Group 1 - The total scale of public funds in China reached a new high of 33.74 trillion yuan by the end of May 2025, reflecting the robust development of the asset management industry and investors' continued preference for professional investment services [1] - As of May 2025, there are 164 public fund management institutions in China, including 149 fund management companies and 15 asset management institutions with public qualifications, managing a total net asset value of 33.74 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.62 trillion yuan or 1.87% from the end of April [1] - The total scale of public funds has set a historical record for the eighth time since 2024, showcasing the strong growth momentum of China's asset management industry [1] Group 2 - By the end of May, the net asset value of open-end funds totaled 29.98 trillion yuan, while closed-end funds accounted for 3.76 trillion yuan, with open-end funds continuing to expand in scale, shares, and quantity [1] - Open-end funds include five major categories: stock funds (4.58 trillion yuan), mixed funds (3.57 trillion yuan), bond funds (6.78 trillion yuan), money market funds (14.40 trillion yuan), and QDII funds (0.65 trillion yuan), with most categories experiencing growth [2] - Money market and bond funds significantly contributed to the overall growth of public fund scale, with increases of 407.13 billion yuan and 221.88 billion yuan, respectively [2] Group 3 - The number of equity funds is a key focus for public institutions, with 60 new stock funds added by the end of May, indicating a long-term positive outlook for the equity market [2] - In the context of global uncertainty and moderate domestic economic recovery, the industry suggests maintaining a balanced allocation towards high-growth technology assets and high-dividend cyclical assets [3]

Group 1 - The total net asset value of public funds in China reached 33.74 trillion yuan by the end of May 2025 [1] - There are 164 public fund management institutions in China, including 149 fund management companies and 15 asset management institutions with public qualifications [1]

Group 1: ETF Market Developments - The largest ETF in the market, Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, announced a cash dividend exceeding 8 billion yuan, setting a record for the largest single dividend in ETF history [2] - Public fund dividends have surged this year, with total dividends exceeding 95 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 50%, and index funds contributing over 20 billion yuan [2] - The bond ETF market has reached a significant milestone, surpassing 300 billion yuan in total scale, with nearly 10 bond ETFs exceeding 10 billion yuan [6] Group 2: Innovation Drug Sector - The innovation drug sector in Hong Kong has seen a remarkable increase, with some stocks rising over 60% this year, leading to record trading volumes and turnover rates exceeding 100% [2][3] - A major Chinese biopharmaceutical company is in discussions with several multinational pharmaceutical companies for significant licensing deals, indicating strong growth potential in the sector [6] Group 3: Public REITs and Fund Performance - Public REITs have experienced a "one-day sell-out" phenomenon, indicating strong investor interest and demand [10][11] - The first "doubling fund" of the year has emerged, driven by the strong performance of innovation drug sector funds, with some funds reporting over 100% returns [7] Group 4: Regulatory Actions - The Shandong Securities Regulatory Bureau has taken administrative measures against Lide Capital Management, indicating ongoing regulatory scrutiny in the financial sector [8]

