Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 5% increase in Net Service Revenue (NSR) when adjusted for fewer billable days in the period [7] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $287 million, exceeding expectations, and Adjusted EPS was $1.29 [8] - The segment-adjusted operating margin increased by 100 basis points to 16.4%, marking a new first-quarter record [7][8] - Backlog increased by 9% to an all-time high, supported by a 1.5 book-to-burn ratio [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Americas, NSR increased by 9%, with adjusted operating margin rising to 19.9%, up 120 basis points from the prior year [21] - The International segment's NSR was essentially flat after adjusting for fewer billable days, consistent with expectations [22] - The company noted a 25% backlog increase in the International segment, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., market conditions are strong, bolstered by the recent passage of key federal funding bills [10] - The private sector is experiencing growth, particularly in the data center market, which is expected to continue [10][11] - Internationally, trends remain varied, but long-term demand for infrastructure investment is strong, with significant wins in the U.K. and Middle East [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to extend its competitive advantages through investments in program management, advisory services, AI, and technology [6][7] - A focus on integrating technology and AI into workflows is expected to enhance value delivery to clients [14][56] - The decision to retain the construction management business is based on its strong cash flow profile and potential for collaboration with other business units [27][78] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term value creation opportunities, citing a robust backlog and increased share repurchase authorization [7][15] - The company anticipates a pickup in award activity in the U.S. following the passage of federal funding bills, enhancing visibility for future growth [6][10] - Management expects revenue trends to improve as the year progresses, particularly in the second half of the fiscal year [12][22] Other Important Information - The company has completed the integration of its acquired AI technology, which is expected to enhance operational efficiencies [56] - The company reaffirmed its long-term growth targets, including annual revenue growth of 5%-8% and achieving a 20% margin exit rate by fiscal 2028 [15] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: Can you share thoughts on the decision to keep the construction management business? - Management highlighted the construction management business as a high-quality industry leader with strong backlog and cash flow, emphasizing opportunities for collaboration with other business units [26][27] Question: How is the demand environment in the U.S. evolving compared to last year? - Management noted continued strength in the Americas market, with a robust pipeline and strong growth across various sectors [28][29] Question: Can you provide an update on AI's impact on AECOM? - Management indicated that AI investments are expected to enhance value delivery to clients, with a focus on increasing productivity and profitability [39][40] Question: How is the private-facing business performing in the U.S.? - Management reported strong growth in the data center sector, with positive trends expected to continue [44][45] Question: Can you update on the integration of acquired AI technology? - Integration has gone exceptionally well, with a focus on facilities markets and creating efficiencies across all business lines [56] Question: What drove the acceleration in international bookings? - Management attributed the acceleration to a strong pipeline and successful repositioning in response to changing government agendas [60][61]

这位传奇投资家26岁只身闯荡华尔街，早在上世纪80年代就以精准抄底奥地利股市而一战成名，并曾准 确预测1987年全球股灾和2008年美国次贷危机。 2025年12月，吉姆·罗杰斯再次对全球经济发出警告。他认为，美国作为世界历史上最大的债务国，其 高达38万亿美元的国债规模正将国家引向深渊，并预言下一次危机将是他"一生中见过的最惨烈的一 次"，其根源在于全球令人窒息的债务规模。 "我清空了美股，但我绝不会卖掉金银铜。" 在全球金融局势波谲云诡的2026年开年，现年84岁的"商品大王"吉姆·罗杰斯（Jim Rogers）给出了他的 生存指南。 NBD：在你的投资组合中，白银的仓位是否已经超过了黄金？ 2026年2月6日，《每日经济新闻》记者（以下简称NBD）对吉姆·罗杰斯进行了专访。在访谈中，他详 细阐述了自己对潜在危机的看法、具体的避险策略以及看好金属的底层逻辑。 面对潜在的危机，吉姆·罗杰斯透露，他已经清空了全部美股持仓，转而将黄金、白银和铜等实物商品 视为"完美的保险单"，并计划将其作为遗产留给后代。 谈商品：金银铜是"避难所"，不交易、只持有 NBD：2026年开年以来，国际金价剧烈波动，你怎么看？ 吉姆 ...

