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龙源电力(00916.HK):风况不佳拖累业绩 关注全面入市下的建设拐点
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-18 17:55
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 8.14 billion yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.92% in continuing operations, while net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders decreased by 21.82% compared to the previous year, primarily due to poor wind resource levels in certain regions [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The decline in absolute revenue is attributed to the divestiture of two thermal power companies; however, after adjustments, revenue showed positive growth, with wind and solar power revenues reaching 7.368 billion yuan and 715 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of -1.89% and +43.09% [2]. - The company's total power generation for Q1 was 20.3 billion kWh, a decrease of 4.42% year-on-year, but an 8.81% increase when excluding the impact of thermal power [2]. - Wind power generation increased by 4.37%, while solar power generation surged by 55.65% [2]. Installed Capacity and Efficiency - As of Q1 2025, the company had a total installed capacity of 41.15 million kW, with wind power capacity at 30.44 million kW (up 10% year-on-year) and solar power capacity at 10.7 million kW (up 65% year-on-year) [2]. - The increase in wind and solar installed capacity outpaced the growth in power generation, primarily due to a decline in wind resource levels in certain large-capacity areas [2]. - The wind power utilization hours for Q1 were 585 hours, a decrease of 55 hours year-on-year; however, adjusting for this, the wind power generation could have reached 19.45 billion kWh, indicating a year-on-year growth of 14.2% [2]. Future Outlook and Market Conditions - The company has transitioned to a pure renewable energy company, having divested all thermal power assets, and is expected to benefit from the injection of approximately 40 GW of unlisted renewable assets from its parent company [2]. - Recent regulatory changes from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are expected to promote rational development in the renewable energy sector, enhancing market competition and addressing renewable energy consumption issues [2]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 6.794 billion yuan, 7.202 billion yuan, and 7.756 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with current stock prices corresponding to P/E ratios of 7.5, 7.1, and 6.6 times [2].
大唐新能源(01798):入市拖累短期业绩看好风电运营商长期价值
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-18 07:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the long-term value of wind power operators despite short-term performance drag due to market entry challenges [5][7] - The company has shown a revenue increase of 0.93% year-on-year in Q1 2025, but net profit decreased by 4.44% due to falling electricity prices and increased depreciation [7] - The report highlights the company's strong growth in power generation, with a 9.26% increase in total generation in Q1 2025, driven by new installations and favorable wind conditions [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 12,802 million RMB - 2024: 12,576 million RMB - 2025E: 13,987 million RMB (11.2% growth) - 2026E: 14,770 million RMB (5.6% growth) - 2027E: 15,480 million RMB (4.8% growth) [6][8] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: 2,240 million RMB - 2024: 1,925 million RMB - 2025E: 2,317 million RMB (20.4% growth) - 2026E: 2,457 million RMB (6.1% growth) - 2027E: 2,522 million RMB (2.6% growth) [6][8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.32 RMB in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.5 [6][8] Market Position and Outlook - The company has a total market capitalization of 16,147.62 million HKD and a circulating market capitalization of 5,552.38 million HKD [3] - The report indicates that the company’s receivables are approximately 1.54 times its current market value, reflecting strong recognition from state-owned insurance capital [7] - The report expresses optimism regarding the long-term value of wind power operators, citing advantages over solar power in terms of output and operational cycles [7]
第20周:绿证国际化迈上新台阶,广东136细则加速市场化进程,城市管网改造有望加速
Huafu Securities· 2025-05-18 05:33
投资要点: 行情回顾: 5 月 12 日-5 月 16 日,环保、燃气和电力板块分别上涨 0.58%、0.54% 和 0.09%,水务板块分别下跌 0.43%,同期沪深 300 指数上涨 1.12%。 定 期 报 告 RE100 宣布无条件认可中国绿证,绿证国际化工作迈上新台阶:2025 年 5 月 12 日,绿证市场高质量发展政策宣介会在广东深圳召开。活动上,国际绿色电力消费倡议 组织(RE100)宣布无条件认可中国绿证,明确企业使用中国绿证不需再提供额外证明, 绿证国际化工作迈上新台阶。RE100 是国际上倡导绿色电力消费的非政府组织,在国际 绿色电力消费领域有重要影响力。2020 年,RE100 曾发布技术评估报告,提出企业若 使用中国绿证,需额外证明其代表对应电量的全部环境属性,并解决与其他碳凭证的重 复计算问题。我国绿证市场历经多年发展,多方发力,终于推动绿证与国际互认迎来关 键转折点。RE100 无条件认可中国绿证,将有效增强出口绿色竞争力,应对绿色贸易壁 垒,有利于绿色供应链企业发展。近年来,随着绿证制度加快完善,我国已构建起全范 围覆盖、全周期闭环、全过程透明、全环节高效的绿证制度体系。截至 ...
深南电A:以1833.75万元受让四川锐南75%股权
news flash· 2025-05-16 11:38
深南电A(000037)公告,公司或控股子公司拟以承接及代为偿还深圳市科陆电子(002121)科技股份 有限公司所欠四川锐南电力建设工程有限公司1833.75万元债务的方式受让四川锐南75%股权。股权转 让完成后,深南电A将持有四川锐南75%股权,后者将纳入深南电A合并财务报表范围。此次交易旨在 提高深南电A电力工程建设能力,提升参与新能源市场的综合竞争力,逐步构建综合能源服务商商业模 式。 ...
