Report Information - Report Title: Copper Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: November 18, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The copper price is expected to stop falling and rebound in the short term. Although the copper price has fallen from its high due to the hawkish signals from Fed officials, the pressure from the macro - side on the copper price is not expected to last. The tight spot market and frequent copper mine accidents provide support for the copper price [9]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - On Monday, the Shanghai copper price dropped 0.91% to 86,450, and the total positions decreased by 11,326 lots. The copper price fell from its high due to the hawkish signals from Fed officials. The spot price dropped 585 to 86,510, and the spot premium increased 50 to 105. The month - to - month spread of the last trading day fluctuated significantly, and the premium of Shanghai copper against the current month strengthened significantly [9]. - The social inventory decreased by 0.73 tons over the weekend because of less imported and domestic arrivals. The LME0 - 3 swap fee turned to back at 3.88, and the Shanghai - London ratio fell below 8, leading to an expansion of the spot import loss to over 900. The short - term import window remained closed, and the supply of imported goods was expected to decline [9]. - The increase in spot premiums at home and abroad highlighted the tightness of the spot market. The probability of a 25BP interest rate cut by the Fed in December dropped to 40% due to the Fed officials' remarks. A large number of important US data will be released starting this Thursday, but the inflation and employment data in October still face challenges, which may lead to significant differences in the December Fed meeting. A rate cut in December is still ruled out in the short term [9]. - A bridge collapse at a copper mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo over the weekend caused 32 deaths. Frequent copper mine accidents maintained the support from the mine end [9]. 2. Industry News - On Saturday, a bridge at a copper mine in the southeast of the Democratic Republic of Congo collapsed, causing 49 deaths and sending 20 seriously injured people to the hospital [12]. - On November 15, Huixin Copper Industry in Siziwangqi Bainaimiao area cooperated with Amaowusu Mining Company for copper mining and beneficiation. The project with an annual output of 10,000 tons of copper concentrate powder and an annual processing capacity of 800,000 tons of ore officially started production. It is expected to process 6,000 tons of raw ore and produce 3,200 tons of copper concentrate powder by the end of the year, with an output value of 64 million yuan. After the deep exploration and mine operation are completed next year, the industrial output value will reach 1.1 billion yuan [12]. - The second - phase expansion project of Sichuan Southwest Copper Industry Co., Ltd. has completed the main construction and entered the final stage. The project focuses on the efficient and circular use of resources and will build a production line for the deep - processing of waste high - voltage cable copper with an annual processing capacity of 53,200 tons. After the full operation of the second - phase project, the company's total production capacity will reach 170,000 tons. It is expected to achieve an output value of 1.5 billion yuan in the fourth quarter of this year and a total annual output value of 4.5 billion yuan [13].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for copper is cautiously bullish [7]. Group 2: Core View of the Report - Although high copper prices significantly suppress consumption, due to tight supply at the mine end and better - than - expected performance of new energy sectors like photovoltaics in the second half of the year, copper prices are likely to maintain a volatile and upward - biased pattern [7]. Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs Market News and Important Data Futures Quotes - On November 17, 2025, the main SHFE copper contract opened at 86,640 yuan/ton and closed at 86,450 yuan/ton, a 0.52% decline from the previous trading day's close. The night - session contract opened at 86,440 yuan/ton and closed at 86,320 yuan/ton, a 0.10% decline from the afternoon close [1]. Spot Situation - On the previous day, SMM's 1 electrolytic copper spot was quoted at 86,300 - 86,720 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 105 yuan/ton over the current - month contract, a 50 - yuan increase from the previous day. The procurement and sales sentiment in the market declined. Shanghai's procurement index was 3.07 and the sales index was 3.22. Good - quality copper resources were in short supply, with a premium of 80 - 120 yuan/ton for the next - month contract. Flat - grade copper with a discount of 50 yuan/ton was quickly traded [2]. Important Information Summary - Fed Vice Chair Jefferson signaled a dovish stance, stating that the downside risk to employment has increased and the upside risk to inflation may have slightly decreased recently. Fed Governor Waller reiterated that the Fed should cut interest rates again in the December meeting. US White House National Economic Council Director Hasset pointed out that the job market showed "mixed signals" [3]. Mining End - On November 16, a serious accident occurred at a semi - industrial copper mine in southeastern Congo (Kinshasa), where a bridge collapse led to about 30 miners' deaths and many injuries. The official death toll may reach 49, with 20 people in critical condition. The accident was caused by military personnel shooting, which led to miners' panic and a stampede [4]. Smelting and Import - Last week, the Yangshan copper premium continued to weaken. The average weekly price of bills of lading was 45.4 US dollars/ton, a 1.4 - dollar decrease from the previous week. The import window remained closed, with a loss of about 850 yuan/ton. The foreign - trade market was sluggish, but there were two areas of structural activity [5]. Consumption - Sichuan Southwest Copper Co., Ltd.'s Phase II expansion project has completed its main construction and entered the final stage. After full operation, the company's total production capacity will reach 170,000 tons. It is expected to achieve a production value of 1.5 billion yuan in the fourth quarter and 4.5 billion yuan for the whole year [6]. Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - LME warehouse receipts decreased by 450 tons to 136,050 tons compared with the previous trading day. SHFE warehouse receipts increased by 7,135 tons to 56,965 tons. On November 17, the domestic electrolytic copper spot inventory was 193,800 tons, a decrease of 7,300 tons from the previous week [6]. Strategy Copper - Operators can buy on dips for hedging between 85,000 - 85,500 yuan/ton, and enterprises with selling - hedging needs can operate between 88,500 - 89,000 yuan/ton [7]. Arbitrage - Put on hold [7]. Options - Short put [7].

