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小摩:对阿里巴巴-W未来6至12个月交易前景持建设性看法 建议增持股票
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 07:12
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on Alibaba's (09988) trading prospects over the next 6 to 12 months, recommending an "overweight" rating on the stock, anticipating that the share price will overcome short-term profit pressures and be re-rated once the monetization point of "cloud business + generative AI" becomes clearer [1] Group 1 - Morgan Stanley believes that the risk and reward profile for Alibaba leans towards the upside, as the potential of AI-driven cloud business and the value of platform optionality outweigh short-term investment hurdles [1] - The firm has lowered its target price for Alibaba's U.S. stock from $230 to $215, based on a 16x price-to-earnings ratio for the fiscal year 2028, and reduced the target price for its Hong Kong stock from HKD 225 to HKD 210 [1] - Despite increased investments in food delivery, instant retail, and user acquisition for generative AI native applications potentially weakening profit margins in the short term, these adverse factors are gradually being understood by the market, with investment pace largely dependent on management's self-regulation [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley has revised its earnings per share forecasts for Alibaba for 2027 to 2028 down by 15% and 7% respectively, reflecting increased investment in food delivery, instant retail, and generative AI user acquisition, as well as weakened monetization capabilities in the domestic e-commerce sector amid soft consumer demand [2] - The firm anticipates that as these adverse factors continue to unfold over the coming quarters, profitability may have further downside potential, leading to a more differentiated and potentially volatile trading style [2]
小摩:对阿里巴巴-W(09988)未来6至12个月交易前景持建设性看法 建议增持股票
智通财经网· 2026-01-09 07:05
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on Alibaba's (09988) trading prospects for the next 6 to 12 months, recommending to overweight the stock as it is expected to overcome short-term profit pressures [1] - The target price for Alibaba's US stock is lowered from $230 to $215, based on a 16x price-to-earnings ratio for the fiscal year 2028, while the Hong Kong target price is adjusted from HKD 225 to HKD 210 [1] - Despite short-term profit margin pressures due to increased investments in food delivery, instant retail, and generative AI applications, these negative factors are gradually being understood by the market, with investment pace largely dependent on management's self-regulation [1] Group 2 - Earnings per share forecasts for Alibaba for 2027 and 2028 are reduced by 15% and 7% respectively, reflecting increased investment in user acquisition for food delivery, instant retail, and generative AI applications, alongside weakened monetization capabilities in the domestic e-commerce sector due to soft consumer demand [2] - It is anticipated that profit margins may have further downside potential in the coming quarters as these adverse factors continue to unfold, leading to a more differentiated and potentially volatile trading style [2]
20cm速递|创业板人工智能ETF国泰(159388)涨超2.2%,代理式AI引领人工智能
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-09 06:45
1月9日,创业板人工智能ETF国泰(159388)涨超2.2%,代理式AI引领人工智能。 招商证券指出,人工智能产业正经历从生成式AI向代理式AI的范式转变,Meta以超20亿美元收购AI初 创公司Manus,反映出大型科技平台加速补齐应用短板的战略紧迫感。AI智能体市场处于指数级增长早 期,预计2025年规模达79.2亿美元,2034年将达2360.3亿美元,复合年增长率45.82%。中国AI产业迎 来"成人礼",智谱AI与MiniMax即将港股挂牌,分别代表"基础设施+ToB赋能"和"超级应用+ToC流 量"两种发展路径。智谱AI依托清华系技术积累,聚焦通用大模型研发与MaaS服务;MiniMax则以多模 态AI能力为核心,打造矩阵式产品组合,全球用户超2.12亿。中长期看,全社会智能化进程将围绕大模 型迭代、算力基建完善、商业模式落地及国产替代等方向持续推进。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 创业板人工智能ETF国泰(159388)跟踪的是创业板人工智能指数(970070),单日涨跌幅限制达 20%,该指数从创业板市场中选取涉及人工智能技术及相关应用领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本,覆 盖从硬件制造到软件开发 ...
