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零跑汽车:2024Q4单季度扭亏为盈,新车型B10开启预售-20250314
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-14 08:47
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a significant turnaround in Q4 2024, reporting a net profit of 0.8 billion yuan for the first time in a single quarter since its establishment, with a full-year revenue of 32.164 billion yuan, representing a 92.06% increase year-on-year [4][8] - The launch of the new model B10 has commenced pre-sales, showcasing competitive pricing and advanced features, particularly in the lidar-equipped versions [6][27] - The company has upgraded its technology with the release of the LEAP 3.5 architecture, enhancing smart driving capabilities and overall vehicle performance [20][23] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 32.164 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 92.06% [4][8] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 8.38%, with Q4 achieving a record high of 13.3% [11][33] - The company sold over 293,300 vehicles in 2024, with a quarterly average of over 40,000 units sold [14][17] Sales and Revenue Projections - The company expects to achieve revenues of 58.3 billion yuan, 84.0 billion yuan, and 116.3 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 81.3%, 44.1%, and 38.5% [35] - The projected net profit for 2025 is estimated at -0.72 billion yuan, transitioning to 24.88 billion yuan in 2026 and 50.81 billion yuan in 2027 [35] Product Development and Market Strategy - The B10 model is positioned to compete strongly in the market with a starting price of 10.98 million yuan for the base model and up to 13.98 million yuan for the lidar version, emphasizing high cost-performance [6][28] - The company plans to expand its product lines with the introduction of multiple models in the B and C series, aiming for annual sales exceeding 500,000 units by 2025 [31][33] Valuation and Market Position - The reasonable valuation for the company is set between 56.16 and 60.84 Hong Kong dollars, reflecting a potential upside of 12.1% to 21.4% from the current stock price [35] - The company is expected to maintain a gross margin of over 10% with monthly sales of 40,000 units or more, supported by cost control and product structure optimization [33]
零跑汽车(09863):024Q4单季度扭亏为盈,新车型B10开启预售
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-14 03:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a significant turnaround in Q4 2024, reporting a net profit of 0.8 billion yuan for the first time in a single quarter since its establishment, with a full-year revenue of 32.164 billion yuan, representing a 92.06% increase year-on-year [4][8] - The launch of the new model B10 has commenced pre-sales, showcasing competitive pricing and advanced features, particularly in the lidar-equipped versions [6][27] - The company is expected to maintain high growth in revenue and sales, with projections of 50,000 units sold in 2025 and potential to reach 1 million units in the medium to long term [31][35] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 32.164 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 92.06%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -2.821 billion yuan, a significant reduction from previous losses [4][8] - The gross margin for the year was 8.38%, with Q4 achieving a record high of 13.3% [11][33] - The average revenue per vehicle in 2024 was 109,500 yuan, while the average cost per vehicle was 100,300 yuan, indicating a notable cost reduction due to scale effects [17] Product Development - The company introduced the Leap 3.5 architecture, enhancing the integration and intelligence of its vehicles, with the B10 model being the first to feature this new system [20][23] - The B10 model is positioned competitively in the market, with pre-sale prices ranging from 109,800 to 139,800 yuan, depending on the features [6][28] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected revenues of 58.302 billion yuan, 84.036 billion yuan, and 116.348 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 81.3%, 44.1%, and 38.5% [35] - The net profit projections for the same period are -0.72 billion yuan, 2.488 billion yuan, and 5.081 billion yuan, indicating a path towards profitability [35] Market Positioning - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for high-performance electric vehicles, with a focus on cost control and product innovation [34][35] - The competitive landscape includes established players like NIO, Li Auto, and BYD, with the company expected to outperform these peers due to its unique product offerings and strategic partnerships [34]
禾赛成全球首家全年盈利,股价暴涨!从激光雷达看中国科技赢得话语权
美股研究社· 2025-03-12 09:47