Core Viewpoint - The official launch of the new "High-end Energy Equipment Pipe Intelligent Production Line" by Dali Pu Holdings (01921) marks a significant advancement in the company's capabilities, emphasizing its commitment to technological innovation and sustainable manufacturing practices [1][2] Group 1: Production and Efficiency - The new production line will significantly enhance production efficiency through full-process automation and intelligent system collaboration, enabling large-scale and efficient output [2] - The comprehensive cost structure will be optimized by reducing unit production costs through intelligent transformation, thereby improving profitability [2] Group 2: Product and Quality Improvement - The product range will be more comprehensive, covering various oil pipe specifications and expanding into high-pressure boiler pipes and high-end mechanical pipes [2] - Quality consistency will be greatly improved due to a digital control system that ensures product stability and reliability, strengthening market competitiveness [2] Group 3: Strategic Support and Future Outlook - The production line will effectively support the implementation of the "Dali Pu High-end Energy Equipment Project" in Saudi Arabia by providing mature technology and practical foundations [2] - The establishment of this intelligent production line is a key milestone in the company's continuous innovation efforts, indicating a significant step forward in intelligent manufacturing and capacity upgrading [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the company, Guotai Group, is focusing on expanding and constructing new production capacity, particularly in advanced production that aligns with industry development trends, such as on-site mixed explosives [1] - The company aims to optimize its production capacity structure and drive capacity upgrades through innovation, targeting high-quality development [1]

Core Insights - Longhong High-Tech (605008) reported a significant improvement in its Q3 2025 financial performance, with revenue reaching 1.122 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.38 million yuan, up 139.35% year-on-year [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's net profit growth of 135.35% is closely linked to the profitability of its subsidiary, Guangxi Longhong, and the completion of the PBT facility upgrade, which restored production capacity [2] - The total profit for Q3 increased by 36.57% year-on-year, primarily due to Guangxi Longhong's entry into a profitable phase [2] Group 2: Operational Developments - The completion of the PBT facility upgrade in Q2 has led to a gradual recovery in production rhythm, operational efficiency, and capacity utilization [2] - Key projects such as the second phase of solution styrene-butadiene rubber and TPE black masterbatch have been successfully launched, with the first phase of the acrylic acid industrial park in Guangdong progressing smoothly [4] Group 3: Market Outlook - The recovery trends in downstream industries, particularly in new energy and consumer electronics, are expected to continue, enhancing industry prospects [5] - The company’s products, including TPE and PBT, are widely used in automotive and home appliance applications, positioning it well to meet changing market demands [5] - Longhong High-Tech is poised to steadily advance capacity construction and operational quality improvements, marking a clear path toward high-quality growth [5]