Group 1 - The total scale of public funds in China has surpassed 33 trillion yuan for the first time as of the end of April 2023, setting a new historical high [1] - As of April 2023, there are 163 public fund management institutions in China, including 148 fund management companies and 15 asset management institutions with public qualifications, managing a total of 12,705 public fund products [1] - The net asset value of public funds reached 33.12 trillion yuan, with mixed funds, stock funds, bond funds, money market funds, and QDII funds having respective scales of 3.58 trillion yuan, 4.58 trillion yuan, 6.56 trillion yuan, 13.99 trillion yuan, and 644.02 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The public fund industry has shown significant expansion, with the scale surpassing 30 trillion yuan in April 2024, reaching 30.78 trillion yuan, and further increasing to over 31 trillion yuan in May and 32 trillion yuan in September [2] - The number of investors and net inflows into public funds are both on the rise, indicating an increasing recognition of public funds among investors [2] - Public funds are becoming a major force in the asset management industry, with their core advantages being high specialization, flexibility, transparency, and market-oriented operation mechanisms, which collectively form a protective moat for public funds [2]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - Public Fund Industry Core Points and Arguments - The expansion of public fund scale is significantly correlated with excess returns, especially in favorable market years. However, current challenges in share and scale growth are evident, with a redemption rate of approximately 10% in Q4 and 2-3% in Q1 of the current year [1][2][3] - Adjusting to narrow-based indices (such as consumption, manufacturing, TMT) can improve the probability of outperforming benchmarks, but the win rate remains below 50%. Over the past three years, more than half of narrow-based index products failed to outperform benchmarks, indicating limited effectiveness of this strategy for excess returns [1][3] - In bond funds, a lower bond content and higher stock content correlate with increased difficulty in outperforming benchmarks. The significantly lower allocation to financial and cyclical sectors compared to index weights is a key factor, with potential for future weight increases in these sectors [1][3] - Achieving relative returns under new regulations requires attention to the stability of style and industry exposure, enhancing style and industry allocations to improve portfolio performance while controlling volatility. Industry-led investments have high potential for excess returns, but the risk-reward ratio is declining, making it a suboptimal strategy [1][3][4] - For absolute returns, multi-asset allocation can simplify investment processes. Relative returns require clarity on the stability of various benchmarks' style and industry exposures, along with methods to enhance these while controlling volatility [4] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - Public funds should allocate at least half of their positions to benchmark indices and use the other half to seek excess returns, regardless of whether through style or industry allocation. Financial sectors, particularly non-bank and bank stocks, are notably underweighted in public funds compared to their index allocations [10][14] - The risk control benchmark can be compared to index-enhanced products, with the median risk of these products showing a relative drawdown of about 10%. If actively managed equity products can achieve a 10% relative drawdown with higher annualized excess returns, they will outperform traditional ETFs and broad index products [5][6] - The probability of selecting industries that yield over 1% excess returns annually is low, typically around 10%, with a special case in 2021 where 30% of industries met this standard. Achieving 10% excess returns is considered a high target for public funds [9][14] - The distinction between using style versus industry for excess returns is significant; style offers stability but lower ceilings, while industry can achieve higher ceilings but with less stability in win rates [11][14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025Q1, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 3.13%, the Wind Convertible Bond Underlying Stock Equal - Weighted Index rose 7.81%, and the average increase in the reinstated unit net value of 39 convertible bond funds was 3.81%, with a median of 3.59%. The overall net subscription was 3.858 billion yuan, and the net subscription rate of 39 convertible bond funds was 51.28%, a 20.51 - percentage - point increase compared to 24Q4. [8][12] - In 2025Q1, the market value of convertible bonds held by public funds was 282.274 billion yuan, a 1.85% decrease from the previous quarter, and the convertible bond position slightly decreased by 0.01 percentage points to 0.88% (the ratio of the market value of convertible bonds held to the net asset value of the fund). The market value of convertible bonds held by 39 convertible bond funds increased, the overall position rose, and the leverage ratio continued to decline quarter - on - quarter. [8][12] - In terms of industry allocation, banks remain an important underlying position for convertible bonds. Both public funds and convertible bond funds increased their positions in convertible bonds of the power equipment industry. In addition, public funds mainly increased their positions in convertible bonds of industries such as basic chemicals and electronics, while convertible bond funds mainly increased their positions in convertible bonds of industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and non - ferrous metals. [8][12] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs I. Public Funds Slightly Reduced Convertible Bond Positions and Increased Positions in Basic Chemicals and Power Equipment Convertible Bonds (1) The Market Value of Convertible Bonds