文/羊城晚报全媒体记者 李钢 郭思琦 图/羊城晚报全媒体记者 钟振彬 刘畅 12月2日，"贸易与关税冲突下的世界经济发展走势"成为"2025从都国际论坛"的热议话题。在大会论坛上，外国前政要代表、学者代表纷纷表 达自己对于当下世界经济态势的看法。 意大利前总理、欧盟委员会前主席罗马诺·普罗迪认为，当前的关税和贸易战，并不意味着全球化的终结，而是要对全球化进行深刻的反思。 要成为世界经济的积极推动者，欧洲需要团结一致，并且做到互惠、透明、共同讨论和可持续发展。欧洲如果无法和中国形成实质性的互相理 解，就会失去自己的发展机会。 香港大学政治与公共行政学系教授、当代中国与世界研究中心创始主任李成表示，中国正在成为一个科技强国，并且非常强调科技与生产力的 结合。而任何对这一趋势的遏制，反而会导致中国在科技领域更加积极的作为。 玻利维亚前总统豪尔赫·基罗加提出，南美洲的国家有丰富的资源，而中国是主要的买家，因此南美洲各国和中国有很好的机会来加强和深化 彼此间的贸易关系。现在全球都在关注气候变化，而中国正在以压倒性的优势去占领绿色经济领域，中国的创新与监管可能与西方世界一样 快，甚至更好。 南京大学国际关系学院院长、南京 ...

文/中新社记者 尹倩芸 今年十月，中国—东盟自贸区3.0版升级议定书正式签署，标志着双方经贸合作迈入更加开放、高效、 现代化的新阶段。 在此背景下，3.0版如何回应贸易升级带来的新需求？各方如何把握新一轮开放带来的机遇？围绕上述 问题，东盟经济贸易促进会会长波尚琅近日接受中新社记者专访。 "垂直分工"到"立体协同" 东盟各经济体发展具有差异性，贸易与投资需求趋向多元。波尚琅认为，3.0版精准回应了这样的多样 化需求。 一方面，协议通过深化规则对接和标准互认，为传统贸易提供更畅通渠道；另一方面，通过纳入数字经 济、绿色经济等现代经贸议题，为处于不同发展阶段的经济体创造了新合作空间。 精准回应的背后，源于对双方经济互补性的洞察。波尚琅指出，东盟与中国合作已从传统的"垂直分 工"升级为"立体协同"的新形态。过去"中国制造+东盟资源"的单一模式，如今呈现出多维度互补的发展 态势。 数据显示，2024年中国与东盟双边贸易额达9823亿美元，比2002年自贸区建设之初增长了17倍。贸易规 模的持续增长，不仅为合作打开更广阔空间，也对标准规则、协同治理等提出更高要求。 东盟经济贸易促进会会长波尚琅。(资料图) 协议带来的红 ...

比利时前首相伊夫·莱特姆（Yves Leterme）亦对"十五五"规划建议给予高度关注，尤其认可规划建议 中"以高水平科技自立自强推动经济高质量发展"的核心方向，认为这将对全球经济格局将产生深远影 响。 论坛期间，多位国际前政要接受了南方财经记者采访，分享了对中国新发展格局与未来规划的最新观察 与见解。 谈及"十五五"规划建议，玻利维亚前总统豪尔赫·基罗加（Jorge Quiroga）表示："中国在量子计算领域 展现的雄心令人赞赏，将海南自贸港打造为开展公平竞争贸易的全球贸易枢纽同样振奋人心，而中国在 人工智能领域的布局也值得关注。" （原标题：国际前政要们展望中国"下一个五年"｜全球财经连线） 南方财经 21世纪经济报道记者杨雨莱 广州报道 12月1日至3日，"2025从都国际论坛"在广州举办。来自全球各地的200余位嘉宾齐聚羊城，其中包括30 多位前国家元首、政府首脑及国际组织负责人，以及100多位中外知名专家学者、国际友人与商界领 袖，众人共商全球发展大计，共话合作共赢未来。 此外，围绕中外合作前景，加拿大前总理金·坎贝尔（Kim Campbell）、挪威前首相谢尔·马格纳·邦德维 克（Kjell Ma ...

Core Insights - The signing of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 upgrade protocol marks a new phase of economic cooperation that is more open, efficient, and modernized [1] - In 2024, the bilateral trade volume between China and ASEAN is projected to reach $982.3 billion, a 17-fold increase since the establishment of the free trade area in 2002 [1] Group 1: Trade and Economic Cooperation - The 3.0 version of the agreement addresses the diverse trade and investment needs of ASEAN economies by enhancing rule alignment and standard recognition, facilitating traditional trade [2] - The cooperation has evolved from "vertical division of labor" to "three-dimensional collaboration," linking China's high-end manufacturing with ASEAN's intermediate goods processing [2] - The integration of digital and green economies into the agreement creates new cooperation opportunities for economies at different development stages [2] Group 2: Emerging Fields and Industry Outlook - Future cooperation will focus on deep integration in the digital economy and comprehensive collaboration in the green economy [3] - The renewable energy, digital services, and modern agriculture sectors are highlighted as key areas for growth, with expectations for continued expansion in these fields [4] Group 3: Benefits for SMEs - The 3.0 version is expected to bring multiple benefits to enterprises, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), through simplified customs procedures and mutual recognition of standards [5] - A dedicated chapter for SMEs in the agreement aims to create a comprehensive support system, reducing cross-border transaction costs and facilitating better integration into regional value chains [5] Group 4: New Cooperation Models - Three innovative cooperation models are anticipated to inject new momentum into regional development: "co-creating rules and industries," "cross-border parks and capacity building," and "digital platforms for inclusive trade" [6][7] - These models aim to enhance collaboration between China and ASEAN, providing a more inclusive paradigm for global free trade agreements and addressing global development imbalances [7]

