Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of numerous black swan events in the first half of 2025, alongside significant investment opportunities arising from these events, particularly in the context of global economic shifts and the rise of Chinese assets [1]. Group 1: Global Economic Events - The article highlights the impact of Trump's return to the White House, which has led to significant market fluctuations due to new tariffs imposed on various economies [1]. - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle Eastern conflicts, are noted as contributing factors to market instability [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The rise of new consumption patterns and innovative pharmaceuticals in China is emphasized as a key area for investment [1]. - The Hong Kong stock market is described as experiencing a surge, with notable companies like Pop Mart and Laopu Gold emerging as tenfold growth stocks [1]. - The article suggests that mainland companies are increasingly looking to list in Hong Kong, indicating a shift in capital flows [1]. Group 3: Insights from Keynote Speakers - Dr. Ge Long, the founder of Gelonghui, expresses optimism about Chinese assets, stating that while China's fortunes may fluctuate, they will not disappear [10]. - He identifies Hong Kong as a critical investment hub, emphasizing the influx of resources and capital into the region [11][12]. - Dr. Li Kaifu discusses the potential of AI, predicting significant GDP growth in the AI 2.0 era and suggesting that investments should focus on application and chip companies rather than foundational models [19]. - Dan Bin from Dongfang Hongyuan emphasizes the importance of long-term investment perspectives, particularly in transformative companies that can change the world [21][22]. Group 4: ESG and Future Events - The article mentions a detailed analysis of ESG investments by Cui Chenlong, highlighting the growing importance of sustainable investing [26]. - The event concludes with a mention of upcoming discussions and presentations from global institutional investors, indicating ongoing engagement in the investment community [29].

Core Viewpoint - Stablecoins are becoming a core variable in reshaping the global financial landscape through a dual-driven model of "technological innovation + regulatory development" [1] Group 1: Stablecoin Regulation and Market Impact - The implementation of the "Stablecoin Ordinance" in Hong Kong is expected to solidify and enhance its status as an international financial center, with significant changes anticipated in the financial market ecosystem [2] - The ordinance features a "dual-track" regulatory approach, allowing only approved stablecoin issuers to offer retail stablecoins, while unapproved stablecoins can only be traded among professional investors [6][7] Group 2: Technological Maturity and Financial Inclusion - Stablecoins are breaking down traditional financial barriers, with USDT (Tether) having circulated globally for over 10 years, significantly contributing to financial inclusion [4] - In Africa, approximately 60% of the population lacks bank accounts, yet they can access stablecoin systems via mobile wallets, enabling "account-free cross-border payments" [4] - For Chinese cross-border e-commerce, stablecoins like USDT are becoming essential tools for trade facilitation, with a significant increase in their usage among small merchants [4] Group 3: Role of Hong Kong's Digital Currency Exchanges - HashKey Exchange is positioned as a key player in Hong Kong's virtual asset trading landscape, acting as a "two-way connector" between fiat and stablecoin systems [6][7] - The exchange is implementing stringent KYC and anti-money laundering mechanisms to ensure compliance while facilitating stablecoin transactions [7] Group 4: Pathways for RMB Stablecoin Implementation - The discussion around the impact of the "Stablecoin Ordinance" on the internationalization of the RMB has led to proposals for a "three-phase strategy" for the implementation of RMB stablecoins [8] - The strategy includes issuing offshore RMB stablecoins initially for institutional clients, followed by integration with free trade account systems in specific regions, and eventually launching onshore RMB stablecoins [10]

Core Insights - The new stablecoin regulatory framework effective from August 1 in Hong Kong provides a clear landscape for investors in the virtual asset sector, indicating that issuers, licensed exchanges, and related service providers will benefit directly from this compliance [1][10]. Market Overview - The global stablecoin market has surpassed $230 billion, with major players like Tether and Circle dominating the space, holding nearly 87% of the market share [4][10]. - The stablecoin market is categorized into four types: fiat-backed, crypto-backed, commodity-backed, and algorithmic stablecoins, with fiat-backed being the most prevalent and the focus of Hong Kong's regulations [4][5]. Profitability Models - Stablecoin issuers have a clear and attractive business model, primarily generating revenue from reserve asset returns, with Circle's income largely derived from investing reserves in low-risk assets like U.S. Treasury funds [6][9]. - The revenue structure for exchanges like OSL shows a significant portion coming from digital asset trading fees, highlighting the monetization pathways available in the ecosystem [11]. Competitive Landscape - The competition for stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong is intensifying, with several companies vying for the first batch of licenses, including Circle, JD Group, and others [10][12]. - Licensed exchanges are crucial for the circulation and trading of stablecoins, with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission having issued multiple licenses to date [10][11]. Key Participants - Key players in the ecosystem include issuers, licensed exchanges, traditional brokers, and infrastructure providers, each with distinct roles and revenue models [10][15]. - Companies with a strong retail customer base and advanced technology platforms, like Futu, are positioned favorably in the competitive landscape [15][17]. Conclusion - The regulatory developments in Hong Kong's stablecoin market present significant opportunities for companies that can secure licenses and leverage their technological and customer advantages to capitalize on the growing digital finance landscape [17].

