韩国6月进口20天同比 5.3%，前值 -2.5%。 ...

上周锂盐价格偏弱震荡。LC2507 收盘价环比-0.2%至 5.98 万元/ 吨，LC2509 收盘价环比-1.5%至 5.89 万元/吨；溧阳中联金碳酸 锂近月合约收盘价环比持平、仍是 5.9 万元/吨。周内氢氧化锂 价格延续弱势，SMM 粗颗粒及微粉型电池级氢氧化锂均价环比 -2.1%、-2.0%至 5.90、6.42 万元/吨。电工价差环比持平、仍是 0.16 万元/吨。电池级氢氧化锂较电池级碳酸锂价格贴水环比走 阔 0.1 万元至 0.14 万元/吨。 | [T走ab势le_评R级an：k] | 碳酸锂：震荡 | 陈祎萱 CFA | 高级分析师（有色金属） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025 年 6 月 22 日 | 从业资格号： | F3074710 | | | | 投资咨询号： | Z0017769 | | [Table_Summary] ★5 月锂元素进口量环比回落，关注 | Back 结构下仓单生成节奏 | Tel: | 8621-63325888-2722 | | | | Email: | yixuan.chen@orientfutures. ...

关注、加星，第一时间接收推送！ 文 | 赵伟、陈达飞、王茂宇 联系人 | 王茂宇 摘要 对等关税落地已有数月，但美国通胀表现却持续弱于预期，与联储6月FOMC例会释放的 "鹰派"信息形成 反差。为何关税未能推升通胀、下半年美国通胀会否"卷土重来"？ 热点思考：美国通胀何时"卷土重来"？ 一、回顾：上半年美国通胀表现为何较弱？油价回落、服务通胀降温、关税传导尚不显著 在关税冲击下，美国市场、消费者通胀预期及进口价格上行，但CPI表现较弱。 密歇根大学1年通胀预期 一度飙升至6.6%，4月11日以来10Y美债隐含通胀预期上行13BP，进口价格指数也在4月、5月明显上涨。 但是，美国近几个月通胀却持续不及预期，5月CPI环比仅0.1%。 结构来看，上半年美国通胀的拖累主要来自于能源、核心服务、核心商品。 1）1-5月油价走弱拖累整体 通胀，但6月以来油价大幅反弹；2）美国房租、超级核心服务通胀均稳定降温，可持续性较强；3）关税 对于美国商品通胀已经产生推升效果，但幅度不及市场预期。 二、解构：关税的通胀效应为何低于预期？征收滞后、抢进口、贸易转移、企业吸收成本冲击 关税实际征收进度较慢，是美国通胀尚未明显上升的原因 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent attack event in Japan has not impacted energy imports according to Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba [1] Group 1 - The Japanese Prime Minister confirmed that the attack does not currently affect energy imports [1]

Group 1 - The eighth China International Import Expo (CIIE) symposium was held on June 20 in Izmir, Turkey, with approximately 70 representatives from the political, business, and academic sectors of both countries attending [1] - The event was co-hosted by the China International Import Expo Bureau, the National Exhibition and Convention Center (Shanghai), and the Aegean Exporters' Associations of Turkey [1] - A cooperation memorandum was signed between the China International Import Expo Bureau and the Aegean Exporters' Associations of Turkey during the event [1] Group 2 - The eighth CIIE is scheduled to take place from November 5 to 10, 2025, in Shanghai [1]

美联储巴尔金：企业预计今年晚些时候将提高价格，因为更多价格较高的进口商品已进入其库存。 ...

行业报告 | 行业专题研究 石油石化 证券研究报告 2025 年 06 月 20 日 | 投资评级 | | | --- | --- | | 行业评级 | 强于大市(维持评级) | | 上次评级 | 强于大市 | 炼化&煤化工——关注整治"内卷" 5 月 20 日，在国家发展改革委召开的新闻发布会上，提到整治"内卷式" 竞争。优化产业布局，遏制落后产能无序扩张。加快淘汰炼油、钢铁等行业 低效落后产能；科学论证煤化工、氧化铝等行业新增产能项目，防止盲目新 建。 2025 石化产业发展大会，今年是"十五五"规划谋篇布局之年，针对如何 突破增长困境，破除"内卷式"竞争进行了讨论。" 煤炭——关注环保安监察，以及进口减量 6 月份第三轮第四批中央生态环境保护督察全面启动。安监形势严峻，国家 矿山安全检查总局山西省强烈要求辖区内煤矿深入排查。 进口方面，中煤协倡议严控低卡劣质煤进口和使用，维护煤炭进口秩序。进 口预计在 5-6 月份进一步减量。 总结： 石化化工着眼于新产能控制和落后产能淘汰；煤炭则可能着眼于调节开工率 手段，产能政策上是否会不明朗。总体来讲，有望给价格价差形成托底效应。 风险提示：1）政策监管不及预期、 ...

