Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil retail price adjustment on January 6, 2026, resulted in no changes, maintaining stable fuel costs for residents and logistics in the short term [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustment and Market Impact - The first price adjustment of 2026 was suspended due to the average price change being less than 50 yuan per ton, as per the current pricing mechanism [1]. - The next price adjustment window is set for January 20, 2026, with expectations of a slight decrease based on current international oil prices [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - During the current pricing cycle, both gasoline and diesel wholesale prices showed a downward trend, influenced by a decline in international oil prices and stable supply [3]. - Analysts predict that 2026 will see a primary focus on inventory reduction in the refined oil market, with increased pressure on refineries due to declining consumption and the need to manage inventory risks [4]. Group 3: International Oil Price Trends - The international oil market is experiencing a weak and fluctuating trend, with geopolitical tensions providing temporary support, but overall supply excess continues to weigh on prices [5][6]. - The U.S. is currently in a demand slump, leading to rising oil inventory levels, which further contributes to the bearish outlook for international oil prices [5][6].

根据《石油价格管理办法》规定，国内汽、柴油价格根据国际市场原油价格变化每10个工作日调整一 次，调价生效时间为调价发布日24时。当调价幅度低于每吨50元时，不作调整，纳入下次调价时累加或 冲抵。出现办法规定的特殊情形时，可以暂停、延迟调价，或缩小调价幅度。 1月6日是本计价周期的第十个工作日，调价窗口将在今日24时开启。根据当前一揽子原油平均价格变化 率水平，预计本轮国内成品油调价将因对应调整幅度不足每吨50元而搁浅。 （文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经北京1月6日电（薛尚文）新华社石油价格系统1月6日发布的数据显示，1月5日一揽子原油平均 价格变化率为0.90%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The final adjustment of refined oil prices for the year will take place tonight, with significant reductions in retail prices for gasoline and diesel, reflecting ongoing trends in international crude oil prices [1][4]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction of 170 yuan per ton for gasoline and 165 yuan per ton for diesel, translating to a decrease of 0.13 yuan for 92 gasoline, 0.14 yuan for 95 gasoline, and 0.14 yuan for 0 diesel [1]. - In 2025, there were a total of 25 rounds of retail price adjustments, with 7 increases, 12 decreases, and 6 instances of no change, resulting in a cumulative reduction of 915 yuan per ton for gasoline and 880 yuan per ton for diesel [1]. Group 2: Impact on Consumers - This marks the 12th reduction in domestic retail prices this year, leading to lower commuting and travel costs for the public [2]. - For a private car filling up 50L of 92 gasoline, the cost will decrease by approximately 6.5 yuan, while a vehicle running 2000 kilometers per month will see a fuel cost reduction of about 10 yuan [2]. Group 3: Market Analysis - Analysts indicate that the primary reason for the price drop is the decline in international crude oil prices, influenced by improved prospects for peace in Europe and concerns over supply surplus [4]. - Despite a slight increase in crude prices towards the end of the adjustment window, the overall trend remains downward, with expectations of continued low prices in the near future [4]. - As the New Year holiday approaches, there is an anticipated increase in downstream demand, which may provide some support for prices and transactions [4].

2025年全年成品油零售调价一共经历25轮调价窗口期，其中累计7次上调，12次下调，6轮搁浅。 卓创资讯高级分析师孟鹏表示："标准汽油累计下调915元/吨，标准柴油累计下调880元/吨，折算升 价92号汽油、95号汽油及0号柴油分别累计下调0.72元、0.76元及0.75元。" 来源｜央视财经 编辑 ｜瑜见 记者今天从国家发展改革委了解到，12月22日24时国内成品油调价窗口开启，这也是本年度最后一次 调价，受到国际油价下调影响，国内汽、柴油价格将下调。 12月22日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格每吨分别下调170元和165元。全国平均来看：92号汽油每升下 调0.13元，95号汽油每升下调0.14元，0号柴油每升下调0.14元。记者给您算了笔账， 用92号汽油 加满50升油箱将少花6.5元。 ...