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and achievements of Hesai Technology in the lidar industry, marking a turning point in commercialization and profitability, particularly in the context of the booming smart driving and robotics sectors in 2025 [1][3]. Financial Performance - Hesai reported a record annual revenue of 2.08 billion yuan and a Non-GAAP net profit of 14 million yuan for 2024, becoming the first publicly listed lidar company to achieve annual Non-GAAP profitability [1][4]. - The company's stock surged by 50.41% following the earnings announcement, reflecting strong market confidence [1]. Delivery and Market Demand - In 2024, Hesai's total lidar delivery reached approximately 502,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 126%, achieving a doubling of delivery volume for four consecutive years [4]. - The fourth quarter alone saw deliveries of 222,000 units, surpassing the total for 2023, indicating a robust demand from automotive and robotics sectors [4][5]. Industry Position and Growth - The lidar industry is transitioning from a niche market to a standard feature in smart vehicles, with a projected increase in lidar penetration from 6% in 2023 to 13% in 2024, and potentially reaching 60% by 2030 [4]. - Hesai has established partnerships with 22 domestic and international automotive manufacturers, covering 120 vehicle models, including nine of China's top ten automakers by market value in 2024 [4]. Product Development and Innovation - At CES 2025, Hesai showcased advanced lidar products, including the AT1440 and the second-generation solid-state lidar FT, indicating a broadening product ecosystem [8][9]. - The introduction of the ATX lidar, which offers high performance at a competitive price, is expected to penetrate the market for vehicles priced below 100,000 yuan, supporting the democratization of advanced driving technologies [11]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in Non-GAAP profit to between 350 million and 500 million yuan in 2025, representing a 25 to 35-fold increase from the previous year [14]. - Lidar delivery volumes are projected to rise to between 1.2 million and 1.5 million units in 2025, reflecting the growing demand across various applications [14]. Global Expansion and Competitive Landscape - Hesai has secured a landmark multi-year exclusive partnership with a top European automaker, marking a significant milestone in its international market strategy [19]. - The competitive landscape shows a concentration of market power among Chinese lidar manufacturers, with domestic firms leading in innovation and market share [18]. Investment Sentiment - Major international banks have expressed bullish sentiments towards Chinese assets, with projections of significant growth in Hesai's Non-GAAP net profit and market share in the coming years [21].
对话朱江明:零跑一年前就开始为“智驾平权”做准备
雪豹财经社· 2025-03-11 10:05
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that achieving extreme cost-performance does not necessarily require sacrificing profits, as demonstrated by Leap Motor's recent advancements in technology and profitability [1][3][4]. Group 1: Company Positioning and Strategy - Leap Motor's CEO, Zhu Jiangming, aims for the company to be recognized for technology and innovation rather than low pricing, distancing from labels like "price butcher" [1][2]. - The company has positioned itself similarly to Uniqlo in the clothing industry, offering slightly higher prices for better quality [2]. - Leap Motor's strategy focuses on technological innovation as the foundation for cost reduction, with over 65% of vehicle components self-manufactured [2][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Leap Motor achieved a net profit for the first time, becoming the second new car-making force to do so, with a quarterly gross margin of 13.3% [2][3]. - The company sold 293,700 vehicles in the past year, ranking third among new car manufacturers [2][3]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Strategy - Leap Motor's B10 model, featuring advanced driving capabilities, is priced at 120,000 yuan, showcasing the company's ability to offer high-tech features at competitive prices [1][4]. - The company plans to increase its sales target for 2025 to between 500,000 and 600,000 vehicles, driven by new model releases and international market expansion [6][7]. Group 4: International Expansion - Leap Motor aims to export 50,000 vehicles this year, with a focus on localizing manufacturing in Europe [7][8]. - The collaboration with Stellantis is progressing well, with plans for local production and distribution channels in Europe [7][9]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - Leap Motor acknowledges the competitive nature of the automotive industry, particularly in the context of "price wars" and technological advancements [3][18]. - The company is confident in its preparedness to face competition and aims to maintain its market position through continuous innovation and cost management [18].
智驾平权加速渗透,看好比亚迪、零跑汽车
2025-03-11 07:35
智驾平权加速渗透,看好比亚迪、零跑汽车 摘要 • 新能源汽车渗透率加速提升重塑行业竞争格局,比亚迪发布全新智能驾驶 战略,全系标配天成智驾,推动智驾平权,超出市场预期。 • 吉利发布千里浩瀚高阶智驾方案,包括高速 N 微分和城市文化功能,将陆 续搭载于银河系列车型。 • 零跑汽车发布 B10,首次在 12 万元级别车型搭载激光雷达高阶智驾,全 系标配自动泊车,支持高速 A 及城区 CNAP 功能,实现智驾平权。 • 整车资产支架全面升级推动行情扩散,整车投资机会在于智能化赋能后的 销量和利润提升,零部件机会在于硬件公司业绩兑现和新技术供应商估值 提升。 • 比亚迪订单中智驾版占比受新旧款切换影响,清库缓慢经销商占比可达 50%以上,预计三月中下旬智驾版订单将全面爆发。 • 比亚迪核心竞争力在于成本控制能力,销量规模效应降低单车固定成本, 上游供应链优势支持其估值上行。 • 零跑汽车工程化能力强大,快速迭代至全新平台,B10 实现高速 NOA 等 功能,并推广至所有车型,24 年四季度首次实现净利润转正,毛利率达 13.3%,销量预计持续增长,PS 较低,股价上涨潜力大。 Q&A 2025 年乘用车板块的整体变 ...
