直被推迟。 在农产品方面,英国将为美国出口产品,特别是牛肉、乙醇和某些其他美国农产品出口,增加数十亿美元的市场准入。在汽车方面,美国计划为 英国汽车进口设定每年10万辆的配额,并征收10%的关税,低于其他国家面临的25%的关税率。(财联社) |点评| 英美贸易协定终于初步达成,美国对英国加征10%关税的措施不可避免,只是在部分行业中达成了减免关税的共识。从英美贸易协定 上看,两国为后续扩大彼此之间的贸易往来提供了基础,似乎是一个双赢的结果。然而,协定只覆盖了较为有限的行业,存在配额限制,超出 配额的部分还需再行商议,医药、钢铁、服务业等多个行业之间的贸易协定尚未完全敲定。 从英美和中美等国的贸易谈判中可以看出,美国这次以加征10%关税为谈判的基础 ...