Core Insights - The launch of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" marks a significant advancement in cross-border payment systems, enabling real-time transactions between mainland China and Hong Kong in both Renminbi and Hong Kong Dollar [1][2] - The system leverages blockchain technology to reduce transaction times from 1-5 working days to seconds and cut fees by 80%, enhancing the efficiency of cross-border payments [2] - The regulatory framework for stablecoins is evolving, with Hong Kong's new regulations set to take effect, requiring stablecoin issuers to maintain a 1:1 reserve and undergo quarterly audits [4][6] Group 1: Cross-Border Payment Link - The "Cross-Border Payment Link" officially launched on June 22, 2025, connecting the mainland's interbank payment system with Hong Kong's Fast Payment System [1] - Initial use cases include tuition payments, medical fees, and salary disbursements, with transaction limits increased from 10,000 to 100,000 [2] - This infrastructure supports the internationalization of the Renminbi and enhances financial integration in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [2] Group 2: Stablecoin Development - The introduction of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" presents a historic opportunity for stablecoins, allowing settlement times to be reduced to minutes [4] - Hong Kong's new stablecoin regulations will require issuers to hold at least 80% of their reserves in cash and government bonds, limiting high-risk assets [6] - Major companies like JD.com and Ant Group have applied for licenses, indicating a trend towards compliant stablecoins being integrated into the "Cross-Border Payment Link" [4] Group 3: Market Response and Growth - The global stablecoin market is projected to exceed $1.8 trillion, reflecting a 120% increase from 2024, driven by regulatory compliance [6] - USDC's market share has risen to 42%, positioning it as a preferred stablecoin for cross-border payments [6] - Companies such as Standard Chartered and Zhenrong Bank are actively participating in stablecoin sandbox tests, exploring asset custody models [4][6] Group 4: Related Companies - Sifang Jingchuang is the only A-share company involved in the central bank's mBridge project, with a projected 300% increase in orders by 2025 [8] - Changliang Technology has deep ties with the Vietnamese central bank, with overseas revenue exceeding 25% and recent wins in cross-border payment projects [9] - New Morning Technology reported a 200% year-on-year increase in cross-border payment revenue in Q1 2025, providing stablecoin custody solutions for Standard Chartered [10] - JD Group's subsidiary is in the second phase of Hong Kong's stablecoin sandbox testing, aiming to launch a Hong Kong Dollar/US Dollar stablecoin within the year [11]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has benefited from previous overseas liquidity easing, leading to active investments in small and thematic stocks. The market is expected to accommodate 100-200 new AH shares and returning US stocks, supported by policies and liquidity injections [1][2][3] - The Hong Kong government and the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) have increased their focus on the capital market, providing a stable foundation for the Hong Kong stock market, allowing it to remain strong even amid external disturbances such as trade wars [1][4][5] Core Industry Directions - Long-term optimism is noted in sectors such as the internet, smart driving, and new consumption. Companies like Pop Mart and Lao Pu Gold are showing global potential, while AI technology is enhancing valuations for firms like Xiaomi. The innovative drug sector also presents growth opportunities [1][6][7] Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include internet giants Tencent and Alibaba, which remain key holdings for many institutions. Xiaomi is highlighted for its strong alpha logic and performance, while new consumption brands like Pop Mart and Lao Pu Gold are recognized for their growth potential through technological breakthroughs and globalization strategies [1][6][7] Xiaomi's Market Expectations - There is high market anticipation for Xiaomi's new car launch, with expected large sales reaching 250,000 units and monthly sales of 40,000 units. This could significantly impact Xiaomi's stock price positively. The company is viewed favorably for its diversified development in automotive, IoT, mobile, and robotics sectors [1][8][10] Smart Driving Technology - Smart driving technology is advancing, with Chinese companies demonstrating strong competitiveness. The launch of Tesla's Robo TAXI is a notable example. Companies like Li Auto, Pony.ai, WeRide, and Hesai Technology are gaining attention in this field [3][11][12] New Consumption Sector - Despite some recent underperformance from new consumption stocks like Haidilao, the sector remains vibrant. Pop Mart continues to show strong performance, and other companies like Blok are also worth monitoring. The new consumption sector is expected to maintain long-term investment value [1][6][13] Web 3.0 Ecosystem - The Web 3.0 ecosystem is evolving, particularly with the attention on Bitcoin ETFs. Traditional financial institutions are entering the space, and the compliance of stablecoins is expected to create new growth opportunities. Companies like ZhongAn Online are highlighted as potential investments in this area [3][14][17] AI Applications and Opportunities - AI applications are gradually becoming commercialized, with expectations for more applications to emerge in the second half of the year and into 2026. The release of GPT-5 is anticipated to enhance market expectations [1][18] - The AI video sector is also gaining traction, with platforms like Kuaishou showing significant growth in AI-generated content. The potential for AR technology in this space is substantial, with projections for significant revenue increases [1][19]

