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转债月报:中报平稳落地,月底转债资金面变化较大-20250902
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-02 10:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The mid - term report landed smoothly, with the median revenue and net profit attributable to the parent of convertible bond underlying stocks in the 2025 mid - term report growing by 4.56% and 0.31% respectively, continuing the repair trend of Q1. The performance of medium - cap underlying stocks represented by CSI 500 was the best, while small and micro - cap stocks showed an obvious situation of increasing revenue but not profit. After the mid - term report disclosure at the end of August, small and micro - cap stocks may have relative repair opportunities. The technology growth sector with TMT as the mainstay has entered the performance realization period, and its performance after September is worth focusing on [1][10][12]. - Recently, the net redemption pressure of convertible bonds has increased. From the end of June to the end of August, public funds and securities asset management increased their holdings of convertible bonds, while most other institutions reduced their holdings. The net subscription of secondary bond funds reversed at the end of August, which put pressure on the convertible bond market valuation in the short term. However, in the expectation of a positive equity market, short - term capital disturbances may provide trading opportunities [2][21][27]. - After the decline at the end of the month, the cost - performance of convertible bonds has significantly increased. Although the convertible bond market meets the pre - conditions for continuous valuation compression, the upward trend of the equity market has not been broken, and the convertible bond premium rate has quickly returned to a relatively reasonable range of 26 - 30%. The convertible bond valuation is expected to continue to fluctuate in the medium and short term [4][28]. - In August, the convertible bond market and underlying stocks rose slightly, and the valuation increased significantly. The trading volume of the convertible bond and equity markets continued to grow, and margin trading funds strengthened rapidly. The new bond supply decreased seasonally, but the pace of new bond issuance plans accelerated [51][60][63]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Mid - term Report Landed Smoothly, and the Capital Situation Changed Significantly at the End of August 3.1.1 Mid - term Report Landed Smoothly, and Technology Growth Performance Accelerated Realization - In the 2025 mid - term report, the median revenue and net profit attributable to the parent of convertible bond underlying stocks were 4.56% and 0.31% respectively, continuing the repair trend of Q1. About 62% of the underlying stocks achieved year - on - year revenue growth, and more than half achieved positive growth in net profit attributable to the parent, providing a performance basis for the healthy operation of the market after September [10]. - The performance of medium - cap underlying stocks represented by CSI 500 was the best, with the median year - on - year revenue and net profit attributable to the parent being 4.87% and 5.22% respectively. Small and micro - cap stocks, especially those in the CSI 2000, showed an obvious situation of increasing revenue but not profit, with the median net profit attributable to the parent growth rate being - 8.89%. After the mid - term report disclosure at the end of August, small and micro - cap stocks may have relative repair opportunities [12]. - Except for agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, and non - bank finance, the industries with the top median net profit attributable to the parent growth rate of convertible bond underlying stocks this year include media, electronics, communication, and computer. The technology growth sector with TMT as the mainstay has entered the performance realization period, and its performance after September is worth focusing on [13][18]. 3.1.2 Recently, the Net Redemption Pressure of Convertible Bonds Increased, and Attention Should be Paid to the Capital Situation - Except for public funds, most mainstream institutions reduced their holdings of convertible bonds. From the end of June to the end of August, public funds increased their holdings of convertible bonds by about 20.83 billion yuan in face value, and securities asset management increased by about 3.518 billion yuan. Other institutions such as insurance, enterprise annuities, securities self - operation, private funds, individual investors, and QFII/RQFII all reduced their holdings [21]. - From July 1 to August 29, the total share of convertible bond ETFs increased from 3.503 billion shares to 5.683 billion shares. The net redemption of first - level bond funds was obvious in August and accelerated at the end of August. The secondary bond funds had continuous large - scale net subscriptions from July to August, but there was an obvious reversal of net redemptions from August 29 to September 1 [21]. - Brokers and wealth management subsidiaries were the main net redeemers. In first - level bond funds, brokers mainly redeemed in August, and wealth management subsidiaries accelerated redemptions at the end of August. In secondary bond funds, brokers and wealth management subsidiaries also showed obvious net redemptions at the end of August [25]. 