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宝城期货橡胶早报-20250521
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 01:56
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Report's Core View - The Shanghai rubber futures 2509 contract is expected to maintain a slightly stronger oscillating trend on Wednesday, and the synthetic rubber futures 2507 contract is also expected to maintain a slightly stronger oscillating trend [5][7] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - Short - term view: Oscillating; Medium - term view: Oscillating; Intraday view: Slightly stronger oscillating; Reference view: Stronger operation [1][5] - Core logic: Macro factors have improved, boosting the confidence to buy in the rubber market. However, the new rubber supply is gradually increasing as the rubber - tapping season arrives. The downstream tire industry's procurement demand is expected to increase. Despite a 0.74% decline in the 2509 contract on Tuesday night, it may maintain a slightly stronger oscillating trend on Wednesday [5] Synthetic Rubber (BR) - Short - term view: Oscillating; Medium - term view: Oscillating; Intraday view: Rising; Reference view: Stronger operation [1][7] - Core logic: Although macro factors are turning optimistic, the US debt crisis in June may cause a negative impact. OPEC+ is increasing production, and oil demand is expected to be weak. But the news of Israel's possible attack on Iran's nuclear facilities has driven up oil prices. Despite a 0.86% decline in the 2507 contract on Tuesday night, it may maintain a slightly stronger oscillating trend on Wednesday [7]
宝城期货橡胶早报-20250519
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 02:20
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Both Shanghai rubber (RU) and synthetic rubber (BR) are expected to run weakly, with an intraday view of being weakly volatile and a medium - term view of being volatile [1][5][7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **Price Performance**: Last Friday night, the domestic Shanghai rubber futures 2509 contract closed slightly lower by 1.16% to 14,850 yuan/ton [5]. - **Driving Logic**: Although the macro - factor has improved and boosted the confidence in the rubber market, the new rubber supply is increasing as the natural rubber producing areas at home and abroad enter the new tapping season. Meanwhile, the downstream tire industry's procurement demand is expected to increase as the operating rate returns to normal. With limited improvement in the supply - demand structure, it is expected that the domestic rubber futures may maintain a weakly volatile trend on Monday [5]. Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **Price Performance**: Last Friday night, the domestic synthetic rubber futures 2507 contract closed slightly lower by 0.45% to 12,290 yuan/ton [7]. - **Driving Logic**: Although the Sino - US economic and trade relations have made substantial progress and the macro - factor has turned optimistic, the approaching US debt crisis in June may cause a new round of negative macro - impacts. Also, OPEC+ is increasing production, and the expected demand for crude oil is weak. With the weakening of cost factors, it is expected that the domestic synthetic rubber futures 2507 contract may maintain a weakly volatile trend on Monday [7].