换资前言： 下跌行情不言底，上涨行情不言顶，要善于观察并且等待机会的降临，能看懂的市场行情总是可遇不可 求的，不要交易那些你无法弄懂的市场行情，也不要以为必须每个波段都进行交易。市场多数交易者都 会错过70%的行情，每个投资者所能支配的精力、掌握的市场知识、惯用的交易技巧不同，不要奢望市 场每一分利润都要拿到手，不要奢求别人赚了多少我也要赚多少，总有许多的交易机会符合你的性格和 你解读市场的能力。把握这些，放过其他不适合你的交易机会。 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势？后市黄金多空该如何研判？ 周五亚洲时段，现货黄金继续保持上行趋势，盘中一度触及4379美元/盎司，随后再次回落至4277美 元附近。市场风险情绪偏向谨慎，投资者在复杂的宏观背景下继续增持避险资产。 首先，美国政府停 摆危机成为金价上涨的主要推手之一。周四金价大涨2.8%，为连续四个交易日收涨，收报4325.85美元/ 盎司，市场预计美联储10月降息25个基点，12月甚至可能再降息50个点，SPDR黄金持仓大幅增加，汇 丰银行也发布看涨报告，此外，美国政府继续停摆、国际贸易局势紧张也在持续吸引避险买盘支撑金 价，各国央行购金以及去美元化趋势等多重 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in gold prices, with COMEX gold futures rising by 3.40% to $4344.3 per ounce, and spot gold surpassing the $4300 per ounce mark, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 60% and a doubling of prices since the beginning of 2024 [1][4] - The divergence in monetary policy perspectives among Federal Reserve officials and the stable stance of the European Central Bank contribute to the attractiveness of safe-haven assets amid multiple global economic challenges [1] - The Shanghai Gold ETF (嘉实) has shown strong performance, with a 2.70% increase, marking five consecutive days of gains, and a total increase of 5.81% over the past week as of October 16, 2025 [1][4] Group 2 - In terms of liquidity, the Shanghai Gold ETF (嘉实) recorded a turnover of 9.15% with a transaction volume of 97.1 million yuan, reaching a new high of 111 million shares [4] - The fund has experienced continuous net inflows over the past eight days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 87.6 million yuan, totaling 251 million yuan in net inflows [4] - The net asset value of the Shanghai Gold ETF (嘉实) has increased by 139.08% over the past three years, with the highest monthly return since inception being 11.45% and the longest streak of monthly gains being six months [4] Group 3 - Analysts from CITIC Futures indicate that expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, escalating trade tensions, and regional political risks are driving demand for gold as a safe-haven and investment asset [4] - Despite being in an overbought territory in the short term, the increase in volatility reflects an expansion of market sentiment rather than a reversal of trends, suggesting that the medium-term bullish outlook remains intact [4] - Investors without stock accounts can still access gold investment opportunities through off-market linked funds [4]

【导读】现货黄金攻破4380美元/盎司后，突然跳水；美国信贷危机担忧升温；市场对美联储今年降息押注发生大变动 避险情绪升温，黄金价格早间暴涨，但突然跳水！ 10月17日早间，现货黄金价格首次升穿4380美元/盎司，再创历史新高。但9点30分左右，现货黄金价格出现急跌，一度下跌100美元，跌穿4280美元/盎 司。 截至发稿，现货黄金报4286.02美元/盎司，日内跌0.94%。 | W | 伦敦金现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | 4286 020 " | 4326.480 | | 总量 | | 0 | | -40.460 | -0.94% 开盘 4332.385 | | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 4380.790 0 | 持 仓 | 外 물 | | 0 | | 最低价 | 4278.298 0 | 管 合 | 内 ឌ | | 0 | | 分时 | 五日 間K | 日K | 目K | 童家 | (0) | | 叠加 | 均价:0.000 | | | | | | 4380.7 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices in New York surged by 3%, reaching a historical high above $4,330, with spot gold rising 2.72% to $4,322.04 per ounce [1] - COMEX gold futures increased by 3.05%, closing at $4,329.80 per ounce, and later peaked at $4,336.70 [1] - The Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index rose by 3.41%, marking a new closing historical high at 329.32 points [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) gold recorded an 11.01% increase in September 2025, outperforming other major asset classes [2] - The asset allocation strategy based on macro factors yielded a return of 0.48% in the same month, highlighting gold's value as an inflation hedge and safe-haven asset [2] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks rose by 0.72% as of October 17, 2025, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Xinhua Jewelry and Silver Nonferrous [2] Group 3 - The gold ETF fund experienced a turnover of 8.74% with a transaction volume of 10.90 million yuan, averaging daily transactions of 25.99 million yuan over the past week [3] - The fund saw a net inflow of 25.76 million yuan over the last five trading days, with an average daily net inflow of 5.15 million yuan [3] - The gold ETF fund's net asset value increased by 45.41% over the past six months, ranking in the top 16.39% among comparable index funds [3] Group 4 - The maximum drawdown for the gold ETF fund over the past six months was 8.52%, with a recovery time of 28 days, the fastest among comparable funds [4] Group 5 - The management fee for the gold ETF fund is 0.50%, and the custody fee is 0.10% [5] - The index tracks 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales, with the top ten stocks accounting for 68.2% of the index [5]

