Core Viewpoint - CITIC Bank reported a positive performance for 2024, with revenue and net profit showing growth despite previous challenges [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, CITIC Bank achieved operating revenue of 213.646 billion yuan, an increase of 3.76% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 68.576 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.33% [1] Asset Quality Outlook - The asset quality management of CITIC Bank is strong, with stable non-performing loan and provision indicators [2] - The bank's retail asset quality is considered to be at a relatively good level compared to peers, despite an industry-wide trend of rising retail risks [2] - Measures taken since 2019 include tightening credit card approvals and focusing on mortgage and secured loans [2] Net Interest Margin Trends - As of the end of 2024, CITIC Bank's net interest margin stood at 1.77%, remaining stable year-on-year and outperforming the market for three consecutive years [3] - The bank anticipates significant downward pressure on net interest margins in 2025 due to a declining interest rate environment and adjustments in loan pricing [3] Dividend Policy - CITIC Bank aims to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio of over 30% from 2024 to 2026 [4][5] - The total cash dividend is projected to increase from 11.7 billion yuan in 2019 to 19.46 billion yuan in 2024, with the payout ratio rising from 25% to 30.5% of net profit [5]

第一是2024年整体资产质量总体不错，这是2025年的基础，其中有三个特点，一是关键指标均正向变 动，目前同业不良率和拨备覆盖率均正向变动的比较少；二是指标变动跑赢大市；三是整体指标趋势向 好，不良率连续6年下降，达到2014年以来最好水平，拨备覆盖率连续4年上升，新发生不良连续4年下 降。 第二是中信银行稳健的经营理念和风险文化。"近几年来在风险领域，中信银行一直秉承着安全和稳 定、稳健、审慎、可持续发展的经营理念。我们不以风险下沉来换取短期的收益，也不以损害风险抵御 能力来放弃利润。全行上下已经形成了敬畏风险、审慎经营的风险文化。我们认为经营理念和风险文化 是一个银行的灵魂和价值观，它决定着银行的经营风格和风险偏好，也决定着一个银行资产质量的长期 趋势。"胡罡说。 信心来源三是中信银行的资产结构还在持续的优化过程中。对公贷款占比为58.7%，零售贷款占比为 41.3%；二是对公贷款结构向长三角、珠三角、京津冀、成渝等区域集中；另外，零售贷款结构改善， 去年住房贷款按揭增量排整个市场第一位。个贷信用贷款，高收入也就是年收入15万元以上客群占比， 占比达到56%，比年初提升14个百分点，信用卡优质客群占比48 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report on China Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in profit growth for China Bank in 2024, with a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.6% and a revenue growth of 1.2%. The improvement in asset quality and strong performance in overseas operations are also noted [1][2][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Overview - In 2024, China Bank's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.6% year-on-year, while revenue grew by 1.2%. The non-performing loan ratio at the end of 2024 was 1.25%, a decrease of 1 basis point from the end of Q3 2024, and the provision coverage ratio rose to 201%, an increase of 2 percentage points [1][2][4] Profit Growth Recovery - The bank's revenue growth of 1.2% in 2024 showed a slight slowdown compared to previous quarters, primarily due to a decline in net interest margin. However, net profit growth of 2.6% was supported by cost control and increased tax contributions. The net interest margin for Q4 2024 was 1.35%, up 2 basis points from the previous quarter [2][3] Asset Quality Improvement - The non-performing loan ratio improved slightly, with a decrease of 1 basis point in Q4 2024. The provision coverage ratio increased by 2 percentage points, indicating better asset quality overall. However, retail non-performing loans showed upward pressure, particularly in mortgages and business loans [4] Strong Overseas Business - China Bank's overseas operations showed robust performance, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2% in the scale of overseas institutions, outpacing domestic growth. The non-performing loan generation rate for overseas institutions decreased by 22 basis points to 0.65%, and the pre-tax ROA for overseas operations was 0.99%, higher than domestic operations [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit growth for China Bank from 2025 to 2027 is -0.46%, 0.79%, and 4.74%, respectively. The target price is set at 6.03 CNY per share, corresponding to a PB ratio of 0.69 for 2025. The current price is 5.48 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 10% [6][12]

