Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are characterized as a healthy correction driven by short-term factors, aimed at building momentum for medium to long-term upward trends, with the underlying bull market foundation remaining intact [2] Group 1: Short-term Driving Factors - The core reason for the recent gold price adjustment is identified as short-term factors rather than a fundamental reversal, including easing pressure in the silver market, a retreat in short-term safe-haven demand, and profit-taking from previous gains [3][4] - The easing of silver market pressures, which previously saw extreme conditions, has led to a corresponding adjustment in gold prices [3] - A decline in short-term safe-haven demand occurred as temporary issues like U.S. government shutdowns and trade uncertainties were resolved, prompting some investors to liquidate gold positions [3][4] Group 2: Technical Analysis and Market Behavior - The current adjustment, with gold prices dropping nearly 10% from approximately 4380 to 4000, is considered a normal occurrence within a bull market, as similar adjustments have been observed historically [4] - Key support levels, such as the 4000 mark, are highlighted as critical for maintaining bullish sentiment, with potential further declines to the 3800-3850 range anticipated for more thorough price correction [5] - The market's behavior indicates that the recent decline is primarily due to profit-taking rather than a significant increase in short positions, as evidenced by stable ETF holdings [5] Group 3: Future Outlook and Trading Strategies - December is projected as a crucial month for gold prices, with seasonal trends and potential signals from the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions expected to influence market movements [7] - Investors are advised to manage risks carefully, avoiding common pitfalls such as chasing prices or mixing short-term and long-term positions, emphasizing the importance of clear trading objectives and timelines [7]

Group 1: Market Overview - The current spot gold price is experiencing a rebound after a recent decline, influenced by profit-taking and technical adjustments, but supported by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical risks, and uncertainties from the U.S. government shutdown [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The gold market showed a rebound after hitting a low of $4004 per ounce, with a peak at $4161 per ounce, indicating intense market competition [2] - The daily chart shows a narrowing Bollinger Band and a MACD crossover indicating a temporary halt in upward momentum, while the 4-hour chart suggests potential for a rebound despite a bearish crossover [2] - Key support levels are identified at $4005-$4000, while resistance levels are noted at $4180-$4175, with a breakout potentially leading to a return of bullish momentum [2] Group 3: Trading Recommendations - Suggested trading strategy includes attempting to short at $4145-$4150 and $4157-$4162, with protective measures at $4170 and target levels set at $4065-$4055 and $4030-$4020, while preparing to buy near $4007-$4013 [4]

Market Analysis - The gold price experienced fluctuations throughout the week, starting at $3884, rising to $4059, and closing at $4018, marking an 8-week consecutive bullish trend [1] - Technical indicators such as TRIX and MACD suggest a bullish outlook on the weekly chart, while daily indicators show mixed signals with a potential for a downward correction [1] Trading Recommendations - For the upcoming week, a trading strategy is suggested to sell gold around $4035-$4038 with a stop loss at $4043 and a target profit at $4000 [3] - The market is characterized by rapid changes, and real-time strategies are emphasized for trading decisions [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses the historical context of gold prices, highlighting significant price movements and market reactions over the past few years, including the recent fluctuations around the $4000 mark [1][3] - It emphasizes the importance of key price levels, particularly the $4000 support and $4055 resistance, and the implications of breaking these levels for short-term trading strategies [3] Market Analysis - Gold prices have recently experienced a decline from $4060 to $3960, indicating a normal adjustment after a period of significant gains [1] - The article notes that the current trading range for gold is between $4000 and $3945, with a focus on the potential for further declines if the $3945 level is broken [3] - Short-term trading strategies are suggested, including a potential short position around $3985-90 and a long position if prices break above $4000 [3]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current market has high expectations for interest rate cuts, and hawkish comments from officials could strengthen the dollar, negatively impacting gold prices [1] - Gold prices have continued to rise, recently surpassing the psychological level of $3,800 per ounce, reaching a high of $3,834, supported by U.S. inflation data aligning with market expectations [1] - The low interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, providing strong support for gold prices amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and risks of U.S. government shutdown [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices are currently operating within an ascending channel, approaching the upper boundary, and traders should monitor reactions at this level [3] - Short-term support levels are identified at $3,805-$3,792, with significant support around $3,757-$3,760, while short-term resistance is noted at $3,850-$3,860 [3] - A bullish stance is maintained as long as prices do not break below $3,805, with a focus on buying on dips [3] Group 3: Gold Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.90, indicating an overbought condition, yet the bullish trend remains intact [4] - The MACD suggests further upward movement for gold prices, and traders with low leverage are advised to hold positions as long as the price remains above the 5-day moving average [4] - Today's trading strategy for gold emphasizes buying on dips and selling on rebounds, with key resistance at $3,850-$3,860 and support at $3,805-$3,795 [4] Group 4: Silver Market Analysis - International and domestic silver prices have reached new annual and historical highs, indicating a strong bull market for silver [6] - Silver has shown consistent daily gains, with short-term moving averages in a bullish arrangement, and prices have surpassed the $46 mark [6] - The RSI indicates a slight overbought condition, but no immediate reversal signals are present, suggesting a continued strong outlook for silver [6] Group 5: Technical Analysis of Silver - The trading strategy for silver focuses on buying on pullbacks and selling on rebounds, with resistance levels at $46.7-$46.5 and support levels at $47.3-$47.5 [6] - Recommendations include entering long positions at $46.7-$46.5 with a stop loss at $46.3 and a target of $47.2-$47.5 [6]

