Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of five-year fixed-term deposits by banks, starting with the Inner Mongolia Tuyuqi Mengyin Village Bank, indicates a potential industry trend rather than an isolated case, as many private and internet banks are following suit due to declining interest rates and the phenomenon of interest rate inversion [2][4]. Group 1: Reasons for Cancellation - Banks are discontinuing five-year fixed-term deposits primarily to address the narrowing net interest margin, as loan rates are decreasing faster than deposit rates, leading to higher costs for long-term deposits [3][4]. - The Tuyuqi Mengyin Village Bank has also lowered rates for other term deposits, with the one-year rate dropping to 1.45% and the two-year rate to 1.55% [4]. Group 2: Market Response and Trends - The average annualized yield for bank wealth management products has risen to approximately 2.12%, significantly higher than the current one-year fixed deposit rate of 0.95%, prompting a shift in investor preference towards these products [7]. - The number of individuals holding bank wealth management products has increased by 12.70% year-on-year in the first three quarters of this year, indicating a growing trend towards these alternatives [6][7]. Group 3: Future Directions for Banks - The shift away from long-term fixed deposits towards wealth management services reflects a broader transformation in the banking industry, where competition will increasingly focus on providing diversified asset allocation solutions [8]. - Banks that can effectively meet customer needs with stable and competitive yield products are expected to gain an advantage in the evolving market landscape [8].

Core Viewpoint - Recent adjustments by small and medium-sized banks in China focus on optimizing liability structures and reducing costs, particularly by eliminating long-term deposit products and lowering interest rates [1][2][3] Group 1: Bank Adjustments - Several small and medium-sized banks have recently removed 3-year and 5-year fixed deposit products, with some banks explicitly canceling the 5-year fixed deposit option [1][2] - The Inner Mongolia Tongyu Mengyin Village Bank was the first to announce the cancellation of the 5-year fixed deposit starting November 5, with interest rates for 1-year and 2-year deposits reduced by 5 basis points to 1.45% and 1.55%, respectively, and a 10 basis point reduction for the 3-year deposit to 1.85% [1] - Other banks, including private banks like WeBank and CITIC Baixin Bank, have also removed 5-year fixed deposit options, with some even eliminating 3-year deposits [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The phenomenon of "interest rate inversion" is becoming more common, where 3-year deposit rates exceed 5-year rates, indicating a decline in the attractiveness of long-term deposits [2][3] - The adjustments are driven by both operational pressures and policy environments, with narrowing net interest margins particularly affecting small and medium-sized banks [3] - The expectation is that more banks will follow suit in adjusting long-term deposit products, leading to a potential industry-wide trend [2][3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict a downward trend in deposit rates, especially for medium- to long-term deposits, as banks face ongoing pressure on net interest margins [4] - Banks are advised to diversify income sources and enhance service efficiency to maintain competitiveness, particularly those that have relied heavily on high-interest deposits [3][4] - The structure of bank deposit products is expected to shift towards shorter and more differentiated offerings, with a simplification of medium- to long-term products and an overall decline in interest rates [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The long-term fixed deposit products are being phased out by several banks, with the Tongyu County Mengyin Village Bank being the first to officially announce the cancellation of the 5-year fixed deposit product, indicating a trend in the banking industry towards reducing long-term deposit offerings due to narrowing net interest margins [1][2][7]. Group 1: Bank Actions - The Tongyu County Mengyin Village Bank announced a reduction in deposit rates and the cancellation of the 5-year fixed deposit product effective November 5, 2025, marking it as the first commercial bank to do so [2]. - Other banks, such as the Kundu Lun Mengyin Village Bank and Hubei Jingmen Rural Commercial Bank, have also reduced their deposit rates and removed the 5-year fixed deposit from their offerings, although they did not issue formal announcements [2][6]. - A total of seven private banks have removed the 5-year fixed deposit from their deposit pages, including Keshang Bank and Wanzhang Bank, with some also removing 3-year fixed deposits [2][6]. Group 2: Market Trends - The disappearance of the 5-year fixed deposit is not limited to small banks; major national banks have also stopped offering 5-year large denomination certificates of deposit, with some city commercial banks restricting them to special customer categories [6][8]. - The trend of phasing out long-term deposits is attributed to the ongoing pressure of narrowing net interest margins, prompting banks to optimize their liability structures and manage costs more effectively [7][8]. - Analysts suggest that the reluctance of customers to invest in 5-year deposits, which often offer lower interest rates compared to 3-year deposits, is also influencing banks' decisions to withdraw these products [8].

