Group 1 - Hainan Island will officially open to global investors and consumers with a new policy of "one line open, two lines controlled, and free movement within the island" starting from December 18, 2025 [1][3] - The number of zero-tariff goods will increase from 1,900 to 6,600, raising the coverage rate to 74% [1][6] - Enterprises will benefit from a unified corporate income tax rate of 15%, and 85 countries' citizens will be able to enter Hainan visa-free [1][6] Group 2 - The infrastructure for Hainan's closure has been completed, including the world's largest new roll-on/roll-off hub at Haikou Port, capable of handling 35 million passengers and 5.6 million vehicles annually [3] - Three airports on the island can accommodate an annual passenger throughput of 68 million, supported by a matrix of eight open ports and ten "second-line ports" [3][4] Group 3 - The term "closure" signifies a higher level of openness, allowing free movement of goods and people between Hainan and foreign countries, while implementing precise management with the mainland [4][6] - The policy will significantly relax import and export management, effectively reducing costs for enterprises [4][6] Group 4 - The zero-tariff policy will cover 6,600 categories of goods, with tax exemptions potentially amounting to hundreds of billions of RMB post-closure [6][15] - Consumers will have access to a wider range of duty-free products, with authorities considering a positive list management for imported goods for residents [7][15] Group 5 - Hainan's closure is part of China's broader opening-up strategy, aiming to explore and accumulate beneficial experiences for institutional opening [15][16] - The island will establish a trade management system for free movement, improve financial policies, and enhance entry and exit management [15][16] Group 6 - In the short term, Hainan may compete with Hong Kong in tourism and shopping, benefiting consumers with more competitive duty-free products [16][18] - Long-term cooperation is expected, leveraging Hainan's manufacturing and consumption advantages alongside Hong Kong's expertise in finance and professional services [16][18]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the Hainan Free Trade Port's closure operation is set to reshape the island's industrial logic, leading to a new Hainan characterized by higher technological content and a more solid industrial foundation [2][28]. Trade Policy Changes - Starting December 18, 2025, Hainan will officially implement a new trade policy characterized by "one line open, two lines controlled, and free circulation within the island" [2]. - The scope of "zero tariff" goods will expand from approximately 1,900 tax items to about 6,600 tax items, covering around 74% of all goods [3]. - The management of imported "zero tariff" goods will shift from a "positive list" to a "negative list" model, allowing for broader exemptions from tariffs unless specifically prohibited [4]. Agricultural Development - Hainan has long served as China's "natural greenhouse" for seed breeding, leveraging its unique tropical climate for accelerated breeding cycles [7]. - The establishment of the Hainan South Breeding Industry Group aims to enhance the province's seed industry development, having introduced over 25,600 tropical fruit and medicinal crop germplasm resources [8]. - The transition to a standardized, industrialized service model in agriculture is underway, supported by the new trade policies [9]. Logistics and Transportation - The launch of a cross-strait low-altitude drone logistics route significantly enhances logistics efficiency, reducing transport times from hours to minutes [11]. - Hainan's geographical characteristics make low-altitude logistics a necessity, with plans for further development in this area [12][13]. Commercial Aerospace - The completion of the first phase of the reusable rocket assembly and testing facility in Hainan marks a significant step in the commercial aerospace sector [14]. - The "zero tariff" policy is expected to lower procurement costs for high-tech manufacturing companies, enhancing Hainan's attractiveness for aerospace investments [15]. Marine Resources and Energy - The "Deep Sea No. 1" project, China's first ultra-deepwater gas field, has begun full production, significantly contributing to the country's energy capabilities [20][21]. - The successful operation of this gas field is part of a broader strategy to enhance Hainan's role in marine oil and gas production [24]. - Hainan is also transitioning towards clean energy, with a target to ban the sale of fuel vehicles by 2030, supported by a high percentage of clean energy installations [25][26]. Infrastructure Development - The launch of the Hainan 500 kV digital power grid marks a significant enhancement in the island's electricity transmission capacity [27]. - Ongoing infrastructure improvements are crucial for supporting the energy transition and ensuring stability in the power grid [27]. Conclusion - The closure operation is not merely about creating a shopping paradise but is set to transform Hainan into a hub of innovation and industrial development across various sectors [28].

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (01880) saw a rise of over 3%, currently up 3.3% at HKD 61.05, with a trading volume of HKD 149 million [1] Group 1: Policy Developments - On September 5, the draft of the Hainan Free Trade Port Tourism Regulations was publicly solicited for opinions, proposing a broader visa-free entry policy for tourists [1] - Citizens from countries approved by the State Council can enter Hainan Free Trade Port without a visa and travel within a specified period [1] Group 2: Market Context - In July, a press conference by the State Council Information Office clarified the timeline for the closure operation of Hainan Free Trade Port and optimized tax and travel policies [1] - According to Founder Securities, ongoing developments related to Hainan's closure operations could serve as a catalyst for valuation, with a focus on the company's performance at domestic ports and city duty-free shops [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Shengshi Technology, has confirmed that its subsidiary, Hainan Intelligent Human Technology Co., Ltd., is primarily engaged in projects related to the operation of Hainan's customs closure, with significant progress in delivering major information technology projects in the region [2]. Group 1 - The subsidiary is responsible for following up on projects related to Hainan's customs closure operations [2]. - The company has successfully delivered major IT projects including Haikou New Port, South Port, Haikou Xiuying Port, Haikou Meilan International Airport, and Sanya Nanshan Port [2]. - The Hainan subsidiary will continue to follow up on the ongoing construction of related projects in the customs closure operation [2].