一次讲清:大型集团与中小企选择上海GEO优化公司的不同逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 06:02
Core Insights - The article discusses the different procurement logic between large corporations and small to medium enterprises (SMEs) in selecting GEO optimization services, emphasizing the importance of being prioritized in AI-driven information distribution [1] - The Chinese GEO market is projected to exceed 70 billion yuan by 2026, with 78% of enterprises incorporating it into their core strategies [1] Market Status - The GEO service market is at a critical turning point, shifting from a focus on "traffic availability" to "value quality" and "effectiveness stability" [2] - This transition is driven by three main factors: stringent regulatory policies, AI anxiety among enterprises, and advancements in multimodal large models [2] - There is a stark division in the market, with leading companies leveraging technical barriers while many new entrants lack expertise, leading to an average budget waste of over 25% due to unmet expectations [2] Key Dimensions for Selecting GEO Service Providers - **Technical Foundation and Self-Development Capability**: Providers should possess proprietary optimization engines and cross-platform adaptation systems to handle diverse AI algorithms [2] - **Industry-Specific Knowledge Depth**: Solutions should be rooted in specialized industry knowledge rather than generic templates [2] - **Measurable and Attributable Results**: Providers must offer quantifiable metrics linked to business conversions and establish clear input-output attribution models [3] - **Compliance and Security Systems**: Providers should have pre-designed frameworks to address data security and content compliance, especially for highly regulated industries [3] Analysis of Preferred Service Providers - **Dreamxin Technology**: Focuses on high-end manufacturing, acting as an "AI cognitive architect" with a strong industrial automation background [4] - **Yitang Network Technology**: Targets SMEs in the Yangtze River Delta, providing cost-effective GEO entry and localized traffic acquisition [7] - **Shanghai Chenhao Information Technology**: Known for rapid technical adaptation and modular services across multiple industries [8] - **Dazhu Technology**: Specializes in industrial manufacturing, transforming complex terminology into AI-understandable formats [13] - **Zhejiang Jiusanlu Technology**: Offers scenario-driven GEO solutions for high-decision-cost industries like healthcare and education [17] Procurement Action Guide - **Step 1**: Internal diagnosis and clarification of needs before engaging with service providers [20] - **Step 2**: In-depth examination of the technical solutions offered by service providers [20] - **Step 3**: Confirm measurable effect commitments and monitoring systems [20] - **Step 4**: Validate service providers through industry case studies and feedback [20] Summary and Recommendations - Future GEO optimization will increasingly integrate with industry knowledge and evolve towards real-time, scenario-based solutions [21] - Large corporations should prioritize technical depth and industry experience when selecting partners, while SMEs should focus on cost-effectiveness and localized services [21]
报告显示中国人形机器人企业出货量登顶全球榜首
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-01-09 05:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the global humanoid robot market is entering a rapid growth phase, with total shipments expected to reach 13,000 units in 2025 [2] - Chinese manufacturers are leading the global market, with Zhiyuan (AGIBOT) projected to have the highest shipment volume and market share, delivering 5,168 units, which accounts for 39% of the global market [2] - The integration of generative AI and robotics technology is driving the evolution of robots from executing preset tasks to possessing autonomous learning and environmental adaptability, termed "general embodied intelligence" [2] Group 2 - The report highlights that leading companies in the humanoid robot sector, such as Zhiyuan, Yushu, and Tesla, are actively promoting accelerated industry development [2] - Omdia forecasts that the humanoid robot market will experience exponential growth over the next decade, with global shipments expected to reach 2.6 million units by 2035 [2] - Zhiyuan Robotics, founded in 2023 and headquartered in Shanghai's Pudong Zhangjiang Science City, has rapidly increased the number of humanoid robots produced and sold to various countries and regions [2]
干货满满!2026年基金策略会核心观点来了
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-09 04:53
(原标题:干货满满!2026年基金策略会核心观点来了) 刚刚过去的2025年,注定是历史性的一年。 全球资本市场走过了一段并不平静的旅程。一边,是以生成式AI为代表的新一轮技术浪潮,加速渗透 产业链深处;一边,是利率周期的微妙拐点、全球资金在"高波动"与"低增长"之间反复权衡。 汇添富基金马磊:AI引领科技革命,把握三大核心投资主线 站在科技史的维度看,马磊博士给出的判断极为明确: 1.2025年,是全球第三次科技革命的"元年"; 2.生成式AI成为核心驱动力,技术迭代速度远超以往(每2-3个月就有新架构落地,大模型性能台阶式 提升); 3.从AI编程、视频多模态,到智能搜索、AI导购,应用渗透率呈现爆发式增长。全球头部AI公司成立数 年,年化收入即突破200亿美元,创造历史; 叙事被拉伸、被压缩,也被不断重估。 市场正在发生的变化,已不再只是涨跌本身。资金的行为在改变,风险偏好的锚在移动,过去依赖单一 逻辑的定价方式,正在被更复杂、更结构化的框架所替代。 站在2026年的门槛前,讨论的焦点也随之发生转移。相比"短期方向",市场更关心的是:哪些力量正在 成为长期变量?哪些结构又在发生巨变? 正是在这样的宏观背 ...
