2026年开年，公募基金发行市场"春意盎然"。 Wind数据显示，以基金成立日为准，截至2月26日，在2026年前两个月成立的新基金数量达到230只，发行规模合计2102.80亿元。至此，于年 内成立的新基金数量及发行规模均同比增长逾41%。 同时，新基金的结构呈现明显变化：权益基金主导下，FOF、固收+产品颇有异军突起之势。 受访人士向21世纪经济报道记者指出，权益基金发行火热有望为A股带来千亿级增量资金托底、流动性改善、机构定价权提升的积极影响。 权益基金发行规模超1200亿元 在公募基金发行市场回暖过程中，权益基金成为主力选手。 据Wind统计，2026年1月1日～2月26日，全市场新成立混合型基金74只，合计发行规模796.43亿元（即发行份额796.43亿份），在同期新基金 发行总规模中的占比约为38%；新成立91只股票型基金，合计发行规模470.58亿元，占比约为22%。 其中，年内新成立的股票型基金仍旧以ETF产品为主。 同时，在新成立的74只混合型基金中，偏股混合型基金占据绝对C位：共有68只，合计发行规模737.8亿元；而偏债混合型基金仅有4只，占比 较低，其余2只为灵活配置型基金。 这意味 ...

Core Insights - The public fund issuance market in 2026 shows significant growth, with 230 new funds established and a total issuance scale of 210.28 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of over 41% in both quantity and scale [1][2] Fund Structure Changes - The structure of new funds has shifted, with equity funds dominating, while FOF and fixed income+ products are emerging strongly [2][5] - In the first two months of 2026, 74 new mixed funds were established, totaling 79.64 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 38% of the total new fund issuance [3] - New stock funds primarily consist of ETF products, with 91 new stock funds launched, totaling 47.06 billion yuan, representing about 22% of the total [4] Equity Fund Dominance - The total issuance scale of newly established equity funds (stock funds + equity mixed funds) reached 120.84 billion yuan in the first two months of 2026 [4] - The trend indicates a strong willingness for new capital to enter the market, improving liquidity and enhancing institutional pricing power [2][11] Fixed Income Fund Trends - The issuance scale of newly established bond funds has significantly declined, with a total of 28 new bond funds launched, totaling 33.47 billion yuan, compared to 73.64 billion yuan in the same period of 2025 [6][7] - The decline in bond fund issuance reflects a shift in investor preference towards equity assets [11] Market Outlook - The hot issuance of equity funds is expected to attract significant incremental capital into the A-share market, potentially leading to a positive impact on liquidity and pricing power [8][11] - There are 58 new funds scheduled for issuance in March, indicating continued interest in equity investments [10] Investment Themes - Newly established equity funds cover various themes, including technology, consumption, and resource sectors, reflecting a diverse investment strategy [9] - The focus for 2026 is expected to be on performance realization and domestic production, particularly in AI and semiconductor sectors [12][13]

证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 社融同比增速放缓，权益基金发行回暖 ——流动性周报 2 月第 3 期 2026 年 02 月 24 日 策略周报 研究所： 风险提示：历史数据仅供参考，样本代表性不足的风险，数据处理统计 方法可能存在误差，基于主观认知划分产生的偏差，外部环境变化影响 结论适用性，指标选取不全面风险。 相关报告 《年报预报落地后，市场如何演绎？*赵阳》—— 2026-02-01 《流动性周报 1 月第 3 期：宏观资金均衡偏松，ETF 继续大幅净流出*赵阳》——2026-01-28 袁野》——2026-01-26 1. 本周（2026/02/09-2026/02/13，下同）宏观资金面均衡偏松，央行通 过公开市场操作开展逆回购净投放 12089 亿元，开展 10000 亿元 6 个月 买断式逆回购操作。资金价格方面，短端利率、长端利率均小幅下行， 期限利差有所走阔。2026 年 1 月社融规模增量大幅上升至 72208 亿元， 存量同比增长 8.2%，较 2025 年 12 月增速下降 10BP。结构上，新增人 ...

大类资产与基金周报（20260126-20260130）—— [Table_Title] [Table_Message]2026-02-01 金融工程周报 黄金冲高回落，商品基金涨幅 4.75% [Table_Author] 证券分析师：刘晓锋 电话：13401163428 E-MAIL：liuxf@tpyzq.com 执业资格证书编码：S1190522090001 证券分析师：孙弋轩 电话：18910596766 E-MAIL：sunyixuan@tpyzq.com 执业资格证书编码：S1190525080001 内容摘要 太 平 洋 证 券 股 份 有 限 公 司 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 守正 出奇 宁静 致远 [Table_Summary] . 金 融 工 程 周 报 ◼ 大类资产市场概况：1）权益：本周 A 股市场中上证指数收盘 4117.95，涨跌幅-0.44%， 深证成指、中小板指数、创业板指、上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000、中证 2000、 北证 50 涨跌幅分别为-1.62%、-3.78%、-0.09%、1.13%、0.08%、-2.5 ...