3.2 Valuation Outlook: After the Decline at the End of the Month, the Cost - performance Significantly Increased - In August, the convertible bond market valuation was at a high level. Although it met the pre - conditions for continuous valuation compression, the upward trend of the equity market was not broken. The rapid adjustment at the end of August made the convertible bond premium rate quickly return to a relatively reasonable range of 26 - 30%. The convertible bond valuation is expected to continue to fluctuate in the medium and short term [28]. - As of August 29, 2025, the convertible bond premium rate was 27.92%, up 1.10 pct from the end of July. The valuation of growth - oriented convertible bonds continued to rise, while that of bond - oriented and balanced convertible bonds decreased. Most industries' convertible bond premium rates decreased, and the manufacturing and technology sectors decreased the most [30][34]. 3.3 Key Convertible Bonds to Focus On - From August 5 to August 29, the convertible bond portfolio in August rose by 3.47%, outperforming the benchmark index by 0.27 pct. Huayi, Mingli, and Zhanggu in the recommended portfolio had relatively high increases, while only Xingqiu had a relatively large decline [41]. - Looking forward to September, the equity market may continue the rapid rotation market. The "Huachuang Convertible Bond" September key - focus portfolio was adjusted to include Xingqiu, Mingli, Nuitai, Zhanggu, Huayi, Taifu, Yifeng, Ziyin, Qingnong, Chongyin, and Xingye [44]. 3.4 Market Review: Convertible Bonds and Underlying Stocks Rose Slightly, and the Valuation Increased Significantly 3.4.1 Market Performance: Most Convertible Bond Sectors Rose, and Technology - related Concepts Heated Up Significantly - In August, most underlying stock sectors and convertible bond sectors rose. Among the Shenwan primary sectors, communication, electronics, and comprehensive sectors led the gains, and only the banking sector declined. In the convertible bond market, non - ferrous metals, communication, machinery, equipment, automobile, and electrical equipment sectors led the gains, and only the banking and building decoration sectors declined [54]. - Among the popular concepts, optical communication, server, optical chip, and other concepts led the gains, while weight - loss drugs, water conservancy and hydropower construction, and other concepts declined [56]. 3.4.2 Capital Performance: The Trading Volume of Convertible Bond and Equity Markets Continued to Grow - From August 1 to August 29, 2025, the average daily trading volume of CSI convertible bonds was 92.286 billion yuan, up 26.61% from July. The average daily trading volume of Wind All - A was 2.307831 trillion yuan, up 41.27% from July [60]. - Margin trading funds strengthened rapidly. As of August 28, 2025, the total margin trading balance in Shanghai and Shenzhen was about 2.24 trillion yuan, an increase of 258.046 billion yuan from the end of July. Most industries received net margin purchases in August, and only coal was net sold [63]. 3.5 Supply and Demand Situation: New Bond Supply Decreased Seasonally, and the Pace of New Bond Issuance Plans Accelerated 3.5.1 Four Convertible Bonds Were Issued in August, and Weidao Convertible Bond Was Listed - In August, the issuance of new convertible bonds decreased seasonally. Four convertible bonds, Shenglan Zhuan 02, Jinwei, Kaizhong, and Weidao, were issued, with a total scale of 3.221 billion yuan. Weidao Convertible Bond was listed, with a scale of 1.17 billion yuan [65]. - The online subscription for new convertible bonds heated up in August, with the average effective subscription amount being 8.65 trillion yuan, a month - on - month increase. The total effective subscription was 34.60 trillion yuan, and the online winning rate was 0.0014%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.0082 pct [70][74]. - As of August 29, 2025, the total scale of convertible bonds to be issued was about 105.785 billion yuan. Two listed companies obtained approval for convertible bond issuance, with a planned issuance scale of 3 billion yuan. Four listed companies' convertible bond issuances had passed the review meeting, with a total scale of 7.429 billion yuan. In August, 15 new board proposals were added, with a total scale of 23.66 billion yuan [76]. - In September 2025, 19 convertible bonds will be delisted, all due to forced redemptions. In addition, Huayou, Honghui, Yonghe, and Dayuan convertible bonds announced redemptions but have not announced delisting arrangements [80]. - Four convertible bonds announced downward revisions, and four proposed downward revisions. Twenty - four convertible bonds announced early redemptions, and many others announced non - early redemptions or were expected to meet redemption conditions [83][88]. 