Core Viewpoint - China Bank's overdue loan growth has shown signs of moderation since the second half of 2024, with overall non-performing loan (NPL) generation remaining stable, although certain sectors are under pressure [2][3]. Group 1: Non-Performing Loans and Asset Quality - As of the end of 2024, China Bank's NPL ratio stands at 1.25%, a decrease of 0.02 percentage points from the previous year, while the provision coverage ratio has increased by 8.94 percentage points to 200.60% [2]. - The real estate sector continues to be the largest contributor to new domestic NPLs, but the risk is gradually being cleared, showing a year-on-year decline [2]. - Personal business loans and mortgage loans have seen a year-on-year increase in new NPLs, indicating ongoing asset quality pressure [2][3]. Group 2: Risk Management and Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2025, the primary risk management pressures for China Bank are expected to stem from the ongoing adjustment in the real estate market and structural employment issues [2][3]. - The bank plans to enhance credit risk management across all dimensions and cycles, focusing on proactive risk management and intelligent transformation [4]. - China Bank aims to adhere to the "four early" principles to strengthen risk foresight and management, while also addressing the challenges posed by the diversification and small-scale nature of non-performing assets [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed analysis of China Merchants Bank's 2024 annual report, highlighting the bank's performance in revenue, expenses, asset quality, and capital adequacy, while also noting challenges in net interest margin and fee income [3][21][23]. Revenue Analysis - The total operating income for 2024 was 337.49 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.48% [8]. - Net interest income was 211.28 billion, down 1.58% year-on-year, while fee income fell by 14.28% [8]. - Other non-interest income increased by 34.13% to 54.12 billion, indicating a strong performance in this segment [8]. Expense Analysis - Total expenses and other expenditures decreased by 2.76%, which was better than the analyst's expectation of a decline between 3.16% and 4.81% [4]. - Credit impairment losses for the year were 39.98 billion, slightly below the expected range of 40.3 billion to 42.3 billion [4]. Shareholder Analysis - The top ten shareholders saw a reduction in holdings by the Shanghai Stock Connect, which decreased by 54 million shares, maintaining a 5.04% stake [6]. - The number of shareholders dropped significantly from 522,100 to 459,200, indicating a 12% decline in retail investors [6]. Asset Analysis - Total assets reached 12,152.036 billion, growing by 10.19% year-on-year, with total loans amounting to 6,632.548 billion, a growth rate of 6.07% [14]. - The bank's retail loans maintained a 6% year-on-year growth despite a general slowdown in retail credit demand [14]. Non-Performing Loan Analysis - Non-performing loans increased to 65.61 billion, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.95%, reflecting a slight increase from the previous quarter [17]. - The migration rate of normal loans rose to 1.39%, indicating ongoing pressure on asset quality [17]. Capital Adequacy Analysis - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 14.86%, up from 14.73% in the previous quarter, primarily due to regulatory changes [19]. Summary of Key Issues - The bank faces challenges with the asset quality of retail loans, which has shown signs of deterioration [21]. - The net interest margin continues to be under pressure due to declining asset yields and weak credit demand [23].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 55 CNY for the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 showed a slight decline of 0.48% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.22%, indicating a stable fundamental performance [1]. - In Q4 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 7.64%, driven by asset expansion, growth in non-interest income, and cost reduction, despite some pressure from narrowing net interest margins and increased credit impairment provisions [1][12]. - The bank's strong deposit competitiveness is highlighted by a significant increase in deposits, with a year-on-year growth of 245.5 billion CNY in Q4 2024 [3][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The bank's total revenue for 2024 was 337.49 billion CNY, with a slight decrease from the previous year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 148.39 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 1.22% [20]. - The bank's cost-to-income ratio improved to 38.77%, down by 3.68 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective cost management [13][39]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.93% as of Q4 2024, with slight fluctuations in various loan categories, showing resilience in asset quality [41]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was reported at 411.98%, maintaining a strong buffer against potential credit losses [14]. Loan and Deposit Growth - The average daily balance of interest-earning assets increased by 8.76% year-on-year in Q4 2024, with significant contributions from bond investments and a recovery in credit issuance [2][23]. - Retail loans, particularly mortgage loans, saw a notable increase, with a growth of 32.5 billion CNY in Q4 2024, marking the best quarterly performance since Q3 2023 [2][17]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income showed signs of recovery, with a 53.6% year-on-year increase in other non-interest income in Q4 2024, driven by rising bond investment values [13]. - The bank's fee and commission income decreased by 4% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to previous quarters, indicating a potential stabilization [12][36]. Market Position and Outlook - The bank's strong deposit base and competitive funding costs position it well for future asset growth, despite ongoing pressure on net interest margins [11][18]. - The outlook for 2025 anticipates a revenue growth of 0.61% and a net profit growth of 1.24%, supported by a recovering capital market and improved economic conditions [18][20].