Group 1 - Turkey's imports of Russian Urals crude oil are expected to reach the highest level in a year by June [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company received an inquiry letter from the Shanghai Stock Exchange regarding its 2024 annual report, prompting a detailed response about its operational performance, revenue distribution, and business model adjustments in response to market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Operational Performance - In 2024, the company's domestic revenue was 904 million yuan, a decrease of 6.51% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 209 million yuan, an increase of 49.22% [2][3]. - The domestic gross margin was 21.34%, down by 6.51 percentage points, and the overseas gross margin was 30.77%, down by 7.88 percentage points [2][3]. - The company has been innovating its sales model, promoting a comprehensive tool solution approach [2]. Group 2: Revenue and Gross Margin Analysis - The company provided a breakdown of revenue and gross margin by product type for the past three years, indicating that the overseas sales growth was primarily due to accelerated overseas channel development and the establishment of brand stores [3][5]. - The gross margin for domestic sales was lower due to a higher proportion of lower-margin products, while overseas sales were dominated by higher-margin CNC tool products [7][8]. Group 3: Sales Model and Market Strategy - The company has adopted a dual sales model of direct sales and distribution, with the distribution model yielding higher gross margins due to the sale of higher-margin CNC tools [9][10]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, establishing operational centers in Asia to enhance local marketing and service capabilities [5][6]. Group 4: Overall Solution Business Model - The overall solution business model focuses on providing customized cutting solutions, which includes a full range of products and technical services to optimize tool management for clients [12][14]. - The company has established a comprehensive quality assurance system and real-time monitoring of production and sales processes to enhance operational efficiency [12][13]. Group 5: Accounts Receivable and Credit Policy - The company's accounts receivable at the end of 2024 amounted to 416 million yuan, representing 36.91% of total revenue, which has been increasing due to slower payment progress from clients affected by macroeconomic conditions [21][22]. - The company maintains a cautious approach to bad debt provisions, aligning its policies with industry standards and ensuring sufficient coverage based on historical credit loss experiences [24].

Core Viewpoint - The company received an inquiry letter from the Shanghai Stock Exchange regarding its 2024 annual report, prompting a detailed response from its continuous supervision institution, Minsheng Securities, addressing various operational and financial aspects of the company. Group 1: Operational Performance - In 2024, the company's domestic revenue was 904 million yuan, a decrease of 6.51% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 209 million yuan, an increase of 49.22% year-on-year [2] - The domestic gross margin was 21.34%, down by 6.51 percentage points, and the overseas gross margin was 30.77%, down by 7.88 percentage points [2] - The company has been innovating its sales model, promoting comprehensive tool solutions, which has contributed to the changes in revenue and gross margin [2][3] Group 2: Revenue and Gross Margin Analysis - The company provided a breakdown of revenue and gross margin by product type for the past three years, indicating that the overseas sales growth was primarily due to accelerated overseas channel development and the establishment of local operational centers [3][4] - The company opened over 10 overseas brand stores from 2022 to 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 65.97% in sales from these stores [3] - The gross margin for domestic sales was lower due to a higher proportion of lower-margin hard alloy products compared to higher-margin CNC tool products in overseas sales [6][7] Group 3: Sales Model and Margin Differences - The company reported that the gross margin for the distribution model was higher than that for the direct sales model, primarily due to the product structure differences, with CNC tools generally having higher margins than hard alloy products [8][9] - The company is actively promoting an overall solution business model, which, while having lower margins currently, is expected to enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty in the long term [10][13] Group 4: Accounts Receivable and Credit Policy - The company's accounts receivable at the end of 2024 amounted to 416 million yuan, an increase of 7.87% year-on-year, with accounts receivable and notes receivable accounting for 57.88% of total revenue [16][20] - The increase in accounts receivable as a percentage of revenue is attributed to slower payment progress from customers affected by macroeconomic conditions [20][21] - The company maintains a cautious approach to bad debt provisions, aligning with industry standards and ensuring sufficient coverage based on historical credit loss experiences [22]