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美债收益率突破5%!穆迪降级+特朗普减税,金融市场急了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 01:58
Group 1 - The financial market is facing unprecedented challenges with U.S. assets, as the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasuries has surpassed 5%, and demand for 20-year Treasuries has significantly declined [1][4] - The U.S. government debt has exceeded $36 trillion, and the fiscal deficit is rapidly expanding, with the tax cut plan proposed by the Trump administration expected to reduce taxes by over $4 trillion over the next decade, further increasing the debt-to-GDP ratio from 98% to 125% [3][4] - The surge in U.S. Treasury yields has caused notable impacts on global financial markets, with major U.S. stock indices experiencing their largest declines in a month, and the 20-year Treasury yield reaching 5.1% [4] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley has shifted to a bullish outlook on U.S. assets, upgrading U.S. stocks and Treasuries to "overweight," citing relative advantages amid a slowing global economy [5] - The firm anticipates that U.S. corporate earnings will soon hit a bottom, and easing inflation along with potential further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will support U.S. equities [5] - Morgan Stanley projects the S&P 500 index to reach 6,500 points by Q2 2026, while forecasting a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield to 3.45% [5]
倒计时2天丨大咖云集!2025清华五道口全球金融论坛即将召开
清华金融评论· 2025-05-15 10:21
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Tsinghua Wudaokou Global Financial Forum will be held in Shenzhen from May 17 to 18, focusing on building an open and inclusive economic and financial system, aiming to create a high-level dialogue platform for global government officials, economists, and financial leaders [88]. Group 1: Event Details - The forum will feature over 20 high-level political and economic leaders from both China and abroad, with nearly 100 international heavyweight guests in attendance [3]. - The opening ceremony will take place on May 17 from 9:00 to 11:10 [6]. - Various thematic discussions will be held, including topics such as the challenges of global economic fragmentation and opportunities and challenges in green development [17][26]. Group 2: Thematic Discussions - The first thematic discussion will focus on "Global Economic Fragmentation Challenges," scheduled for May 17 from 15:30 to 16:45 [17]. - Another discussion will address "Opportunities and Challenges in Green Development," occurring on May 17 from 14:00 to 15:15, with a rebroadcast on May 19 [26]. - A session on "Financial Assistance for Cultural and Tourism Industries to Become Pillar Industries" will be held on May 18 from 14:00 to 15:15, with a rebroadcast on May 19 [76].