本计价周期以来（2025年11月24日24时至12月8日24时），国际原油呈现窄幅波动行情，变化率处于负 值低位运行，第9个工作日计算后的下调幅度在55元/吨，略高于国家发改委50元/吨的成品油调价红 线。 距离调价窗口还有一个工作日，国际原油有望呈现偏强走势， 12月8日，24时，国内成品油零售限价预 计下调与搁浅概率并存。 据机构测算，截至12月4日收盘，国内第9个工作日参考原油变化率-1.26%，预计汽柴油下调55元/吨， 调价窗口12月8日24时。 按当前测算下调幅度计算，折合升价，汽、柴油下调幅度 或在0.04元/升左右，对于广大消费者而言， 加满一箱50升的92号汽油，预计将节省2元左右，消费者用油成本变化有限。 《新闻夜航》 线索征集 聚焦民生热点 帮你解决难题 征集新闻线索 有料你就来爆 传送温暖力量 新闻夜航等你 来源：今日油价查询、湖北发布 版权归原作者所有，向原创致敬 编 辑：杨思饶 主 编：杨思饶 审 核：徐宏任 统 筹：马长庆 监 制：李 伟 赞 分享 在看 ...

【重磅新闻】 12月10日，国家统计局将公布11月CPI、PPI数据。 华创证券预计11月CPI同比增速有望从上月0.2%回升至0.7%左右。CPI同比增速大幅回升，主因是食品价格扰动。去年11月食品项 环比为-2.7%，是过去十年最低;今年11月环比预计为1.1%。食品价格的波动主要源于天气影响下的菜价，今年10月中下旬以后气 温偏低、秋雨增多，局部地区遭受低温冷冻灾害或暴雨洪涝灾害，导致部分蔬菜市场供应偏紧。 11月金融数据或将公布 除CPI、PPI外，11月新增贷款、M2、社融等金融数据也或将在下周公布。 浙商证券预计11月人民币贷款新增3000亿元，同比少增2800亿元，对应增速回落0.1个百分点为6.4%；预计11月社融新增2.2万亿 元，同比少增约342 亿元，对应增速回落0.1 个百分点为8.4%;预计11 月M2 增速为8.0%，回落0.2个百分点;预计11 月M1 增速为 5.3%，回落0.9 个百分点。 美联储将举行议息会议 成品油将迎调价窗口 根据日程安排，美联储将于下周举行议息会议。据CME"美联储观察"，截至北京时间12月5日7:00，美联储12月降息25个基点的概 率为87%，维持 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic fuel prices in China have been reduced for the tenth time this year, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 70 yuan/ton and 65 yuan/ton respectively, effective from November 24 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The price adjustments translate to a reduction of 0.05 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.06 yuan per liter for 95-octane gasoline and 0 diesel [1][2]. - After this adjustment, the retail price of 92-octane gasoline is expected to be between 6.8 to 6.9 yuan per liter, while diesel prices range from 6.5 to 6.7 yuan per liter across most regions [3]. Group 2: Impact on Consumers and Businesses - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will save approximately 2.5 yuan. For heavy-duty trucks running 10,000 kilometers a month with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost will decrease by around 106 yuan before the next price adjustment [2]. Group 3: Market Analysis - The international crude oil market has shown wide fluctuations, with the reference crude oil change rate remaining in negative territory due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and recent developments in U.S. oil inventory and demand [3][5]. - Analysts predict that the next round of fuel price adjustments is likely to be a decrease, influenced by ongoing peace negotiations and a potential increase in OPEC production [5][7].

2025.11. 24 本文字数：890，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郭霁莹 展望后市，隆众资讯表示，美国积极推进俄乌双方的新和平协议谈判，地缘局势有望出现进一步缓 和，此外石油输出国组织OPEC+增产氛围仍在延续，美元也有所走强。整体来看，预计下一轮成品 油调价下调概率较大。 本轮成品油价格调整幅度不大。综合能源咨询机构测算，本次调价对应的92号汽油、95号汽油、0 号柴油每升将下调0.06元左右。至此，全国大多数地区车柴价格将降至6.5元-6.7元/升，92号汽油 零售价将降至6.8元-6.9元/升，重新步入"6元时代"。 本轮调价后，私家车主和物流企业出行成本将有所减少。据隆众资讯测算，以油箱容量50升的普通 私家车计算，本次调价后，车主们加满一箱油将少花2.5元左右；按市区百公里耗油7-8升的车型， 平均每行驶一百公里费用减少0.35元左右；而对满载50吨的大型物流运输车辆而言，平均每行驶一 百公里，燃油费用将减少2.4元左右。 本轮调价周期内，国际油价先扬后抑。具体来看，据金联创成品油分析师王延婷介绍，计价周期初 期，美国对卢克石油公司实施制裁，引发俄罗斯出口流量可能面临短期中断猜测，加 ...

