分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 23 日 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -11% -5% 1% 7% 13% 18% 24% 30% 2024.12 2025.04 2025.08 2025.12 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3,917.36 | 0.69 | 深证成指 | 13,332.73 | 1.47 | | | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | 沪深 | 300 | 4,611.62 | 0.95 | | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | 中证 | 100 | 4,471.83 | 1.04 ...

融智投资FOF基金经理李春瑜对《证券日报》记者表示："这是多种因素共同推动的结果。其一，政策 支持力度持续加大，ETF产品审批流程不断优化；同时，指数化投资的理念日益普及，再加上市场整体 回暖带来的赚钱效应，都促使越来越多的资金流入ETF市场。其二，作为一种投资工具，ETF产品本身 就具备费率低、风险分散、交易便捷、透明度高等特点，因此无论对机构还是个人投资者，都展现出持 续吸引力。其三，ETF产品种类不断丰富，逐步向行业主题、跨境资产、债券等多元化方向拓展，更好 地满足了不同投资者的配置需求。其四，随着长期资金的持续流入，头部ETF产品的规模和流动性进一 步放大，形成'强者恒强'的良性循环，吸引更多资金跟随入场。" 今年以来，ETF市场产品发行火热。 公募排排网最新统计数据显示，按认购起始日统计，截至12月21日，年内新发行的ETF产品数量多达 351只，发行总份额高达2554.55亿份。这组数据刷新了历史纪录，也反映出随着A股市场投资生态的演 进，以及居民资产配置结构的变迁，ETF市场正迎来爆发式增长。 对于科技类ETF产品的"吸金力"较强，李春瑜认为，此类产品紧密契合新质生产力发展方向，重点布局 了人工 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights significant announcements in the stock market, including "suspensions and resumption of trading, share buybacks, investment wins, acquisitions, performance reports, unlocks, and high transfers" [1] - Important announcements are marked in red to assist investors in identifying investment hotspots and preventing various black swan events [1] - Companies involved in key sectors such as CPO, commercial aerospace, 6G, chips, computing power, and data centers are mentioned, indicating their participation in low-orbit satellite antenna work and possession of optical module products [1] Group 2 - A company in the Hainan Free Trade Zone plans to issue 1.6 billion yuan in convertible bonds for data center projects, indicating a focus on data infrastructure [1] - Another company is investing 1 billion yuan in the construction of a high-performance HDI printed circuit board project, emphasizing advancements in autonomous driving and computing power [1]

今日A股延续上周涨势，三大指数全线走高。上证指数上涨0.69%，报3917.36点，深证成指上涨 1.47%，报13332.73点，两市成交近1.9万亿元，较上周继续回暖。两创指数表现相对较好，创业板指上 涨2.23%，科创50指数上涨2.04%。涨跌分布上，总体涨多跌少，通信、电子、有色板块领涨。 近期资金利率快速下行，隔夜利率下探至1.27%。2年期活跃券250017收益率今日继续下行至1.3650%的 新低，显示当前资金面持续宽松。长端利率方面，受到交易盘影响，下行趋势出现反复，10年利率小幅 回升至1.8450%。资金利率维持低位反映央行对债市的态度偏呵护，叠加10年利率现处于1.85%的央行 合意区间上沿，后市债市温和修复的方向保持不变。 在积极的宏观政策与资金持续流入的推动下，A股后市仍然偏乐观。2026年作为"十五五"的开局之年， 有望实现"开门红"行情。 //// 2026年我国将延续宽松的货币政策与积极的财政政策上，总需求有望进一步回暖。在经济回暖阶段， A500指数凭借对先进制造、信息技术、通信、医药、原材料等的超配，更容易释放相对收益。具体到 指数编制上，A500指数先剔除ESG评级C及 ...

