一、美国启动"电力加速计划"，国内供应链迎外溢机遇，哪些中国供应链公司有望先吃肉？ 二、卡位万亿云服务市场，切入华为生态，机构预计2024-2027年净利润CAGR预达25.5%，看好 公司从数字商品到"物联网+云终端"成长路径明确。 前言 券商研报信息复杂？机构调研数据过时？屡屡错失投资机会？那是你不会挖！想知道哪份研报有用？什 么时候该看？《研报金选》满足你！每日拆解热门产业链或核心公司，快市场一步的投研思维+严苛的 研报选择标准+几近偏执的超预期挖掘，游资私募都在用！ 点击付费阅读，解锁市场最强音，把握投资机会！ ...

花旗预计2026-2028财年的云收入将以年均29%的复合增长率提升，高于此前预期的26%，并保守维 持云利润率不变。 花旗上调阿里巴巴美股和港股目标价，并称基于云栖大会现场参会人员的流量以及公司对数据中心 容量将增长十倍的乐观预期，上调其云收入和资本支出的假设。 花旗分析师Alicia Yap等人在报告中表示，尽管暂无明确指引，该行当前假设现有的3800亿元人民 币资本支出预算将在2028财年二季度底之前部署到位，进度快于三年的时间。 花旗重申买入评级，将阿里巴巴ADR目标价从187美元上调至217美元；其港股目标价由183港币上 调至215港币。 (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Group 1 - The core issue highlighted is the increasing prevalence of telecom network fraud targeting students, with various schemes such as "part-time order brushing" and "game account trading" being particularly problematic [1][2] - The report indicates that students are often lured into scams due to their naivety and lack of social experience, making them prime targets for fraudsters [1] - Specific cases were mentioned, including a college freshman who lost their living expenses to a "brushing" scam and a young student who was defrauded of over 60,000 yuan by impersonators of a celebrity's team [1][2] Group 2 - The types of scams affecting middle and primary school students include "game account trading," impersonation of celebrities, and theft of smartwatches, with one case involving an 8-year-old losing 10,000 yuan due to a scam related to a game [2] - To combat these scams, the Hunan education system is focusing on enhancing awareness, promoting a culture of fraud prevention, and strengthening student management [2] - The emphasis is placed on collective responsibility in campus fraud prevention, urging all stakeholders to work together to protect students' financial security and campus safety [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the structural opportunities in the market, particularly for high-quality industry leaders with global competitiveness, amidst a backdrop of market fluctuations and sector-specific performance [3][14]. - The recent performance of the Shanghai Composite Index showed a decline of 1.30%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.34% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 5.09%, indicating a divergence in market performance [14]. - The article emphasizes the potential for foreign capital to increase its holdings in Chinese assets, particularly if the Federal Reserve continues to lower interest rates in the fourth quarter [16]. Group 2 - In the resource sector, the valuation logic has shifted from cyclical to cash flow visibility due to supply constraints and geopolitical tensions, with a focus on long-term supply limitations [17]. - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a rebound driven by policy support and demand elasticity, while energy storage companies are expected to benefit from improved Sino-US relations and sustained market demand [17]. - The active equity fund indices showed varied performance, with the active stock fund selection index rising by 0.80% last week, while the value stock fund selection index fell by 0.48% [5][6].

