德国6月季调后失业率 6.3%，预期6.4%，前值6.30%。 ...

智通财经7月1日电，德国6月季调后失业率为6.3%，预期6.4%，前值6.3%。 ...

Group 1 - The final manufacturing PMI for France, Germany, and the Eurozone for June is set to be released shortly [1] - Germany's seasonally adjusted unemployment figures and unemployment rate for June will also be published soon [1]

Economic Data and Events - Key focus on economic events and data on July 1, including China's June Caixin Manufacturing PMI at 09:45 [1] - The UK Nationwide House Price Index month-on-month change at 14:00 [1] - France's June Manufacturing PMI final value at 15:50 [1] - Germany's June Manufacturing PMI final value and seasonally adjusted unemployment rate at 15:55 [1] - Eurozone's June Manufacturing PMI final value at 16:00 [1] - UK's June Manufacturing PMI final value at 16:30 [1] - Eurozone's June CPI at 17:00 [1] - US June S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final value at 21:45 [1] - US June ISM Manufacturing PMI, May JOLTs job openings, and May construction spending month-on-month change at 22:00 [1] - API crude oil inventory for the week ending June 28 at 04:30 the next day [1]

Group 1 - Domestic refined oil will enter a new round of price adjustment window [1] - Key economic data releases include China's June Caixin Manufacturing PMI and Eurozone's June CPI [1][1] - Major central bank leaders will participate in a panel discussion [1] Group 2 - Various manufacturing PMIs from Germany, France, and the UK will be released [1][1] - The US will report on May JOLTs job openings and construction spending [1][1] - API crude oil inventory data will be released for the week ending June 28 [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report provides a weekly preview of key economic data releases and events, and analyzes their potential impacts on the futures market. Different economic indicators and events may have various effects on different types of futures, such as industrial product futures, stock index futures, bond futures, and precious metal futures. For example, if certain manufacturing PMI data is higher than the previous value, it may slightly boost the prices of industrial product futures and stock index futures but suppress bond futures [3][11][17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs This Week's Key Focus - On June 30 at 09:30, China's June official manufacturing PMI, non - manufacturing PMI, and composite PMI will be released [2][3]. - On July 1 at 09:45, Markit will announce China's June Caixin manufacturing PMI [2][11]. - On July 1 at 22:00, the US ISM will release the US June ISM manufacturing PMI [2][17]. - On July 2 at 20:15, the US ADP will announce the June ADP employment change [2][19]. - On July 3 at 20:30, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the June non - farm payroll report [2][22]. - Also, pay attention to domestic macro - policy changes, international trade and tariff wars, international geopolitical situations, and speeches by US President Trump and Fed officials [2]. This Week's Hotspot Preview June 30 - China's June official manufacturing PMI is expected to be 49.7 (previous 49.5), and non - manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.3 (previous 50.3). A slight increase in manufacturing PMI may slightly boost industrial product and stock index futures but suppress bond futures [3]. - Germany's June CPI annual rate initial value is expected to be 2.2% (previous 2.1%) [5]. - The US June Chicago PMI is expected to be 43 (previous 40.5) [8]. - The European Central Bank will hold a central bank forum in Sintra from June 30 to July 2 [9]. July 1 - The USDA will release the quarterly inventory report and planting intention report at 00:00, which may affect agricultural product futures [10]. - China's June Caixin manufacturing PMI is expected to be 49 (previous 48.3). A slight increase may slightly boost industrial product and stock index futures but suppress bond futures [11]. - Germany's May real retail sales monthly rate is expected to be 0% (previous - 1.2%) [12]. - Germany's June seasonally - adjusted unemployment rate is expected to be 6.4% (previous 6.3%), and the number of unemployed is expected to increase by 15,000 (previous 34,000) [13]. - The eurozone's June harmonized CPI annual rate un - seasonally - adjusted initial value is expected to be 2.0% (previous 1.9%), and the core harmonized CPI annual rate un - seasonally - adjusted initial value is expected to be 2.3% (previous 2.4%) [14]. - Germany's June CPI annual rate initial value is expected to be 2.3% (previous 2.4%) [15]. - Global Western central bank governors will have a panel discussion at 21:30 [16]. - The US June ISM manufacturing PMI is expected to be 48.8 (previous 48.5). A slight increase may slightly boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related futures but suppress gold and silver futures [17]. July 2 - The eurozone's May unemployment rate is expected to be 6.2% (previous 6.2%) [18]. - The US June ADP new employment is expected to be 85,000 (previous 37,000). An increase may boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures but suppress gold and silver futures [19]. - The US EIA will announce the change in crude oil inventory for the week ending June 27. A continued decline may boost crude oil and related commodity futures [20]. July 3 - China's June Caixin services PMI is expected to be 51.5 (previous 51.1) [21]. - The US June seasonally - adjusted new non - farm employment is expected to be 110,000 (previous 139,000), the unemployment rate is expected to be 4.3% (previous 4.2%), and the average hourly wage annual rate is expected to be 3.9% (previous 3.9%). A significant decrease in new non - farm employment and a slight decrease in the unemployment rate may boost gold and silver futures but suppress other industrial product futures [22]. - The US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 29 are expected to be 240,000 (previous 236,000) [23]. - The US May factory orders monthly rate is expected to be 8% (previous - 0.37%). A significant increase may boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures but suppress gold and silver futures [25]. - The US June ISM non - manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.5 (previous 49.9). A slight increase may slightly suppress gold and silver futures [26]. July 4 - The National Bureau of Statistics will release the market prices of important production materials in circulation in late June, covering 9 categories and 50 products [27]. July 6 - OPEC + eight member countries will hold a meeting to decide the production policy for August, which may affect related commodity futures [28].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in 2025 are more likely to be driven by inflation rather than unemployment rates, as the labor market may not directly lead to rising unemployment due to immigration policies affecting labor growth [2][3] - The U.S. economy is expected to enter the second half of 2025 on an unstable foundation, with the first quarter's GDP contraction exceeding initial estimates and a low-quality rebound in the second quarter influenced by reduced trade deficits and cautious consumer and business spending [2][3] - The upcoming U.S. core PCE price index is viewed as a critical reference for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, with weak performance potentially reinforcing a dovish stance and increasing downward pressure on the dollar [1][2] Group 2 - If the U.S. adopts more closed trade policies, the Eurozone could become the largest economy outside the U.S., attracting more investment interest towards the Euro [2] - Geopolitical tensions easing have nearly completely offset the temporary support the dollar received as a safe-haven asset, while the Euro is expected to benefit from ongoing pessimism surrounding the dollar [2] - Despite $250 billion to $300 billion in tariff revenues, the rising debt levels in the U.S. are unlikely to be alleviated in the short term, as the government is not expected to implement significant tax increases or spending cuts [3]

日本5月失业率 2.5%，预期2.50%，前值2.50%。 ...

日本5月失业率将于十分钟后公布。 ...

Economic Data and Events - Japan's unemployment rate for May will be released at 07:30 [1] - France's preliminary CPI for June will be announced at 14:45 [1] - Eurozone's industrial and economic sentiment indices for June will be published at 17:00 [1] - Federal Reserve's Williams will host a meeting at 19:30 [1] - The U.S. will report May's core PCE price index year-on-year, personal spending month-on-month, and core PCE price index month-on-month at 20:30, along with Canada's April GDP month-on-month [1] - Federal Reserve's Harker and Governor Cook will participate in an event at 21:15 [1] - The final consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan for June and the one-year inflation expectations will be released at 22:00 [1] - The total number of oil rigs in the U.S. for the week ending June 27 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]