2026 年 01 月 28 日 策略周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 宏观资金均衡偏松，ETF 继续大幅净流出 ——流动性周报 1 月第 3 期 最近一年走势 投资要点: 相关报告 变迁？*赵阳》——2026-01-16 《流动性周报 1 月第 1 期：资金需求端缓和，两融 余额创历史新高*赵阳》——2026-01-13 《信用重启与双峰共振——2026 年海外年度策略* 袁野，赵阳》——2026-01-12 1. 本周（2026/01/19-2026/01/23，下同）宏观资金面均衡偏松，央行通 过公开市场操作开展 7 天逆回购净投放 2295 亿元。资金价格方面，短端 利率下行、长端利率下行，且长端下行幅度大于短端，期限利差走窄。 2. 股市资金供给端总体结构分化，权益基金发行显著回升，两融余额仍 在高位震荡。融资净流入较多的行业为有色金属、非银金融等，融资净流 出较多的行业有电子、计算机等。股票 ETF 净流出 3331.17 亿元，宽基 ETF 资金主要流入中证 2000、科创 200 等指数，净流出 ...

以下文章来源于懒人养基 ，作者懒人养基 懒人养基 . 雪球2022年、2025度基金影响力用户，私企业主，经济学硕士，《基金投资全攻略》作者。早期靠创业获取主动收入，从17年开始，逐步将经营产生的余 钱、闲钱，几乎全部逢低买入权益基金，从赚取主动收入慢慢向赚取被动收入过渡。价值投资践行者。 来源：雪球 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 懒人养基 02 2026年初的A股市场，正站在一个令人既兴奋又焦虑的十字路口。沪指强势突破4100点，单日成交额超过3.9万亿元，创出历史天量。 与此同时，监管层频频出手"点刹"，从提高融资比例到减持宽基ETF，再到喊话防止暴涨暴跌，一系列举措旨在给火热的市场情绪降温。 回顾过往股市经验，股市的"逆周期调节"难度颇大，下猛药怕"熄火"，不出重拳又难奏效。这让投资者们忧心忡忡，担心出现类似2015年脱离经济 基本面大涨后的大跌，或是2021年看似温和上涨后的漫长调整。 此时，跑路还是硬扛，成了投资者面临的两难选择。 01 硬扛：赌一场慢牛长牛的未来 选择硬扛的投资者，骨子里信奉一个底 ...

Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index has declined, and the degree of the China-US interest rate "inversion" has deepened. The nominal and real yields of 10Y US Treasuries remained unchanged and rebounded, respectively, with inflation expectations slightly decreasing [1][15] - Offshore US dollar liquidity is generally loose, while the domestic interbank funding situation is balanced but tight. The term spread (10Y-1Y) has narrowed [1][15] Market Trading Activity - Market trading activity has significantly decreased, with the volatility of the Shanghai Composite 50 and CSI 500 indices rising. Sectors such as military, electric new energy, consumer services, chemicals, and home appliances have trading heat levels above the 90th percentile [2][25] - The volatility of the Shanghai Composite 50 and CSI 500 indices has increased, while the volatility of various sectors remains below the 80th historical percentile [2][31] - Market liquidity indicators have declined, with liquidity metrics for various sectors remaining below the 60th historical percentile [2][35] Institutional Research - The research heat for sectors such as electronics, electric new energy, automotive, computers, and machinery is high, while only the banking sector has seen a sequential increase in research heat [3][42] Analyst Forecasts - Analysts have raised net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2026/2027. The proportion of stocks with upward revisions in net profit forecasts has continued to rise [4][50] - Specific sectors such as agriculture, non-ferrous metals, consumer services, computers, and electronics have seen upward adjustments in their 2026/2027 net profit forecasts [4][50] - The net profit forecasts for the ChiNext Index, CSI 500, and Shanghai Composite 50 for 2026/2027 have been increased, while the forecasts for the CSI 300 have been adjusted downwards/upwards [4][51] Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading activity has decreased, but there continues to be a net purchase of A-shares. The ratio of total buying and selling in sectors like electronics, automotive, and home appliances has increased [5][31] - For stocks with northbound holdings of less than 30 million shares, the main net purchases have been in electronics, electric new energy, and chemicals, while net sales have occurred in computers, media, and military sectors [5][33] Margin Financing Activity - The activity of margin financing has continued to decline, reaching its lowest level since late July 2025. The net selling last week was 8.265 billion yuan, with significant net purchases in non-ferrous metals, finance, and food and beverage sectors [6][35] - The proportion of financing purchases across various sectors has decreased [6][38] - Margin financing continues to net buy large-cap growth/value sectors [6][39] Dragon and Tiger List Trading Activity - The trading activity on the Dragon and Tiger list has continued to rise, although the total trading amount on the list as a percentage of total A-share trading has decreased [7][41] Active Equity Fund Positions - The positions of actively managed equity funds have continued to decline, while ETFs have seen significant net redemptions. Active equity funds have mainly increased positions in light industry, banking, and pharmaceuticals, while reducing positions in electric new energy, communications, and chemicals [8][45] - The correlation of active equity funds with large/mid-cap growth/value has increased, while the correlation with small-cap growth/value has decreased [8][48] - The scale of newly established equity funds has continued to rise, with active and passive funds seeing respective increases and slight decreases [8][50]