Core Insights - The performance of metal and mining stocks has made the seven major tech giants in the U.S. stock market appear as stable as U.S. Treasury bonds, according to Goldman Sachs' hedge fund head Tony Pasquariello [1] - Stocks linked to metals like gold, copper, and rare earths have shown significantly higher volatility compared to the historically strong performance of the tech giants [1] - Pasquariello suggests that the seven tech giants may serve as a safer asset against the recent volatility and speculative nature of the metal and mining sectors [1] Market Performance - Gold prices have recently surpassed $4,300 per ounce, while silver has reached a historical high of $54 per ounce [1] - The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS.US) has increased by 17% year-to-date, and Nvidia (NVDA.US) has a market capitalization of $430 billion [1] - The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF has seen a significant increase of nearly 88% during the same period [1] Market Environment - Pasquariello describes the current market environment as one of the most dynamic seen, with both positive and negative trends emerging in recent weeks [2]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of metal and mining stocks has made the seven major U.S. tech giants appear as stable as U.S. Treasury bonds, with metal-related stocks showing significantly higher volatility compared to these tech stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gold, copper, and rare earth-related stocks have experienced substantial fluctuations, contrasting with the more stable historical performance of the seven major tech giants [1] - The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS.US) has risen by 17% year-to-date, while Nvidia (NVDA.US) has reached a market capitalization of $4.3 trillion [1] - The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF has increased by nearly 88% during the same period, highlighting the strong performance of the metals sector [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - Gold prices have recently surpassed $4,300 per ounce, marking a historical high, while silver has also reached a record price of $54 per ounce [1] - Rare earth elements remain a focal point in the U.S.-China trade disputes, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting the market [1] Group 3: Market Environment - The current market environment is described as one of the most dynamic seen, with both positive and negative trends emerging in recent weeks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued a notification emphasizing the need for market risk control due to significant fluctuations in international precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver, which have reached historical highs [1]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Gold prices have surged, with spot gold reaching a peak of $4,242 per ounce on October 16, marking a continuous rise in 2023 [1]. - Silver prices have also stabilized at $53 per ounce, indicating a strong performance in the precious metals market [1]. - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by approximately 57.44%, while silver has risen by about 63.02% [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued over ten risk warning announcements this year to alert members about market volatility [1]. - Banks have raised the minimum investment threshold for gold accumulation services to 1,000 yuan, reflecting concerns over price fluctuations [7]. Group 3: Analyst Insights - Market analysts predict that gold could soon reach the $5,000 mark, driven by factors such as central bank purchases and strong inflows into ETFs [4]. - Analysts recommend that ordinary investors avoid leveraged trading in gold and instead focus on direct investments through ETFs or physical gold transactions [10].

