摩根士丹利中国首席经济学家邢自强 21世纪经济报道记者崔文静 2025年，凭借独特的产业链、工程师红利与超大规模市场优势，中国正为前沿科技引领全球竞争蓄势。与此同 时，为了有效应对价格低位运行等内在压力，国内宏观政策重心正朝着更加注重民生保障、人力资本与内需驱动的方向深化调整。如何协同推 动科技自立自强与民生福祉提升，已成为观察中国经济的重要议题。 近日，摩根士丹利中国首席经济学家邢自强在接受21世纪经济报道记者专访时指出，中国经济的未来在于实现"星辰大海"式创新与"柴米油 盐"民生改善的"双向奔赴"。他强调，这不仅需发挥中国在产业链、工程师红利与超大规模市场的既有优势，更依赖于推动一场深刻的财政资 源再配置——从侧重"投资于物"（基建与产能）更多转向"投资于人"（社保与公共服务）。 邢自强分析，自2024年9月以来，资本市场信心修复源于政策、企业、资金面的三重"觉醒"。然而，要将市场回暖转化为可持续的"制度牛"， 关键在于"十五五"期间能否在夯实全国统一大市场与深化社保改革上取得清晰进展。这既是打破"内卷"、释放消费潜力的治本之策，也为科技 创新提供了可持续的内需基础。 双轮驱动：创新与民生协同发力 《21 ...

Core Viewpoint - Rongtong Fund is undergoing significant reforms to enhance its governance, investment strategies, and product offerings, aiming for a transformative growth trajectory in the coming years [1][2]. Group 1: Reform and Strategy - The company is leveraging the integration with China Chengtong and industry reforms to implement systematic and deep reforms, focusing on governance optimization and long-term performance assessments [1]. - Rongtong Fund has established a "dual-wheel drive" development model, targeting state-owned capital operations and resident wealth management as its growth engines [2]. - The company aims to create benchmark central enterprise theme index products to improve investor returns during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2]. Group 2: Product Development - Rongtong Fund is actively developing a diverse product line, including the issuance of the first central enterprise ESG ETF and a dividend ETF, to align with national strategies and enhance investor experience [3][2]. - The company plans to launch a technology innovation ETF in 2024, with an initial fundraising of 1.785 billion yuan, setting a record for the year in the thematic index ETF market [2]. Group 3: Investment Research and Technology - The investment research system is being reformed to transition from individual-driven to systematic and platform-based operations, enhancing efficiency and decision-making processes [4][5]. - The company is implementing AI technology to improve research capabilities, with AI systems significantly reducing the workload of fund managers and enhancing research output [5]. Group 4: Investor Focus and Compliance - Rongtong Fund emphasizes a "holder interest first" philosophy, aligning its internal reforms with regulatory requirements to enhance investor trust and experience [6][7]. - The company has introduced a performance assessment system that includes compliance, investor satisfaction, and social value, ensuring a long-term investment focus [7].

秦安股份正通过一项重大收购，积极布局消费电子与智能汽车上游材料领域，以构建全新的增长引擎。12月19日，公司发布公告，通 过全资子公司完成对安徽亦高光电科技有限责任公司99%股权的收购，交易金额为88,462.64万元。目前，股权交割及工商变更登记手 续已全部完成，亦高光电正式成为秦安股份的控股子公司，并纳入合并报表范围。 此举意味着秦安股份不再局限于传统的汽车零部件赛道，而是向消费电子和智能汽车产业链上游高附加值环节进行战略性延伸。 秦安股份认为，交易完成后，双方有望实现深度协同。一方面，亦高光电可以借助秦安股份在汽车行业深耕多年的客户资源与渠道， 将其先进的镀膜技术产品（如车载显示盖板镀膜等）快速导入更广阔的汽车供应链体系，拓展产品应用场景。另一方面，秦安股份可 以依托亦高光电的技术优势，提升自身产品的技术附加值，并为未来可能的新材料应用进行技术储备，从而增强整体市场竞争力。 亦高光电是一家专注于高端真空镀膜的国家级高新技术企业、安徽省专精特新企业。其主营业务涵盖触摸屏、镀膜导电玻璃等产品的 研发、生产与销售，核心产品包括超硬镀膜、AR（抗反射）镀膜等，广泛应用于高端智能手机、智能穿戴设备及智能汽车车载显 ...

