Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of the recent US-Vietnam trade agreement on China's textile exports, with US tariffs on Vietnam reduced from 46% to 20%, potentially leading to a shift of orders from US buyers to Vietnam [8] - The outdoor industry is expected to continue thriving, supported by increasing participation in events and a growing market for outdoor products, with a target industry scale exceeding 3 trillion yuan by 2025 [9] - The real estate market is anticipated to stabilize, with potential policy support from the government, which may positively influence the home furnishing sector [10] Economic News - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated an additional 10 billion yuan for employment projects, expected to create jobs for 310,000 individuals [2] - The People's Bank of China is exploring new measures to open the bond market to foreign investors, aiming to enhance the liquidity of RMB bonds [3] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority plans to expand offshore RMB repurchase operations, enhancing market liquidity and supporting the development of the Hong Kong bond market [4] Company News - Shentong Express has partnered with Cainiao to advance the application of unmanned vehicles in last-mile delivery, aiming to enhance its smart delivery network [6] - Huawei has announced a new patent for an auxiliary driving method, which aims to improve drivers' perception of surrounding obstacles [6] - JD.com has launched a "Double Hundred Plan" to invest over 10 billion yuan to support quality merchants, enhancing their online sales capabilities [6] Market Review - The textile and apparel industry saw a 1.36% increase, while the light industry rose by 0.58%, indicating a positive trend in these sectors [11]

Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a 690 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on July 8, with a fixed interest rate of 1.40%, and the same amount was successfully bid [1][4] - On the same day, 1,310 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 620 billion yuan [1][4] Funding Conditions - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.6%, showing little change from the previous day [6] Bond Market - Major interbank bond yields have generally risen [8] - Government bond futures closed collectively lower, with the 30-year main contract down 0.22%, the 10-year down 0.08%, the 5-year down 0.08%, and the 2-year down 0.03% [12][14] Local Government Financing - The Hubei province is implementing measures such as "debt restructuring, platform transformation, and asset revitalization" to effectively prevent and mitigate local debt risks [18] - Recent negative events in bond issuance include downgrades in credit ratings for several companies, indicating potential risks in the local government financing sector [18]

Group 1 - The issuance of technology innovation bonds has accelerated since the implementation of the new policy on May 7, with a total of 442 bonds issued, raising 630.71 billion yuan in two months [1] - Nine companies from Henan have collectively raised over 10 billion yuan through technology innovation bonds [1] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announced measures to expand the range of participants in the Bond Connect Southbound scheme, including brokers and asset management companies [3] Group 2 - Two leading credit rating agencies are planning to introduce simplified "one-page" credit rating reports starting in August, requiring investors to register as institutional investors to access full reports [5] - The People's Bank of China is actively researching further measures to promote the opening of the bond market, including enhancing cross-border financing convenience and enriching the offshore RMB financial market product system [6][8] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments issued a notice to support qualified enterprises in issuing bonds for zero-carbon park construction [6] Group 3 - The Tianjin government encourages qualified venture capital institutions to issue corporate bonds and debt financing tools for equity investment [11] - Fujian Province plans to issue 262.2682 million yuan in special new bonds as part of a total issuance of 599.584 million yuan [12] - The Anqing State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission issued guidelines to strengthen debt risk management for state-owned enterprises [13] Group 4 - Luoyang Guoxing Industrial Investment Company plans to issue 600 million yuan in rural revitalization corporate bonds [14] - Jiaozuo Construction Investment (Holding) Company has completed the issuance of 300 million yuan in corporate bonds with an interest rate of 2.75% [16] - Nanyang High-tech Development Investment Group intends to issue up to 1.7 billion yuan in corporate bonds, with the underwriting fee set at 2‰ per year [17] Group 5 - Dongfang Jincheng predicts that the bond market will continue to experience fluctuations, with expectations of marginal improvement in inflation data for June [19] - Despite the central bank's significant net withdrawal, the funding environment remains loose, potentially leading to further declines in short-term interest rates [19] - The overall bond market is expected to maintain a volatile trend, with a steepening yield curve anticipated [19]