Core Viewpoint - CGS International maintains a "Hold" rating on UOB but lowers the target price from SGD 38.30 to SGD 36.50 due to concerns over the bank's earnings recovery following a significant one-time provision in Q3 2025 to address risks in the US and Greater China commercial real estate sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - UOB recorded a special provision of SGD 479 million in Q3 2025, with credit costs reaching 55 basis points, significantly higher than the bank's previous guidance of 25-30 basis points for the fiscal year [1]. - The increase in provisions is attributed to declining transaction valuations in the US and Greater China commercial real estate markets, necessitating write-downs on loan book asset values [1]. - UOB decided to recognize an additional general provision of SGD 615 million, bringing the total general provision for Q3 to SGD 687 million [1]. Group 2: Earnings Forecast - CGS International has significantly reduced UOB's earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, cutting the 2025 fiscal year EPS estimate by 18.8%, and lowering the 2026 and 2027 fiscal year EPS estimates by 13.1% and 10.4%, respectively [2]. - Despite UOB management's positive signals regarding credit costs normalizing in Q4 and FY 2026, market concerns about high credit costs are expected to persist in the short term [2].

Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of 5-year fixed deposits by banks, including Inner Mongolia's Mengyin Village Bank, reflects a broader trend in the banking industry aimed at managing liability costs amid narrowing net interest margins and strong expectations for interest rate cuts [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Several banks have removed 5-year deposit options from their product lists, indicating a shift towards shorter-term funding to reduce long-term interest rate risks [1][2]. - The trend is driven by banks' need to optimize their liability structures and respond to regulatory guidance encouraging lower-cost funding [3][4]. Bank Strategies - Banks are increasingly favoring short-term deposits over long-term ones due to the high costs associated with 5-year deposits in the current economic environment [2][3]. - The expectation of interest rate cuts has led banks to adjust their deposit products, shortening the average maturity of liabilities to enhance pricing flexibility [2][3][4]. Customer Behavior - There is a notable decline in customer demand for 5-year fixed deposits, influenced by uncertainty in interest rate trends and the current lower rates compared to previous periods [3][4]. - The existing interest rate inversion between 3-year and 5-year deposits further discourages customers from opting for longer-term deposits [3][4]. Recommendations for Depositors - With the phasing out of 5-year fixed deposits, customers are advised to adopt diversified wealth management strategies, such as creating a laddered deposit portfolio with varying maturities [5][6]. - Alternative investment options for risk-averse customers include large-denomination certificates of deposit, government bonds, and structured deposits, which offer better returns than traditional savings [6][7]. - For those seeking stable returns, options like pension savings and insurance products are recommended, although they may come with lower liquidity [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The long-term deposit products, once considered a "stabilizing force" for investors, are gradually disappearing from the shelves of some banks, indicating a profound restructuring of the banking industry's profit logic in response to deepening interest rate marketization and a low-interest environment [1][4][8]. Group 1: Disappearance of Long-term Deposits - As of November 9, major state-owned banks and some joint-stock banks have removed 5-year large certificates of deposit (CDs) from their offerings, with banks like ICBC, ABC, and BOC no longer listing these products [2][3]. - The interest rates for commonly available 3-year large CDs are now between 1.5% and 1.75%, with some banks facing a "one order hard to find" situation due to limited availability [2][3]. - Regional banks are also tightening their long-term CD offerings, with many now focusing on shorter terms such as 1 month, 3 months, and 1 year [3][5]. Group 2: Strategic Shift in Banking - The current low net interest margin has prompted banks to lower their liability costs to maintain stable profit levels, leading to the reduction or cancellation of high-interest long-term CDs [4][7]. - Smaller banks, particularly village banks, are also halting long-term deposit products, reflecting a broader industry trend towards optimizing balance sheets in response to regulatory pressures and changing market conditions [5][7]. - The traditional banking model of high-interest deposits and low-interest loans is facing unprecedented challenges, with net interest margins dropping to historical lows [8][9]. Group 3: Future Directions - The banking sector is expected to increasingly favor short-term adjustments and flexible combinations of various financial products to enhance customer loyalty and stabilize relationships [9]. - Banks are likely to optimize their liability structures by offering more medium- and short-term deposit products, reducing the proportion of high-cost deposits, and improving overall profitability through wealth management services [9].