Core Insights - The mechanical hard drive (HDD) industry is experiencing a shortage due to the surge in demand driven by AI model infrastructure, leading to a significant price increase in HDD contracts, with a 4% rise expected after Q4 2025, marking the largest increase in eight quarters [2][3]. Industry Overview - HDDs are favored for their economic efficiency and long-term data storage capabilities, making them suitable for massive data storage needs, particularly in AI data preprocessing and inference stages [3][4]. - The demand for HDDs is being driven by cloud service providers and large-scale data centers in the US and China, which are investing heavily in AI [3][4]. Company Performance - Western Digital reported a revenue of $3.02 billion for Q2 2026, a 25% year-over-year increase, with expectations of a 40% growth in the next quarter. The company has sold out its production capacity for 2026 and signed long-term contracts with three major clients [4][6]. - The company has rebranded from Western Digital to WD, focusing on HDD technology innovations to capture opportunities in the AI era [6]. Product Innovations - WD is launching a 40TB UltraSMR ePMR HDD and aims to achieve a 100TB capacity using HAMR technology by 2029, employing both ePMR and HAMR technologies to provide diverse options for clients [6][7]. - The company is enhancing performance with High Bandwidth Drive Technology and Dual Pivot Technology, aiming for a 2x bandwidth increase and 2x sequential I/O performance gain, while also introducing energy-efficient HDDs that reduce power consumption by 20% [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The demand for HDDs is not solely driven by AI; cloud-native applications, social media content, and longer data retention times are also contributing to the growth in HDD demand [12][13]. - The evolving storage needs in the AI era include faster data consumption rates and the introduction of data curation processes to ensure data quality, which are reshaping product roadmaps in the HDD industry [9][11]. Customer Insights - Customers are increasingly seeking reliable, low-energy, and high-capacity HDDs, regardless of the pace of GPU cluster construction, indicating a consistent demand across both US and Chinese markets [8][13]. - WD is addressing customer needs by simplifying software integration for HDD advantages, allowing clients to utilize HDD capabilities with minimal adjustments [6][9].

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 尽 管 有 观 察 认 为 总 部 位 于 美 国 的 Micron 可 能 会 被 排 除 在 NVIDIA 的 首 批 第 六 代 高 带 宽 内 存 (HBM4) 供应 链 之 外 ， 但 也 有 观点认为 Micron 被排除在早期供应链 之 外 的 可 能 性 很 低 ， 因 为 NVIDIA 正在寻求使其 HBM4 市场的供应商多元化。 据 半 导 体 分 析 公 司 SemiAnalysis 和 业 内 人 士 2 月 10 日 透 露 ， 分 析 结 果 显 示 ， 美 光 将 被 排 除 在 NVIDIA 首 批 HBM4 供 应 商 名 单 之 外 。 原 因 是 美 光 未 能 满 足 NVIDIA 对 HBM4 性 能 的 要 求 。 SemiAnalysis解释说："三星电子和SK海力士将接管NVIDIA的供应链，而目前美光在性能方面落 后于目标规格。" 分析公司估计，SK 海力士将占英伟达 HBM4 供应量的 70%，三星电子将占 30%。 HBM4 竞争市场最初预计是三方角逐，但如果美光科技像最近的分析所表明的那样退出，变成两 方角逐，那 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Barclays achieved a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 11.3%, up from 10.5% year-on-year [8][3] - The top line grew by 9% year-on-year to GBP 29.1 billion, with a net interest income (NII) increase of 13% to GBP 12.8 billion [3][9] - The cost-income ratio improved to 61%, and the group loan loss rate was 52 basis points, within the 50-60 basis points guidance [3][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - All divisions generated double-digit ROTE in 2025, with the Investment Bank's ROTE increasing to 10.6% [4][20] - The U.S. Consumer Bank's ROTE rose to 11%, reflecting operational improvements and scale [4][23] - The UK Corporate Bank's lending grew 18% year-on-year, with a ROTE of 19.1% in Q4 [15][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Barclays UK achieved a ROTE of 20.7% for the year, with NII of GBP 7.7 billion in line with guidance [15][16] - The Investment Bank's income from financing grew 14%, accounting for 42% of its total income [20][40] - The U.S. Consumer Bank's net receivables grew 10% year-on-year, supported by strong digital engagement [22][46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Barclays is focused on increasing returns and simplifying operations, with a target ROTE of greater than 14% by 2028 [31][32] - The strategy includes significant investments in technology and AI to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [34][36] - The company aims to grow UK lending by more than 5% annually, leveraging new capabilities and partnerships [55][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a group income of GBP 31 billion in 2026, up from previous estimates [27][59] - The company anticipates continued operational progress and a low 50s cost-income ratio by 2028 [60] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong capital position and engaging closely with regulatory bodies [25][26] Other Important Information - Barclays announced GBP 3.7 billion in shareholder distributions for 2025, including GBP 1.2 billion in dividends and GBP 2.5 billion in share buybacks [3][4] - The company has implemented a share grant program for employees to align their interests with shareholder outcomes [6] - Barclays is actively pursuing digital transformation and modernization across its operations [34][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for group income in 2026? - Barclays expects group income to reach approximately GBP 31 billion in 2026, an increase from earlier estimates [9][27] Question: How is the company addressing operational efficiency? - The company has achieved GBP 700 million in gross efficiency savings in 2025 and aims for GBP 2 billion by 2026 [10][60] Question: What is the outlook for the Investment Bank? - The Investment Bank is expected to generate a ROTE of around 12% in 2026, with a focus on improving productivity and deepening client relationships [53][54]