3、近期资金利率快速下行，隔夜利率稳定在1.27%附近，2Y活跃券250017收益率今日继续下行至 1.372%的新低。长端利率受交易盘影响出现反复，10Y利率小幅回升至1.845%。资金利率维持低位反映 央行对债市态度偏呵护，期限利差扩大不利于货币政策传导。在流动性维持宽松的环境下，后续长端利 率或迎来一波修复行情，或可关注十年国债ETF(511260)进行布局。 1、今日A股延续上涨态势，集体收涨。上证指数收于3917.36点，上涨0.69%，深证成指收于13332.73 点，上涨1.47%。两市成交量继续回升，共计接近1.9万亿元。市场整体涨多跌少，上涨个股约3000家， 其中电子、通信方向领涨。在积极的政策与资金持续流入的推动下，A股后市仍然偏积极，有望实 现"开门红"行情。 2、2026年中国将延续宽松的货币政策与积极的财政政策，总需求有望进一步回暖。在经济回暖阶段， A500指数凭借对先进制造、信息技术、通信、医药、原材料等的超配，更容易释放相对收益。其年化 受益、夏普比率优于主要宽基，成长占优期弹性更强。近期资金流向显示，A500ETF位居净流入前列， 显示出资金对中证A500的持续偏好。感兴趣 ...

周一（12月22日），光模块CPO继续发力上攻，重仓光模块的创业板人工智能涨超3%。其中，长芯博 创、致尚科技涨超12%，中际旭创涨超8%创收盘新高，新易盛涨超6%再创新高。值得注意的是，新易 盛股价从4月9日盘中最低价起算，时至今日盘中最高价，短短8个多月时间，新易盛股价完成十倍行 情，总市值突破4600亿元大关。 热门ETF方面，同类规模最大、流动性最佳的创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场内收涨3.05%，收盘价 回升至历史次高，全天放量成交6.46亿元。资金近一周做多热情高涨，累计借道159363加仓2.78亿元， 表明对创业板人工智能跨年行情的积极看多。 有分析人士指出，美股AI产业链的集体走强，将对本周A股相关个股带来提振。上周五，美股光通信概 念股全线走高，Lumentum大涨超10%，Credo Technology涨超8%，Coherent涨近6%；AI龙头英伟达涨 近4%，甲骨文、AMD涨超6%，美光科技涨近7%。 周一（12月22日），光模块CPO继续发力上攻，重仓光模块的创业板人工智能涨超3%。其中，长芯博 创、致尚科技涨超12%，中际旭创涨超8%创收盘新高，新易盛涨超6%再创新高。 ...

Core Insights - The ETF market has experienced significant growth in 2025, with a total of 351 new ETF products issued, reaching an issuance volume of 2,554.55 billion units, surpassing the total issuance of the previous two years [1] - Equity ETFs dominate the market, with 312 equity-type ETFs issued, accounting for 88.89% of the total number and 62.71% of the total issuance volume [1] - Bond ETFs also saw a record year in 2025, with 32 new products issued and a total issuance volume of 914.83 billion units, exceeding historical totals [1] Market Dynamics - The growth in ETF issuance is driven by policy support, expedited approval processes, and the increasing popularity of index investing, alongside a market recovery that has created a profit incentive [2] - ETFs are attracting both institutional and individual investors due to their low fees, risk diversification, ease of trading, and high transparency [2] - The product line is diversifying into niche sectors, cross-border investments, and bonds, catering to various asset allocation needs of different investors [2] Sector Trends - Technology-themed ETFs have become the most sought-after products in 2025, with 47 new ETFs issued that include "technology" in their names, representing 13.39% of total issuance and 26.04% of total issuance volume [2] - The growth of technology ETFs is supported by favorable policies and clear industry trends, particularly in AI, semiconductors, and computing power, enhancing the certainty of industry growth [3] Issuer Landscape - In 2025, 47 public fund institutions participated in ETF issuance, with 31 institutions issuing at least 2 products and 15 institutions issuing over 10 products [3] - E Fund ranked first with 31 products and an issuance volume of 172.41 billion units, followed by China Universal with 26 products and 160.12 billion units, and Penghua Fund with 25 products and 135.27 billion units [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a total of 105 stocks hitting the daily limit up on December 22, with notable performances from the dairy sector and Hainan Free Trade Zone stocks [1] - Zhuangyuan Pasture achieved a four-day consecutive limit up, indicating strong investor interest in the dairy industry [1] - Hainan Haiyao and Hainan Development both recorded two consecutive limit ups, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the Hainan Free Trade Zone [1] Group 2 - Other notable stocks include *ST Ningke with eight consecutive limit ups in synthetic biology, and Shengtong Energy with seven in natural gas [2] - Stocks like Luyan Pharmaceutical and Jiamei Packaging also showed strong performance with four and three consecutive limit ups respectively [2] - The list of stocks with consecutive limit ups includes various sectors such as pharmaceuticals, packaging, and commercial aerospace, indicating a diverse range of investor interest [2]

