Group 1 - The three major indices opened high but experienced fluctuations, with the securities sector undergoing a pullback, as evidenced by the 0.29% decline in the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index [1] - The largest securities ETF in the Shenzhen market (159841) saw a decrease of 0.21%, with a trading volume exceeding 40 million yuan, while only a few constituent stocks like Hongta Securities, Huatai Securities, Guosheng Financial Holdings, and Caitong Securities showed positive performance [1] - Notably, the securities ETF (159841) has recorded a continuous net inflow of funds over the past seven trading days, accumulating over 120 million yuan [1] Group 2 - According to Citic Securities, the current valuation of the securities industry has adjusted to a reasonable level, supported by favorable fundamentals, policies, and liquidity, as well as the stimulus from industry mergers and acquisitions [1] - The investment strategy recommended by Citic Securities includes focusing on companies with high growth expected in the mid-2025 interim report and low valuations, as well as monitoring the ongoing implementation of regulatory policies and the development prospects of financial advisory, buy-side advisory, and derivatives businesses [1] - Yongxing Securities suggests that the underweighting of the securities sector by public funds may present a reallocation opportunity, particularly for leading securities firms [2] - Zhongyuan Securities indicates that the securities sector is currently in a consolidation phase, awaiting the start of the next upward cycle, with a favorable opportunity for reallocation due to the relative low valuation [2]

Group 1 - The insurance securities ETF (515630.SH) increased by 0.41%, while its associated index 800 Securities Insurance (399966.SZ) rose by 0.55% [1] - Major constituent stocks such as China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Life saw increases of 1.58%, 2.27%, and 1.74% respectively [1] - CITIC Securities' latest research report indicates that the brokerage sector's valuation is expected to stabilize and rebound due to liquidity benefits from interest rate cuts, strong year-on-year growth in semi-annual reports, and the implementation of a package of financial policies [1] Group 2 - The brokerage sector's valuation has adjusted to a reasonable level, with positive catalysts from fundamentals, policies, and liquidity benefits, as well as merger and acquisition themes stimulating the sector's elasticity [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan's research highlights that value-style active equity funds have a structure more aligned with broad-based indices like CSI 300 and CSI 800, indicating a high overlap with the constituent stocks of the 800 Securities Insurance index [1] - Guotai Junan Futures emphasizes that the financial sector's performance is closely related to macroeconomic recovery expectations, and attention should be paid to the marginal impact of policies on the insurance securities industry [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index turning positive near the close, indicating a recovery trend [1] - The largest securities ETF in the Shenzhen market, Securities ETF (159841), saw a slight increase of 0.10% with a trading volume exceeding 72 million yuan, reflecting active trading [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced measures to encourage private equity funds to participate in mergers and acquisitions of listed companies, signaling a supportive regulatory environment [1] Group 2 - A comprehensive set of financial policies was introduced to stabilize the market and expectations, with projections of high growth in revenue and profits for listed securities firms by Q1 2025 [2] - The current valuation of the securities sector is misaligned with its high profitability, suggesting potential for a rebound in stock prices [2] - Continuous measures to stabilize and activate the capital market are expected to support the performance and valuation recovery of the securities sector [2]

Group 1 - In Q1 2025, the trading volume of stock funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 99.55 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68%, with an average daily trading volume of 16.87 billion yuan, up 74% year-on-year [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a plan to promote long-term capital entering the market, aiming to address obstacles and provide momentum for the stability and growth of the capital market [1] - The performance of listed securities firms showed significant growth, with operating income reaching 125.93 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders at 52.18 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 25% and 83% respectively [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities reported that the brokerage industry is maintaining a trend of concentration among leading firms, with a significant increase in proprietary business growth driving high performance [2] - The performance of Chinese brokerage firms in Hong Kong is attributed to the substantial price difference between A-shares and H-shares, contributing to better performance in the Hong Kong market [2] - The revenue and profit of listed brokerages increased by 25% and 83% year-on-year, with notable growth in brokerage, proprietary trading, and net interest income, which rose by 49%, 51%, and 27% respectively [2]

高景气度下券商板块盈利能力与估值存在预期差 20240514 摘要 • 券商板块 EQ25 业绩虽受费用率影响，仍保持 55%正增长，主要驱动力来 自手续费收入，占比达 29%，受益于市场回暖及经纪业务高增长，自营业 务贡献显著提升至 43%，成为业绩增长关键。 • 公募基金高质量发展行动方案强化业绩基准约束，促使基金补配沪深 300 欠配行业，其中证券板块欠配 6.3%，东财和中信证券欠配程度最高，推 动非金融板块近期上涨。 • 广发证券被推荐基于其估值低估、基本面拐点，投行业务监管恢复有望兑 现业绩；资管特色明显，参控股易方达 ETF 排名行业第二，业绩贡献显著； 财富管理先发优势，与易方达、广发基金成立线下投顾学院。 • 券商未来发展关注业绩弹性与并购重组两条主线，同时国际业务对头部券 商业绩贡献日益显著，尤其关注港股 IPO 反弹带来的机遇，以及在国际业 务方面已具品牌优势的大型券商。 • 2025 年第二季度券商板块各项指标亮眼，同比增长 83%，环比增长 19%，自 2024 年第一季度起逐季改善，自营和经纪业务是推动业绩高增 的主要因素。 Q&A 今年券商板块的业绩增速情况如何？ 今年券商板块的 ...