3.5.2 In August, the Holders in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Slightly Reduced Their Holdings as a Whole, and Public Funds Were Active - In August, the total face value of convertible bonds held by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges was 632.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.081 billion yuan from July, a decline of 2.33%. The Shanghai Stock Exchange held 391.832 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 7.474 billion yuan, a decline of 1.87%. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange held 240.941 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 7.607 billion yuan, a decline of 3.06% [92]. - Public funds increased their holdings of convertible bonds in both exchanges. In August, the total face value of convertible bonds held by public funds in the two exchanges was 237.728 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 5.77%, accounting for 37.57%, a month - on - month increase of 2.88 pct [97]. - Enterprise annuities reduced their holdings of convertible bonds in both exchanges. In August, the total face value of convertible bonds held by enterprise annuities in the two exchanges was 100.728 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 5.31%, accounting for 15.92%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.50 pct [98]. - Securities asset management reduced their holdings of convertible bonds in both exchanges. In the Shanghai Stock Exchange, securities self - operation and asset management had different changes in holdings and proportions. In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, securities self - operation and collective financial management also had different changes [100].
深桑达A:未从事液冷相关产品研发生产
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-02 10:40
证券日报网讯深桑达A9月2日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司未从事液冷相关产品研发生产。 公司根据客户需求提供洁净室整体解决方案及工程承包类服务,少部分数据中心项目涉及外部采购液冷 设备。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
【点金互动易】阿里+液冷,已推出人工智能液冷解决方案,为阿里提供数据中心电源产品,这家公司客户还包括字节、京东等名企
财联社· 2025-09-02 00:34
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of timely and professional information interpretation in investment decisions [1] - It highlights the launch of Alibaba's AI liquid cooling solution, which provides data center power products and serves major clients like ByteDance and JD [1] - The company also focuses on self-developed products, including CPU and GPU power supply chips, which meet the demands of AI servers [1]
可立克:产品可以应用于液冷,并已量产
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-01 11:43
Group 1 - The company Keleke (002782) confirmed on September 1 that its products can be applied in liquid cooling and have already entered mass production [1]
博杰股份(002975) - 2025年9月1日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-09-01 11:24
Group 1: Company Strategy and Market Position - The company aims to diversify its downstream major clients and expand from consumer electronics to server and automotive electronics, which is expected to support its business for the next three years [2][3] - The company plans to transition from a single equipment supplier to a component supplier based on the needs of major clients, particularly in the AI server and liquid cooling sectors [2][3][4] Group 2: Product Development and R&D - The company has identified significant demand for liquid cooling solutions due to the limitations of air cooling in high-power products, leading to increased R&D investment in this area [4] - The company has been actively exploring customer needs for components, leveraging its technical reserves in areas such as harmonic reducers and joints [3][5] Group 3: Financial Performance and Cost Management - The company is focused on cost and expense management, aiming to achieve economies of scale as product output increases, following a period of high management and R&D expenses [7] - The gross margin and performance have shown signs of recovery, with ongoing efforts to streamline operations and reduce costs [7] Group 4: Market Opportunities and Product Offerings - The company has developed various testing equipment for AI servers and AI glasses, with equipment values ranging from hundreds of thousands to millions [8] - The company has four types of equipment in the MLCC sector, including a six-sided appearance inspection device, which is positioned against Japanese and Korean competitors [11] Group 5: Future Plans and Component Supply - The company plans to leverage its self-developed components to reduce costs and meet customer demands, focusing on strategic trials with major clients [9] - The company is committed to enhancing its optical detection technology through investments and R&D, particularly following the acquisition of Guanghao Jie, which has shown strong technical capabilities [6]
中鼎股份(000887):Q2盈利改善,加速布局机器人+液冷
