消费者通胀预期

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美联储:美国7月消费者通胀预期上升,得益于通胀前景改善。7月一年期通胀预期上升至3.09%,前值3.02%。7月三年期通胀预期持稳于3%,五年期通胀预期上升至2.9%创2月份以来新高。受访消费者自愿离职的意愿更加强烈,认为自己在未来三个月能找到工作的信心也更高
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-07 15:14
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 美联储:美国7月消费者通胀预期上升,得益于通胀前景改善。 7月一年期通胀预期上升至3.09%,前值 3.02%。 7月三年期通胀预期持稳于3%,五年期通胀预期上升至2.9%创2月份以来新高。 受访消费者自 愿离职的意愿更加强烈,认为自己在未来三个月能找到工作的信心也更高。 ...
特对欧贸易亮鹰爪 黄金冲高3361白银连涨三日
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-21 08:39
摘要周一(7月21日),上周五,受美联储理事沃勒的鸽派言论以及消费者通胀预期降温的影响,美元 指数回落,最终收跌0.155%,报98.46。得益于美元和美债收益率走软,现货黄金上涨,最高触及 3361.2美元/盎司,最终收涨0.34%,收报3350.4美元/盎司;现货白银连涨三日,最终收涨0.14%,报38.2 美元/盎司。 据知情人士透露,自上周华盛顿谈判以来,各方努力尚未取得持续进展。谈判将在未来两周继续进行。 【交易思路】 现货白银:下方关注38.00美元或37.80美元支撑;上方关注38.40美元或38.65美元阻力。 周一(7月21日),上周五,受美联储理事沃勒的鸽派言论以及消费者通胀预期降温的影响,美元指数 回落,最终收跌0.155%,报98.46。得益于美元和美债收益率走软,现货黄金上涨,最高触及3361.2美 元/盎司,最终收涨0.34%,收报3350.4美元/盎司;现货白银连涨三日,最终收涨0.14%,报38.2美元/盎 司。 【要闻汇总】 据报道称,欧盟特使最早将于本周召开会议,针对可能与美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)陷入的无协议 局面制定应对措施。在8月1日最后期限临近之际, ...
华创证券:美国5月份CPI再度小幅低于预期 关税通胀的担忧是否能够解除?
智通财经网· 2025-06-12 23:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May fell slightly below expectations, with year-on-year CPI rising from 2.3% to 2.4%, while core CPI remained steady at 2.8% [1] - The month-on-month CPI increased by 0.1%, lower than both the expected and previous value of 0.2%, and core CPI also rose by 0.1%, below the expected 0.3% and previous 0.2% [1] - Factors contributing to the CPI's lower-than-expected performance include a decline in energy prices, a continued drop in automobile prices, and a slowdown in rent and super core services price increases [1] Group 2 - Market expectations for interest rate cuts have increased, with the futures market pricing in an average of 1.97 rate cuts for the year, and the probability of a first cut in September rising from 50.9% to 61.3% [2] - The effective tariff rate in the US has decreased to 7.07%, significantly lower than the estimated 13-20% by overseas institutions, potentially due to tax avoidance measures [3] - The first sale rule allows importers to calculate tariffs based on the first sale price, which may mitigate the impact of increased tariffs [3] Group 3 - Concerns about inflation due to tariffs remain, with the potential for upward inflation risks unless tariffs are continuously suspended or canceled [5] - Consumer inflation expectations in the US have surged, with one-year and five-year expectations at near 45-year and 25-year highs, respectively [5] - Despite a significant number of brands and retail executives anticipating negative consumer reactions to price increases, a majority still plan to raise prices [6]
韩国5月消费者12个月通胀预期中值降至2022年1月以来的最低水平,韩国5月消费者信心指数录得101.8,为自2024年10月以来最高。
news flash· 2025-05-26 21:10
Group 1 - The median consumer inflation expectation in South Korea for May has dropped to its lowest level since January 2022 [1] - The consumer confidence index in South Korea for May recorded a value of 101.8, marking the highest level since October 2024 [1]