1. Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents the latest trading day's (October 27, 2025) and historical (October 21 - 24, 2025) data on various futures varieties, including basis, inter - month spreads, and inter - commodity spreads, for different sectors such as thermal coal, energy and chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. The data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice [56]. 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1 Thermal Coal - The basis data for thermal coal from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows that the basis on October 21 was - 39.4 yuan/ton, which gradually increased to - 31.4 yuan/ton on October 27. The spreads between different contract months (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) were all 0.0 yuan/ton during this period [2]. 3.2 Energy and Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - For energy commodities, data on basis, ratio, and other indicators are provided for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from October 21 - 27, 2025. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on October 27 was 55.04 yuan/ton, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1414 [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows fluctuations. For instance, the basis of rubber decreased from - 850 yuan/ton on October 21 to - 630 yuan/ton on October 27 [9]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was 60 yuan/ton [11]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from October 21 - 27, 2025, are provided. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on October 27 was 2273 yuan/ton [11]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9(10) - 1, 9(10) - 5) of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was 61.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from October 21 - 27, 2025, are presented. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio on October 27 was 3.96 [20]. - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows changes. For example, the basis of rebar on October 27 was 130.0 yuan/ton [21]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows significant fluctuations. For example, the basis of copper changed from 250 yuan/ton on October 21 to - 70 yuan/ton on October 27 [28]. 3.4.2 London Market - Data on LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on October 27, 2025, are provided. For example, the LME spread of copper was (25.97) [33]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans (No. 1 and No. 2), soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows changes. For example, the basis of soybeans (No. 1) on October 27 was - 97 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of various agricultural products are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans (No. 1) was 40 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads such as soybean (No. 1)/corn, soybean (No. 2)/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from October 21 - 27, 2025, are provided. For example, the soybean (No. 1)/corn ratio on October 27 was 1.93 [39]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows fluctuations. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on October 27 was 31.62 [50]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the next month - current month spread of CSI 300 was - 14.8 [50].

Group 1: Steel Industry Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoint Steel prices have strengthened, with a rebound of 100 yuan per ton from the low. The apparent demand for the five major steel products has recovered well this week, approaching last year's level, but the off - balance - sheet demand is lower year - on - year. Plate inventories are high, and steel mill profits are falling, which will suppress production. The 1 - month contracts of rebar and hot - rolled coils are expected to recover at previous highs. Hold long positions and pay attention to the pressure at previous highs (3200 yuan for rebar and 3400 yuan for hot - rolled coils). The coking coal long - hot - rolled coil short arbitrage has widened, and the arbitrage position can be held [1]. Summaries by Directory - **Steel Prices and Spreads**: Rebar and hot - rolled coil spot and futures prices in different regions have increased. For example, the spot price of rebar in East China rose from 3200 to 3210 yuan/ton, and the 05 - contract price of hot - rolled coil rose from 3265 to 3312 yuan/ton [1]. - **Cost and Profit**: Steel billet and slab prices have changed, with steel billet rising by 30 to 2960 yuan. Profits of various steel products in different regions have declined. For