华鑫证券研报指出，大元泵业卡位液冷温控、商用泵、热泵出口等高景气赛道，契合"双碳"目标与新兴 产业（储能、算力、新能源车）发展趋势，新兴业务实现翻倍级增长，有效对冲传统业务波动，打开长 期成长天花板。持续高研发投入巩固技术优势，产品矩阵向高端化、定制化延伸，工业泵等产品突破外 资垄断，进口替代进程加速，在化工、核电、半导体等高端领域份额提升，构筑深厚竞争壁垒。海外本 地化布局持续深化，新设东南亚子公司完善制造与销售网络，海外业务稳步拓展；同时坚持高现金分红 政策，累计分红超IPO募资总额，增强投资者信心，形成"海外增量+股东回报"双支撑格局。大元泵业 在屏蔽泵及液冷泵领域拥有深厚技术积累，其产品广泛应用于新能源汽车、储能、IDC等多个高增长行 业，维持"买入"投资评级。 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Overweight [1] Core Insights - On December 17, Zhiyu and MiniMax both passed the Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing hearing, marking the first listing of a company focused on "foundation models" in Hong Kong. MiniMax focuses on multimodal models, indicating that AI large model companies are officially entering the IPO sprint phase in Hong Kong, expected to debut in early 2026 [3][11] - Zhiyu is actively launching open-source foundation models GLM-4.5 and GLM-4.6, with strong AI coding capabilities allowing integration with top programming tools and tech companies in the U.S. The CEO of Zhiyu stated that the company's software tools and model business (GLM coding plan) have an ARR exceeding 100 million yuan (approximately 14 million USD), with expected revenue growth of 100% in 2025 [3][11] - MiniMax has developed several multimodal products and has over 30,000 enterprise clients and developers on its open platform. The company’s commercialization strategy includes both B-end open platform and in-product advertising mechanisms [3][11][12] - The report highlights significant investments from major players like Hillhouse Capital, Meituan, Tencent, and Alibaba in Zhiyu and MiniMax, with Zhiyu's latest valuation reaching 40 billion yuan and MiniMax's valuation at 40 billion USD (approximately 300 billion yuan) [4][12] - The report suggests that the upcoming Hong Kong listings will shift the narrative of AI large model companies from "telling technical stories" to "realizing commercial value," providing a basis for future financing and valuation of large model enterprises [4][12] Market Performance Review - The computer industry index fell by 1.48%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.50 percentage points and outperforming the ChiNext Index by 0.78 percentage points. Year-to-date, the computer industry index has risen by 13.45% [14][17] - Among the 31 industry indices, the computer industry index ranked 22nd this week, leading the TMT sectors (electronics, communication, computer, media) [14][17] Company Dynamics - Zhiyu has completed 15 rounds of financing, with a latest valuation of 40 billion yuan, while MiniMax's valuation reached 40 billion USD after a 300 million USD C-round financing [4][12] - The report recommends focusing on AI hardware and application targets, mentioning related companies such as Cambricon, Inspur, Yonyou Network, and Kingsoft Office [4][12]