Group 1 - The total amount of Chinese bonds held by foreign institutions has increased by nearly 200 billion RMB since the beginning of the year, indicating a positive outlook on RMB assets following tariff events [1] - As of the end of May, foreign institutions held a total of 4.4 trillion RMB in Chinese bonds, which is nearly four times the amount before the Bond Connect was launched [1] - The Northbound trading volume has exceeded 5.5 trillion RMB this year, with over 1.2 million transactions in the swap market [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China announced three new measures to optimize the Bond Connect, including improving the Southbound trading mechanism, optimizing offshore repurchase business arrangements, and enhancing the swap market mechanism [1] - The central bank is actively researching further measures to promote the opening of the bond market, including enhancing connectivity between domestic and foreign financial markets and establishing a one-stop account opening platform for foreign investors [2] - Efforts are being made to enrich the offshore RMB financial market product system to improve market liquidity and promote a virtuous cycle between onshore and offshore RMB markets [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The current fundamentals continue the weak recovery trend. After the cross - quarter, the easing of capital pressure kicks off the seasonal easing window, and the overall environment is favorable for the bond market. However, with the central bank's reserve requirement ratio cut and interest rate cut expectations not dispelled, the downward space for yields is limited. The bond market is expected to fluctuate strongly, and it is recommended to buy on dips [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - T, TF, TS, and TL main contract closing prices decreased by 0.08%, 0.08%, 0.03%, and 0.22% respectively, while trading volumes increased by 845, 490, 434, and 2498 respectively [2]. 3.2 Futures Spreads - Different contract spreads show various changes, such as the TL2512 - 2509 spread decreased by 0.02, and the T2512 - 2509 spread increased by 0.00 [2]. 3.3 Futures Positions - The positions of T, TF, TS, and TL main contracts and the long - short positions of the top 20 show different changes, with the net short positions of most contracts decreasing [2]. 3.4 Top Two CTD (Clean Prices) - The clean prices of multiple CTD bonds decreased, such as the 220010.IB (6y) decreased by 0.1041 [2]. 3.5 Active Treasury Bonds - Yields of 1 - 7y active treasury bonds increased by 0.15 - 0.90bp, while the 10y yield decreased by 0.10bp [2]. 3.6 Short - term Interest Rates - The silver - pledged overnight interest rate decreased by 7.49bp, and the silver - pledged 7 - day interest rate increased by 2.00bp [2]. 3.7 LPR Interest Rates - The 1y and 5y LPR interest rates remained unchanged [2]. 3.8 Open Market Operations - The issuance scale was 690 billion, the maturity scale was 1310 billion, and the interest rate was 1.4% for 7 days [2]. 3.9 Industry News - The central bank is actively researching and promoting other measures for the opening - up of the bond market; the Chinese Ministry of Finance is willing to deepen BRICS financial cooperation; the US will impose tariffs on 14 countries and extend the tariff negotiation suspension period to August 1st [2]. 3.10 Key Data to Focus On - On July 9th at 22:00, the US May wholesale sales month - on - month rate; on July 10th at 02:00, the Fed will release the minutes of the monetary policy meeting, and at 20:30, the US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 5th [3].

央行江会芬：正在积极研究推进债券市场对外开放的其他措施 金十数据7月8日讯，中国人民银行金融市场司副司长江会芬在"债券通周年论坛2025"上表示，正在积极 研究推进债券市场对外开放的其他措施：一是深化拓展境内外金融市场联通合作，进一步推动人民币债 券成为全球高质量流动性资产。二是提升跨境投融资的便利化水平，推动建立面向境外投资者的一站式 开户平台，与财税部门共同推动明确面向境外投资者的后续免税安排。三是丰富离岸人民币金融市场的 产品体系，提升市场流动性，推动在岸与离岸人民币市场形成良性循环。 （上证报） 美元/离岸人民币 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China announced three new measures to enhance financial market connectivity between the mainland and Hong Kong, supporting the development of the offshore RMB market [1][2] - The first measure involves improving the operation mechanism of the "Southbound Bond Connect," allowing more domestic investors to invest in the offshore bond market, with recent expansions to include non-bank institutions such as brokerages, funds, insurance, and wealth management [1] - The second measure optimizes the offshore repurchase business mechanism under the Bond Connect, broadening the range of tradable currencies and enhancing liquidity management for foreign investors [1][2] Group 2 - The third measure focuses on optimizing the swap connect mechanism to better meet investors' interest rate risk management needs, including expanding the range of products and adjusting daily trading limits [2] - The Bond Connect has seen significant growth, with cumulative transactions reaching 915.6 billion yuan and an average daily transaction volume of 48.2 billion yuan as of May, marking a 31-fold increase compared to the first month of operation [2] - Despite global market volatility due to U.S. tariff policies, the Chinese bond market remains stable, with foreign institutions increasing their holdings of Chinese bonds by nearly 200 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [3]