instance, the profit of East China hot - rolled coils dropped from - 5 to - 12 yuan [1]. - **Production**: The daily average pig iron output decreased by 1.0 to 239.9, a - 0.4% decline. The output of the five major steel products increased by 8.4 to 865.3, a 1.0% increase [1]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of the five major steel products decreased by 27.4 to 1554.9, a - 1.7% decline. Rebar and hot - rolled coil inventories also decreased [1]. - **Transaction and Demand**: Building material trading volume increased by 3.2 to 12.3, a 35.5% increase. The apparent demand for the five major steel products increased by 17.3 to 892.7, a 2.0% increase [1]. Group 2: Iron Ore Industry Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoint Yesterday, iron ore futures stabilized and rebounded. The supply side shows that the global iron ore shipment volume increased week - on - week last week, while the arrival volume at 45 ports decreased significantly. The demand side has weakening demand for restocking due to falling steel mill profits and decreasing pig iron output. The downstream demand for steel is gradually recovering but lower than expected. After the previous callback, the negative factors have been fully digested. Unilaterally, go long on the 2601 contract of iron ore at low prices, with a reference range of 770 - 830. Recommend the 1 - 5 positive arbitrage [3]. Summaries by Directory - **Iron Ore Prices and Spreads**: The warehouse - receipt costs of various iron ore varieties increased, and the basis of the 01 - contract for different varieties decreased slightly. The 1 - 5 spread increased by 2.5 to 23.0, a 12.2% increase [3]. - **Spot Prices and Price Indexes**: The spot prices of iron ore at Rizhao Port increased. For example, the price of PB powder rose from 778 to 792 yuan/ton [3]. - **Supply**: The weekly arrival volume at 45 ports decreased by 490.3 to 2029.1, a - 19.5% decline, and the global shipment volume increased by 54.9 to 3388.4, a 1.6% increase [3]. - **Demand**: The daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills decreased by 1.0 to 239.9, a - 0.4% decline, and the national pig iron and crude steel monthly outputs also decreased [3]. - **Inventory Changes**: The inventory at 45 ports increased by 54.7 to 14423.59, a 0.4% increase, and the imported ore inventory of 247 steel mills increased by 96.5 to 9079.2, a 1.1% increase [3]. Group 3: Coke and Coking Coal Industry Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoint Yesterday, coke and coking coal futures showed an upward trend. For coke, the second - round price increase proposed by mainstream coke enterprises has been implemented, and there is still room for further increase. The supply of coking coal has decreased, and the price has risen, resulting in increased costs for coke production and reduced coke production. Steel mill demand is weak, and inventories are in a state of mixed changes. For coking coal, the spot price is rising, supply is tight due to production cuts, and there is restocking demand after de - stocking. Speculatively, go long on the 2601 contract of coke in the range of 1650 - 1850 and long coking coal short coke for arbitrage. For coking coal, go long on the 2601 contract in the range of 1150 - 1350 and long coking coal short coke for arbitrage [5]. Summaries by Directory - **Coke - Related Prices and Spreads**: The prices of coke in different regions and contracts increased. For example, the price of Shanxi quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke (warehouse - receipt) rose from 1561 to 1612 yuan/ton, and the 01 - contract price of coke rose from 1758 to 1780 yuan/ton [5]. - **Coking Coal - Related Prices and Spreads**: The prices of coking coal in different forms and contracts also increased. For example, the price of Mongolia 5 raw coal (warehouse - receipt) rose from 1318 to 1329 yuan/ton, and the 01 - contract price of coking coal rose from 1249 to 1264 yuan/ton [5]. - **Supply**: Coke production decreased, with the daily average output of all - sample coking plants dropping from 65.3 to 64.6 tons. Coking coal production also decreased, with the raw coal output of Fenwei sample coal mines dropping from 854 to 848 tons [5]. - **Demand**: The pig iron output of 247 steel mills decreased from 241.0 to 239.9 tons, indicating weakening demand for coke [5]. - **Inventory Changes**: Coke inventory remained stable overall, with coking plants and steel mills de - stocking and ports increasing inventory. Coking coal inventory showed mixed changes, with coal mines and steel mills de - stocking and coking plants and ports increasing inventory [5].

