美国白宫宣布从4日起将进口自除英国外所有贸易伙伴的钢铝产品关税从25%上调至50%。对此，加拿 大总理卡尼称美国此举"不合理且非法"，不利于美加两国的工业。卡尼表示，加拿大正在与美国进行谈 判，如果谈判失败，加拿大将准备采取报复措施。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Canadian Prime Minister Carney is prepared to take retaliatory measures against the United States if negotiations to eliminate tariffs do not succeed [1] Group 1 - The Canadian government is closely monitoring global trade dynamics and is ready to respond to any unfavorable outcomes in tariff negotiations with the U.S. [1]

Core Viewpoint - The European Union plans to propose tariffs on Boeing aircraft as part of a retaliatory strategy in response to failed trade negotiations with Washington [1] Group 1: Tariff Proposal - The EU intends to include civilian aircraft in a list of US imports worth approximately €100 billion [1] - These measures will only take effect if there is insufficient progress in reducing US tariffs [1] - The proposed actions require approval from a majority of EU member states before implementation [1]

Group 1 - The EU Trade Commissioner, Valdis Dombrovskis, stated that US tariffs could cover 97% of EU exports to the US if trade negotiations fail, which is deemed unacceptable [1][4] - The EU plans to impose tariffs on US goods worth €100 billion if negotiations do not yield satisfactory results, with discussions among member states expected to begin soon [1][4] - Current US tariffs already affect 70% of EU exports, and this figure could rise to 97% due to investigations initiated by the Trump administration [1][5] Group 2 - The EU is preparing to monitor potential risks of cheap US goods flooding the European market due to trade barriers, with preliminary results expected by mid-May [2] - The EU is considering a list of US goods for retaliatory tariffs and discussing possible export restrictions as part of its response strategy [4] - The EU has suspended retaliatory measures against US steel and aluminum tariffs to allow for negotiations, but progress has been limited [5]

美国贸易代表贾米森·格里尔：绝大多数国家已表明不会采取报复行动，而是寻求获取有关可以采取哪 些措施的信息。 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the implications of the U.S. government's aggressive tariff policies and their impact on global trade relations, particularly with China, the EU, Japan, and other countries. Core Points and Arguments - The U.S. government aims to use aggressive tariffs to bring trade partners to the negotiation table, targeting a 10% standard tax rate to reach an agreement and end mutual retaliation, though this scenario is deemed unlikely [2][3] - Initial responses from the EU and other countries are expected to include partial retaliatory actions, posing significant risks to policy and economic outlooks [2] - China has responded swiftly with a 34% counter-tariff and increased export controls on rare earth materials, crucial for the tech industry, indicating a firm stance against U.S. actions [2][8] - The EU is preparing countermeasures, likely involving substantial retaliatory tariffs and threats in other sectors, including digital and financial services [2][9] - Japan and the UK are less likely to retaliate but also unlikely to make significant concessions, with Japan surprised by the 24% tariff rate [2][3] - The likelihood of the U.S. escalating its tariff actions is over 50%, particularly against China, which could include asset freezes and financial sanctions, potentially damaging the existing financial system [2][6] - The probability of successful negotiations is estimated at only 20%, as the U.S. assumes its economic strength can compel compliance from trade partners [4] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The global response to U.S. tariffs is categorized into three types: strong retaliation (as seen with Canada), low-profile negotiation attempts (like Japan and the UK), and complete capitulation (potentially from smaller nations like Vietnam) [5] - The U.S. could take a rational economic approach, similar to past agreements with Canada and Mexico, but this outcome is considered unlikely at only 40% probability [6] - China's strong response indicates a lack of hope for a quick negotiation, which may influence Europe's stance and lead to a more unified response against U.S. tariffs [9][10] - The EU is expected to announce measures in response to U.S. tariffs, including potential tariffs of up to 20% on most imported goods from the U.S. [10][11] - Japan's legal debate regarding the imposition of retaliatory tariffs highlights the complexities of international trade law and the potential for diplomatic negotiations to resolve disputes [15][20] - The ongoing discussions in Japan about emergency fiscal measures reflect concerns over the economic impact of U.S. tariffs on domestic markets [20] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the current trade tensions and their implications for various countries and industries.