AI&半导体电话会：液冷渗透率提升，FAB 稳健成长 20250810 摘要 海外云厂商如微软、亚马逊和 Meta 持续增加对 AI 的投入，资本开支显 著上调，形成正向循环，微软 AI 云计算业务同比增长 27%，亚马逊全 年资本开支预计达 1,100 亿至 1,200 亿美元，Meta 将 2025 年资本开 支上调至 660 亿到 720 亿美元。 液冷技术市场前景乐观，维谛公司二季度营收同比增长 35%，订单收入 达 85 亿美元。英伟达发布 GV300 GPU，微软明确要求数据中心支持 液冷，中国台湾供应商奇宏等营收显著增长，数据中心冷却系统供不应 求。 数据中心采用液冷技术主要由功耗驱动，传统风冷接近极限，液冷能效 比更高。全球数据中心液冷渗透率预计从 2024 年的 14%提高到 2025 年的 20%以上，国内市场增长空间巨大。 2024 年全球液冷服务器市场中，浪潮信息、超聚变和宁畅占据前三位， 合计市场份额超过 70%。这些公司在液冷技术方面积累了较强的技术和 服务能力，产业生态协同完善。 Q&A 这些公司凭借其强大的研发能力和广泛的市场覆盖，在激烈竞争中保持领先地 位。 液冷技术在数据中 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses advancements in liquid cooling technology within the server cabinet industry, particularly focusing on the Blackwell and Rubin series of products [1][2][6]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Blackwell 300 Improvements**: The Blackwell 300 has undergone significant enhancements over the Blackwell 200, including a full cold plate covering that increases the number of liquid cooling plates and connectors, resulting in a 16% increase in infrastructure value and a 30% overall value increase [1][4]. 2. **Liquid Cooling System Value Distribution**: In the liquid cooling system, quick connectors hold a substantial value due to their high quantity, while the material cost of cold plates is relatively low. Major ODM manufacturers like Foxconn capture most of the core value by sourcing and assembling components [5]. 3. **Rubin Architecture Changes**: The Rubin architecture introduces a substantial technological upgrade, moving away from simple iterations to a new cooling solution, which may significantly alter supplier dynamics and market shares [6][7]. 4. **Strategic Collaboration**: Vertu and NV's strategic partnership focuses on developing next-generation cooling systems for the Rubin series, with initial tests using B100. Future cabinet power densities may reach 200-500 watts, necessitating advanced cooling methods [8]. 5. **Cost Implications of Cooling Solutions**: The coupling silent solution may double the cost per kilowatt compared to the existing Blackwell 200 solution, while the all-in-one plate attachment model could reduce costs to 1.5-1.6 times [9][10]. 6. **Future Trends in Liquid Cooling**: As server power densities increase, the adoption of comprehensive liquid cooling solutions is expected to rise, with competition among components intensifying due to declining material costs [7]. 7. **Market Entry Barriers**: New entrants into the Rubin ecosystem will depend more on supply chain relationships, capacity, and pricing rather than technical capabilities [19]. 8. **Material Compatibility Testing**: Liquid materials entering the NV ecosystem must undergo rigorous compatibility testing to prevent corrosion and ensure system integrity, typically starting 3-6 months before product release [17][18]. Additional Important Content - **Electronic Cooling Fluids**: Electronic cooling fluids are more expensive than traditional water-based coolants, with costs averaging 200-300 RMB per liter compared to less than 20 RMB per kilogram for water-based solutions. Despite better cooling performance, the long-term costs may be higher due to the need for continuous replenishment [16]. - **Domestic Supplier Landscape**: Domestic manufacturers like Invec and Bihai have entered the NV supply chain, indicating a shift towards local sourcing despite the historical reliance on foreign suppliers [14][15]. - **Impact of ASIC Shipments**: The anticipated increase in ASIC shipments in 2026 is expected to stabilize the demand for liquid cooling solutions, with no significant decline expected due to the introduction of Rubin [12]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the advancements in liquid cooling technology and the strategic movements within the industry.