HTSC· 2025-09-01 10:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 27.56 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 9.85 billion for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 820 million, up 14.1% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, revenue reached RMB 4.99 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.8% [1]. - The company is experiencing improved profitability due to scale effects, with Q2 net profit margin increasing to 8.3%, up 1.17 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company is actively expanding into new growth areas such as liquid cooling and robotics, with significant progress in product development and strategic partnerships [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1, the revenue breakdown by business segments shows: 1) Air suspension: Revenue decreased by 0.7% to RMB 570 million, with total orders valued at approximately RMB 15.8 billion 2) Lightweight: Revenue increased by 8.1% to RMB 1.55 billion, with total orders of about RMB 5.5 billion 3) Cooling: Revenue increased by 2.8% to RMB 2.61 billion, with total orders of RMB 7.1 billion 4) Sealing: Revenue increased by 0.3% to RMB 1.94 billion, with new products developed for major clients [2]. - The company’s Q2 gross margin improved to 23.8%, driven by operational efficiency and increased capacity in lightweight products, which saw a gross margin increase of 5.9 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Growth Strategy - The company is rapidly developing its liquid cooling and robotics product lines, leveraging proprietary technologies in thermal management and sealing. It has established partnerships with companies like Zhongqing Robotics and Aft to enhance its robotics manufacturing capabilities [4]. - The company is also pursuing a domestic strategy for overseas acquisitions, with significant revenue growth reported from its subsidiaries in Wuxi and Anhui [2]. Profitability Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards by 8% and 12% to RMB 1.67 billion and RMB 1.93 billion, respectively, with a projected net profit of RMB 2.28 billion in 2027 [5]. - The estimated PE ratio for 2025 is 21.7x, aligning with the average PE of comparable companies [5].
九月行情展望
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-01 09:44
2025-09-01 九月行情展望 长江证券研究所金融工程研究小组 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 8月行情强度 research.95579.com 1 分析师 覃川桃 SAC执业证书编号:S0490513030001 SFC执业证书编号:BUT353 分析师及联系人 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • %% %% %% %% 统计意义上的强度属于一般高的范畴,但鉴于涨幅榜前20有4只起涨时自由流通市值已在100亿以上的个股, 甚至有起步时已1403亿的寒武纪,且起涨时成交额均是10亿量级的,8月的实质强度较大 表1:8月涨幅榜前20 | 属性 | 名称 | 最低到最高涨幅 | 前最低价(元) | 起涨时自由流通市值(亿) | 起涨时成交额(千万) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 新产品 | 赛诺医疗 | 238 86% . | 13 92 . | 42 81 . | 40 53 . | | 并购重组 | 开普云 | 163 56% . | 62 28 . | 19 71 . | 37 91 . | | 算力 | 华胜天成 ...
拓普集团(601689):业绩符合预期,前瞻卡位机器人、液冷等业务
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-09-01 08:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with revenue of 12.9 billion and a year-on-year increase of 6%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11% to 1.3 billion [1] - The company is expanding its global market presence and product categories, with ongoing projects in Mexico and plans for a factory in Poland, enhancing its ability to meet local demand [2] - The company is focusing on core technologies, particularly in robotics and liquid cooling, with significant growth potential in these areas [3] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 3.3 billion, 4.1 billion, and 5.0 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 33, 27, and 22 [3] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenue to reach 33.25 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25% [4] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 3.3 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 10.1% [4] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 1.90 for 2025, with a net asset return rate of 13.4% [4] - The company’s total assets are projected to be 43.45 billion by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.2% [9]
风电8月招标量价表现强势,锂电排产及固态进展超预期 | 投研报告
Core Insights - The research report from Guojin Securities highlights a significant rebound in the wind turbine bidding scale for central state-owned enterprises, reaching 10.3 GW in August, marking an 88% month-on-month increase and a 0.4% year-on-year increase [1][2] - Wind turbine average bidding prices have also seen a 5% increase in July and August, reaching 1647 RMB/kW, with an 11% increase compared to the average price for the entire year of 2024 [1][2] Wind Power - The wind power sector has shown a strong recovery in August after a decline in June and July, with a notable increase in bidding scale [2] - The average bidding price for wind turbines has increased significantly, indicating a positive trend in pricing [2] AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) - The sentiment in the liquid cooling sector has improved