特斯拉为什么又启用了4D毫米波雷达
汽车商业评论· 2025-03-10 15:44
撰 文 / 钱亚光 设 计 / 琚 佳 2月10日,比亚迪宣布"天神之眼"智驾系统将覆盖全系车型,并一口气推出21款智驾车型,甚至将 高速NOA功能覆盖到10万元车型。 2025年被认为是"智能驾驶元年",中国汽车行业正从"电动化上半场"快速转向"智能化下半场", 而"智驾平权"正在成为多数车企智能化的发展方向。 2月9日,长安汽车正式发布智能化战略"北斗天枢2.0"计划,从2025年起不再开发非数智化新产 品,全系标配开通智驾接口,未来3年长安汽车将推出35款数智新汽车产品。 同日,零跑汽车表示将推动智驾全民普及,即将上市的零跑B10车型是15万元级首款搭载激光雷达 并支持城区智能驾驶的车型。 3月3日,吉利汽车举办"吉利AI智能科技发布会",并发布了"千里浩瀚"安全高阶智能驾驶系统,规 划了5级智驾方案,将覆盖吉利集团各品牌全系不同价位车型。 而智能驾驶的普及,离不开必不可少的"装备"——传感器性能的提高和成本的降低。 天神之眼C将是比亚迪应用最广泛的智驾系统,在硬件上搭载5个毫米波雷达、12个超声波雷达、 包括前视三目摄像头在内全车12个摄像头,在算力芯片方面选择了英伟达Orin N和地平线J6M。 轩 ...
比亚迪暗渡陈仓
远川研究所· 2025-03-09 12:55
以下文章来源于远川科技评论 ,作者徐姗姗 随着比亚迪逼近,特斯拉销量陷入停滞(Tesla sales stall as China's BYD closes in)。 比亚迪实现500万辆新能源车下线总共耗时15年,但第二个500万辆只用了15个月。依靠超前的电动化布 局,比亚迪在20万以下的平价车市场几乎没有对手。同时,比亚迪毛利率从2022年初的15%左右一路上 涨到25%,一度逼近30%,创造了价格战越打越富的逆天逻辑。 远川科技评论 . 刻画这个时代(的前沿科技) 去年8月比亚迪与Uber合作,让马斯克想起了自己当年开过的嘲讽,没忍住在推特上敦促比亚迪"迅速转 型"。含义是比亚迪虽然销量水涨船高,但跟特斯拉相比,智能化的进展太慢。 半年后,回旋镖结结实实扎了回来。特斯拉定价6.4万元的FSD中国首秀洋相尽出,反倒是比亚迪的"全 民智驾"发布会直接掀了桌子,把智驾车型的门槛直接砍到了6.98万。 资本市场看似不买账,实则集体抢跑:2月6号比亚迪发布预告时,大鳄们就把成建制的概念股批量送上 了涨停,给比亚迪重回万亿提前献礼。 一场声势浩大的"智驾平权",似乎让比亚迪一扫智能化"最后一个上桌"的缺憾,但平权 ...
"迪王"大动作!最高上涨空间超120%,机构最新评级揭秘
券商中国· 2025-03-09 04:31
Core Viewpoint - This week, 70 stocks received significant attention from institutions, with a focus on the automotive and electronics sectors, particularly BYD and Haiguang Information [2][3][4]. Group 1: Institutional Ratings - A total of 58 institutions conducted 396 ratings, with 246 stocks receiving "buy" ratings [2]. - BYD received the highest attention with 19 ratings, followed by Haiguang Information with 10 ratings [2][5]. - The automotive sector, including stocks like Great Wall Motors and Yutong Bus, was the most favored [3]. Group 2: Sector Highlights - The electronics sector, featuring stocks such as Haiguang Information and Hengrui Technology, was the second most focused area with 7 stocks receiving attention [4]. - The semiconductor industry is projected to see significant growth, with global sales expected to reach $617.3 billion in 2024, a 19.1% increase [12]. Group 3: Company Performance - BYD's global sales are projected to reach 4.27 million units in 2024, ranking fourth in global automotive sales, with a 161.39% year-on-year increase in February 2025 [8]. - Haiguang Information is expected to achieve over 50% revenue and profit growth in 2024, with a three-year compound annual growth rate of 58.29% [13]. - Hengrui Technology reported a 49.94% increase in revenue for 2024, while Bawei Storage achieved an 86.71% revenue growth [14]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Institutions have raised ratings for Haiguang Information and Keri International, with Haiguang Information's target market value adjusted to 426.2 billion yuan [15]. - 21 stocks have over 30% upside potential based on institutional target prices, with Yinghe Technology showing over 120% upside potential [16].