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the rapid development of the tokenization industry in the US stock market, driven by regulatory improvements and increased participation from traditional financial institutions [2][4]. - The virtual asset trading services in Hong Kong are expanding, with over 41 financial institutions upgrading to the 1st license and more than 40 asset management firms upgrading to the 9th license [4][6]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Tokenization Technology Routes**: Three main technology routes for tokenization in the US market are identified: 1. Third-party issuance with exchange access, where crypto exchanges facilitate trading [5]. 2. Licensed brokers building their own chains for self-issuance, suitable for stricter regulatory environments [5]. 3. Contract for difference (CFD) methods allowing users to trade without holding physical stocks [5]. - **Market Potential**: The IT transformation space for virtual asset trading systems in Hong Kong is estimated to be between 30 billion to 180 billion RMB, indicating significant growth potential [6]. - **Beneficiaries of Virtual Assets**: Key beneficiaries of the rapid development of virtual assets include stablecoin issuers, cryptocurrency exchanges, and companies involved in RWA (Real World Asset) services, such as Langxin Group and cross-border payment firms [7]. - **AI Infrastructure Growth**: Companies like NVIDIA are experiencing significant growth in AI infrastructure, with the GB200 series reaching peak production and the GB300 series expected to contribute to revenue growth [9][10]. Additional Important Content - **Liquid Cooling Technology**: The adoption of liquid cooling technology is expected to rise significantly, with projections indicating high penetration rates in both overseas and domestic markets by 2026-2027 [11][12]. - **Impact of US-Vietnam Tariff Agreement**: The US-Vietnam tariff agreement is seen as beneficial for consumer electronics companies like Luxshare Precision, with lower tariffs than expected [13][14]. - **Market Sentiment on Supply Chain Companies**: The market sentiment towards supply chain companies, particularly those linked to Apple, is currently low due to uncertainties in tariffs and shipment expectations [15]. - **Emerging Opportunities in the Gaming Industry**: The gaming industry is experiencing a resurgence, driven by favorable EPS and PE trends, with companies like NetEase and 37 Interactive Entertainment showing strong potential [25][26]. - **Investment Opportunities in Small Cap Companies**: Small cap companies in the Hong Kong market, such as IGG and Youyi Time, are highlighted for their strong cash flow and low valuations, presenting potential investment opportunities [29][30]. - **Future of Liquid Cooling and Power Supply**: The transition from traditional cooling methods to liquid cooling in GPU servers is emphasized, with significant changes expected in power supply requirements as server power consumption increases [34][35][37]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the evolving landscape of the tokenization industry, virtual asset trading, AI infrastructure, and emerging opportunities across various sectors.

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses advancements in liquid cooling technology, particularly influenced by NVIDIA's bidirectional cold plate solution, which impacts the traditional single-phase silent cooling market while maintaining existing applications [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Bidirectional Cold Plate Technology**: - This technology offers better cooling capabilities than air cooling and single-phase cold plates, handling nearly 2,500 watts of power, but is still less effective than single-phase or bidirectional silent systems [1]. - The design is complex and limited in medium selection, primarily using high-cost, low-supply low-boiling-point fluorinated liquids [1][5]. - **R134a Refrigerant**: - Tianhong Technology has validated the use of R134a refrigerant in bidirectional cold plates, raising market interest in new refrigerant applications. China, as a major refrigerant producer, may see companies expand market share due to this development [1][4][7]. - The potential demand from tech giants like Google could significantly impact the global refrigerant market, with estimates of 2,000 tons needed annually if adopted [19]. - **Market Dynamics**: - Despite the emergence of bidirectional cold plates, traditional silent cooling systems remain stable in specific scenarios, with companies like Alibaba and ByteDance continuing to use established technologies [8][12]. - The industry is exploring new cooling solutions to meet increasing chip power demands, with various manufacturers actively seeking new refrigerant solutions [13]. - **Challenges in Liquid Cooling**: - The selection of liquid mediums poses significant challenges, as high-performance liquids are often expensive, while cheaper options may have critical drawbacks [17]. - The complexity of designing and deploying liquid cooling systems adds to the overall costs and challenges [17]. Additional Important Content - **Comparative Analysis of Cooling Solutions**: - Bidirectional cold plates have higher cooling capacities compared to single-phase cold plates and air cooling, but they still have limitations and may only serve as a temporary solution for high power demands [10]. - The design complexity of hybrid cooling solutions combining cold plates and silent systems is high, making implementation difficult [9]. - **Future Trends**: - The industry is expected to see a shift towards more advanced cooling technologies if existing solutions cannot meet future demands [13]. - Companies like New Oriental are pivoting towards semiconductor temperature control etching liquids to address growth bottlenecks in cleaning businesses [26]. - **Refrigerant Market Status**: - The refrigerant market is transitioning from third-generation to fourth-generation products, with third-generation products still dominating due to their maturity and high output [20]. - Major players in the refrigerant market include traditional companies like Juhua and Sanmei, which have performed well amid rising demand due to hot weather [20]. - **Liquid Mediums in Cooling Solutions**: - The first-generation liquid cooling solutions primarily used water and glycol mixtures, while newer solutions utilize various expensive liquids, including fluorinated liquids and silicone oils [11][15]. - High-end fluorinated liquids are considered the best choice for performance, but their high cost limits widespread adoption [16]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments discussed in the conference call, highlighting the evolving landscape of liquid cooling technologies and their implications for the industry.