2025年全年成品油零售调价一共经历25轮调价窗口期，其中累计7次上调，12次下调，6轮搁浅。卓创资 讯高级分析师孟鹏表示："标准汽油累计下调915元/吨，标准柴油累计下调880元/吨，折算升价92号汽 油、95号汽油及0号柴油分别累计下调0.72元、0.76元及0.75元。" 据国家发展改革委消息，12月22日24时国内成品油调价窗口开启，这也是本年度最后一次调价，受到国 际油价下调影响，国内汽、柴油价格将下调。12月22日24时起，国内汽、柴油价格每吨分别下调170元 和165元。全国平均来看：92号汽油每升下调0.13元，95号汽油每升下调0.14元，0号柴油每升下调0.14 元。央视财经记者给您算了笔账，用92号汽油加满50升油箱将少花6.5元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil retail price is expected to decrease significantly, with a likely reduction exceeding 50 yuan per ton, as the adjustment window opens on December 22 at 24:00 [2][3]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The current pricing cycle for domestic refined oil has shown a negative trend, with the reference crude oil price change rate at -3.96% as of December 19, leading to anticipated reductions of 170 yuan per ton for gasoline and 165 yuan per ton for diesel [3]. - This adjustment will mark the twelfth price decrease since 2025, with a total of 24 adjustment windows recorded, resulting in a cumulative drop of 745 yuan per ton for gasoline and 715 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the end of last year [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The wholesale market for refined oil is experiencing a divergence, with gasoline prices increasing slightly by 0.56% to 7363 yuan per ton, while diesel prices have decreased by 2.41% to 6367 yuan per ton [7]. - Analysts indicate that the overall demand for gasoline and diesel remains weak, influenced by recent declines in international crude oil prices, although gasoline prices are supported by higher external procurement costs and seasonal demand due to the upcoming New Year holiday [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Geopolitical instability is expected to introduce potential supply risks to the crude oil market, while OPEC+ plans to halt production increases starting January, which may bolster supply-side support [7]. - The upcoming holiday season in Europe and North America is anticipated to increase oil demand, further supported by cold weather, suggesting that international crude oil prices may find strong support in the short term [7].

Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil prices are expected to decline, leading to a reduction in gasoline and diesel prices in China, with a forecasted decrease of 170 yuan per ton for gasoline and 165 yuan per ton for diesel, marking the twelfth price cut since 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Forecast - The next price adjustment window is anticipated to open on December 22, with gasoline and diesel prices expected to decrease by 170 and 165 yuan per ton, respectively, equivalent to approximately 0.89, 0.92, 0.95, and 0.14 yuan per liter [1][2]. - The price adjustment cycle began positively but quickly shifted to a negative range, with the highest change rate at 0.21% and the lowest at -3.62% during the cycle [1]. Group 2: Impact on Consumers and Logistics - For private car owners, filling a 50L tank will cost approximately 6.5 yuan less, while for large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the fuel cost per 100 kilometers will decrease by about 5.6 yuan [2]. - The current average prices for diesel and gasoline across most regions are between 6.3-6.5 yuan per liter and 6.2-6.7 yuan per liter, respectively, indicating a reduction in fuel costs for consumers [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The international crude oil market has shown a downward trend, with domestic wholesale prices for gasoline increasing by 0.56% and diesel decreasing by 2.41% during the adjustment cycle [6]. - Despite concerns over geopolitical tensions affecting supply, the overall market sentiment remains weak, leading to a decrease in demand for gasoline and diesel [7][11]. - The upcoming New Year holiday is expected to provide a temporary boost in gasoline demand, while diesel demand continues to weaken, indicating a potential for further price adjustments [12]. Group 4: Price Differential Analysis - The price differential between wholesale and retail for gasoline has contracted while expanding for diesel, with average retail profits for gasoline decreasing by 106 yuan per ton and for diesel by 74 yuan per ton [12]. - The procurement costs from local refineries show an increase in profits for diesel, with an average rise of 185 yuan per ton compared to the previous cycle [12].