following a period of adjustment, with domestic companies reporting progress in liquid cooling products [2] - The HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) segment continues to gain attention, with updates on industry developments [2] Photovoltaics & Energy Storage - The photovoltaic main chain experienced mixed results in Q2, with some companies expected to show strong improvements in Q3 due to effective measures against internal competition [2] - Companies with the ability and willingness to extend their business into high-growth sectors are recommended for attention [2] Lithium Batteries - Lithium battery production in September exceeded expectations, with a projected increase of 4% to 8% in Q3, indicating a high level of market activity [3] - Price increases for key materials have been observed, and solid-state battery development is accelerating [3] Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The lack of electricity accessibility in the U.S. grid is a significant constraint for data center operations, with a projected 45 GW power shortfall from 2025 to 2028 [3] - Microgrids are becoming essential for supporting AI project implementations in areas without traditional grid access [3] Power Grid - The third batch of bidding for State Grid's ultra-high voltage equipment is in line with expectations, with an acceleration in the bidding pace anticipated [4] - Companies like Mingyang Electric and Jinpan Technology have reported positive Q2 performance, indicating growth opportunities in the data center sector [4] New Energy Vehicles - The market for new energy vehicles is showing signs of recovery, although the overall growth rate remains under pressure due to high year-on-year comparisons [4] - Financial reports from major manufacturers indicate a clear differentiation in performance, suggesting opportunities for secondary leading companies [4] Important Industry Events - Eight manufacturers have qualified for a 10 GW tender from Datang, with generally rising bid prices [5] - Significant developments in the hydrogen energy sector include the establishment of a liquid hydrogen base and support for SOFC and SOEC technology applications [5]
龙头单月翻倍,又一AI金矿爆发
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-01 01:19
Core Viewpoint - The liquid cooling sector is poised to become a key investment direction in the AI computing revolution, with expectations of rapid growth in penetration rates and market demand [2][9][33]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In August, the AI market sentiment expanded from optical modules and PCBs to include server power supplies and liquid cooling, with stocks like Invec and others reaching historical highs [1][14]. - The liquid cooling segment, previously seen as a laggard in AI trends, is now gaining fundamental support, indicating a shift from mere thematic speculation to a more robust market presence [1][33]. - The anticipated release of NVIDIA's GB200 and GB300 series chips is expected to drive the adoption of liquid cooling solutions, marking 2025 as a pivotal year for the sector [9][24]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Liquid cooling technology is becoming a standard for next-generation computing products, with significant improvements in performance and efficiency compared to traditional air cooling [2][5]. - The transition from air cooling to liquid cooling is driven by the increasing power requirements of GPUs, with the B200 and B300 chips necessitating liquid cooling solutions due to their high power outputs [5][6]. - The introduction of new products supporting liquid cooling, such as AMD's MI350 series and Broadcom's Ethernet switches, signifies a broader acceptance and integration of liquid cooling technologies [7][9]. Group 3: Industry Growth Projections - TrendForce projects that the penetration rate of liquid cooling in AI data centers will increase from 14% in 2024 to 33% in 2025, driven by the mass production of NVIDIA's new server models [8][9]. - The market for liquid cooling components, including cold plates and heat exchange systems, is expected to expand significantly, with estimates suggesting a potential market size of 100 billion RMB by 2026 [12][9]. - The liquid cooling industry is anticipated to mirror the growth trajectories of optical modules and PCBs, with a strong likelihood of emerging leaders in the market [33][24]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Companies like Invec are positioned as key players in the liquid cooling supply chain, with significant stock price increases reflecting market confidence in their growth potential [14][17]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by two types of companies: system integrators like Invec and manufacturers focusing on individual components, each following distinct growth paths [25][26]. - The entry of domestic manufacturers into the global liquid cooling market is expected to follow the patterns seen in the PCB industry, with potential for substantial market share gains [19][24].