【环球网财经综合报道】北京时间10月17日凌晨，国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX黄金期货涨3.40%报4344.3美元/ 盎司，COMEX白银期货涨3.99%报53.43美元/盎司。现货黄金首次冲破4300美元/盎司，续创历史新高。 对此有市场分析人士认为，美联储官员对货币政策走向存在明显分歧，欧洲央行则维持稳定立场，全球经济面临多重 挑战，提升了避险资产的吸引力。 《金融时报》发文称，支撑黄金涨势的底层逻辑已从传统"美元-利率框架"转向"央行购金+去美元化+地缘风险"的三重 驱动——全球央行2025年月均购金达80吨，新兴市场主导的储备多元化行动使官方黄金储备价值飙升至4.64万亿美 元，叠加黄金ETF单季吸金260亿美元的资金热度，共同将金价推向历史高位。 与此同时，面对金价的持续大幅波动，上海黄金交易所、上海期货交易所，以及工商银行、建设银行等多家银行近日 接连发布风险提示。 不过，世界黄金协会最新认为，从战略层面看，黄金的总体持仓依然处于低位；期货市场的投机性持仓、净多头头寸 尚未达到历史峰值，表明市场尚未饱和。 但该报道也提到，在狂热行情背后，市场对"后续走势是否可持续""当前点位是否值得介入"的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has reached a significant milestone with spot gold prices surpassing $4250 per ounce, driven by strong demand for both gold jewelry and investment products, indicating a robust interest in gold as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainties [1][2][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of October 16, spot gold prices hit a high of $4259.1 per ounce, while domestic Shanghai gold futures reached 971.58 yuan per gram, marking a nearly 60% increase from 610 yuan per gram at the beginning of the year [1]. - Major gold jewelry brands have seen prices rise to between 1245 and 1248 yuan per gram, an increase of approximately 60 yuan per gram compared to three days prior [1]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - There is a notable increase in young consumers purchasing gold jewelry, favoring lighter and more stylish designs, with a significant demand for pure gold jewelry over gold bars [1][2]. - The demand for gold bars remains strong, with a reported 23.69% year-on-year increase in gold bar and coin consumption in China, totaling 264.242 tons in the first half of the year [2]. Group 3: Investment Products - The popularity of gold investment products is rising, with over a million users accessing "accumulated gold" products on Alipay, indicating a shift towards flexible gold investment options [2]. - Several banks have raised the minimum purchase amounts for gold accumulation products, reflecting increased interest and demand in the market [2]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - Analysts suggest that the current rise in gold prices is driven by various risk-averse sentiments, supported by central banks' increased gold purchases and a weakening dollar [3][4]. - The World Gold Council reports that 73% of surveyed central banks expect a decline in the dollar's share in global reserves over the next five years, with an anticipated increase in gold, euro, and renminbi holdings [3].

本周四，金银携手创历史新高。美国政府关门、贸易紧张形势、美联储降息预期成为近期贵金属疯涨的推手。 美东时间10月16日美股午盘，黄金连续第四个交易日创盘中新高，盘中首次突破4300美元大关。美股盘后，COMEX 12月黄金期货涨至4340美元上方，较周 三收盘涨超3%。伦敦现货黄金曾涨至4330美元上方，日内涨近3%。黄金今年初以来已累涨约60%。 周四美股午盘之初，纽约期银和伦敦现货银价刷新周二所创的盘中新高。COMEX 12月白银期货曾涨破53.60美元，日内涨约4.4%，现货白银曾涨至54.20美 元上方，日内涨超2%。 市场分析师指出，在美国政府停摆进入第15天、经济数据发布中断的情况下，投资者正加速涌入黄金等避险资产。交易员目前认为，美联储在10月和12月各 降息25个基点的概率分别为98%和95%。 白银市场面临更为严峻的供应紧张。伦敦白银市场出现罕见的现货升水现象，库存较2021年下降三分之一，交易商甚至预订货运航班空运白银以利用价差套 利。 美国银行本周一将2026年的黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价设定为65美元，成为首家给出如此高位预测的主要投行。该行预计，政策不确定 性和结 ...