韩国股市多头还预计，随着企业治理改革步伐加快，下一步很可能是通过修订《商法》强制注销库存股。 Matthews Asia的投资组合经理朴素贞（Sojung Park）称："虽然韩国折价幅度有所收窄，但韩国股市的估值与其他 全球主要股指相比，仍然存在显著差距。考虑到韩国上市企业强劲的盈利增长前景和基本面，韩国股市似乎仍被 严重低估了。" 摩根大通分析师团队表示，KOSPI指数在2026年有望触及7500点。该行在报告中将该指数今年的基准目标位设定 在6000点，牛市目标位则定为7500点。他们认为，受芯片价格上涨的推动，权重股三星电子和SK海力士领涨了 KOSPI指数，据测算，这两只股票在2026年仍有45%~50%的上涨空间。此外，该行预计其他非存储类工业板块的 每股收益也将实现约20%的增长。韩国持续推进的企业治理、市场及税收改革预计将成为额外的催化剂。 在韩国国内，韩国股市估值远未达到合理水平的观点在韩国政界也普遍存在，提高股东回报的呼声日益高涨。韩 国执政党共同民主党党首郑清来上周表示，韩国的市净率远低于发达经济体约3倍的平均水平，并呼吁韩国股市应 享有更多溢价。 下一步 KOSPI指数的上涨主要归功于 ...

2026.02. 10 本文字数：1700，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 后歆桐 2025年年初至今，韩国股市已上涨121%。不过，多家华尔街机构认为即使市值已上涨1.7万亿美 元，"韩国折价"仍然存在。韩国股市多头预计，随着企业治理改革步伐加快，这波涨势还将继续。 摩根大通预计KOSPI指数年内最高将涨至7500点，比当前水平再上涨超过41%。 "韩国折价"仍存 根据汇编数据，从2025年至2026年2月6日，韩国KOSPI指数已上涨121，市场市值增加了1.7万亿 美元。同期，日本东证指数上涨了36%，美国标普500指数上涨了18%。即使经历了如此大幅的上 涨，韩国KOSPI指数目前的市净率仍仅为1.7倍，日本东证指数和美国标普500指数的市净率则分别 为1.9倍和5.5倍。KOSPI指数成分股的利润预计将在未来12个月内增长一倍以上。相比之下，日本 东证指数成分股的12个月盈利预期增幅为12%。 木星基金管理公司（Jupiter Fund Management）的投资经理康拉德（Sam Konrad）表示，这主 要得益于韩国总统李在明致力于消除"韩国折价"以及全球人工智能（AI）的蓬勃发展。虽 ...