机构报告:2025年全球人形机器人出货量中国厂商领跑 智元份额居首
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 04:41
Core Insights - The global humanoid robot market is expected to enter a rapid growth phase by 2025, with Chinese manufacturers leading in mass production and shipment volume [1] - AGIBOT is projected to achieve the highest shipment volume and market share globally in 2025, with over 5,100 units shipped, capturing 39% of the market [1] - The integration of generative AI with robotics is accelerating the evolution of robots from executing single tasks to possessing autonomous learning capabilities [1] Industry Overview - The total shipment volume of humanoid robots is anticipated to reach 13,000 units in 2025, indicating a significant increase in market activity [1] - The report identifies AGIBOT, Yushu, and Tesla as part of the "first tier" of companies in the global humanoid robot sector [1] - The humanoid robot industry is projected to experience exponential growth, with an expected shipment volume of 2.6 million units by 2035 [1]
红杉中国郑庆生:MiniMax成功的核心所在是对AGI的坚定信仰和长期主义精神
IPO早知道· 2026-01-09 02:52
红杉中国副总裁李广平,红杉中国合伙人郑庆生,MiniMax创始人兼CEO闫俊杰,红杉中 国副总裁董瀛,红杉中国投资经理张凯,MiniMax副总裁薛子钊。 本文为IPO早知道原创 作者| Stone Jin 微信公众号|ipozaozhidao 据 IPO 早 知 道 消 息 , MiniMax Group Inc. ( 以 下 简 称 "MiniMax" ) 于 2026 年 1 月 9 日 正 式 以"0100"为股票代码在港交所主板挂牌上市,成为史上IPO规模最大的AI大模型公司。 成立至今,MiniMax已获得多家战略投资方和一线机构的投资和支持。其中, 红杉中国在2023年7 月参与了MiniMax的A+轮融资,并在此后多轮加持,这也是迄今为止红杉中国在大模型领域投资金 额最大的项目之一。IPO前,红杉中国持有MiniMax 3.81%的股份,为第三大财务投资方。 红杉中国副总裁李广平介绍称,红杉中国在2021年底开始系统性研究生成式AI,是最早关注并开始 投资AIGC领域的机构。 2022年前后,在红杉中国内部的研究框架中,已经非常明确地把 AI 视为 未来最重要、且发展速度最快的底层能力。 "从结 ...
快手-W盘中涨近5% 高盛料可灵AI升级将推动海外市场扩大用户认可并提升营收
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 02:42
Core Viewpoint - Kuaishou-W (01024) shares experienced a nearly 5% intraday increase, currently up 3.96% at HKD 74.75, with a trading volume of HKD 1.285 billion. Goldman Sachs highlighted that the upgrade and new features of Kuaishou's Keling AI in December last year are expected to enhance user recognition and revenue in overseas markets, potentially raising Kuaishou's revenue forecast for the fiscal year 2026 and boosting its stock price [1] Group 1 - Goldman Sachs predicts Keling AI's revenue to exceed USD 140 million in 2025 and approximately USD 230-240 million in 2026 [1] - The expansion of Kuaishou's overseas business development team and the introduction of more enterprise clients are expected to drive significant growth in the next 1-2 years [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan reported that Keling AI's daily revenue on mobile platforms increased by 102% in January compared to the previous month [1] - Although JPMorgan anticipates that Keling AI's actual revenue growth in Q1 this year may not be as pronounced due to most revenue still coming from PC platforms, the strong performance thus far indicates that AI video generation remains a key vertical in the generative AI development space [1] - The monetization potential of industry leaders like Keling AI is believed to have significant upward space in both enterprise and consumer segments [1]
港股异动 | 快手-W(01024)盘中涨近5% 高盛料可灵AI升级将推动海外市场扩大用户认可并提升营收
智通财经网· 2026-01-09 02:37
Group 1 - Kuaishou-W (01024) saw a nearly 5% increase in stock price during trading, closing at HKD 74.75 with a transaction volume of HKD 1.285 billion [1] - Goldman Sachs highlighted that the upgrade and new features of Kuaishou's Keling AI in December last year are expected to enhance user recognition in overseas markets and boost revenue, potentially raising Kuaishou's revenue forecast for fiscal year 2026 [1] - Revenue predictions for Keling AI are estimated to exceed USD 140 million in 2025 and around USD 230-240 million in 2026, driven by the expansion of Kuaishou's overseas business development team and increased enterprise client demand [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan reported that Keling AI's daily revenue on mobile platforms increased by 102% in January compared to the previous month [1] - Although JPMorgan anticipates that actual revenue growth for Keling AI in Q1 this year may not be as significant due to most revenue still coming from PC platforms, the strong performance thus far indicates that AI video generation remains a key vertical in the generative AI development [1] - The monetization potential of industry leaders like Keling AI is believed to have substantial upward space in both enterprise and consumer segments [1]