三大股指均创新高 截至收盘，道指涨0.37%，报46315.27点；标普500指数涨0.49%，报6664.36点；纳指涨0.72%，报22631.48点。美股三大指数齐创收盘新高。 中国基金报记者 赵刚整理 美东时间9月19日（周五），美股收高，三大股指连续第二个交易日均创历史新高。贵金属市场整体联动走强，油价连续第三天下跌。库克回应新款 iPhone价格高。 本周，道指涨1.05%，标普500指数涨1.22%，纳指涨2.21%。 美联储理事米兰表示，在本周的利率决议前，他仅与特朗普总统进行了简短交谈，并未受到任何投票压力。米兰在本次联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会 议上投票反对降息25个基点，极力主张降息50个基点。他表示，自己的决定是独立做出的，9月点阵图里的低利率预期是他给出的。 市场对进一步宽松的押注升温。芝商所FedWatch工具数据显示，美联储基金期货暗示10月会议再度降息25个基点的概率为89.8%，高于前一日的87.4%。 特朗普："特朗普金卡"将带来超1000亿美元收入 特朗普在Truth Social称："今天，我们自豪地宣布推出'特朗普金卡'（THE TRUMP GOLD CARD）。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ellison family, led by Larry Ellison and his son David, is aggressively pursuing acquisitions in Hollywood, aiming to create a massive media empire that includes major companies like Paramount and Warner Bros [2][10][25]. Group 1: Acquisition Plans - Larry Ellison and his son plan to acquire significant assets in Hollywood, including CNN, CBS, HBO, and TNT, following their recent acquisition of Paramount [2][10][25]. - David Ellison has successfully completed the acquisition of Paramount, which includes various media assets such as CBS and Showtime, marking a significant step in their media empire ambitions [19][20]. Group 2: Financial Context - Oracle's stock surged by 36%, increasing its market value to $920 billion, which significantly boosted Larry Ellison's personal wealth to over $400 billion, allowing him to fund these acquisitions [3][5][8]. - The acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is seen as a strategic move, given the company's current market value of $47 billion and its challenges in the streaming sector [25][27]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The media landscape is undergoing significant consolidation, with major studios being acquired by larger entities, positioning the Ellison family to potentially control a substantial portion of Hollywood [27][30]. - John Malone, a key figure in Warner Bros., supports the Ellison family's acquisition efforts, emphasizing the need for strong consolidation to compete with giants like Netflix [27][28].

Core Insights - Tencent's stock rose by 2.56% to HKD 661.5 per share, with a market capitalization returning to HKD 6 trillion, reflecting positive investor sentiment amid the AI wave [2] - The 2025 Tencent Global Digital Ecosystem Conference showcased significant AI business updates and collaborations, indicating Tencent's strong positioning in the AI sector [2] - Tencent reported Q2 2025 revenue of CNY 184.5 billion, a 15% year-on-year increase, and operating profit of CNY 69.2 billion, up 18%, highlighting the benefits of its AI investments [2] AI Market Dynamics - The demand surge for AI has intensified competition among cloud service providers, leading to a heated market environment [3] - The price war in the AI model sector has been exacerbated by competitors like DeepSeek, which set low API pricing, prompting others to follow suit [3][4] - Tencent has stated it will not engage in loss-leading pricing strategies for cloud services, emphasizing the unsustainability of such models [4] Strategic Focus - Tencent's cloud strategy focuses on efficiency and global expansion rather than competing on price, with a commitment to sustainable growth [4] - The company aims to leverage its unique "connection" capabilities by integrating core technologies with tools like WeChat and Tencent Meeting to enhance customer engagement [5] Competitive Landscape - The AI public cloud service market in China is projected to reach CNY 19.59 billion in 2024, growing by 55.3% year-on-year, with major players including Baidu and Alibaba leading the market [6] - Various cloud providers are adopting different strategies, such as Baidu's self-developed models and Alibaba's combination of self-research and open-source approaches [7] - The global server market is expected to grow to USD 366 billion by 2025, driven by increasing demand for AI capabilities [7]