Core Viewpoint - The stablecoin sector is gaining significant attention, with Ant Group officially submitting its application for a stablecoin license in Hong Kong, which could reshape the crypto finance landscape [1] Regulatory Environment - The U.S. Senate is accelerating the advancement of the "Stablecoin Act of 2025," aiming to incorporate stablecoins into the federal regulatory framework [2] - In Hong Kong, the Legislative Council has swiftly passed the "Stablecoin Regulation Draft," establishing a licensing system and market norms, marking a new phase of compliance in digital currency development [4] Ant Group's Position - Ant Group is positioned as a leading player in this wave of policy benefits, having officially initiated the stablecoin license application process and successfully completed the regulatory sandbox testing in Hong Kong [5] - Ant Group has designated Hong Kong as its global headquarters for Ant Financial, fully committing to the stablecoin sector [6] Market Growth and Predictions - The global stablecoin market is expanding rapidly, with a total market capitalization exceeding $250 billion as of May 31, reflecting a surge of $40 billion since the end of 2024 [6] - Deutsche Bank predicts that the stablecoin market will surpass $250 billion by 2025, while Citibank is more optimistic, forecasting a market size of $3.7 trillion by 2030 [6] Related Companies - Three companies are closely linked to Ant Group's stablecoin strategy: - GCL-Poly Energy, which has partnered with Ant Financial to establish "Ant Xinneng" and successfully issued China's first photovoltaic RWA, is expected to explore new growth opportunities in the energy sector [7][8] - Longxin Group, in which Ant Group holds an 11.23% stake, is collaborating in digital payment and blockchain sectors, likely benefiting from Ant's expanding ecosystem [6] - A third unnamed company, a hidden champion in the stablecoin terminal field, has strategic cooperation with China Construction Bank and has seen a remarkable 8829% year-on-year increase in net profit excluding non-recurring items in Q1 2025, attracting significant institutional interest [6]

稳定币浪潮正向全球袭来，成为各国急需解决的重要课题——放任稳定币在监管外围无序发展会对本国金融体系造成负面影响，放弃一个高效的 结算工具更将错失货币全球化新机遇。 对于正在积极提升人民币国际化地位的中国，主动监管稳定币并顺势而为加速人民币国际化或许是更优解。接受记者采访的专家与业内人士普遍认为，作为新兴支 付工具，稳定币的独特优势和潜在风险均不容忽视，发展人民币稳定币"宜早不宜迟"。基于数字人民币和离岸人民币稳定币"双轨并进"参与国际货币体系竞争，或 是时代变局下人民币国际化的新路径。 不容忽视的支付工具 今年5月以来，美国和中国香港地区相继通过稳定币相关法案，将法币支持型稳定币（以下简称"法币稳定币"）定位为支付工具，与证券类代币等严格区分，加强反 洗钱、反恐融资监管等。英国、韩国等多个国家也纷纷明确将稳定币纳入立法计划。 稳定币合规化进程提速的背后，是其在全球支付系统的重要性不断提升，成为各国不得不重视的新工具。 目前，全球稳定币的市场规模已经超过2500亿美元。Visa 监测数据显示，截至2025年6月，经调整后的稳定币支付交易次数高达16亿次，交易金额高达7.3万亿美元。据花旗银行研究报告测算，203 ...