Core Viewpoint - Su Nong Bank has appointed Wang Liang as the new president following the resignation of Zhang Yingjie due to work changes, with the new management team facing challenges related to narrowing interest margins and slowing revenue growth [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Su Nong Bank reported operating income of 3.221 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.08%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.708 billion yuan, up 5.01% year-on-year [1]. - The bank's net interest income decreased from 2.14 billion yuan in the same period last year to 2.058 billion yuan due to a narrowing net interest margin [1][2]. - The net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was reported at 1.33%, down from 1.55% in 2024 and 1.74% in 2023 [4]. Loan and Credit Growth - As of mid-2025, Su Nong Bank's loan balance reached 136.331 billion yuan, an increase of 6.997 billion yuan or 5.41% from the beginning of the year [3]. - The bank aims to continue supporting small and micro enterprises while optimizing the structure of fund supply and focusing on key areas such as rural revitalization, advanced manufacturing, green development, and technological innovation [3]. Management Changes - Wang Liang, previously the deputy secretary of the party committee at Su Nong Bank, has taken over as acting president pending regulatory approval [1][4]. - The departure of the former president is not expected to disrupt the normal operations of the board or the management of the bank [4].

Core Insights - The overall performance of A-share listed banks in the first three quarters of 2025 reflects a stable total, improved structure, and significant differentiation amid a gradually recovering macroeconomic environment [1][10] - Revenue growth remains robust, with over 60% of listed banks reporting year-on-year increases, driven by optimized asset structures and a focus on non-interest income [2][10] - The net interest margin (NIM), a key profitability driver, is under pressure, posing challenges to the banking industry's profit model [1][7] Revenue Growth Resilience - More than 60% of A-share listed banks achieved positive year-on-year revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating effective support for the real economy [2][4] - There is a clear structural differentiation in growth dynamics among banks of different sizes, with larger banks showing stable revenue while some smaller banks exhibit stronger growth [4][10] Bank Performance Data - Key performance metrics for selected banks in the first three quarters of 2025 include: - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China: Revenue of 6400.28 billion, 2.17% growth; Net profit of 2718.82 billion, 0.52% growth - Agricultural Bank of China: Revenue of 5508.76 billion, 1.97% growth; Net profit of 2223.23 billion, 3.28% growth - Minsheng Bank: Revenue of 1085.09 billion, 6.74% decline; Net profit of 285.39 billion, 7.09% decline - Jiangsu Bank: Revenue of 671.83 billion, 7.83% growth; Net profit of 318.95 billion, 8.87% growth [3][4] Performance of State-Owned Banks - State-owned banks maintain a leading position in revenue due to their large asset scale and extensive customer base, with revenue growth rates above 1.5% for major banks [4][6] - Despite a stable net profit growth, the overall growth rates are moderate, reflecting the challenges of achieving high growth from a large base [4][6] Performance of Smaller Banks - Some smaller banks and regional banks demonstrate significant growth potential, with Minsheng Bank and Jiangsu Bank showing revenue growth rates of 6.74% and 7.83%, respectively [4][6] - The ability of these banks to achieve rapid profit growth is attributed to precise customer targeting, effective cost management, and supplementary income from non-interest sources [6][10] Net Interest Margin Challenges - The net interest margin for listed banks is generally declining, primarily due to factors such as the decrease in loan market quotation rates and adjustments in existing mortgage rates [7][8] - State-owned banks and some joint-stock banks experience a decline in NIM by approximately 15 basis points, while Postal Savings Bank sees a more significant