比亚迪2025年2月销量点评:淡季不淡,2月销量同比高增,海外销量再创新高
Changjiang Securities· 2025-03-06 05:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - BYD's overall sales in February reached 323,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 164.0% and a month-on-month increase of 7.4% [2][4]. - Passenger car sales in February were 318,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 161.4% and a month-on-month growth of 7.3% [2][4]. - The sales of pure electric vehicles in February were 125,000 units, up 127.5% year-on-year, while hybrid vehicle sales reached 193,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 189.2% [2][4]. - Export sales in February hit a record high of 67,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 187.8% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - February total sales were 323,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 164.0% and a month-on-month increase of 7.4% [2][4]. - Passenger car sales were 318,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 161.4% and a month-on-month increase of 7.3% [2][4]. - Pure electric vehicle sales were 125,000 units, up 127.5% year-on-year, while hybrid vehicle sales were 193,000 units, up 189.2% year-on-year [2][4]. Brand Performance - The Dynasty and Ocean series sold approximately 305,000 units in February, a year-on-year increase of 167.1% [2][4]. - The Tengshi brand sold 8,513 units, reflecting an 85.1% year-on-year increase [2][4]. - The Fangchengbao brand saw sales of 4,942 units, up 113.9% year-on-year [2][4]. Regional Performance - Export sales reached 67,000 units in February, a year-on-year increase of 187.8% and a month-on-month increase of 1.0% [2][4]. Strategic Initiatives - BYD is advancing its smart driving strategy, with plans to offer advanced driving features at competitive prices, aiming to enhance market share and profitability [2][4]. - The company is expanding its overseas presence with factories in Thailand, Uzbekistan, Brazil, and Hungary, and is entering new markets such as Vietnam and Pakistan [2][4]. - The introduction of new high-end models is expected to further boost performance and market competitiveness [2][4]. Financial Projections - Forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 40.3 billion, 57.0 billion, and 69.2 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26.1X, 18.5X, and 15.2X [2][4].
吉利正式“反击”比亚迪
虎嗅APP· 2025-03-05 10:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Geely's strategic response to the competitive landscape of intelligent driving technology, emphasizing its unified approach through the "Qianli Haohan" system across all brands, contrasting with BYD's rapid rollout of intelligent driving versions across its product lines [2][12]. Summary by Sections Unified Intelligent Driving Strategy - Geely announced the unification of its intelligent driving solutions under the "Qianli Haohan" system, which is divided into five levels: H1, H3, H5, H7, and H9, aiming for a comprehensive rollout of features like parking assistance and navigation by March [3][4]. - The H1 level features a sensor configuration of 10V5R and a minimum computing power exceeding 100 TOPs, enabling high-speed navigation and automatic parking [4]. - The H3 level includes 11V3R sensors, supporting high-speed navigation and memory parking capabilities [4]. - The H5 level adds a laser radar to the H3 configuration, enhancing its capabilities for urban navigation and memory parking [4]. - The H7 level is similar to H5 but upgrades to parking valet features, while the H9 targets L3 level autonomous driving with advanced sensor configurations [4]. Competitive Positioning - Geely's approach contrasts with BYD's strategy of rapidly updating all mainstream models to "intelligent driving versions," as Geely opts for a more measured rollout, focusing on new models first and gradually updating older ones [13][21]. - The company is also integrating AI technologies into its intelligent driving strategy, enhancing capabilities in human-machine interaction and decision-making [6][8]. Resource Allocation and Development - Geely has established a joint venture to enhance its AI capabilities, which includes significant resources like the Xingrui Intelligent Computing Center with a computing power of 23.5 EFLOPS, the highest among domestic automakers [10][9]. - The integration of the Zeekr brand into Geely's structure aims to streamline development and reduce redundancy in intelligent driving technology [20][22]. Market Dynamics - The article highlights the ongoing price competition in the automotive market, with Geely and BYD both engaging in price reductions to maintain market share, indicating that having intelligent driving capabilities is becoming essential for competitiveness [18][17]. - Geely's strategy reflects a balance between technological advancement and market timing, as it seeks to avoid hasty decisions that could undermine its product lineup [21][23].