此次调价后，私家车和物流企业用油成本均有所下降。 智通财经记者 | 田鹤琪 国内成品油价迎年内第十次下调。 11月24日，国家发改委发布消息称，自24时起，国内汽油价格和柴油价格分别下调70元/吨和65元/吨。折合升价，92号汽油下调0.05元，95号 汽油和0号柴油均下调0.06元。 截至11月24日北京时间上午8时，WTI即月原油期货收盘跌0.32%，报57.75美元/桶；布伦特即月原油期货收盘涨0.5%，报61.64美元/桶。 图片来源：隆众资讯 下一轮成品油价格预计下调。 隆众资讯原油分析师李彦表示，展望后市，美国积极推进俄乌双方的新和平协议谈判，地缘局势有望出现进一步缓和，此外欧佩克加增产氛 围仍在延续，美元也有所走强。整体来看，预计下一轮成品油调价下调的概率较大。 按照油箱容量为50L的家用轿车为例，加满一箱92号汽油将节省2.5元；对于月跑1万公里，百公里油耗在38L的重型卡车为例，在下次调价窗 口开启前，单辆车的燃油成本将减少106元左右。 本轮是2025年第二十三次调价，也是今年的第十次下调。本次调价过后，2025年成品油调价将呈现"三涨五跌两搁浅"的格局。 本轮调价后，全国大多数地区车柴价 ...

"预计本轮成品油零售限价压线小幅下调概率较大，折合升价，汽、柴油下调幅度或在0.05元／升左 右。对于广大消费者而言，加满一箱50升的92号汽油，预计将节省2.5元左右，整体变化有限。"王芦青 补充说。 （文章来源：新华财经） 据卓创资讯分析师王芦青具体介绍，本计价周期以来，受美俄最新有关俄乌冲突的消息影响，油价在宽 幅波动中承压调整，地缘溢价继续回吐。不过，周内公布的美国原油库存数据显示上周美国商业原油意 外去库，且美国单周的汽油需求和馏分油需求环比也出现增加，表明美国石油基本面短期偏强，支撑油 价。在上述因素影响下，本周期原油价格宽幅震荡，对应的原油变化率在负值范围内低位波动。据卓创 资讯测算，截至11月20日收盘，国内第9个工作日，参考原油变化率-1.24%，预计汽柴油下调55元／ 吨，调价窗口11月24日24时。 本计价周期（2025年11月10日24时至2025年11月24日24时）以来，国际原油呈现宽幅震荡行情，受此影 响，国内参考的原油变化率在在负值范围内波动，第9个工作日计算后的下调幅度在55元／吨，略高于 50元／吨的成品油调价红线。考虑到目前距离调价窗口仅剩一个工作日，且原油或继续低位震荡 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that a new round of fuel price adjustments will take effect on November 10, with domestic gasoline and diesel prices increasing slightly due to fluctuations in international oil prices [1] - From November 10, the retail price limits for gasoline and diesel will be raised by 125 yuan and 120 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to an increase of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel on average nationwide [1] - During the adjustment period from October 25 to November 7, international oil prices experienced narrow fluctuations [1] Group 2 - A calculation indicates that filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will cost an additional 5 yuan due to the price increase [2]

Core Insights - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to increase due to a predicted rise in international crude oil prices, with an estimated increase of over 50 yuan/ton [1] - The current pricing cycle shows a positive change rate of 2.82%, leading to anticipated increases of 125 yuan/ton for gasoline and 120 yuan/ton for diesel, translating to a rise of 0.10 yuan/liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [1] Price Adjustments - Since 2025, there have been 21 rounds of adjustments in domestic refined oil retail prices, resulting in six increases, nine decreases, and six instances of no change, with prices down by 745 yuan/ton for gasoline and 715 yuan/ton for diesel compared to the end of last year [2][3] - The specific price adjustments for gasoline and diesel from January to October 2025 show significant fluctuations, with the highest increase of 340 yuan/ton for gasoline and the largest decrease of 480 yuan/ton [3] Market Trends - Recent data indicates a decline in wholesale prices for 92 gasoline and 0 diesel, with average prices at 7325 yuan/ton and 6456 yuan/ton respectively, reflecting a decrease of 2.51% and 0.38% [4][5] - Analysts suggest that the current weak international crude oil market and insufficient demand in the gasoline market are contributing to the price declines, while diesel prices are somewhat supported by seasonal demand [5] Future Outlook - The crude oil market is experiencing fluctuating sentiments, with Brent crude oil prices oscillating between 63 to 65 USD/barrel, indicating a need to monitor the support level at 63 USD/barrel closely [5] - Potential upward risks in the crude oil market are primarily linked to geopolitical issues, although fundamental pressures have not yet eased significantly [5]

Core Points - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices is a result of fluctuations in international oil prices, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 265 yuan and 255 yuan per ton respectively, effective from October 27 [1] - Filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will cost approximately 10 yuan less after the price reduction [3] Price Adjustment Summary - This is the 21st price adjustment in 2025 and the 9th decrease, leading to a pattern of "six increases, nine decreases, and six stabilities" for the year [5] - The next price adjustment window will open on November 10, 2025 [5] Market Outlook - Analysts predict a significant increase in the next round of fuel price adjustments due to current international crude oil price levels [5] - Positive developments in China-U.S. trade negotiations and reduced concerns over tariffs and trade disputes may influence market conditions, although geopolitical instability remains a concern [5]

Core Points - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices is a result of fluctuations in international oil prices, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 265 yuan and 255 yuan per ton respectively, effective from October 27 [1] - This marks the 21st adjustment in 2025 and the 9th decrease, leading to a pricing pattern of "six increases, nine decreases, and six stabilities" for the year [3] - The next price adjustment window will open on November 10, 2025, with expectations of a significant increase in fuel prices due to current international crude oil price levels and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [3] Price Impact - Filling a 50-liter tank of 92-octane gasoline will cost approximately 10 yuan less following the price reduction [2] - The price changes reflect the current market conditions and are influenced by international trade negotiations and geopolitical factors [3]