Group 1: Company Overview - Sinopec Engineering (02386) is expected to achieve net profits of 2.56 billion, 2.91 billion, and 3.27 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 4%, 14%, and 12% respectively, with current PE ratios of 12, 10, and 9 times [1] - The company has a strong order reserve of 215.5 billion yuan, which is 3.4 times its expected revenue for 2024, indicating robust performance stability [1] - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio of over 63% since 2021, with expected dividend yields of 5.6% and 6.3% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The petrochemical industry is facing profitability pressures in 2023, but policies aimed at reducing competition and enhancing supply-side reforms are being implemented, with a target of over 5% average annual growth in added value for the industry from 2025 to 2026 [2] - The company benefits from the resource support of its major shareholder, Sinopec Group, which strengthens its core domestic business [2] Group 3: International Market Opportunities - There is strong demand for petrochemical construction in emerging markets such as the Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia, with the company targeting over one-third of its business from international markets [3] - New overseas orders are expected to grow significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 80% in 2024 and 39% in the first three quarters of 2025 [3] - The contribution of overseas revenue is projected to rise from 10% in 2023 to 24% in the first half of 2025 [3] Group 4: Coal Chemical Sector - The importance of coal chemical construction is increasing due to China's resource characteristics and energy security needs, with a clear trend of accelerated investment [4] - Major coal chemical projects in resource-rich regions like Xinjiang are progressing, with total planned investments nearing 900 billion yuan [4] - The company secured new contracts worth 12.4 billion yuan in 2024 for new coal chemical projects, significantly increasing its order proportion [4]

Core Viewpoint - *ST Songfa (603268.SH) plans to invest 2.654 billion yuan to expand its production capacity in response to the growing demand in the shipbuilding market, aiming for high-quality development and enhanced competitiveness [1] Group 1: Investment Details - The investment will be directed towards the construction of a green high-end equipment manufacturing supporting project at its subsidiary, Hengli Shipbuilding (Dalian) Co., Ltd [1] - The project includes the addition of large steel structure workshops, auxiliary workshops, and surrounding segment stacking yards to meet increasing shipbuilding capacity needs [1] Group 2: Strategic Importance - This external investment aligns with the company's strategic planning and operational development needs, facilitating the expansion and upgrading of production facilities [1] - Upon completion, the project is expected to achieve a steel processing capacity of 400,000 tons per year, contributing to production scale upgrades and cost optimization [1]

Core Insights - Yueyang Lin Paper Co., Ltd. has achieved significant production milestones, with its Yueyang production base exceeding monthly production targets for five consecutive months from May to September this year [1] - The company has effectively optimized resource allocation and enhanced production efficiency amidst fluctuating market conditions, showcasing resilience and vitality in the industry [1] Production Performance - The 11th paper machine has been a key driver of production growth, operating at speeds exceeding design specifications, with a maximum speed of 1700 meters per minute and a stable speed of 1600 meters per minute [1] - From January to September, the 11th paper machine produced over 360,000 tons, achieving 107.1% of its production plan with a premium product rate of 98.4% [1] Technological Advancements - The company has implemented digital transformation of its production lines, leading to improved quality and efficiency [2] - The production of chemical pulp and mechanical pulp has increased by 13.1% and 33.3% respectively compared to the same period last year, enhancing the company's competitive edge in quality and cost [2] Export and Market Strategy - Yueyang Lin Paper is actively increasing its product exports, capitalizing on emerging market opportunities, with significant growth in finished paper exports from January to September [2] - The company has optimized logistics and supply chain management to ensure smooth operations, coordinating with suppliers and enhancing delivery efficiency [2] Industry Context - The demand for cultural paper is rising in rapidly developing regions such as the Middle East and Southeast Asia, while stricter environmental policies in Europe and the U.S. are leading to a reduction in high-energy-consuming paper production [3] - Chinese paper companies, including Yueyang Lin Paper, are leveraging their scale and mature supply chains to establish a competitive advantage in the international market through capacity upgrades and market diversification [3]

Core Insights - Yunnan's coffee and its products exported over 770 million yuan in the first eight months of this year, ranking first in the country [1] - The value of coffee exports under the Tengchong Customs supervision reached 30.944 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 38.5% [1] Industry Developments - The rising international coffee bean prices present a significant opportunity for Yunnan's coffee industry, with exports expected to start in May 2024 to countries including Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Europe and the United States [1] - The coffee industry in Yunnan is experiencing a shift from exporting mainly raw beans to a variety of products such as roasted beans, drip coffee, and instant coffee, indicating an improvement in manufacturing capabilities [1] - The export market has expanded beyond traditional regions like Europe, Japan, and South Korea to include Central Asia, Eastern Europe, and even Africa, showcasing the enhanced production quality [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Lanke Lithium Industry has successfully upgraded its production capacity from 30,000 tons to 40,000 tons of lithium carbonate annually through technological improvements [1] - The company plans to continue benchmarking against industry leaders to enhance resource extraction and utilization efficiency [1] - The focus is on promoting high-quality development within the industry [1]