Market Overview - The three major US stock indices closed higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching all-time highs [1] - Large tech stocks generally rose, with Alphabet's market capitalization surpassing $3 trillion, making it the fourth US company to achieve this milestone [1] - Tesla shares increased by 3.6% following Elon Musk's purchase of 2.57 million shares, totaling approximately $1 billion, marking his largest public market buy [1] Company Performance - Alphabet reported Q2 2025 total revenue of $96.4 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations [5] - Meta's Q2 2025 revenue reached $47.5 billion, up 22% year-over-year, also surpassing market forecasts [5] - Microsoft achieved Q4 FY2025 revenue of $76.4 billion, an 18% increase year-over-year, exceeding expectations [6] - Nvidia's Q2 FY2026 revenue was $46.7 billion, a remarkable 56% year-over-year growth, surpassing market expectations [6] - Tesla's Q2 2025 revenue was $22.5 billion, a 12% decline year-over-year, slightly below market expectations [7] Investment Trends - ETFs tracking the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices have seen significant gains, with the Nasdaq tech ETF up over 20% year-to-date [1] - Investors are closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut due to recent weak employment data [2] AI and Economic Outlook - The AI boom, coupled with anticipated Fed rate cuts and strong earnings momentum in tech stocks, is driving the continued rise of US equities [8] - OpenAI's chairman compared the current AI wave to the internet bubble, suggesting that while there may be significant winners, there will also be substantial losses [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with an expectation of returns exceeding 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [2][13]. Core Viewpoints - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was CNY 26.85 billion, a decrease of 12.05% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 5.09 billion, down 19.26% year-on-year [1][7]. - The mobile gaming business generated revenue of CNY 20.28 billion, a decline of 16.41% year-on-year, attributed to the maturation of two major products [7]. - The company is focusing on AI, cloud services, and ICT sectors, with a new model application system launched in 2025H1, enhancing operational efficiency and user experience [9]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth of its overseas mobile gaming business and the expansion of its AI and cloud services [9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2025H1, the overall gross margin was 59.83%, down 2.48 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 18.78%, down 1.63 percentage points year-on-year [1][7]. - The company’s total assets were CNY 6,802.77 million in 2023, projected to grow to CNY 12,839.62 million by 2027 [12]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is CNY 1.36 billion, with an expected EPS of CNY 0.69, corresponding to a PE ratio of 19.24 [10].

Summary of the Conference Call on Dongyangguang's Acquisition of Qinhuai Data Company and Industry Involved - **Company**: Dongyangguang - **Acquired Company**: Qinhuai Data - **Industry**: Internet Data Center (IDC) and Computing Power Services Key Points and Arguments 1. **Acquisition Structure**: Dongyangguang has implemented a three-tier structure to integrate Qinhuai Data, which simplifies regulatory reviews and may attract strategic investors and acquisition loans, accelerating delivery and business expansion [2][3][4] 2. **Market Position of Qinhuai Data**: Qinhuai Data is a leading player in the IDC market, primarily serving ByteDance. Its pure IDC scale is 1.5 to 2 times that of Runze, with a single regional data center reserve exceeding a gigawatt, positioning it as a top ITC supplier in China [2][6] 3. **Profit Potential from Computing Power Services**: Currently, Qinhuai Data reports zero revenue from computing power services. However, as it transitions to this service, profit elasticity is significant, with projected profits of 1.8 to 2 billion RMB in 2025, potentially increasing to 3 to 4 billion RMB post-transition [2][7] 4. **Importance of Liquid Cooling Technology**: Liquid cooling technology is a critical component of the acquisition. Dongyangguang has partnered with Zhongji Xuchuang to establish a liquid cooling joint venture, which is expected to replace traditional cooling methods and enhance service quality for clients [2][8] 5. **Revenue Projections Post-Acquisition**: Following the acquisition, Dongyangguang's overall business value is expected to increase significantly, with projected revenues of approximately 1.4 billion RMB in 2025 and 1.8 billion RMB in 2026 [2][9] 6. **Impact on A-share Computing Power Industry**: The acquisition is significant for the A-share computing power industry, as it enhances Dongyangguang's capabilities in intelligent computing cloud services, computing power cloud services, AIDC, and liquid cooling solutions [3][9] 7. **Valuation of Traditional Business**: Dongyangguang's traditional business includes refrigerants and aluminum capacitors, with an estimated overall valuation of 40 to 50 billion RMB. The refrigerant business has a quota of approximately 59,000 tons, valued at around 40 billion RMB, while the aluminum capacitor business has a bottom-line profit of about 400 million RMB, valued at 6 billion RMB [4][12] 8. **Long-term Investment Opportunities**: The market may experience short-term fluctuations, but sectors such as cloud services, computing power services, and AIDC are identified as having high growth potential, presenting excellent investment opportunities [10] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Strategic Resource Integration**: The acquisition allows Dongyangguang to revitalize its core business by extending solutions downstream through fluorochemical products and enhancing its competitive edge in the liquid cooling technology sector [4][13] 2. **Future Trends in Global Computing Power Investment**: The company has been analyzing global computing power investment trends, indicating a shift towards cloud services and AIDC, aligning with recent news and market developments [11]