Core Insights - The leading Chinese securities firms are accelerating their strategic layout for Hong Kong IPOs, supported by coordinated domestic and foreign policies [1] - The performance of the brokerage industry is expected to significantly recover in 2024, driven by favorable policies, increasing proprietary income, and a low base effect from 2023 [1] - In 2025, continued market recovery is anticipated, with increases in stock trading volume, financing balance, and equity fund issuance, which will further boost wealth management income for brokerages [1] Industry Summary - Major brokerages are expected to see a substantial year-on-year increase in net profit in Q1 2025, with a 92% rise in net profit attributable to shareholders and a 51% increase in net profit excluding non-recurring items [1] - Three main trends are highlighted: 1. Continued expansion of total assets driven by financial investment scale, though there is a divergence in leverage ratios [1] 2. Growth in investment contributions, with major brokerages experiencing a general increase in investment-related income, indicating strong elasticity [1] 3. Recovery of light capital businesses, with a 71% year-on-year increase in average daily stock fund transaction volume and improvements in brokerage net income and investment banking net income [1] Future Outlook - The political bureau's meeting has set the tone for a stable and active capital market, with expectations for continued supportive policies for the capital market [1] - Attention is drawn to leading brokerages with strong balance sheet management and stable performance growth, as well as structural opportunities related to mergers and acquisitions [1] Related Companies - Companies with significant AH price differences include China International Capital Corporation (03908), CITIC Securities (06030), Everbright Securities (06178), CITIC Jiantou Securities (06066), Hongye Futures (03678), and GF Securities (01776) [2]

——券商板块1Q25业绩综述 证券分析师： 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 证 券 研 究 报 告 1Q25业绩同比+83%，高景气度下券商板块盈利能力与估值存在预期差 ◼ 业绩概览： 1Q25，券商板块归母净利润同比增长83%，环比增长19%，经纪及自营表现较好。 ◼ 轻资产业务：经纪零售业务发力，投行再融资同比高增驱动收入同比正增（IPO同比承压）。 • 1Q25经纪、投行、资管业务收入分别yoy+49%、yoy+5%、yoy-3%，我们预计收入结构变化&佣金率下行导致券商板块经纪业务收入同比跑输市场成交；投行 业务IPO同比承压，再融资同比高增支撑收入同比正增；资管业务量增不敌价减，关注参控股公募对券商利润的稳定作用。 ◼ 资本金业务：投资收益率显著改善，融资业务扩表&资金成本压降共同驱动利息净收入增长。 研究支持： 金黎丹 A0230123060002 2025.5.6 核心观点：高景气度下券商板块盈利能力&估值存在预期差 • 投资业务为业绩同比高增关键，主营收入拆分如下（剔除其他手续费及长股投）：1）轻资产业务：经纪业务收入327亿元/yoy+49%/qoq-22%/占比29%；投 行业务收入 ...

智通财经记者 | 陈靖 2025年一季度，券业迎来开门红。 据季报数据，今年一季度，42家上市券商合计实现营业收入1259.30亿元，同比增长24.6%；实现归属于 母公司股东的净利润521.83亿元，同比增加83.48%。 其中，37家券商净利润同比增长，22家增幅超50%，7家实现翻倍式增长。 头部券商优势依旧显著，其中，中信证券（600030.SH）以177.61亿元营收、65.45亿元净利润稳居行业 第一，同比分别增长29%和32%，经纪、自营、投行业务均贡献稳定收入。国泰海通（601211.SH）净 利润同比暴增391.78%至122.42亿元，主因并购重组带来的资产整合效应及自营业务收益提升。华泰证 券（601688.SH）营收82.32亿元、净利润36.42亿元，同比分别增长35%和59%，财富管理与机构服务业 务表现亮眼。 在营业收入方面，Choice金融终端显示，共有2家证券公司突破百亿大关。中信证券以177.61亿元的营 业收入稳居榜首，同比增长29.13%。合并后的国泰海通以117.73亿元位列第二，营业收入同比大幅增长 47.48%。 值得关注的是，营收前十的座次出现调整。东方证券（6 ...

NO.1猛增392%！国泰海通首份季报出炉 4月29日晚间，国泰海通披露一季报。数据显示，2025年第一季度实现营业收入117.73亿元，同比增长 47.48%；归属于母公司所有者的净利润为122.42亿元，同比增长391.78%。扣除非经常性损益后的净利 润为32.93亿元，同比增加60.65%。根据季报，营业收入增长主要是金融工具投资收益净额、经纪业务 手续费净收入同比增加。归属于母公司所有者的净利润增长主要是吸收合并海通证券产生的负商誉带来 营业外收入增加。 点评：国泰海通一季度业绩大幅提升，金融工具投资收益和经纪业务手续费净收入显著增加，吸收合并 海通证券产生负商誉带来营业外收入增加，对公司股价形成积极支撑。券商板块或受益于市场活跃度提 升，整体市场情绪可能受到提振。 NO.2公募总规模稳住32万亿，QDII及股票型基金申购热情高涨 4月29日，中国基金业协会发布最新一期公募基金市场数据。截至今年3月底，公募基金总规模达到 32.22万亿元，连续两个月规模站稳32万亿元大关。从环比情况看，上个月公募基金规模变化较为平 稳，相比2月末，规模减少近百亿元，环比下跌0.03%，这也是自2020年10月以来， ...