黄金上周深V逆袭后，一路走高，昨天又是高开整理后，再闯关阻力区域，多头遭闪击跳水100美金， 再回升，激烈争夺5000的关口。 今天的走势 昨天震荡上破后，面临5090。 再度遇阻，今天跳水后，围绕5000关口调整。 横盘整理，多空不定。 上方再看5090的前高阻力，再闯关此位置。 上方突破，那么继续看向5200的关口。 当然了，下方回落，或再回踩4965的位置。 此位置支撑，看两个区域范围内的震荡整理。 对于现货黄金的投资，方向和趋势的判断尤其重要。更重要的是入场点和出场点的把握能力，说白了就 是准确率，这个是能够实现稳健获利的必要的前提条件。这个不是一两本书，或者一两年功夫实操就可 以锻炼出来的。而是需要长时间实操和结果和经验。 若久拖不涨，那么或继续回调。 下方跌破了4965，那么继续看向4800的支撑。 黄金本月大力回升，两度深V逆袭，支撑抬高，多头势头凶猛，再次上破，那么大的走强，看向5400的 区域。同时，闯关密集阻力区，下方再次大的调整，可看向4800的区域。 操作方面，黄金整体走强，关注4965和4800做多的机会。此外，黄金再闯阻力区域，关注5090-5100区 域做空的机会。 昨天主要因素 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Baillie Gifford's total holdings value decreased to $120.34 billion in Q4 2025, down approximately 10.8% from $135 billion in Q3 2025, primarily due to a net selling strategy and some growth stocks experiencing high-level corrections [1][2]. Group 1: Portfolio Adjustments - Nvidia remains the largest holding despite a 5.76% reduction in shares, accounting for 6.80% of the portfolio [3]. - Mercado Libre saw a 4.95% increase in holdings, raising its share to 5.83%, solidifying its position as a cornerstone of the portfolio [3]. - The top five holdings also include Amazon, Shopify, and Sea Ltd, with the top ten holdings comprising 43.4% of the total portfolio [4]. Group 2: Notable Transactions - Significant reductions were made in Amazon, Shopify, Meta, and Cloudflare, while Google saw a notable increase in holdings by 166%, reflecting a strategic shift towards AI capabilities [5][6]. - Baillie Gifford's investment in Google is valued at approximately $1.7 billion post-increase [6]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy and Trends - The investment team emphasizes the importance of adapting to the AI wave, suggesting that companies must pivot quickly to meet new market demands [9][10][12]. - The transition to AI is viewed as a new paradigm shift, with potential for significant growth opportunities as new companies emerge [14][15]. - The focus is on both "AI core" companies and those using AI as a tool to enhance existing services [21][24]. Group 4: Insights on China and Platform Companies - The sentiment in China has shifted, with a recognition of the country's potential to foster visionary entrepreneurs, particularly in the battery sector where CATL holds a significant market share [25][26]. - Platform companies are highlighted for their ability to create value through network effects and adaptability, requiring a long-term investment perspective [28]. Group 5: Non-Public Company Investments - Baillie Gifford has committed over £6 billion to non-public companies since 2012, recognizing the increasing duration of private company ownership before IPOs [31][32]. - The firm holds significant stakes in companies like SpaceX and ByteDance, which have shown substantial revenue growth compared to public market indices [33]. Group 6: Portfolio Construction Approach - The investment strategy is bottom-up, focusing on global transformations rather than specific trends or technologies [34]. - The portfolio includes a diverse range of companies across various sectors, with ongoing adjustments to capitalize on emerging growth opportunities [38].

Core Viewpoint - Baillie Gifford's total holdings value decreased to $120.34 billion in Q4 2025, down approximately 10.8% from $135 billion in Q3 2025, primarily due to a net selling strategy and high valuations of growth stocks [2][3]. Group 1: Portfolio Adjustments - Nvidia remains the largest holding at 6.80%, despite a 5.76% reduction in shares for the second consecutive quarter [4]. - Mercado Libre saw a 4.95% increase in holdings, raising its portfolio share to 5.83%, solidifying its position as a key asset [4]. - The top five holdings include Amazon, Shopify, and Sea Ltd, with the top ten holdings accounting for 43.4% of the portfolio [5]. Group 2: Notable Transactions - Significant reductions were made in Amazon, Shopify, Meta, and Cloudflare, while Google saw a notable increase in holdings by 166%, reflecting a strategic shift towards AI capabilities [6]. - Baillie Gifford's investment in Google is estimated at around $1.7 billion post-increase, indicating a focus on AI custom chips and cost advantages in large-scale computing [7]. Group 3: AI Investment Insights - The investment team emphasizes the importance of early engagement in AI trends, suggesting that companies must pivot quickly to new business models once product-market fit is established [10][12]. - The transition to an "intelligent paradigm" is viewed as the next major shift in technology, with AI expected to create new growth opportunities and large companies [13][14]. - Current AI applications are primarily in personal assistant chatbots and programming tools, with companies like Anthropic experiencing rapid growth [15][16]. Group 4: Chinese Market Perspectives - The sentiment in the Chinese market has shifted, with a recognition of the potential for visionary entrepreneurs and rapid technological advancements [24]. - Baillie Gifford holds a significant stake in CATL, which commands 40% of the global battery market, indicating confidence in the future of battery technology beyond electric vehicles [25]. - Despite geopolitical risks, the firm sees potential in select Chinese companies that remain undervalued [27]. Group 5: Non-Public Company Investments - Since 2012, Baillie Gifford has committed over £6 billion to non-public companies, recognizing the increasing time companies remain private before IPO [30]. - The non-public market has expanded significantly, with over 1,500 companies valued at over $1 billion, representing a total market cap exceeding $5 trillion [32]. - Investments in non-public companies like SpaceX and ByteDance are seen as essential for capturing growth opportunities that may be missed in public markets [33]. Group 6: Portfolio Construction Strategy - The portfolio is constructed from the bottom up, avoiding single bets on specific countries or trends, focusing instead on global transformations [36][37]. - The firm is actively reallocating capital towards disruptive growth opportunities, including increased investments in companies like CATL and Chinese consumer platforms [42].