Market Overview - The gold market is at a critical juncture, influenced by strong economic data and a rising dollar questioning the necessity of loose monetary policy, while geopolitical tensions and buying on dips provide a solid support for gold prices [1] - On Thursday, gold reached a high of $3761.46, dipped to $3722 after initial jobless claims were released, but quickly rebounded due to buying support, closing at $3749.18, a gain of approximately 0.38% [1] Gold Price Analysis - In the previous trading day, gold rose to $3761.3 before retreating, with a recommendation to short around $3755-$3758, leading to a significant drop to a low of $3722.1 before rebounding, resulting in profitable short positions [3] - The daily chart shows a small bullish candle, but indicators like KDJ are in a high position with a downward turn, and MACD shows a reduction in bullish momentum, suggesting a bearish outlook for gold, with expectations of a drop below $3700 [3] - The hourly chart indicates that gold is currently around $3741, with KDJ showing a death cross and MACD indicating a decrease in bullish momentum, reinforcing the recommendation to focus on short positions [3] Trading Recommendations - A strategy is suggested to short gold around $3754-$3757, with a stop loss at $3762 and a target profit range of $3730-$3720 [5]

Group 1: Tariff Measures - Trump announced multiple tariff measures, including a 25% tariff on all imported heavy trucks, a 50% tariff on kitchen cabinets and related products, a 30% tariff on upholstered furniture, and a 100% tariff on pharmaceuticals from companies that have not built factories in the U.S. These tariffs will take effect on October 1 this year [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Policy - Federal Reserve Governor Milan suggested that the Fed should implement aggressive rate cuts to avoid economic damage, proposing a reduction of 150 to 200 basis points to bring rates closer to neutral [1] - Chicago Fed President Goolsbee expressed concerns about rising inflation and emphasized the need to bring inflation down to 2% before considering further rate cuts [1] - Dallas Fed President Logan proposed abandoning the federal funds rate as a benchmark in favor of a broader market indicator [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP for the second quarter was revised significantly upward to a growth rate of 3.8%, the highest in two years, compared to a previous estimate of 3.3% [2] - Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 20 recorded 218,000, the lowest since July 2025, with the previous figure revised from 231,000 to 232,000 [2] Group 4: Gold and Silver Market - Gold experienced minimal volatility, with a daily high of $3,762 per ounce and a low of $3,722, closing at approximately $3,749 [3] - Silver saw a strong upward trend, reaching a daily high of $45.22, closing with a significant bullish candle [3] - The current gold trend is viewed as bullish in the medium to long term, with adjustments expected but no significant downward trend anticipated unless key support levels are broken [4][5][7]