Held by Public Funds Decreased Quarter - on - Quarter, and the Position Slightly Declined - In 2025Q1, the market value of convertible bonds held by public funds was 282.274 billion yuan, a 1.85% decrease from the previous quarter but a 3.98% increase year - on - year. The ratio of the market value of convertible bonds held by public funds to the market value of bond investments was 1.43%, a 0.09 - percentage - point decrease from 24Q4; the ratio to the net value was 0.88%, a slight 0.01 - percentage - point decrease from 24Q4. [12] - The market value of convertible bonds held by different types of funds changed differently quarter - on - quarter, with passive index funds performing strongly. Among them, the market value of convertible bonds held by stock - type, hybrid, and bond - type funds in 25Q1 increased by 87.06%, decreased by 19.13%, and increased by 0.63% respectively. [15] - In terms of the absolute amount of change, the hybrid funds had the largest decrease in market value, with a 7.396 - billion - yuan decrease in 25Q1. The stock - type funds increased by 586 million yuan, mainly contributed by passive index funds. The bond - type funds increased by 1.572 billion yuan in total, but there was significant internal differentiation. [2] (2) The Proportion of Public Fund Holdings Increased, and Brokerage Asset Management and Proprietary Trading Increased Positions - As of the end of 2025Q1, the total face value of convertible bonds held by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges was 696.248 billion yuan, a 29.725 - billion - yuan decrease from the end of 24Q4, a 4.09% quarter - on - quarter decrease. Public funds, insurance institutions, enterprise annuities, and general institutions all significantly reduced their positions. Brokerage proprietary trading and asset management increased their positions. [29] - As of the end of 25Q1, public funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges held a total face value of convertible bonds of 232.441 billion yuan, a 3.50% decrease from the end of 24Q4, but the proportion increased by 0.21 percentage points to 33.38%. [34] (3) Public Funds Adjusted Their Positioning Styles and Increased Positions in Basic Chemicals and Power Equipment Convertible Bonds - In terms of style, the market value of positions in equity - biased and debt - biased convertible bonds decreased, with a decrease of 6.121 billion and 8.660 billion yuan respectively compared to 24Q4, a decline of 18.05% and 7.49%. The market value of balanced convertible bonds increased by 6.933 billion yuan, an increase of 5.31%. [3][38] - In terms of industry layout, in 25Q1, banks were still the primary layout sector. In addition, the power equipment, basic chemicals, and electronics industries had a relatively high total market value of fund positions. [39] - In terms of the quarter - on - quarter change in market value, nearly half of the industries had positive changes. Industries such as social services, national defense and military industry, and basic chemicals had the highest increases. [39] (4) Industrial Bank Convertible Bonds Rose to the Top of the Heavily - Held Bonds, and the Market Value Increment Led - Industrial Bank Convertible Bonds were the most heavily - held bonds by public funds. Industrial Bank and Shanghai United Bank Convertible Bonds had the highest increments. Among the top ten convertible bonds in terms of total market value of fund positions, six were bank convertible bonds. [45] - Excluding bank convertible bonds, among the top ten convertible bonds in terms of the number of fund holdings, six were from the power equipment industry. [45] II. Convertible Bond Funds Outperformed the Index, with an Increase in Convertible Bond Positions and a Decrease in the Leverage Ratio (1) The Reinstated Unit Net Value Rose, and the Overall Performance Showed Net Subscription - As of 2025Q1, there were 39 convertible bond funds in the market that announced relevant data. In 25Q1, the performance of convertible bond funds outperformed the convertible bond index, with an overall net subscription and an increase in scale. [53] - The scale of convertible bond funds in 25Q1 was 54.920 billion yuan, a 3.858 - billion - yuan increase from 24Q4, a 7.56% quarter - on - quarter increase. The overall net subscription was 3.858 billion yuan, and 20 out of 39 convertible bond funds had net subscriptions, with a net subscription rate of 51.28%. [53] (2) The Convertible Bond Position Increased Quarter - on - Quarter, and the Leverage Ratio Decreased Quarter - on - Quarter - The overall position of 39 convertible bond funds increased, and the leverage ratio decreased quarter - on - quarter. In the first quarter of 2025, the ratio of the market value of convertible bonds to the net value of convertible bond funds was 84.70%, a 0.12 - percentage - point increase from the previous quarter, continuing the upward trend in 24Q4. [66] - The average leverage ratio of 39 convertible bond funds in the first quarter of 2025 was 114.81%, a 2.86 - percentage - point decrease from the previous quarter, mainly affected by the relatively high cost of funds in the first quarter. [66] (3) Convertible Bond Funds Mainly Increased Positions in Power Equipment, Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - From the perspective of the quarterly change in the number of times funds held convertible bonds, in 25Q1, the number of times most industries were held decreased. Only the basic chemicals, steel, social services, communications, and petroleum and petrochemical industries had an increase in the total number of times held quarter - on - quarter. [5] - From the perspective of the quarterly change in the proportion of the market value of fund positions, the proportions of power equipment, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and non - ferrous metals increased by 2.09, 1.48, and 1.35 percentage points respectively. A total of 16 industries had an increase in the proportion of the market value of positions. [5]