Industry Insights - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority have launched the "Cross-Border Payment Link," which connects the mainland online payment interbank clearing system with Hong Kong's "Faster Payment System," officially going live on June 22 [1] - The system allows residents from both regions to conveniently conduct real-time cross-border remittances in Renminbi and Hong Kong dollars via mobile numbers or bank accounts, covering scenarios such as salary payments and tuition fees [1] - The introduction of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" opens new avenues for the compliant application of stablecoins, potentially serving as a technical template for regulated stablecoin cross-border circulation [1] - The policy direction is expected to support the cross-border payment industry in unlocking new growth opportunities, enhancing the functions and scope of CIPS, and promoting high-level opening-up through free trade zone pilot projects [1] - The global perspective indicates that the compliance process of stablecoins is likely to drive the restructuring of the global payment system, with stablecoin payments offering significant advantages in cost and efficiency compared to traditional cross-border payment methods [1] Company Developments - Zhongyi Technology announced on June 9, 2023, that it is involved in the IT infrastructure construction for clients' digital currency systems and provides operational maintenance services for the related IT infrastructure [2] - Sanwei Xinan is leading the formulation of the "GM/T 0111-2021 Blockchain Cryptography Application Technical Requirements," leveraging its accumulated expertise in blockchain technology, with related products already applied in digital currency operations [2] - The company emphasizes the importance of blockchain technology in ensuring the security and credibility of transactions in digital currency, committing to ongoing research and implementation of blockchain and digital currency technologies to promote financial innovation and safeguard data privacy and security [2]

Market Overview - The three major indices in the A-share market rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3388.81 points, up 0.04% [4] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10175.59 points, up 0.24%, and the ChiNext Index closed at 2054.73 points, up 0.23% [4] - The market turnover was 12.22 trillion yuan, a decrease from the previous trading day [5] Economic Indicators - In the U.S., economic data showed a divergence, with soft data indicating a potential economic downturn, particularly in core retail and industrial output [1] - The upcoming release of initial jobless claims and the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast will provide further insights into the U.S. economic situation [1] - Domestic economic data for May showed mixed results, with consumption performing well due to policies like trade-in incentives, but overall internal demand remains weak [1] Financial Policies - The People's Bank of China announced eight significant financial policies at the Lujiazui Forum, focusing on structural reforms and opening up, including the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center and offshore trade finance services [2] - These policies are expected to boost market sentiment in the short term and benefit sectors related to financial technology, innovation, and cross-border trade in the long term [2] Legislative Developments - The U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, which mandates that stablecoins pegged to the dollar must hold equivalent short-term government debt as reserves [3] - This regulatory framework is anticipated to enhance the compliance and growth of stablecoins as a new infrastructure for global payments [3]

Market Overview - The market opened low but rebounded, with all three major indices rising. The trading volume reached 1.24 trillion yuan, with over 3,500 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets showing gains [1] - Stablecoin concept stocks surged, with companies like Hengsheng Electronics, Sifang Precision, Hengbao Co., and Hailian Jinwei hitting the daily limit [1] - Oil and gas stocks experienced a peak but then retreated, with Shandong Molong, Junyou Co., and Beiken Energy also reaching the daily limit [1] - The IP economy continued to show strength, boosting sectors like 3D printing, with stocks such as Yuanlong Yatu and Dizu Fashion also hitting the daily limit [1] Blockchain Sector - The blockchain concept saw significant gains, with stocks like GCL-Poly Energy and Hengbao Co. hitting the daily limit. The Hong Kong government has passed the "Stablecoin Regulation," which will establish a licensing system for stablecoin issuers, effective from August 1 [4][7] - According to DEFILLAMA, the global stablecoin market cap reached approximately $250.3 billion (about 1.8 trillion yuan) as of June 8, 2025, marking a 50-fold increase from about $5 billion at the end of 2019 [7] - The introduction of the stablecoin legislation in Hong Kong is expected to accelerate the compliance development of stablecoins and promote the large-scale application of Real World Assets (RWA), with the RWA market projected to reach $16 trillion by 2030 [7] IP Economy - The IP economy remained active, with stocks like Yuanlong Yatu and Dizu Fashion hitting the daily limit. Light Media's chairman revealed that the sales of derivatives related to "Nezha 2" have reached hundreds of billions [9][10] - The Chinese IP derivative market is expected to reach 174.2 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.1% from 2020 to 2024 [11] 3D Printing Sector - The 3D printing sector showed strength, with stocks like Jinchengzi and Haizheng Materials hitting the daily limit. Reports indicate that significant cost reductions in product iterations have been achieved through 3D printing technology [12][14] - The 3D printing industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, with equipment production increasing by 36% year-on-year in 2023 and exports rising by 55% [14] - The popularity of IPs has led to a surge in 3D printing community responses, with developers optimizing 3D models for new IPs, indicating a promising future for 3D printing materials [14]