Group 1 - Trump has shifted his stance on the Russia-Ukraine issue, indicating readiness to impose tariffs if Russia is unwilling to reach an agreement, and asserting that NATO countries should shoot down Russian planes entering NATO airspace [1] - The European Commission has implemented the 19th round of sanctions against Russia, which includes banning the import of Russian liquefied natural gas and expanding sanctions to third-country refineries and oil traders [1] - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4%-4.25%, with officials indicating that future policy adjustments will be data-driven and flexible [1][2] Group 2 - Gold prices have surged, reaching a new high of $3,790.9 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 40%, while silver has also seen significant gains, rising over 50% [4] - The recent bullish trend in gold has seen prices rise nearly $450 from a low of $3,311, with potential targets for further increases set between $3,850 and $3,880 based on historical price movements [5] - The gold market is currently experiencing strong upward momentum, but caution is advised as it approaches resistance levels, with potential for a pullback [7][9]

Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing interest in gold trading among new investors, particularly in 2025, as the price of spot gold reached a historical high of $3689.61 per ounce, attracting over 150,000 new investors [1] - A significant portion of new investors, 68%, reported losses in their first trades due to a lack of foundational analysis skills, indicating the need for better education in trading methods [1] Group 1: Market Analysis Methods - Understanding market trends is essential for new investors, with three key dimensions to focus on: macro policies, technical indicators, and market sentiment [3] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate changes serve as a critical indicator, as seen in September 2025 when a 25 basis point cut led to gold prices initially rising to $3707 before falling to $3653 [3] - Technical indicators, such as the 20-period SMA, can provide entry signals, exemplified by gold bouncing back after finding support at $3642 [3] - Tracking market sentiment is crucial, as indicated by the record high holdings of 964.22 tons in the largest gold ETF in August, reflecting strong demand for safe-haven assets [3] Group 2: Platform Verification Techniques - New investors must ensure they choose compliant trading platforms to avoid pitfalls associated with low-barrier offerings [4] - The first step in verifying a platform is to check for regulatory licenses, such as the AA class license from the Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange, which can be verified on their official website [4] - The second step involves confirming third-party fund custody, ensuring that funds are held in independent accounts at licensed banks [4] - The third step is to assess the platform's market data synchronization, as delays can lead to ineffective stop-loss orders, with a benchmark of less than 0.1 seconds for optimal performance [4] Group 3: Risk Management Techniques - Effective risk management is crucial for new investors, with a focus on setting stop-loss and take-profit levels [5] - Stop-loss points should be set below key support levels, such as placing a stop-loss at $3613 if buying at $3650, to minimize potential losses [5] - A tiered approach to taking profits is recommended, where 50% of the position is closed at a 20% profit target, while the remainder is adjusted according to market movements [5] - New investors should limit their investment to no more than 10% of their total capital to mitigate risks from potential misjudgments [5] Group 4: Standards for Choosing a Trading Platform - The final line of defense for new investors is to select the right trading platform based on three criteria: regulatory qualifications, fund security, and transaction transparency [6] - Platforms must hold licenses from authoritative bodies like the Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange, and unlicensed platforms should be avoided [6] - Investors should confirm that the platform uses third-party fund custody and can provide bank custody proof [6] - Each transaction should offer independent coding, and market data must be synchronized with international standards to ensure reliability [6] Conclusion - Mastering market analysis, platform verification, and risk management techniques can significantly reduce the learning curve for new gold investors, especially in the context of rising gold prices in 2025 [7]

黄金行情： 综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上王召金建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期重点关注3670-3685一线阻力，下方短期重点关注3645- 3630一线支撑。短线操作上在3670一线空单进场，目标看3640，止损看3685一线（在3680位置可补仓空单）。 北京时间周四凌晨02:00，美联储降息25个基点，将基准利率目标区间下调至4.00%-4.25%，符合市场预期。这是美联储九个月来首次降息。当 前盘面来看，虽说降息25个基点，由于鲍威尔讲话偏鹰黄金冲高回落，目前从整体走势上来说，黄金弱势格局已经毋庸置疑，理所应当的继续 承压下行。 日线录得阴线，逐步形成日线见顶K线组合，短线回落并未改变整体日线移动平均线较为规整向上发散排列，维持日线级别偏多。小时级别显 示，短期金价冲高回落逐步企稳于小时级别144日均线支撑位一线，短期低位整理支撑位破位风险预期逐步上升，小时级别短期指标呈向下交 叉排列，短期见顶。四小时级别显示，当前金价企稳于四小时40日均线一线，四小时短期指标呈向下拐头迹象，短线回落关注四小时60日均线 支撑表现。 我建议日内需要重点关注的支撑是目前低点3630，之上看震荡，下破则见361 ...