12月19日晚间，秦安股份（603758）发布公告称，公司通过全资子公司重庆陆岭山溪企业管理有限公司 (以下简称"陆岭山溪")以现金约8.85亿元收购安徽亦高光电科技有限责任公司(以下简称"亦高光电")99% 股权的交割工作已完成，陆岭山溪成为亦高光电的控股股东，持股比例为99%。 随着工商变更登记的完成并换发《营业执照》，亦高光电正式成为秦安股份的控股公司，纳入上市公司 合并报表范围。 资料显示，亦高光电是一家专注于高端真空镀膜的国家级高新技术企业、安徽省专精特新企业。公司在 高端真空镀膜领域技术领先，其超硬镀膜已应用于国内消费电子头部品牌高端手机、穿戴设备系列，并 加速向全系列手机、智能穿戴设备和高端平板电脑等领域渗透；其AR镀膜已应用于多款智能汽车车载 显示系统，为智能座舱提供光学解决方案。此外，公司还布局电致变色镀膜技术，业务前景广阔。 财务数据方面，亦高光电呈现出快速增长态势。数据显示，2023年、2024年及2025年1—5月公司的净利 润分别为2992.45万元、6710.23万元和1949.70万元。本次交易中，饶亦然等业绩承诺方承诺，亦高光电 2025年至2027年累计实现净利润不低于2.4 ...

根据《战略》设定的阶段性目标，未来五年，将重点实现新一代地球系统预报模式的业务化运行， 建成气象人工智能模型的统一基础框架，并发布第一代地球系统数字孪生服务平台。到2035年，全面建 成统一框架的地球系统预报体系，显著提升对地球系统多尺度过程的模拟与预测能力。 能力的提升最终将服务于经济社会发展和民生保障。毕宝贵强调，在防灾减灾方面，该系统将极大 地提升对台风、暴雨、极端高温等灾害的预警预见能力；在行业服务上，可为农业、新能源、交通、金 融等提供更精准的数据产品；在生态文明建设方面，则为应对气候变化、实现"双碳"目标提供关键科学 依据。 中国气象局预报预测司司长梁丰表示，《战略》的核心价值在于通过系统性科技进步，推动气象预 报服务在精准性、丰富性和可靠性上实现整体跨越，从而更有效地支撑百姓生产生活与国家发展全局。 （原标题：《地球系统预报发展战略（2025—2035年）》正式发布 到2035年我国将建成自主可 控、国际先进的地球系统预报体系） （来源：科技日报 作者：付丽丽 责任编辑：闫泓） 18日，中国气象局举行新闻发布会，正式发布《地球系统预报发展战略（2025—2035年）》（以下 简称《战略》）。该《 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 财说丨双轮驱动难掩业绩震荡，吉宏股份实控人开启减持潮 智通财经记者 | 陶知闲 吉宏股份 2025 年前三季度的业绩数据堪称 "亮眼"：营业收入 50.39 亿元，同比增长 29%；归属净利润 2.16 亿元，同比大幅增长 60%。 公司表示，增长核心来自两大主业的协同发力。其中，跨境社交电商业务是主要增长引擎，该业务营收 与利润均实现较大幅度增长，直接带动整体业绩提升。 包装业务则贡献了稳定支撑。公开信息显示，吉宏股份的纸制快消品包装业务在国内纸制包装市场占有 率位居首位，形成了较强的规模优势。 "跨境电商行业在 2025 年迎来阶段性复苏，叠加吉宏股份的泛品策略能够覆盖更多需求场景，这是其业 绩增长的重要外部因素。" 长期跟踪消费与跨境电商行业的分析师王玥伦对智通财经记者表示，"而包 装业务作为传统主业，依托头部客户的稳定订单，实现了稳健增长，两者形成了一定的互补效应。" 但光鲜数据背后，是公司近四年业绩的剧烈震荡，暴露出盈利能力的不稳定性。智通财经记者梳理数据 发现，2021 年至 ...