申万公用环保周报:山东出台首个新能源入市细则LNG进口中枢有望下移-20250512
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-12 06:43
行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 联系人 朱赫 (8621)23297818× zhuhe@swsresearch.com 2025 年 05 月 12 日 山东出台首个新能源入市细则 LNG 进 口中枢有望下移 看好 ——申万公用环保周报(25/05/06~25/05/09) 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 - ⚫ 电力:山东出台首个地方 136 号文细则(征求意见稿)。5 月 8 日,山东省发改委印发《山东省新 能源上网电价市场化改革实施方案(征求意见稿)》及配套《新能源机制电价竞价实施细则》。在 《方案》中明确提出,存量项目全电量参与市场化后,统 ...
电力设备与新能源行业研究:省级新能源市场化政策开始落地,浙江深远海风启动招标
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-11 14:23
光伏&储能:山东省发布新能源上网电价市场化方案及机制电价竞价细则(136 号文首份省级承接政策),发布时间早、 内容全面、细节友好;同时 5 月组件排产环比基本持平好于预期,有望共同促进市场对"抢装后"需求预期的修复。 欧洲逆变器市场或生变,关注潜在受益公司。 子行业周度核心观点: 风电:浙江深远海风机招标预审启动,年内开工可能性持续提升,国内海风景气度加速向上;英国海风招标改革初步 落地,相关措施或有望加速英国项目需求释放,建议关注英国 AR7 海风招标进展及国内相关受益标的。 电网:1)陇东-山东特高压直流投产,Q2 哈密-重庆、金上-湖北、宁夏-湖南三条特高压直流也有望密集投产,看好 25 年特高压相关公司业绩弹性持续兑现;2)25 年南网配网设备第一批框架招标金额达 54 亿元,同比维持高位,南 网近年重点投入五省区主网架优化和城乡配电网升级,高投资强度预计将持续带动配网设备、计量产品需求增长。 新能源车:本周理想召开第二次 AI TALK 并官宣 L 系列智能焕新版正式上市,我们对公司维持原有观点,智驾最终还 是要回落给产品。智驾在目前的市场中只是整车产品性价比的一部分,最终还是要评判产品的综合素质 ...
华自科技(300490) - 2025年5月8日华自科技投资者关系活动记录表
2025-05-08 15:14
您好,感谢您对公司的关注!提升公司业绩是我们的必修课,加强与投资 者的沟通与交流,让投资者了解、理解和支持公司,也是我们需要不断完善的 工作,也希望得到您有效的意见和建议。谢谢! 证券代码:300490 证券简称:华自科技 华自科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号:2025-001 | 投资者关系 | 业绩说明会 特定对象调研 分析师会议 媒体采访 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 活动类别 | 新闻发布会 路演活动 现场参观 | | | | (请文字说明其他活动内容) 其他 | | | 参与单位名 | 通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"参与公司 2024 年年度业绩网上说明会的投 | | | 称及人员 | 资者 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 5 8 日 15:00-17:00 | 月 | | 地点 | 全景网"投资者关系互动平台" | | | 上市公司接 | 董事长:黄文宝 总经理:佘朋鲋 独立董事:凌志雄 | | | 待人员 | 董事会秘书:宋辉 财务总监:陈红飞 保荐代表人:房子龙 | | | | 1、黄董,说说全年规划,财务预算,订单预测,收入预测,利润 ...
华洋赛车:2024年报&2025年一季报点评:俄罗斯与欧洲重点市场持续放量,期待双品牌策略提升细分增量-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 10:23
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·摩托车及其他 华洋赛车(834058) 2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评:俄罗斯与欧 洲重点市场持续放量,期待双品牌策略提升 细分增量 增持(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 478.80 | 526.99 | 672.45 | 824.30 | 989.34 | | 同比(%) | 12.95 | 10.06 | 27.60 | 22.58 | 20.02 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 51.31 | 56.14 | 69.34 | 90.63 | 113.57 | | 同比(%) | (22.41) | 9.43 | 23.51 | 30.71 | 25.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.62 | 2.02 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 36.31 | 33.19 | 26.87 | 20.56 | ...
华洋赛车(834058):2024年报&2025年一季报点评:俄罗斯与欧洲重点市场持续放量,期待双品牌策略提升细分增量
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-01 08:42
| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 478.80 | 526.99 | 672.45 | 824.30 | 989.34 | | 同比(%) | 12.95 | 10.06 | 27.60 | 22.58 | 20.02 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 51.31 | 56.14 | 69.34 | 90.63 | 113.57 | | 同比(%) | (22.41) | 9.43 | 23.51 | 30.71 | 25.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.62 | 2.02 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 36.31 | 33.19 | 26.87 | 20.56 | 16.41 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 俄罗斯与欧洲等重点市场持续放量,25Q1 业绩同比增长 162%。公司 发布 2024 年报与 ...