Core Insights - The conference held in Wuhu, Anhui, focused on the theme of "Carbon Index Green Computing Driving Supply and Demand," marking the official launch of the Wuhu Liquid Cooling Intelligent Computing Base with a total investment of 250 million yuan [1] - The Long Triangle region is recognized as a key area for the development of intelligent computing, with the establishment of national integrated computing network hubs and data center clusters aimed at optimizing computing power layout [1][2] - The global data center electricity consumption is projected to reach 415 terawatt-hours in 2024, accounting for 1.5% of global electricity use, with significant contributions from the US, China, and Europe [1][2] Industry Developments - China is actively promoting the proximity of computing power to energy-rich areas and implementing new models for green electricity supply, energy storage, and microgrids to address energy consumption challenges [2] - The "Green Computing Development Research Report (2025)" indicates that over 60% of new computing power in 2024 will be concentrated in key hub areas, with the average Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of data centers expected to drop to 1.46 [2] - Liquid cooling technology is gaining traction in data center construction due to its advantages over traditional air cooling, including higher heat dissipation rates and lower noise levels [2] Market Potential - The liquid cooling server market in China is projected to reach $2.37 billion (approximately 17.03 billion yuan) in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 67%, and is expected to grow to $3.39 billion (approximately 24.35 billion yuan) in 2025 [3] - The Wuhu Liquid Cooling Intelligent Computing Base, developed by TIER Technology, has a total investment of 250 million yuan and covers an area of approximately 26,000 square meters, featuring an immersion liquid cooling data center and related facilities [3][4] - The base aims to achieve a PUE of 1.08 and over 80% green electricity usage through a combination of self-generated photovoltaic systems and purchased green electricity [4] Strategic Goals - TIER Technology plans to enhance its technical capabilities and service offerings in the Long Triangle region, aiming to create a comprehensive intelligent computing platform for various sectors including government, industry, education, finance, transportation, and healthcare [4]

Core Viewpoint - Xiangxin Technology has enhanced its technological layout in the liquid cooling field by obtaining a patent for a modular liquid cooling heat exchange component, which allows for flexible assembly and improved heat exchange efficiency [1][2] Group 1: Patent and Technology Development - The newly acquired patent for a "modular liquid cooling heat exchange component" includes heat exchange modules, intermediate modules, and end modules, enabling flexible assembly based on actual needs [1] - The modular design allows adjustments in the area, size, and number of heat exchange channels, thereby improving heat exchange efficiency for various applications [1] Group 2: Existing Technologies and Applications - Xiangxin Technology has previously made several advancements in the liquid cooling sector, including the release of a direct refrigerant cooling technology at the end of 2024 [1] - The direct refrigerant cooling technology has broad application potential in cooling systems for electric vehicle power batteries, motor control systems, energy storage batteries, computing servers, and low-altitude unmanned aerial vehicles [1] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Compared to other liquid cooling solutions, Xiangxin's direct refrigerant cooling solution has a significantly higher heat transfer coefficient, outperforming traditional liquid cooling solutions by 1-2 orders of magnitude under the same temperature and model conditions [2] - The simpler structure of the direct cooling system helps reduce costs and the number of components, which also lowers maintenance risks and costs [2] Group 4: Market Potential - The direct refrigerant cooling technology is expected to bring disruptive changes to the market, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, due to its strong advantages [2]

Group 1: Stock Market Activity - On the institutional leaderboard, 34 stocks were listed, with 18 experiencing net buying and 16 facing net selling [1] - The top three stocks with the highest institutional buying were Zhongxin Fluorine Materials, Guoji Precision Engineering, and Lideman [1] Group 2: Key Stocks and Performance - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials (002915.SZ) saw a decrease of 2.46% with 5 buyers and 2 sellers, attracting 3 institutional buyers [2] - Guoji Precision Engineering (002046.SZ) increased by 9.99% with 3 buyers and no sellers, attracting 1 institutional buyer [2] - Lideman (300289.SZ) rose by 11.87% with 2 buyers and 2 sellers, also attracting 1 institutional buyer [2] Group 3: Infrastructure Developments - The Xinjiang-Tibet Railway, which connects Xinjiang and Tibet, was established with a registered capital of 95 billion RMB, aiming to start construction within the year [3] - Major railway and transportation projects are expected to drive demand in construction, building materials, and equipment sectors [3] Group 4: Liquid Cooling Market - The global liquid cooling market surpassed 50 billion RMB in 2024, with China accounting for 35% of the market share, and is projected to exceed 200 billion RMB by 2025 [4] - Microsoft has expanded its data center capacity significantly, implementing "AI First" deployment strategies across all regions, enhancing the penetration of liquid cooling solutions [3][4] Group 5: Company Developments in Liquid Cooling - In a recent investor relations activity, a company mentioned that its liquid cooling server business is expected to start mass supply in 2025, contributing 2.4% to Q1 2025 revenue [5]