编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.05.13） 宏观及策略研究 输入性因素拖累明显——2025 年 4 月物价数据点评 进出口增速均超预期——2025 年 4 月进出口数据点评 基金研究 国防军工领涨行业 ，公募高质量发展行动方案落地——公募基金周报 晨会纪要（2025/05/13） 输入性因素拖累明显——2025 年 4 月物价数据点评 王哲语（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150524070001） 周 喜（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150511010017） 李济安（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150522060001） 1、CPI：食品和出行价格上行 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 晨会纪要（2025/05/13） 宏观及策略研究 2025 年 4 月 CPI 同比降幅持平，环比由降转涨。CPI 环比走高主要受食品价格和出行服务价格支撑，其中， 食品价格上行主要与牛肉进口量减少、部分地区 ...

NO.1猛增392%！国泰海通首份季报出炉 4月29日晚间，国泰海通披露一季报。数据显示，2025年第一季度实现营业收入117.73亿元，同比增长 47.48%；归属于母公司所有者的净利润为122.42亿元，同比增长391.78%。扣除非经常性损益后的净利 润为32.93亿元，同比增加60.65%。根据季报，营业收入增长主要是金融工具投资收益净额、经纪业务 手续费净收入同比增加。归属于母公司所有者的净利润增长主要是吸收合并海通证券产生的负商誉带来 营业外收入增加。 点评：国泰海通一季度业绩大幅提升，金融工具投资收益和经纪业务手续费净收入显著增加，吸收合并 海通证券产生负商誉带来营业外收入增加，对公司股价形成积极支撑。券商板块或受益于市场活跃度提 升，整体市场情绪可能受到提振。 NO.2公募总规模稳住32万亿，QDII及股票型基金申购热情高涨 4月29日，中国基金业协会发布最新一期公募基金市场数据。截至今年3月底，公募基金总规模达到 32.22万亿元，连续两个月规模站稳32万亿元大关。从环比情况看，上个月公募基金规模变化较为平 稳，相比2月末，规模减少近百亿元，环比下跌0.03%，这也是自2020年10月以来， ...

证券研究报告 | 固定收益点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 28 年 月 日 固定收益点评 基金增持了哪些转债——25Q1 基金转债持仓分析 2025Q1 公募基金持有转债规模占转债总市值的比重环比下降 0.87pcts，仓位小幅上升了 0.01pcts。截止 2025Q1，转债市场存量余 额 6920.52 亿元，环比 24Q4 增加 0.24%；公募基金持有转债市值 2822.74 亿元，占转债总市值的 40.79%，较 24Q4 减少 0.87pcts；公募基金持有 转债仓位为 0.819%，较 24Q4 上升 0.01pcts。 2025Q1，可转债基金平均收益略跑赢中证转债指数。受权益市场行情影 响，25Q1 转债市场主要指数上涨。可转债基金 25Q1 的区间平均收益率 为 16.73%，收益率为正的可转债基金有 39 只，其中华宝可转债债券 25Q1 收益率表现最好为 46.51%；东方可转债债券的收益率同样表现优异为 37.26%。另外仅有工银可转债债券的收益率为-0.24%。可转债基金中跑 赢中证转债指数的有 21 只，胜率 52.50%；跑赢转债债基指数的为 18 只， 胜率为 ...

Macro and Strategy Research - The scale of corporate bond financing has decreased, with March social financing increasing by over 1 trillion yuan year-on-year for the fourth consecutive month, primarily supported by government bond financing and on-balance sheet credit financing [2] - Corporate short-term loans have significantly increased year-on-year, with a net increase of 460 billion yuan in March, while medium and long-term loans showed a slight decrease, indicating a preference for short-term loans due to high bond financing costs [2][3] - M1 year-on-year growth has rebounded, likely due to accelerated fiscal fund disbursement, enhancing the liquidity of private sector demand [3] - Overall, March financial data shows improvements in both total and structural aspects, with notable increases in social financing and M1 growth, although medium and long-term loans still require further stimulation [3] Fund Research - The market saw significant net inflows into broad-based indices led by the CSI 300, with a net inflow of over 98 billion yuan, while the CSI A500 index experienced a net outflow of approximately 3.97 billion yuan [5][7] - The average net value of bond funds increased by 0.16%, while FOF and equity funds performed poorly, with the average net value of quantitative funds dropping by 3.99% [6][7] - The active equity fund position increased to 80.96%, up by 2.8 percentage points from the previous period, indicating a rising confidence in equity markets [6]