21世纪经济报道记者从发布会了解到，《战略》的目标是：到2035年，要建成自主可控、国际先进的地 球系统预报体系。毕宝贵指出，这个目标将通过两个五年规划稳步推进： 未来五年内，重点实现新一 代预报模式的业务化运行，并建成气象人工智能模型的统一基础框架。推动各项技术的深度融合，发布 第一代地球系统数字服务平台；第二个五年规划是到2030至2035年间，全面建成统一框架的地球系统预 报体系，显著提升对地球系统多尺度、多圈层相互作用的模拟和预测能力。 毕宝贵介绍，在技术路线上，《战略》创新性地提出了"双轮驱动、数智融合"的发展路径。一方面，继 续深化基于物理规律的数值预报，通过超级计算机精确模拟地球各圈层的演变过程；另一方面，充分发 挥人工智能的优势，让机器学习从海量气象数据中挖掘预报规律。最终，通过这两种技术的深度融合， 让预报既遵循科学规律，又具备智能化的精准和效率。 毕宝贵表示，围绕这一技术路线，《战略》系统规划了八大重点任务。 1.致力于发展多圈层耦合的地球系统模式，从而能够更全面地反映地球各圈层的相互作用； 2.研发气象人工智能模型，构建具备天气气候一体化预报能力的智能系统； 3.大力推进数值预报与人工智 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China Aviation Industry Corporation (中航机载) plans to acquire a stake in Hangtou Yuhua Partners, which holds equity in five core enterprises within the airborne industry chain, aiming to enhance its industry chain layout and strengthen synergies [1] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters showed a slight increase, indicating potential for dual-driven growth [1] - Short-term focus should be on cash collection management, while long-term prospects look promising due to the dual-driven growth from its main business and acquisitions, which may support its growth potential [1] Group 2 - Based on comparable company PE valuations and its technological advantages in electronic information technology and intelligent systems, the company is estimated to have a target price of 15 yuan, with a "buy" rating based on a 2025 PE of 65.22 times [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to acquire a 59.1816% stake in Hangtou Yuhua for 202 million yuan, aiming to enhance its industrial chain layout and strengthen synergies [1][2]. Investment Highlights - The company is rated "Accumulate" with a target price of 15 yuan. Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.125 billion yuan, 1.39 billion yuan, and 1.723 billion yuan, corresponding to EPS of 0.23, 0.29, and 0.36 yuan respectively. The target price is based on a PE ratio of 65.22 for 2025 [2]. - The acquisition is based on a third-party valuation of 342 million yuan for 100% of Hangtou Yuhua, with the independent board members deeming the pricing fair. The transaction has been approved by the board and awaits approval from the aviation industry [2][3]. Industry and Company Analysis - The five target companies possess unique technical expertise that will effectively fill gaps in the industrial chain. Nanjing Servo focuses on industrial automation servo motors and drive systems; Xiang Teng Micro specializes in high-reliability chips for aviation electronics; Wuxi Lei Hua is involved in near-range detection systems and aviation electronic equipment maintenance; Shanghai Aiwei is a technology company in the industrial internet field; and Kaitian Electronics specializes in intelligent perception and control [3]. - The company reported a slight revenue increase of 1.25% to 16.774 billion yuan in the first three quarters, although net profit declined by 17.73% due to credit impairment losses. However, improvements in gross margin, increased R&D investment, and cost optimization reflect the resilience of the main business [3].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of addressing population aging and developing a coordinated policy mechanism for elderly care as a key task in China's 14th Five-Year Plan [1] - Ping An has become the first brand in China to receive a five-star rating for home elderly care services, reflecting its commitment to social value and innovative integration [1] - The company is leveraging a vast system connecting nearly 250 million customers through finance, healthcare, elderly care, and AI technology, balancing commercial logic with social benefits [1] Group 1: Value Creation and Strategic Innovation - Ping An has redefined its role from a "risk bearer" to a "value co-creator," moving beyond traditional insurance models to address social needs [3] - The insurance industry is evolving into a 3.0 era focused on "protection, inclusive coverage, technology-driven, and service-oriented" contracts between the state and the people [3][5] - Ping An's "Red and Green Light" public welfare initiative has improved road safety in rural areas, demonstrating a shift from reactive to proactive risk management [5][7] Group 2: Strategic Pathways and Dual-Driven Model - The company’s dual-driven strategy of "comprehensive finance + healthcare and elderly care" addresses the structural imbalance in supply for the aging population [10] - This strategy integrates wealth management and health care needs, creating a synergistic effect that enhances customer engagement and service delivery [10][12] - Ping An's model transforms healthcare resources into financial service entry points, enhancing customer experience and loyalty [12][13] Group 3: Technological Empowerment and Social Impact - Technology is central to Ping An's strategy, with AI being utilized to address common social pain points and enhance operational efficiency [14][15] - The introduction of AI-driven services like "AI Super Customer Service" and "AI Family Doctor" aims to streamline financial, healthcare, and elderly care services [15] - Ping An's AI systems have significantly reduced claims processing times and improved accuracy, demonstrating a commitment to social responsibility and customer service [16] Group 4: Long-term Vision and Market Position - Ping An's approach integrates social value into its business model, positioning it for sustainable growth and resilience against market cycles [21][22] - The company has received positive evaluations from financial institutions, highlighting its strategic alignment with growth opportunities in wealth management and healthcare [22] - Ping An's commitment to ESG principles has led to high ratings, reflecting its leadership in responsible business practices and social governance [22]