Market Overview - The gold market is at a critical juncture, influenced by strong economic data and a rising dollar questioning the necessity of loose monetary policy, while geopolitical tensions and buying on dips provide a solid support for gold prices [1] - On Thursday, gold reached a high of $3761.46, dipped to $3722 after initial jobless claims were released, but quickly rebounded due to buying support, closing at $3749.18, a gain of approximately 0.38% [1] Gold Price Analysis - In the previous trading day, gold rose to $3761.3 before retreating, with a recommendation to short around $3755-$3758, leading to a significant drop to a low of $3722.1 before rebounding, resulting in profitable short positions [3] - The daily chart shows a small bullish candle, but indicators like KDJ are in a high position with a downward turn, and MACD shows a reduction in bullish momentum, suggesting a bearish outlook for gold, with expectations of a drop below $3700 [3] - The hourly chart indicates that gold is currently around $3741, with KDJ showing a death cross and MACD indicating a decrease in bullish momentum, reinforcing the recommendation to focus on short positions [3] Trading Recommendations - A strategy is suggested to short gold around $3754-$3757, with a stop loss at $3762 and a target profit range of $3730-$3720 [5]

Group 1: Tariff Measures - Trump announced multiple tariff measures, including a 25% tariff on all imported heavy trucks, a 50% tariff on kitchen cabinets and related products, a 30% tariff on upholstered furniture, and a 100% tariff on pharmaceuticals from companies that have not built factories in the U.S. These tariffs will take effect on October 1 this year [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Policy - Federal Reserve Governor Milan suggested that the Fed should implement aggressive rate cuts to avoid economic damage, proposing a reduction of 150 to 200 basis points to bring rates closer to neutral [1] - Chicago Fed President Goolsbee expressed concerns about rising inflation and emphasized the need to bring inflation down to 2% before considering further rate cuts [1] - Dallas Fed President Logan proposed abandoning the federal funds rate as a benchmark in favor of a broader market indicator [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP for the second quarter was revised significantly upward to a growth rate of 3.8%, the highest in two years, compared to a previous estimate of 3.3% [2] - Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 20 recorded 218,000, the lowest since July 2025, with the previous figure revised from 231,000 to 232,000 [2] Group 4: Gold and Silver Market - Gold experienced minimal volatility, with a daily high of $3,762 per ounce and a low of $3,722, closing at approximately $3,749 [3] - Silver saw a strong upward trend, reaching a daily high of $45.22, closing with a significant bullish candle [3] - The current gold trend is viewed as bullish in the medium to long term, with adjustments expected but no significant downward trend anticipated unless key support levels are broken [4][5][7]

Group 1 - Trump has shifted his stance on the Russia-Ukraine issue, indicating readiness to impose tariffs if Russia is unwilling to reach an agreement, and asserting that NATO countries should shoot down Russian planes entering NATO airspace [1] - The European Commission has implemented the 19th round of sanctions against Russia, which includes banning the import of Russian liquefied natural gas and expanding sanctions to third-country refineries and oil traders [1] - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4%-4.25%, with officials indicating that future policy adjustments will be data-driven and flexible [1][2] Group 2 - Gold prices have surged, reaching a new high of $3,790.9 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 40%, while silver has also seen significant gains, rising over 50% [4] - The recent bullish trend in gold has seen prices rise nearly $450 from a low of $3,311, with potential targets for further increases set between $3,850 and $3,880 based on historical price movements [5] - The gold market is currently experiencing strong upward momentum, but caution is advised as it approaches resistance levels, with potential for a pullback [7][9]

新手想尝试炒黄金入门却无从下手：不懂行情怎么看、怕选到无资质平台、不知道如何控制风险？这种迷茫在 2025 年尤为突出。据 FXStreet 2025 年 9 月 16 日数据显示，现货黄金创下 3689.61 美元 / 盎司历史新高，单周环比波动达 3.2%，吸引超 15 万新投资者入市；世界黄金协会 9 月调查则指出，国内黄金 投资入门群体中，68% 因缺乏基础分析能力导致首次交易亏损。可见，炒黄金入门既要懂数据，更要学方法。 黄金投资风控技巧：止损止盈设置的实战逻辑 "赚小亏大" 是黄金投资入门者的通病，其实风控就像 "开车的刹车"，关键时刻能保住本金。新手该如何设置止损止盈？ 专业人士建议，止损点可设在下述支撑位下方，比如参考 FXStreet 给出的 3650 美元关键支撑，若在此价位买入，止损可放在 3613 美元，避免跌破后损失 扩大。止盈则采用 "阶梯式锁定"，比如目标盈利 20% 时，先止盈 50% 仓位，剩下的随行情移动止盈。同时要控制仓位，新手每次投入资金不超过本金的 10%，即便判断失误也不会伤筋动骨。选择支持 100% 止损执行的平台也很重要，能避免行情剧烈波动时的 "滑点" 风险。 ...