Group 1: Liquid Cooling Solutions - The company offers a comprehensive liquid cooling solution that includes intelligent engineering, key equipment, IoT software, and smart services, addressing the demand for liquid cooling deployment [1] - Key products include fluorine system cold plate systems, water-cooled cold plate systems, and liquid cooling containers, which have been successfully deployed in the Middle East [1] - The company emphasizes the importance of liquid cooling technology applications and market opportunities, aiming to convert orders quickly [1] Group 2: Overseas Expansion - In 2023, the company began its overseas expansion, initially following the lead of major players like Alibaba and ByteDance, and later shifting to a more proactive approach [2] - The company confirmed overseas order revenue of 47.72 million yuan in 2024, with established subsidiaries in Malaysia and coverage in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [2] - The strategy includes setting up local subsidiaries to meet the demands of expanding overseas markets [2] Group 3: Financial Performance and Strategy - The company has focused on the information data sector, resulting in a revenue increase of 42.84% to 1.145 billion yuan in 2024 and 26.44% to 318 million yuan in Q1 2025 [3] - The company ranks third in the Chinese data center air conditioning market as of 2024, reflecting the effectiveness of its focused strategy [3] - The management emphasizes a flat decision-making structure to quickly respond to key customer needs [4] Group 4: Key Clients and Future Goals - Major strategic clients include Alibaba, ByteDance, Huawei, and Tencent, with ongoing positive order conditions [5] - The company aims to enhance its professional capabilities and expand its strategic customer base and overseas markets in 2025 [5] - Key operational goals for 2025 include promoting refinancing projects, advancing R&D, and optimizing performance management systems [5]

Summary of Conference Call for Shining Environment Industry Overview - The overseas liquid cooling market is significantly larger than the domestic market, approximately three times the size, with higher profit margins. This presents a substantial opportunity for domestic manufacturers to enhance profitability and growth potential [2][4] - From 2025, the demand for ASICs in liquid cooling is expected to grow rapidly, with shipments projected to exceed GPUs by 2026. By 2027, the demand scale for liquid cooling is anticipated to reach the same level as GPUs, estimated at 53-55 billion yuan, accelerating market development [2][4] Key Companies Mentioned - **Inwin**: Recognized as the industry leader, collaborating with major international companies such as NV, Intel, and AMD. The company has significant market presence both domestically and internationally, with substantial profit and market value elasticity once the overseas market opens [5][6] - **Shining Environment**: Positioned as the second player in the liquid cooling market, showing signs of a performance inflection point and beginning to expand overseas. The company has deep collaborations with major firms like Huawei, ByteDance, Tencent, and Alibaba, benefiting from domestic computing power investments [2][7] - **Kexin Yuan**: A smaller market cap company whose products have penetrated leading Taiwanese cooling component manufacturers. The company is expected to achieve profits of 180 million yuan by 2026, indicating significant growth potential [2][7] Financial Performance - Shining Environment's data center business is projected to grow by 75% year-on-year in 2024, accounting for 51% of total revenue. New orders have nearly doubled, indicating strong demand [2][11] - The company’s order growth rate reached 95%, with new production facilities expected to significantly enhance supply capacity and accelerate revenue growth [7][13] Competitive Advantages - Shining Environment possesses a competitive edge in the liquid cooling sector due to its project experience, customer certifications, and operational capabilities. The company is well-positioned to leverage its first-mover advantage [11] - The company’s product offerings include precision air conditioning, indirect evaporative cooling units, and complete liquid cooling system solutions, which are well-recognized by major IDC manufacturers [10] Future Outlook - The new factory's production capacity and digital management improvements are expected to enhance overall profitability, marking a turning point for rapid growth in the company's performance [3][13] - Beyond data centers, Shining Environment's industrial specialty business is also expected to see optimistic growth due to national investments in power-related projects, including hydropower and offshore wind energy [12] Market Dynamics - The primary drivers for the growth of liquid cooling technology are the expansion into overseas markets and collaborations with large international clients. Shining Environment is making significant progress in Southeast Asia, particularly in AI computing centers [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on the application of its liquid cooling technology in immersion data center cooling scenarios and is committed to developing and promoting products like fluorinated liquids based on market demand and policy guidance [1] Group 1 - The company is actively monitoring policy directions and market demand changes [1] - The company plans to leverage its existing technological accumulation to advance the development and process validation of fluorinated liquid products [1] - Future strategies will be carefully formulated based on market trends and customer needs, with specific details to be disclosed publicly [1]