Core Insights - Haikou's economic growth is significantly driven by investment attraction, with a GDP of 1080.85 billion yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a 5.4% year-on-year increase [1] - The city has seen a remarkable 65.8% increase in actual foreign investment, indicating strong confidence from global enterprises [1] Investment Attraction as an Economic Engine - Haikou has successfully attracted 63 key investment projects in the first half of the year, contributing directly to a 16.8% increase in industrial added value [1] - Notable projects include Bitmain, which contributed 1.62 billion yuan to local industrial added value [1] Expansion of Investment Network - Haikou's investment network is expanding, with 26 new projects in the comprehensive bonded zone and 13 investment projects signed in the national high-tech zone [2] - Significant projects include those from Indian Sun Pharmaceutical and Silver Medical, as well as investments from various regions across China [2] Regional Cooperation and Development - The establishment of the Guangdong-Hainan Advanced Manufacturing Cooperation Industrial Park has led to 74 investment trips to Guangdong, resulting in 52 projects with a total investment exceeding 12 billion yuan [3] - The park has attracted 442 enterprises, with actual investments nearing 1.4 billion yuan [3] Win-Win Situation for City and Enterprises - The investment attraction strategy has created a win-win scenario, where Haikou's GDP growth aligns with the benefits enterprises gain from the free trade port policies [4] - For instance, Taishan Sports Industry Group plans to leverage tax exemptions for importing materials to establish a high-end bicycle production base [4] Positive Feedback Loop in Economic Growth - Haikou's economic model has established a positive feedback loop: policy attracts enterprises, enterprises generate output, which optimizes the economic structure and further enhances investment attraction [5] - The city aims to attract globally competitive enterprises post-customs closure, leveraging its unique regulatory environment [5] Institutional Advantages and Future Outlook - Haikou's investment attraction has transcended geographical boundaries, creating a new institutional landscape characterized by customs facilitation and tax reforms [6] - The city is expected to experience a surge in investment projects in the upcoming months, marking a critical phase in its economic development [6]

Core Viewpoint - The overall operation after the closure will be more conducive to gathering global resources and promoting the development of Hainan [1] Group 1: Industry Focus - Hainan will focus on promoting four leading industries: tourism, modern services, high-tech industries, and tropical characteristic high-efficiency agriculture [1]

Group 1: Benefits of Hainan's Free Trade Port in 2025 - Trade liberalization and facilitation will enhance the flow of goods, capital, and personnel between Hainan and foreign countries, promoting international trade development [2] - The import and export trade is expected to increase significantly due to the exemption of import tariffs on most goods entering Hainan, stimulating both imports and exports [2] - The corporate income tax rate for registered companies in Hainan will be reduced to 15%, attracting more businesses and promoting economic diversification [3][15] - Personal income tax for individuals residing in Hainan for over 183 days will be levied at a maximum rate of 15%, significantly lower than the mainland's highest rate of 45%, attracting high-end talent [3][17] - The zero-tariff policy will lower the cost of imported goods, enhancing consumer purchasing power and quality of life [3] - The simplification of the tax system will reduce the overall tax burden and improve tax management for businesses [3] Group 2: Economic Development and Employment Opportunities - The construction of the free trade port will attract global resources, capital, and talent, creating numerous job opportunities across various sectors [7] - Hainan's international status will be elevated, enhancing its participation in global economic cooperation and contributing to China's economic standing [7] - The development of modern service industries, such as finance and consulting, will be prioritized, supported by favorable policies and an open environment [9][10] Group 3: Consumer and Lifestyle Improvements - The zero-tariff and duty-free policies will lead to lower prices for imported goods, enhancing shopping experiences for consumers [8][21] - The convenience of international travel will be improved, with more international routes and better tourism infrastructure [8] - The optimization of the shopping experience through enhanced duty-free policies will further stimulate consumer confidence and market prosperity [8] Group 4: Regulatory and Compliance Framework - The "one line open, one line controlled" regulatory model will allow for freer entry of goods into Hainan while maintaining strict controls for goods entering the mainland [28] - The negative list for foreign investment will be reduced, allowing for greater access to various industries [30] - Companies must establish a substantial operational presence in Hainan, including local management and compliance with social security requirements [32][43] Group 5: Company Registration and Tax Incentives - Companies can still register in Hainan post-closure, benefiting from tax incentives and a favorable investment environment [36] - The corporate income tax rate of 15% will apply to all compliant businesses, significantly lower than the mainland's standard rate [38] - The establishment of Free Trade Accounts (FT Accounts) will facilitate foreign exchange transactions, enhancing cross-border trade [41]