Report Overview The report is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for October 27, 2025, covering multiple sectors including thermal coal, energy and chemicals, black metals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View The report mainly presents the basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads data of various futures products from October 20 to October 24, 2025, without a clear core view statement. 3. Summary by Category Thermal Coal - **Basis Data**: The basis data for thermal coal from October 20 to October 24, 2025, shows values ranging from - 45.4 to - 31.4 yuan/ton, and the inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) are all 0 [1][2]. Energy and Chemicals - **Energy Commodities Basis**: For energy commodities such as fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt, the basis data from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is presented, along with their respective ratios [7]. - **Chemical Commodities Basis**: The basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 20 to October 24, 2025, shows different values. For example, the basis of rubber ranges from - 850 to - 585 yuan/ton [9]. - **Chemical Commodities Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., are provided. For instance, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber is 70 yuan/ton [10]. - **Chemical Commodities Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, are given. For example, on October 24, 2025, the LLDPE - PVC spread is 2266 yuan/ton [10]. Black Metals - **Black Metals Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, 9(10) - 5 month) for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rebar is 61 yuan/ton [19]. - **Black Metals Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, are provided. For example, on October 24, 2025, the rebar/iron ore ratio is 3.96 [19]. Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market Basis**: The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is shown. For example, the basis of copper ranges from 250 to - 1300 yuan/ton [28]. - **London Market Data**: The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data for LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, etc.) on October 24, 2025, are provided [31]. Agricultural Products - **Agricultural Products Basis**: The basis data for soybeans (first - grade and second - grade), soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is presented. For example, the basis of first - grade soybeans ranges from - 133 to - 124 yuan/ton [37]. - **Agricultural Products Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) for soybeans, soybean meal, etc., are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of first - grade soybeans is 30 yuan/ton [37]. - **Agricultural Products Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as soybeans (first - grade)/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, are given. For example, on October 24, 2025, the soybean oil/soybean meal ratio is 2.78 [36]. Stock Index Futures - **Stock Index Futures Basis**: The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is shown. For example, the basis of CSI 300 ranges from 25.54 to 31.42 [48]. - **Stock Index Futures Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) for CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., are provided. For example, the next month - current month spread of CSI 300 is - 41.6 [50].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The strength analysis of casting aluminum alloy is neutral [2] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The cost - end logic of casting aluminum alloy still exists, and the price is supported. The short - term price is expected to fluctuate at a high level, and in the medium - to - long - term, it is bullish. It is advisable to look for buying points on dips [6] - The combined inventory of cast aluminum alloy ingot factories and social warehouses has increased, and the inventory pressure remains. However, with the arrival of the year - end sales rush in the automotive industry, car sales are expected to improve month - on - month [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Transaction End - Volume and Price - The weekly price of casting aluminum alloy futures fluctuated strongly, reaching a high of 20,775 yuan/ton during the week. The scrap aluminum price fluctuated strongly, and the prices of raw and processed aluminum increased simultaneously. Some enterprises faced prominent cost pressure due to low raw material inventories. The demand showed certain resilience, and leading enterprises maintained a good production rhythm [6] 3.2 Transaction End - Arbitrage 3.2.1 Inter - period Positive Arbitrage Cost Calculation - For the AD2511.shf and AD2512.shf contracts on October 24, 2025, the futures price difference was 90 yuan/ton. The fixed cost was 14.48 yuan/ton, the floating cost was 65.89 yuan/ton, and the total cost was 80 yuan/ton [12] 3.2.2 Spot - Futures Arbitrage Cost Calculation - The reference price of casting aluminum alloy spot was 20,700 yuan/ton. Considering various costs such as storage fees, capital costs, and handling fees, the warehouse receipt cost was 20,916.4 yuan/ton [14] 3.3 Supply End - Scrap Aluminum - Scrap aluminum production was at a high level, and social inventory was decreasing. The import of scrap aluminum was also at a high level, with a relatively fast year - on - year growth rate. In September 2025, the import of aluminum scrap and waste was 15.54 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 17.69% [16][18] 3.4 Supply End - Recycled Aluminum - The price of Baotai ADC12 was slightly raised, and the spread between recycled and primary aluminum fluctuated. The weekly operating rate of recycled aluminum decreased, while the monthly operating rate increased. The monthly production of recycled aluminum alloy and its regional output proportion were also provided [29][39][44] - The cost of ADC12 was mainly composed of scrap aluminum, and the current estimated cost was above the break - even line. The factory inventory of casting aluminum alloy increased, and the social inventory was at a historical high. The import window of casting aluminum alloy was temporarily closed [45][50][55] 3.5 Demand End - Terminal Consumption - The fuel - powered vehicle industry entered the year - end sales rush stage, which would drive die - casting consumption. In the second week of October (October 13 - 19), domestic passenger car retail sales were 1.128 million, a 6% year - on - year decrease compared to the same period in October last year and a 7% increase compared to the same period last month. Cumulative retail sales since the beginning of this year were 18.136 million, a year - on - year increase of 8% [6][64]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on