隆众资讯分析师李彦展望后市认为，地缘局势仍存不稳定，潜在供应风险担忧延续，OPEC+(石油输出 国组织及其合作伙伴)增产速度有放缓迹象。整体来看，预计下一轮成品油调价上调的概率较大。 金联创成品油分析师王延婷则表示，新一轮变化率将转为正向区间发展，但波动幅度有限，且原油走势 较为震荡。消息面与需求面对于行情制约更为明显，价格上涨难度较大，预计短期内国内汽柴油行情窄 幅变动为主。(完) 来源：中国新闻网 油价迎二连降 加满一箱油将少花约2元 中新网北京12月8日电(记者 左宇坤)据国家发改委消息，自12月8日24时起，国内成品油价格将调整，每 吨汽油下调55元、柴油下调55元。 这是国内油价年内第11次下调。机构测算，此次调价折合92号汽油每升下调0.04元，95号汽油每升下调 0.04元，0号柴油每升下调0.05元。以油箱容量50L的普通私家车计算，车主们加满一箱油将少花2元左 右。 资料图：车辆正在加油站加油。 张云 摄 下一轮调价窗口将在2025年12月22日24时开启，也将是2025自然年的最后一次调价。 编辑：王永乐 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所 ...

隆众资讯分析师李彦表示，展望后市，地缘局势仍存不稳定，潜在供应风险担忧延续，OPEC+增产速 度有放缓迹象，美联储也大概率将在12月再次降息。整体来看，预计下一轮成品油调价上调的概率较 大，下一轮调价也将是2025自然年的最后一次调价，调价窗口将在2025年12月22日24时开启。 北京青年报记者从多家机构了解到，12月8日24时将下调汽柴油限价，每吨汽油下调55、柴油下调55 元，折合每升92号汽油下调0.04元，95号汽油下调0.04元。 文/北京青年报记者 张鑫 本轮调价周期原油综合变化率以负向开局，且一直保持在负向区间，最终对应成品油为下调。周期内变 化率最高为第十个工作日的-1.17%，最低为第二个工作日的-1.71%。最终调价窗口开启时，汽油和柴油 对应下调幅度均为55元/吨，也是2025年以来的第十一次下调。 编辑/刘忠禹 以油箱容量50L的普通私家车计算，这次调价后，车主们加满一箱油将少花2元左右；按市区百公里耗 油7L-8L的车型，平均每行驶一百公里费用减少0.3元左右。本次调价对于私家车主和物流企业来说成本 减少。 本轮调价后，全国大多数地区车柴价格在6.4-6.6元/升，92号汽油零售限 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming adjustment of domestic refined oil prices is expected to result in the eleventh price decrease of the year, with consumers saving approximately 2 yuan for a full tank of gasoline in a private car [1][2]. Pricing Mechanism - The pricing mechanism for domestic refined oil is based on the weighted average price of international crude oil over the past ten working days compared to the previous week [1]. - If the price change per ton is less than 50 yuan, no adjustment will be made, and the unadjusted amount will be carried over to the next pricing cycle [1]. Current Market Conditions - The current pricing cycle has seen a negative change rate of -1.24% as of December 5, leading to a potential reduction of 55 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [1]. - The overall market has been characterized by a narrow fluctuation in oil prices due to mixed factors, including geopolitical tensions and inventory levels in the U.S. [1]. Impact on Consumers and Industries - Consumers will experience reduced fuel costs, with a small car saving about 2 yuan for a full tank of 92 gasoline, while heavy trucks running 10,000 kilometers a month could see a reduction of approximately 89 yuan in fuel costs [2]. - After the adjustment, the retail prices for diesel will range from 6.4 to 6.6 yuan per liter, and 92 gasoline will be priced between 6.7 and 6.8 yuan per liter [2]. Future Outlook - The next pricing window is set for December 22, 2025, with expectations of a slight price increase based on current international crude oil prices [2][3]. - Analysts suggest that ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential supply risks may lead to a higher probability of price increases in future adjustments [2][3].