21世纪经济报道记者 陈思琦 深圳报道 40多年前，"中国制造"的服装和玩具，以香港为通道走入东南亚寻常百姓家；近十余年，共建"一带一 路"倡议推动高铁、电站等基建项目走出去，成为中国与东盟产能合作的新名片。 而今，随着中国—东盟自贸区3.0版升级议定书正式签署，全面拓展数字经济、绿色经济等新兴领域互 利合作，中企出海东盟也迎来崭新的"3.0时代"。 11月27日至28日，2025大湾区—东盟经济合作（前海）论坛举行。 AI元素成最大亮点：现场不仅集中展示AI眼镜、AI玩具、具身智能机器人等前沿产品，全球首个AI伦 理治理跨境实验室、中国—东盟新兴产业协同创新示范基地、"深圳出海e站通"系列项目等签约落地， 标志着双方合作正从"1.0"制成品出口、"2.0"产能出口升级至"3.0"技术方案赋能与规则标准"软联通"。 海关数据显示，2024年广东对东盟进出口1.45万亿元，占广东进出口总值15.9%。其中，前海与东盟进 出口1434.6亿元，猛增50%，前海企业已在东盟投资项目70个，总投资额11.2亿美元。 "人工智能正成为双方新一轮合作的重大机遇。"中国—东盟中心秘书长史忠俊谈到，望以论坛、以前海 为平台， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of promoting agricultural circular development to transform livestock manure into a valuable resource, addressing agricultural non-point source pollution and enhancing soil quality while supporting green agricultural development [1]. Group 1: Agricultural Circular Development - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs initiated a nationwide pilot for green circular agriculture in 2021, significantly increasing the resource utilization rate of livestock manure through various measures [1]. - Challenges such as imbalance in farming and breeding, financing issues, weak technical support, and low levels of social services remain during the pilot implementation [1]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period should focus on balancing farming and breeding, leveraging rural revitalization, empowering with technology, and fostering specialized service organizations to accelerate circular development [1]. Group 2: Planning and Implementation - A comprehensive circular development plan should be established, with counties as the coordinating unit and townships as the implementation unit, optimizing the layout of farming and breeding [2]. - Dynamic adjustments to livestock density in overstocked areas and support for organic fertilizer processing enterprises are necessary to transform environmental pressures into economic opportunities [2]. - A smart management system should be built to monitor the entire process of manure supply and demand, collection, transportation, and application [2]. Group 3: Financial Support - Financial services should be tailored to support rural revitalization, focusing on scale farming entities with specific land and livestock thresholds [3]. - Implementation of national agricultural financing policies is crucial, including the issuance of special financial bonds and flexible monetary policy tools to enhance credit availability in the agricultural sector [3]. - Financial institutions should convert agricultural financing policies into practical credit products and services for farming entities [3]. Group 4: Social Services and Technology - The predominance of smallholder farmers necessitates an increase in agricultural social service levels, with a focus on cultivating specialized service providers [4]. - Policies for organic fertilizer subsidies should be refined to incentivize participation in the circular economy, ensuring effective service delivery [4]. - Technology is essential for advancing circular development, with an emphasis on training, new technology promotion, and collaboration between academia and industry to address practical challenges [4].

Group 1 - China's outbound direct investment continues to grow steadily, solidifying its position as a major investor globally, despite a decline in global cross-border direct investment [1] - Chinese enterprises are distributed across 190 countries, with nearly half of the top 20 investment destinations in 2024 being developed countries [1] - Investment in countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 234.15 billion RMB in the first ten months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.3% [1] Group 2 - The manufacturing sector saw its highest investment flow in 2024, increasing by 45.3% compared to 2020 [1] - The service industry, characterized by light assets, has flourished, with investments in logistics, R&D, business, and finance growing, extending the investment value chain [2] - In 2024, outbound investments contributed to $211 billion in goods exports, 1.2 times that of 2020 [2] Group 3 - Chinese outbound investments have improved infrastructure in host countries, enhancing employment and tax revenues, and accelerating their green and digital transformation [2] - In 2024, Chinese enterprises paid a total of $82.1 billion in various taxes to host countries, employing 5.021 million people, with 3.304 million being local employees [2] - The focus on localization in investment strategies is emphasized, aiming to enhance sustainable development capabilities in host countries [3]