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 股份制银行Ⅱ 经营表现稳健，中期分红落地 ——招商银行 2024 年报点评 投资要点 ❑ 招商银行 2024A 利润增速回正，资产质量平稳，2025 年中期分红初步落地。 ❑ 数据概览 招商银行 2024 年归母净利润同比增长 1.2%，利润增速回正；营收同比下降 0.5%，降幅较 24Q1-3 收窄 2.4pc。2024 年末不良率 0.95%，环比 24Q3 末回升 1bp，拨备覆盖率 412%，环比 24Q3 末下降 20pc。 ❑ 息差好于预期 招商银行 2024 年归母净利润同比增长 1.2%，利润增速回正；营收同比下降 0.5%，降幅较 24Q1-3 收窄 2.4pc。从驱动因素来看，除债市表现优异带动其他非 息增速回升外，核心超预期点在于息差拖累改善，支撑盈利增速改善。 招行 24Q4 单季净息差（日均口径）环比小幅下降 3bp 至 1.94%，息差韧性好于 预期。主要得益于负债成本显著改善。①资产端收益率环比下降 16bp至 3.33%， 主要是受 LPR 降息、存量按揭降息等行业共性因素冲击，贷款收益率环比下降 20bp 至 3.70%；②负债端成本率环比改善 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][11]. Core Views - The company's net profit growth has turned positive, with a net profit of 148.4 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.2%. The revenue for 2024 was 337.5 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year, but the fourth quarter showed a revenue growth of 7.5% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company's asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.95%, unchanged from the beginning of the year. The credit cost has decreased slightly to 0.65%, down 9 basis points year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has a strong customer base, with retail customers reaching 210 million, including 5.24 million high-net-worth clients, indicating a continuous improvement in customer quality [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 337.5 billion yuan, with a net profit of 148.4 billion yuan. The revenue is expected to grow to 343.2 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected net profit of 150.8 billion yuan [4][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) for 2024 is 15.1%, and the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025-2027 is projected to be 7.8x, 7.4x, and 6.9x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation [3][4]. - The total assets of the company reached 12.15 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with loans totaling 6.89 trillion yuan and deposits of 9.20 trillion yuan, reflecting a steady growth in scale [1][2].

证券研究报告 | 2025年03月26日 招商银行（600036.SH）2024 年年报点评 优于大市 客群和风控护城河进一步彰显 归母净利润增速转正。2024 年实现营收 3375 亿元，同比下降 0.5%，归母净 利润 1484 亿元，同比增长 1.2%。其中四季度单季营收同比增长 7.5%，归母 净利润同比增长 7.6%。公司 ROAE 为 14.49%，仍处在高位。 四季度营收实现较好增长主要受益于净息差降幅收窄，以及其他非息收入的 高增。2024 年净利息收入同比下降 1.6%，其中四季度单季同比增长 3.0%， 主要受益于净息差降幅收窄。公司披露的 2024 年净息差 1.98%，同比收窄 17bps，较前三季度下降 1bp。其中四季度单季净息差为 1.94%，同比仅收窄 10bps。期末资产总额 12.15 万亿元，贷款总额 6.89 万亿元，存款总额 9.20 万亿元，较年初分别增长 10.2%、5.8%和 11.6%，规模扩张稳健。 2024 年手续费净收入同比下降 14.3%，大财富管理收入延续下降态势。不过 受益于债券收益率下行，2024 年度其他非息收入同比增长 34%，带来 2024 ...

Dividend Distribution - The proposed cash dividend for 2024 is RMB 6.08 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 11.799 billion, which represents 28.32% of the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders and 26.51% of the total net profit [1] - The interim dividend for 2024 was RMB 2.46 per 10 shares, amounting to RMB 4.774 billion, while the proposed year-end dividend is RMB 3.62 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 7.025 billion [1] - The shareholder return plan for 2024-2026 indicates that cash distributions will range from 10% to 35% of the distributable profits for the year [1] Interest Margin Outlook - The net interest margin for 2024 is projected at 1.87%, a decrease of 51 basis points year-on-year, primarily due to declining market interest rates and the reduction of high-risk retail assets [1] - For 2025, the net interest margin is expected to face downward pressure, but the decline rate is anticipated to slow down [1] Asset Quality Performance - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at the end of 2024 is 1.06%, unchanged from the previous year, with an NPL generation rate of 1.80%, down by 0.09 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The provision coverage ratio is 250.71%, a decrease of 26.92 percentage points from the previous year [2] Retail Loan Situation - The personal loan balance at the end of 2024 is RMB 1.7672 trillion, a decrease of 10.6% from the previous year, with mortgage loans accounting for 62.8% of personal loans [3] - Strategies include optimizing loan structures, enhancing risk management, and improving customer engagement to support long-term business health [3] Corporate Loan Direction - New corporate loans in 2024 for key industries (infrastructure, automotive, public utilities, real estate) are projected at RMB 442.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35.4% [4] - New loans for emerging industries (new manufacturing, new energy, new lifestyle) are expected to reach RMB 216 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.9% [4] Wealth Management Performance - The number of wealth management clients reached 1.46 million, a growth of 5.7% year-on-year, with private banking clients increasing by 7.3% to 300,000 [5] - The assets under management (AUM) for private banking clients totaled RMB 1.9755 trillion, a 3.1% increase from the previous year [5] - Wealth management service fees amounted to RMB 4.4 billion, with a decline attributed to reduced fees in the insurance channel [5]