October 24, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The basis data of power coal from October 17 to October 23, 2025, shows that the basis on October 23 was - 31.4 yuan/ton, gradually increasing from - 53.4 yuan/ton on October 17 [1][2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided, along with the basis data of energy products [7] - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are presented [9] - Inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [10] - Inter - commodity spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided [10] 3.3 Black Metals - Basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are shown [20] - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided, including 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads [19] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: Inter - commodity spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are presented [19] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided [29] - **London Market**: LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on October 23, 2025, are given [33] 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are shown [41] - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are provided, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [40] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: Inter - commodity spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are presented [40] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided [53] - Inter - period spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, including next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter spreads, are given [55]

Group 1: Market Participants - The market participants in the alumina futures market can be categorized into five main types: upstream production enterprises, downstream consumption enterprises, domestic and foreign traders, financial institutions and arbitrage funds, and individual and speculative funds [1][2]. Group 2: Upstream and Downstream Enterprises - Upstream production enterprises, such as alumina plants, use futures to hedge against price fluctuations of bauxite and their own products, thereby locking in sales profits [1]. - Downstream consumption enterprises, like electrolytic aluminum plants, utilize a combination of "alumina futures + electrolytic aluminum futures" to stabilize processing fees and profits [1]. Group 3: Trading and Financial Institutions - Domestic and foreign traders, along with spot traders and specialized futures companies, engage in both hedging and basis trading, providing liquidity to the market [1]. - Financial institutions and arbitrage funds, including futures company asset management, private equity funds, and chemical product arbitrage teams, primarily conduct cross-commodity, cross-month, or spot-futures arbitrage [1]. Group 4: Individual and Speculative Funds - The high volatility of alumina futures attracts a significant amount of intraday short-term and high-frequency speculative funds, which play an important role in price discovery [2]. Group 5: Delivery Details - The delivery unit for alumina futures is set at 300 tons (15 lots) in integer multiples, with dual-track delivery involving registered brands and warehouses/factories; individuals are not allowed to enter the delivery month [3]. - The quality standards are defined by the national standard GB/T 24487-2022 for AO-1 or AO-2 grades, with strict upper limits on impurities such as SiO, FeO, and NaO [3]. - The delivery settlement price is calculated as the arithmetic average of the settlement prices from the last five trading days with transactions [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on October 23, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads. 3. Summary by Category Power Coal - Basis data from October 16 - 22, 2025, shows that the basis on October 22 was - 39.4 yuan/ton, gradually increasing from - 60.4 yuan/ton on October 16 [2]. - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads were all 0 during this period [2]. Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - Basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from October 16 - 22, 2025, are presented, with values such as - 45.52 yuan/ton for fuel oil on October 22 [7]. - The ratio data for these commodities are also provided, e.g., the ratio of INE crude oil was 0.1397 on October 22 [7]. Chemical Commodities - Basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from October 16 - 22, 2025, are given. For example, the basis of rubber was - 750 yuan/ton on October 22 [9]. - Inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are provided. For instance, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rubber was - 10 yuan/ton [10]. - Inter - variety spreads for LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from October 16 - 22, 2025, are shown. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2208 yuan/ton on October 22 [10]. Black Metals - Basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from October 16 - 22, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of rebar was 162.0 yuan/ton on October 22 [20]. - Inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rebar was 53 yuan/ton [19]. - Inter - variety spreads for rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from October 16 - 22, 2025, are shown. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.95 on October 22 [19]. Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - Domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 16 - 22, 2025, are given. For example, the basis of copper was - 450 yuan/ton on October 22 [28]. London Market - LME data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on October 22, 2025, including LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss, are presented. For example, the LME premium/discount of copper was (6.36) [31]. Agricultural Products - Basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from October 16 - 22, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 was - 77 yuan/ton on October 22 [39]. - Inter - period spreads for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 42 yuan/ton [38]. - Inter - variety spreads for soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from October 16 - 22, 2025, are shown. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.90 on October 22 [38]. Stock Index Futures - Basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 16 - 22, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of CSI 300 was 29.17 on October 22 [50]. - Inter - period spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, including next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter, are provided. For example, the next - month minus current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 37.8 [52].