Core Viewpoint - The new fund issuance in China continues to thrive, with 43 new funds launched in the last week of January 2026, primarily driven by equity funds, while FOF and "fixed income+" products also show positive trends [1][10]. Fund Issuance Overview - A total of 43 new funds were launched during the week from January 26 to January 30, 2026, with a significant concentration on January 26, where 31 funds were issued, accounting for over 70% of the total [2][11]. - The average subscription period for new funds was 12.84 days, with the longest being around three months for the "Zhongjia Balanced Return" fund [2][11]. Fund Types and Goals - Among the 43 new funds, 20 specified their fundraising targets, with 11 aiming for over 5 billion units. Notably, six funds, including "Guotai Consumer Leadership" and "Boshi Yingtai Zhenxuan," targeted 8 billion units each [3][12]. - Equity funds remain the dominant category, with 18 active equity funds launched, representing over 40% of the new offerings. This includes 5 stock funds and 13 mixed funds, primarily focused on equity [4][13]. Specific Fund Highlights - The new funds cover a variety of themes, including resources, cycles, consumption, semiconductors, and digital economy, with notable products like "Guotai Consumer Leadership" and "Boshi Digital Economy" [4][13]. - Five new FOF products were introduced, focusing on target risk strategies with holding periods of 3 to 6 months [5][14]. - Two new QDII funds were launched, focusing on the Hong Kong stock market, namely "Zhongou Hong Kong Consumer" and "Xingye Hang Seng Technology Index" [6][15]. Market Trends - The bond market continues to show a lack of profitability, leading to a decline in bond fund issuance. However, "fixed income+" funds are still being introduced, with two mixed secondary bond funds making their debut this week [6][16].

Core Viewpoint - The tightening of approvals for high-valuation equity funds is aimed at reducing homogeneous competition and the risks of overcrowding in single sectors, thereby protecting investor interests [1][2]. Group 1: Approval Tightening - In the past year, 31 AI-themed funds have been pending approval, with 15 applications submitted for over three months, indicating a slowdown in the approval process for high-valuation products [2]. - Since 2025, regulators have gradually tightened the approval of new equity funds with high valuations, adjusting the performance benchmark requirement from the 90th percentile to the 80th percentile [2]. - Recent approvals have favored industry theme funds focused on relatively low-valuation sectors such as new energy and engineering machinery [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current high valuations in popular sectors like AI and semiconductors pose risks, with the CSI Artificial Intelligence Index PE ratio at 70.86 times and the National Semiconductor Index PE ratio reaching a historical high of 151 times [2]. - The regulatory approach aims to suppress irrational investment trends and create a more favorable environment for long-term investments [2][3]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments for Fund Companies - Fund companies are encouraged to enhance their product layout capabilities in response to regulatory adjustments, which can help mitigate risks associated with homogeneous competition [4]. - The policy direction is expected to lead to three benefits: guiding funds towards long-term value investment, optimizing resource allocation, and strengthening investor suitability management [4]. - Fund companies should prioritize sectors with reasonable valuations and align with national strategic directions, such as healthcare and consumer sectors, when applying for new products [5].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is at a critical juncture in early 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4100 points and a record daily trading volume exceeding 3.9 trillion yuan, indicating a heated market sentiment [4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Regulatory measures are being implemented to cool down the market, including increasing financing ratios and reducing large-cap ETF holdings, which raises concerns among investors about potential market corrections similar to those seen in 2015 and 2021 [5]. - Investors face a dilemma between holding onto their investments or exiting the market, with the fear of missing out on potential long-term gains versus the risk of significant downturns [6]. Group 2: Holding vs. Exiting - Holding onto investments (referred to as "hard support") offers the potential for long-term gains if the market enters a slow bull or long bull phase, but it also comes with psychological stress and the risk of panic selling during downturns [8]. - Exiting the market ("running away") provides certainty and safety, allowing investors to preserve gains and have liquidity to buy during market corrections, but it carries the risk of missing out on future opportunities [10]. Group 3: Balanced Approach - A balanced strategy of reducing exposure without completely exiting the market is suggested, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on individual risk tolerance and financial goals [12][13]. - Investors are encouraged to establish a regular rebalancing mechanism to manage risk and avoid emotional decision-making, while also optimizing their asset allocation to include high-dividend and undervalued assets for better defensive positioning [15][16]. Group 4: Conclusion - The current market environment is characterized by high trading volumes and regulatory interventions, indicating accumulated risks. A rational approach focusing on gradual adjustments and maintaining a comfortable investment strategy is recommended [19].