黄金行情： 综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上王召金建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期重点关注3670-3685一线阻力，下方短期重点关注3645- 3630一线支撑。短线操作上在3670一线空单进场，目标看3640，止损看3685一线（在3680位置可补仓空单）。 北京时间周四凌晨02:00，美联储降息25个基点，将基准利率目标区间下调至4.00%-4.25%，符合市场预期。这是美联储九个月来首次降息。当 前盘面来看，虽说降息25个基点，由于鲍威尔讲话偏鹰黄金冲高回落，目前从整体走势上来说，黄金弱势格局已经毋庸置疑，理所应当的继续 承压下行。 日线录得阴线，逐步形成日线见顶K线组合，短线回落并未改变整体日线移动平均线较为规整向上发散排列，维持日线级别偏多。小时级别显 示，短期金价冲高回落逐步企稳于小时级别144日均线支撑位一线，短期低位整理支撑位破位风险预期逐步上升，小时级别短期指标呈向下交 叉排列，短期见顶。四小时级别显示，当前金价企稳于四小时40日均线一线，四小时短期指标呈向下拐头迹象，短线回落关注四小时60日均线 支撑表现。 我建议日内需要重点关注的支撑是目前低点3630，之上看震荡，下破则见361 ...

很多人看着上涨，不敢做空，这个思路是错误的，临盘拼的就是果断和判断，任何时候自己的内心能接 受止损，同时收益大于损失，那就能尝试。我现在基本上不看任何人的分析和策略，跟着自己的盘感 走，一条鱼难以从头抓到尾，那我就选择一个方向，复利去做，把事情简单化，减少心里的焦虑不安， 渐渐的把信心做起来！ 黄金实时行情分析：众人看涨我看空，不晓得对不对，反正昨天的3692空和3698空都收米了，今天醒来 9点半做了两个3680空单都设的3671止盈离场了，周初涨，周尾跌，这一特性似乎又要再次得到验证。 今夜凌晨2点美联储利率决定上限公布，预计是会出现涨跌方向的，于我个人而言，我更看好黄金走势 会出现先涨，然后暴跌。 黄金策略：实时现报价3664一线。 原油实时行情分析：原油价格突破第一个阻力64.2之后，上涨量能明显减弱，今日思路很简单，64.9和 65.5两个节点自行选择做空就行，也能根据自己的仓位分批安排，我说思路，选择和执行全凭自主自 愿。最近原油的波段很小，昨天给的做多点位过于保守，凌晨公布的API数据利多，晚间EIA数据或许 会同向利多，数据前回撤的力度看63.5和63两个节点去短线跟多，若数据利多都没能突破6 ...

3. 短线与日内操作：短线1小时维持大区间震荡，美联储决议前可区间操作，下方支撑3620、上方阻力3660；昨日日线阴阳转换且未破关键 位，周一短期方向不明：若延续交替节奏可反弹空，日内核心区间3637-3650，早盘先看区间破位，上破看3656-3675，下破看3630-3615。 作者：王召金 黄金行情： 2. 周线级别与关键节点：本周收带长上影线阳线，短期承压但主思路仍低多，需重点关注下周四美联储利率决议，警惕"杀空走多"。支撑聚 焦3587（回踩可低多），阻力为3675（站稳则上看3700及3758目标）；若意外跌破3579，或有30-70美元调整，然趋势更倾向多头延续。 1. 整体表现与核心驱动：本周金价再创新高至3674.36美元，今年迄今涨39%；虽通胀粘性仍存，但市场确信美联储下周必降息，焦点转向降 息幅度，且技术面无高位射击之星、大阴线等见顶信号，金价暂未见顶。 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices, which reached a historical high of 3508, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market [3][6]. - It highlights the phenomenon of "short squeeze," where the market's strong upward movement leads to increased recognition among traders, causing a shift in sentiment and potential buying pressure [3][5]. - The article suggests that after reaching a high, a wave of panic selling may occur, leading to a potential decline in prices, emphasizing the importance of monitoring key support levels [5][8]. Group 2 - The article notes that there is a significant event anticipated in the market, which could impact gold prices, and traders are advised to remain cautious [6][8]. - It emphasizes the need to observe the price action around critical levels, such as 3467-70 and 3480-85, to gauge market sentiment and potential price movements [8]. - The article concludes that the upcoming non-farm payroll data and interest rate decisions could influence the market dynamics, suggesting that September may present further opportunities for price increases [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices have been on an upward trend, with a significant increase observed, reaching a peak of $3453 before closing at $3447, marking four consecutive days of gains [1][3] - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, which have created an upward cycle for gold [3] - Technical indicators suggest that the gold market may be overbought, and potential uncertainties over the weekend could lead to price fluctuations [1][3] Group 2 - Short-term support levels for gold are identified at $3439, with strong support at $3432-$3423, while resistance levels are noted at $3454-$3458 and strong resistance at $3466-$3470 [3] - The market is expected to react to upcoming economic reports, including the Federal Reserve's Beige Book and non-farm payroll data, which could push prices towards $3500 [3] - The trading strategy recommended is to focus on buying on dips, with a suggested entry point around $3440 and a target of $3455, while maintaining a stop-loss at $3330 [3]

Group 1 - The gold market experienced a significant increase, with prices rising over $20, reaching a daily high near the 3340 area, while the lowest point was around 3311 [1] - The analysis indicated that while the medium-term outlook for gold remains bearish, a short-term bullish reversal is anticipated, particularly around the 3315-3313 area, which serves as a strong support level [1] - The market is closely monitoring the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes, as the potential for interest rate cuts in September is a key focus for investors [3] Group 2 - The gold bulls showed strong momentum, breaking through the short-term resistance levels around 3320-3323 and reaching the daily dividing line at 3330, achieving the short-term bullish target [5] - Attention is now on the 3340-3445 area, which represents a significant resistance level, as well as the potential for further upward movement towards 3358-3360 and possibly 3370-3375 [5] - In the silver market, the medium-term outlook remains bearish, with short-term fluctuations observed around the 37 area, indicating a potential for a rebound before further declines [5]