欧盟各经济体的表现分化明显。环比增速中，瑞典以1.1%的增速领跑，葡萄牙与捷克分别以0.8%和 0.7%的增速紧随其后；法国、西班牙环比分别增长0.5%和0.6%，高于平均水平；意大利、德国环比零 增长；芬兰、爱尔兰等国出现萎缩。 今年以来，西班牙、葡萄牙等南欧国家经济表现好转，甚至一度成为拉升欧盟经济整体增长的重要动力 源。例如，西班牙前三季度GDP同比增长分别达到3.1%、3%、2.8%，超出市场预期。最新数据显示， 近日在德国法兰克福拍摄的欧洲央行总部。 本报记者 刘 赫摄 今年前8个月，西班牙接待国际游客超6680万人次，同比增长近3.9%。旅游业复苏与制造业出口的双重 支撑，使西班牙持续成为欧盟地区经济增长的"优等生"。 欧盟委员会近日发布2025年秋季经济展望报告预测，2025年欧盟实际国内生产总值（GDP）将增长 1.4%，欧元区增长1.3%；2026年欧盟经济将增长1.4%，欧元区经济增长1.2%。另据最新数据，经季节 调整后，今年第三季度欧盟GDP环比增长0.3%，同比增长1.5%；欧元区环比增长0.2%，同比增长 1.3%。欧盟委员会报告认为，尽管外部环境严峻，但未来欧盟经济预计将以温和速 ...

欧盟委员会近日发布2025年秋季经济展望报告预测，2025年欧盟实际国内生产总值（GDP）将增长 1.4%，欧元区增长1.3%；2026年欧盟经济将增长1.4%，欧元区经济增长1.2%。另据最新数据，经季节 调整后，今年第三季度欧盟GDP环比增长0.3%，同比增长1.5%；欧元区环比增长0.2%，同比增长 1.3%。欧盟委员会报告认为，尽管外部环境严峻，但未来欧盟经济预计将以温和速度继续扩张。 欧盟委员会负责经济事务的委员东布罗夫斯基斯表示，鉴于外部形势严峻，欧盟必须采取果断行动，释 放内部增长潜力。这意味着要加快推进竞争力议程，简化监管、完善单一市场以及促进创新。 各经济体表现分化明显 近年来，欧盟经济整体增速偏低，阶段性停滞时有出现。今年以来，欧盟国家前三季度经济呈现微弱复 苏态势，经济整体表现略高于预期。最新数据表明，经季节调整后，欧元区和欧盟第三季度经济环比增 速较上一季度的0.1%和0.2%有所加快。其中，欧元区20个经济体中，9个国家实现环比正增长，3个国 家负增长；14个国家实现同比正增长，1个国家负增长。 欧盟各经济体的表现分化明显。环比增速中，瑞典以1.1%的增速领跑，葡萄牙与捷克分别以0. ...

Core Insights - Southeast Asian exporters are increasing prices for goods exported to the U.S., transferring some cost pressures to American consumers [1] - The U.N. Development Programme predicts a potential 9.7% decline in Southeast Asia's total exports to the U.S. due to tariff-induced price increases [1] - Despite U.S. tariff pressures, Southeast Asian economies are showing resilience, with many countries diversifying their markets away from the U.S. [1][4] Trade Agreements and Economic Cooperation - The signing of the upgraded China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 agreement is expected to enhance cooperation in emerging fields, particularly in the digital economy [2] - Southeast Asian countries are seeking to diversify their exports and move from low-tech manufacturing to higher value-added sectors, leveraging China's technological expertise [2][6] Market Dynamics and Export Trends - The U.S. tariff policy is expected to create competitive pressures within Asian economies, leading to potential "hidden reforms" as countries strive to enhance competitiveness [3][4] - Vietnam may experience a significant potential decline of 19.2% in exports to the U.S., which is double the average decline expected for Southeast Asia [3] Regional Economic Integration - The CAFTA 3.0 upgrade is anticipated to facilitate supply chain upgrades and enhance regional economic integration, focusing on high-tech manufacturing [6] - The internal consumption in Asian countries is expected to grow, leading to increased intra-regional trade, particularly in intermediate products [5] Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - Southeast Asian central banks may gain more policy flexibility as U.S. interest rates decline, allowing them to focus on domestic economic factors [7] - Countries like Thailand may face unique challenges, including potential deflationary risks, while most Southeast Asian nations maintain positive inflation rates [8] Stock Market Performance and Investment Climate - Southeast Asian stock markets are struggling to attract foreign investment, partly due to a lack of AI-related themes and concerns over export slowdowns [9][10] - Structural reforms in the region aim to enhance market liquidity and transparency, potentially improving the attractiveness of Southeast Asian markets for foreign investors [11] Economic Resilience and Future Prospects - Despite challenges, Southeast Asian economies are expected to demonstrate resilience, with a focus on technology-driven growth and structural reforms [13] - Malaysia is highlighted as a strong performer due to robust domestic demand and infrastructure investments, while Singapore continues to benefit from its tech sector [10][11]