Core Insights - The "Bond Connect" program, particularly the "Northbound" channel, has significantly enhanced the accessibility of China's interbank bond market for foreign investors, marking its eighth anniversary on July 3, 2025 [1][2][3] Market Growth and Participation - The trading volume of the "Northbound" channel reached 915.6 billion RMB in May 2025, a 12.79-fold increase compared to May 2018, with an average daily trading volume of 48.2 billion RMB [3] - As of May 2025, there were 835 market participants in the "Northbound" channel, more than double the 315 participants in May 2018 [3] - The total scale of China's bond market has reached 183 trillion RMB, making it the second largest in the world [6][7] Structural Changes and Innovations - The "Northbound" channel has seen a diversification of participants, expanding from primarily asset management investors to include sovereign institutions and commercial banks [4] - Various innovations have been introduced, such as the "Swap Connect" and enhancements in risk management tools, which have improved the trading ecosystem for foreign investors [5][6] Internationalization of RMB Assets - The "Bond Connect" has become a crucial channel for foreign investors to allocate RMB assets, contributing to the internationalization of the RMB [3][4] - As of May 2025, foreign institutions held 4.35 trillion RMB in interbank market bonds, accounting for 2.6% of the total custodial volume [7] Future Outlook - There is an expectation for further product diversification within the "Northbound" channel, including bond forwards and total return swaps, which could enhance foreign participation in China's interest rate products [5][6] - The ongoing development of the "Southbound" channel is anticipated to bring additional liquidity to the Hong Kong bond market and deepen the connectivity between domestic and international bond markets [8]

近期，申万宏源作为联席全球协调人，助力山东沂河控股集团有限公司成功发行3 年期高级无抵押美元债。本期债券发行规模8445万美元，期限3年，票面利率5.99%。 该业务是上海清算所和欧洲清算银行于2020年12月宣布推出"玉兰债"业务后，山东省 国有企业发行的全球首单"玉兰债"，也是申万宏源承销的首单"玉兰债"。 "玉兰债"是以上海市市花命名，通过金融基础设施跨境互联互通，服务中资发行人 面向国际市场发债的创新业务。该品种由上海清算所和欧洲清算银行合作推出，通过两 地金融基础设施互连，共同为中资发行人和海外投资人提供登记、托管和结算服务。 该笔'玉兰债'成功发行，是申万宏源发挥投资银行优势，帮助发行人参与国际市场 的跨境合作业务的又一成果，在服务实体经济的同时，推动我司进一步参与我国债券市 场的对外开放，发行工作取得了发行人的高度认可，为深化合作奠定了基础。未来，申 万宏源将继续深化与发行人的合作，以优质的专业能力和高效的沟通协作，进一步扩展 与客户的合作广度与深度，在投行业务上积极探索、主动创新，全方位服务境内外发行 人，主动融入和服务国家重大战略。 免责 声 明 本内容最终解释权归申万宏源证券有限公司所有。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive developments in the investment environment for foreign central bank institutions in China's bond market, particularly with the recent fee exemption for account openings [1][2] - The Central Securities Depository and Clearing Co., Ltd. announced that starting from January 1, 2025, foreign central bank institutions will be exempt from a 500 yuan account opening fee, reflecting the government's commitment to reducing costs and enhancing the investment experience for foreign investors [1] - There has been a significant increase in foreign investment in Chinese bonds, with foreign institutions net increasing their holdings of Chinese government bonds, particularly in the first quarter of 2025, where net purchases reached 269 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 84% [2] Group 2 - The trend of foreign investment in Chinese bonds is expected to continue, driven by the strengthening of the RMB and the relative attractiveness of Chinese bond yields compared to international markets [2][3] - Regulatory measures have been implemented to simplify the entry process for foreign institutions and enhance cross-border liquidity management, which has been well-received by foreign investors [2] - Market participants anticipate that as the infrastructure of the Chinese bond market continues to improve, the trend of foreign capital increasing its holdings of Chinese bonds will likely persist [3]