drop of 21 basis points [8][9] Resilience in NIM - Some banks, like Minsheng Bank, show resilience with a slight increase in NIM, indicating effective business structure management in response to interest rate fluctuations [9][10] - Regional banks like Ningbo Bank exhibit smaller declines in NIM compared to the industry average, showcasing the effectiveness of their localized service models [9][10] Future Outlook - The banking sector's operating environment is expected to gradually improve with the continued effectiveness of macroeconomic policies, although differentiation among institutions is likely to persist [10] - Large banks need to leverage technology to enhance their comprehensive service advantages, while smaller banks must focus on deepening their niche markets to establish competitive strengths [10]

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is initiating preparations for the 2026 "Opening Red" campaign earlier than usual, focusing on deposit acquisition, credit issuance, and customer expansion to secure market share and establish a performance baseline for the upcoming year [1][5]. Group 1: Industry Trends - Multiple banks, including regional and rural banks, have already held mobilization meetings for the 2026 "Opening Red" campaign, indicating a proactive approach to securing customer resources [3][4]. - The current banking environment is characterized by asset scarcity and intense competition on the liability side, prompting banks to prioritize early volume increases to stabilize annual performance amid narrowing net interest margins and weak credit demand [5][8]. Group 2: Specific Actions by Banks - Banks like Pudong Development Bank and Huaxia Bank have organized meetings to set clear goals and strategies for the "Opening Red" campaign, including signing responsibility agreements among operational units [3][4]. - Hubei Bank has launched promotional activities such as "Deposit Enjoy Goodies," offering competitive interest rates and gifts for new and existing customers to encourage deposits [7][8]. Group 3: Marketing Strategies - Some banks are utilizing social media to promote deposit products and engage potential customers ahead of the official campaign launch [6][7]. - Training sessions have been conducted by banks to refine marketing strategies, focusing on retaining existing customers and attracting new ones through targeted approaches [4][8]. Group 4: Long-term Considerations - Analysts suggest that while short-term strategies like high deposit rates and promotional gifts may attract customers, they could lead to increased liability costs and pressure on net interest margins in the long run [8][9]. - The banking sector is encouraged to shift from a focus on scale to high-quality development, emphasizing customer insights and differentiated services to enhance customer loyalty and reduce reliance on aggressive marketing tactics [8][9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent maturity of high-interest deposits is leading customers to diversify their investments into wealth management products, as these products currently offer higher yields compared to similar-term deposits [1][2][3] - The banking industry is experiencing a shift in deposit structure, with an increase in demand for wealth management products, stocks, and funds as alternatives to traditional savings [1][3] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total number of wealth management products in the market reached 43,900, a year-on-year increase of 10.01%, with a total scale of 32.13 trillion yuan, up 9.42% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - Recent reports from listed banks indicate a growth in demand for demand deposits, with a notable increase in the proportion of these deposits, suggesting a positive trend in the banking sector [3] - The decline in deposit rates is expected to accelerate the re-pricing of high-interest deposits, which may alleviate the pressure on banks' net interest margins and create room for future monetary easing [4] - The overall trend indicates that as the capital market stabilizes, there is a growing need for asset reallocation among residents, further influencing the banking liability structure [3][4]