艾为电子（688798.SH） 毛利率持续改善，新品百花齐放 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 72.91 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 86.21/38.94 | | 总市值(亿元) | 169.64 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 98.64 | | 总股本(亿股) | 2.33 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 1.35 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 160.75 | 股价走势图 电子/半导体 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 艾为电子 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《2024Q3 利润环比回升显著，三大板 块协同发力—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.30 《2024Q2 业绩同环比高增，三大板块 协同发力—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.8.21 陈蓉芳（分析师） 陈瑜熙（分析师） chenrongfang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524120002 chenyuxi@kysec.cn 证书 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected revenue growth and profit margins improving over the next few years [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.856 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 12.59%, and a net profit of 118 million RMB, down 37.30% year-on-year [2]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to the divestiture of the wireless automotive business, but excluding this impact, the company’s revenue is expected to show growth [3]. - The company is focusing on growth in the automotive and Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) sectors, driven by new customer acquisitions and increased 5G penetration in overseas markets [3]. - The establishment of an AI research institute and a robotics product line indicates a strategic shift towards AI and robotics, which are anticipated to become significant growth drivers for the company [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 17%, a decrease of 4.51 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 2.04 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The net profit margin improved to 6.5%, reflecting a 5.5 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 8.598 billion, 10.742 billion, and 13.367 billion RMB respectively, with net profits of 646 million, 796 million, and 1.019 billion RMB [5]. Business Strategy - The company is enhancing its operational efficiency, with a 34.65% reduction in sales expenses and a 93.57% decrease in financial expenses due to reduced foreign exchange losses [3]. - The AI and robotics initiatives are expected to create a second growth curve, contributing positively to the company's performance in the coming years [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for 2024, driven by increased demand in various sectors, including consumer electronics, networking, and computing [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 7.356 billion (YoY +27.69%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.103 billion (YoY +584.21%) for the year 2024 [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.909 billion (YoY +17.32%, QoQ +11.88%) and a net profit of 0.235 billion (YoY +14.57%, QoQ -13.24%) [1][2]. Market Demand and Product Performance - The demand in the downstream market has been recovering, leading to steady performance improvements [2]. - The company achieved a record shipment volume of 4.362 billion units in 2024, with significant growth in NOR Flash products across various sectors [2]. - The company's self-branded DRAM products saw multiple-fold growth in revenue and shipment volume, increasing market share [2]. - MCU products also experienced good growth in revenue and shipment volume, reaching historical highs due to demand from energy and optical modules [2]. Business Development and Future Outlook - The company is enhancing its DRAM product lineup, with plans to introduce LPDDR5 in the second half of 2025 [3]. - In the NOR Flash market, the company ranks second globally and aims to expand its presence in industrial and automotive sectors while exploring overseas markets [3]. - The company has successfully mass-produced over 700 MCU products and plans to invest approximately 1.2 billion in automotive MCU chip development [3]. - The company will focus on integrating its analog product business with Suzhou Saixin to enhance profitability and market coverage [3]. Investment Recommendations - Based on financial data, the company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 1.542 billion, 2.089 billion, and 2.581 billion respectively [4]. - The company is assigned a target price of 150.8 based on a 65x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a strong buy rating [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.926 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.34%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 822 million yuan, up 65.03% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 746 million yuan, reflecting a 93.97% increase year-on-year [2][6][12]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.286 billion yuan, which was a decrease of 15.00% year-on-year and a 20.79% decline quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 was 228 million yuan, up 23.79% year-on-year but down 1.52% quarter-on-quarter [2][12]. - The company emphasizes research and development, with R&D expenses amounting to 1.353 billion yuan in 2024, a 5.46% increase year-on-year, representing 22.83% of total revenue [12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 5.926 billion yuan for 2024, with a gross profit of 2.166 billion yuan, yielding a gross margin of 37% [16]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 1.129 billion yuan, 1.460 billion yuan, and 1.779 billion yuan respectively [16]. Product Development - The company has successfully launched new products, including 6nm chips, which are expected to achieve sales of over 10 million units in 2025. The 8K chips have captured all domestic market shares and received orders from top international operators [12]. - The Wi-Fi 6 2*2 chips sold over 1.5 million units in 2024, with expectations for accelerated growth in 2025 [12]. Market Expansion - The S series products continue to gain market share in domestic operator tenders, while the T series chips have seen over 30% year-on-year sales growth, with further international market expansion anticipated [12]. - The company is diversifying its product lines and expanding into automotive and AIoT sectors, which are expected to drive long-term growth [12].