Group 1: Market Information - The closing prices of CF01, CF05, and CF09 contracts were 13,535, 13,575, and 13,740 respectively, with the price of CF01 down 5, CF05 down 25, and CF09 down 30. The closing prices of CY01, CY05, and CY09 contracts were 19,760, 19,745, and 20,085 respectively, with the price of CY01 down 15, CY05 down 50, and CY09 unchanged [3]. - The CCIndex3128B spot price was 14,728 yuan/ton, up 49; the CY IndexC32S was 20,470 yuan/ton, up 30. The Cot A price was 75.65 cents/pound, and the FCY IndexC33S was 21,213 yuan/ton, up 13 [3]. - The 1 - 5 - month cotton spread was -40, up 20; the 5 - 9 - month spread was -165, up 5; the 9 - 1 - month spread was 205, down 25. The 1 - 5 - month棉纱 spread was 15, up 35; the 5 - 9 - month spread was -340, down 20,135; the 9 - 1 - month spread was 325, up 20,100 [3]. - The CY01 - CF01 spread was 6,225, down 10; the CY05 - CF05 spread was 6,170, down 25; the CY09 - CF09 spread was 6,345, up 20,115. The 1% tariff - based internal and external cotton spread was 1,317, down 218; the sliding - duty internal and external cotton spread was 493, down 120; the internal and external yarn spread was -743, up 17 [3]. Group 2: Market News and Views Cotton Market - As of October 15, the textile enterprises' in - stock cotton industrial inventory was 809,300 tons, a decrease of 36,200 tons from the end of last month. The available cotton inventory was 971,200 tons, a decrease of 61,100 tons from the end of last month. The yarn inventory of textile enterprises was 25.24 days, an increase of 0.39 days from the end of last month, and the grey fabric inventory was 31.43 days, an increase of 0.31 days from the end of last month [6]. - Since the new cotton acquisition started on September 26, 24 cotton acquisition and processing enterprises in Hutubi County had acquired 242,000 tons of seed cotton as of October 10, and the acquisition was expected to be completed by early December. As of mid - October, 35 cotton processing enterprises in Shaya County had acquired 215,000 tons of seed cotton, achieving the expected acquisition volume, with an average daily acquisition volume of over 20,000 tons [6]. - During the holiday, as new flowers entered the acquisition period, the market focus shifted to the opening price of new cotton. This year, the Xinjiang cotton output was high and the enthusiasm of ginning factories for acquisition was average, with no large - scale rush for acquisition. The acquisition price in some markets was around 6 yuan/kg. With the large - scale listing of new flowers, it was expected that there would be certain selling and hedging pressure on the futures market. The peak season performance of the demand side was average. Although the downstream demand had slightly improved, the improvement range was relatively limited, so the peak season performance this year was not expected to be very prominent, and the peak season demand was expected to have a relatively limited boosting effect on the market [7]. - The trading strategies were as follows: for unilateral trading, it was expected that the future trend of US cotton would mostly be volatile, and Zhengzhou cotton was also expected to show a volatile trend; for arbitrage and options, it was recommended to wait and see [8]. Cotton Yarn Industry - Last night, Zhengzhou cotton fluctuated steadily, the hedging pressure gradually emerged, and the cotton spot price was stable with a slight increase. However, due to the expectation of a bumper new cotton harvest, most spinning mills remained on the sidelines, mainly replenishing raw materials on a just - in - time basis. The trading volume in the pure cotton yarn market slightly recovered, with small orders selling well, but traders were still cautious in purchasing. Affected by Zhengzhou cotton, some manufacturers continued to adjust their quotes, and the pure cotton yarn price slightly recovered. However, due to the poor orders of weaving factories, the actual transaction price did not change much. There was little change in inventory, and the inventory of some spinning mills in the inland slightly increased. It was necessary to continue to pay attention to the trend of Zhengzhou cotton and downstream demand. In addition, factors such as the China - US presidential meeting and the Fed's possible interest rate cut at the end of the month might also have an impact on external demand [8]. - The current ex - works price of Xinjiang - produced combed compact siro - spun R/JC 50/50 50S was around 25,000 yuan/ton, and the ex - works price of high - grade ring - spun C32S was 21,200 - 21,300 yuan/ton. Real - order negotiations were available [10]. - Cotton weaving factories generally reported that the recent market was significantly worse than in September. Currently, they were in the inventory accumulation stage, and there were discounts on the actual transaction price of grey fabrics. The in - production orders were mainly for medium - and thick - type fabrics, but the profit was poor, and there were few sampling orders for thin - type fabrics. Since the new downstream orders were mainly small and urgent orders, and large orders were hard to find, weaving factories mainly purchased on a just - in - time basis [10]. Group 3: Options - On October 21, 2025, the closing price of CF601C13400.CZC was 247, up 32.1%; the closing price of CF601P13000.CZC was 45, down 29.7%; the closing price of CF601P12400.CZC was 15, down 42.3%. The 120 - day HV of cotton yesterday was 8.542, with the volatility slightly decreasing compared to the previous day. The implied volatility of CF601 - C - 13400 was 9.3%, the implied volatility of CF601 - P - 13000 was 10.9%, and the implied volatility of CF601 - P - 12400 was 13.9% [12]. - Yesterday, the PCR of the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton was 0.7255, and the volume PCR of the main contract was 0.6021. Today, the trading volume of both call and put options increased. The option trading strategy was to wait and see [13][14].

Report Overview - The report is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for October 22, 2025, covering multiple commodities including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1] 1. Thermal Coal - **Base Price Data**: From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base price for thermal coal gradually increased from -70.40 yuan/ton to -39.40 yuan/ton [2] 2. Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - **Base Price and Ratio**: For fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt, base prices and ratios varied from October 15 - 21, 2025. For example, the base price of INE crude oil was 8.63 yuan/ton on October 15 and 5.43 yuan/ton on October 21 [7] Chemical Commodities - **Base Price**: From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP changed. For instance, the base price of rubber decreased from -445 yuan/ton on October 17 to -850 yuan/ton on October 21 [9] - **Inter - period Spread**: The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rubber was -5 yuan/ton [10] - **Inter - commodity Spread**: From October 15 - 21, 2025, the spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., changed. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2228 yuan/ton on October 15 and 2170 yuan/ton on October 21 [10] 3. Black Metals Base Price - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal changed. For example, the base price of rebar decreased from 173.0 yuan/ton on October 17 to 163.0 yuan/ton on October 21 [20] Inter - period Spread - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month spreads for rebar, iron ore, etc., were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rebar was 56 yuan/ton [19] Inter - commodity Spread - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, etc., changed. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.90 on October 15 and 3.97 on October 21 [19] 4. Non - ferrous Metals Domestic Market - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of copper, aluminum, zinc, etc., in the domestic market changed. For example, the base price of copper decreased from 400 yuan/ton on October 20 to 250 yuan/ton on October 21 [28] London Market - The data for the London market had an invalid link and was not available [34] 5. Agricultural Products Base Price - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, etc., changed. For example, the base price of soybeans decreased from -39 yuan/ton on October 15 to -81 yuan/ton on October 21 [38] Inter - period Spread - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for soybeans, soybean meal, etc., were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for soybeans was 31 yuan/ton [37] Inter - commodity Spread - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the spreads such as soybean/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., changed. For example, the soybean/corn ratio was 1.90 on October 15 and 1.90 on October 21 [37] 6. Stock Index Futures Base Price - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 changed. For example, the base price of CSI 300 decreased from 31.42 on October 20 to 30.27 on October 21 [49] Inter - period Spread - The spreads of the next - month minus the current - month and the next - quarter minus the current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., were provided. For example, the next - month minus the current - month spread for CSI 300 was -36.6 [51]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Gold: Cautiously bullish [8] - Silver: Cautiously bullish [8] - Arbitrage: Short the gold-silver ratio at high levels [9] - Options: On hold [9] Core Viewpoints - The U.S. government shutdown is expected to end, and precious metal prices have stabilized and rebounded. With the realization of profit-taking sentiment in gold prices last week and the unchanged medium- to long-term bullish logic, gold prices are expected to be mainly in a volatile and bullish pattern in the near term. Silver shares the same macro bullish logic as gold, and its price is also expected to maintain a volatile and bullish pattern [1][8]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett believes the government shutdown may end this week. If not, the White House will consider stronger measures. U.S. President Trump and Australian Prime Minister Albanese signed an agreement on rare earths and critical minerals. The U.S. and Australian governments plan to jointly invest over $3 billion in critical mineral projects in the next 6 months, with estimated recoverable resource value of $53 billion. The Pentagon will invest in building a gallium processing plant in Western Australia with an annual capacity of 100 tons [1]. Futures Quotes and Trading Volumes - On October 20, 2025, the Shanghai gold main contract opened at 989.70 yuan/gram and closed at 970.32 yuan/gram, a change of -2.95% from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 41,087 lots, and the open interest was 129,725 lots. In the night session, it opened at 990.00 yuan/gram and closed at 998.58 yuan/gram, up 2.91% from the afternoon close. The Shanghai silver main contract opened at 12,057.00 yuan/kg and closed at 11,742.00 yuan/kg, a change of -4.14% from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 2,455,760 lots, and the open interest was 432,663 lots. In the night session, it opened at 11,982 yuan/kg and closed at 11,973 yuan/kg, up 1.97% from the afternoon close [2]. U.S. Treasury Yield and Spread Monitoring - On October 20, 2025, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield closed at 3.978%, unchanged from the previous trading day. The spread between the 10-year and 2-year yields was 0.52%, a change of -0.62 BP from the previous trading day [3]. Changes in Positions and Trading Volumes of Gold and Silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange - On the Au2508 contract, the long positions changed by -65 lots compared to the previous day, and the short positions changed by -19 lots. The total trading volume of Shanghai gold contracts on the previous trading day was 991,846 lots, a change of 41.62% from the previous trading day. On the Ag2508 contract, the long positions changed by 2 lots, and the short positions changed by -2 lots. The total trading volume of silver contracts on the previous trading day was 3,700,983 lots, a change of 20.75% from the previous trading day [4]. Precious Metal ETF Position Tracking - The gold ETF position was 1,047.21 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day. The silver ETF position was 15,497 tons, a decrease of 74 tons from the previous trading day [5]. Precious Metal Arbitrage Tracking - On October 20, 2025, the domestic premium for gold was 22.46 yuan/gram, and the domestic premium for silver was -753.22 yuan/kg. The price ratio of the main gold and silver contracts on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was about 82.64, a change of 1.49% from the previous trading day. The overseas gold-silver ratio was 80.19, a change of 0.62% from the previous trading day [6]. Fundamentals - On the previous trading day (October 20, 2025), the trading volume of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange T+d market was 71,850 kg, a change of -3.43% from the previous trading day. The trading volume of silver was 1,658,292 kg, a change of 6.28% from the previous trading day. The gold delivery volume was 18,586 kg, and the silver delivery volume was 139,020 kg [7]. Strategy - Gold: Cautiously bullish. The Au2512 contract's trading range may be between 970 yuan/gram and 1,020 yuan/gram. - Silver: Cautiously bullish. The Ag2512 contract's trading range may be between 11,700 yuan/kg and 12,200 yuan/kg. - Arbitrage: Short the gold-silver ratio at high levels. - Options: On hold [8][9].