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is enhancing mechanisms for identifying and supporting technology companies for IPOs, aiming to direct funds towards core technology and value stocks while discouraging speculation in poor-performing stocks [1] - The A-share market is facing new challenges and opportunities post-holiday, with ongoing volatility in the US stock market creating uncertainty for investors and foreign institutions [3] - There is a prevailing sentiment that the market may decline due to insufficient capital inflow, as many investors are likely to exit positions at the slightest gain [5] Group 2 - The AI sector and certain stocks experienced minor declines due to external factors, with market sentiment reflecting fear and uncertainty [6] - A significant observation is that the trading volume in the A-share market has dropped below 1 trillion yuan, indicating a strong sense of caution among investors [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Pengding Holdings (002938.SZ) as it is covered for the first time [1]. Core Insights - Pengding Holdings is a global leader in the PCB industry, with a comprehensive layout in consumer electronics, automotive, and server sectors [7]. - The global PCB market is expected to grow from $69.5 billion in 2023 to $90.4 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of approximately 5.4% [7][47]. - The trend towards edge AI is anticipated to drive both volume and price increases in the PCB segment, benefiting companies like Pengding Holdings [7]. - The company is actively expanding its capabilities in the automotive and server sectors, which are expected to provide a second growth curve [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Pengding Holdings has been deeply involved in the PCB industry for many years, providing a one-stop service platform for various PCB products [9]. - The company ranks as the largest PCB manufacturer globally according to Prismark, with a diverse product range including FPC, SMA, SLP, HDI, Mini LED, RPCB, and Rigid Flex [16][17]. Market Data - As of March 24, 2025, the current stock price is 37.05 CNY, with a market capitalization of approximately 85.9 billion CNY [5]. - The stock has shown a 54.6% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [6]. Industry Trends - The global PCB market is projected to reach $90.4 billion by 2028, driven by demand in consumer electronics, automotive, and server applications [47][56]. - The automotive PCB market is expected to grow from $9.15 billion in 2023 to $11.52 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 4.7% [110]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Pengding Holdings are 35.14 billion CNY in 2024, 40.93 billion CNY in 2025, and 47.27 billion CNY in 2026, representing year-on-year growth rates of 9.6%, 16.5%, and 15.5% respectively [7]. - Net profit estimates for the same years are 3.62 billion CNY, 4.50 billion CNY, and 5.50 billion CNY, with growth rates of 10.2%, 24.3%, and 22.1% respectively [7]. Product and Client Base - The company serves a high-quality client base, including major players like Apple, Huawei, and Microsoft, with a significant portion of revenue derived from these relationships [17][108]. - The product structure is evolving, with increasing contributions from automotive and server applications, which are expected to rise from 0.9% in 2022 to 3.3% in the first half of 2024 [35]. R&D and Innovation - Pengding Holdings is increasing its R&D investment, with a focus on AI technologies and new product developments, reflected in a rising R&D expense ratio [40].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The focus is on a leading SoC (System on Chip) chip company that benefits from the rapid development of AI at the edge, with products widely used in TWS (True Wireless Stereo) earbuds, smartwatches, smart glasses, and smart speakers [1][2] Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Growth**: The TWS earbud market is experiencing steady growth, while the smart watch and smart glasses markets are expanding further. The company's products are extensively applied across various terminals including TWS earbuds, smartwatches, smart glasses, and smart speakers [2][4] 2. **Diverse Clientele**: The company's downstream clients include major global Android smartphone brands such as Samsung, OPPO, and Huawei, as well as professional audio manufacturers like Harman, Anker Innovations, and Edifier. Additionally, internet companies like Alibaba, Baidu, ByteDance, and Google, along with home appliance manufacturers like Haier and Hisense, are also part of the client base. The BES2700 series wearable main control chip has been successfully integrated into products like OPPO Enco X3 and ByteDance's OlaFriend [2][4] 3. **AI Glasses Development**: The company is witnessing rapid development in AI glasses, with the new generation of smart wearable chip BES2800 achieving mass production. This chip utilizes advanced 6nm FinFET technology and has been adopted in various projects involving clients' earbuds, smartwatches, and smart glasses. The company's smart wearable main control chip has been applied in MYVUAR glasses. Furthermore, according to WellsennXR, the Xiaomi AI smart glasses' auxiliary chip is equipped with the Hengxuan BES2700 chip, valued at 7 USD [2][4] Additional Important Information - The company is recognized as a leader in ultra-low power computing SoC chips, indicating a strong position in the market [4] - The report highlights the importance of the AI edge development in driving the demand for the company's products, suggesting a favorable market environment for future growth [1][2] - The conference call notes also include insights into the broader industry trends and competitive landscape, emphasizing the company's strategic partnerships and technological advancements [5]